Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6910 tópicos neste fórum
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Despite an aggressive intraday drop in the cryptocurrency market — likely aimed at flushing out speculators and weaker hands in preparation for the next leg of the bull run — Bitcoin managed to stay above the $112,000 level. And with continued inflows into crypto investment products, there's reason to remain calm. In fact, when looking at the fundamental factors supporting the crypto industry, the outlook remains largely positive. Institutional interest is holding strong, and more corporations are adding digital assets to their balance sheets. Regulatory developments are ongoing, fostering innovation and expanding the practical use of cryptocurrencies. The regulatory e…
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Gold prices reached a new record high on Tuesday, helped by growing expectations of more US interest rate cuts. Investors were also waiting for a speech from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to get more hints about future policy. The price of spot gold went up 1% to $3,784.01 per ounce, after hitting a new record high of $3,790.82 earlier in the day. This optimism was partly due to new Fed Governor Stephen Miran, who called for aggressive rate cuts on Monday. He argued that the Fed's current policy is too strict and could put jobs at risk. However, his view was challenged by three of his colleagues, who believe the central bank needs to remain cautious about inflation.…
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The Group of Seven (G7) nations and the European Union are said to be discussing the idea of imposing price floors on rare earths to counter China’s dominance in the supply chain, Reuters reported on Wednesday. A price floor, if imposed, would provide greater incentives for producers of rare earths and related products in those regions, which for decades have relied on Chinese supply. Rare earths, which are difficult to extract and expensive to process, are key to many high-tech products, including cell phones, EVs and defense applications. China currently dominates the global mine supply of rare earths and controls over 90% of their total processing capacity. Thi…
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Many analysts believe that next summer, the leading cryptocurrency could reach a staggering $200,000. They estimate the likelihood of this scenario at 50%. This forecast may come true if the asset rides the wave of growth. Throughout this week, the price of Bitcoin has risen by almost 6%. This has given hope to analysts and market participants for a further upward move in the first cryptocurrency. According to crypto analyst Timothy Peterson, by June 2026, the BTC price could reach a new all-time high of $200,000. The expert puts the odds of hitting such a peak at 50%. By the end of this week, Bitcoin has remained stable: on Friday, September 26, it started sideways tra…
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Up 56% since the onset of 2025, Silver is putting on a performance unseen in more than 15 years. The metal has finally broken out of the monthly upward channel that began in February 2020 during the Covid-era peak of fear and volatility, adding further fuel to the ongoing fire. With prices stretching back into April 2011 territory, the question is no longer whether buyers have what it need to reach preceding highs, but what—if anything—can slow it down from here. A piece published shortly after the FOMC had emitted the idea that the follow-up press conference hadn't expressed enough dovishness for metals to keep rising higher, amid some form of slowdown in the rally.…
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The Bitcoin community is again locked in a heated debate following reports that developer Luke Dashjr, creator of the Bitcoin Knots client, is exploring the possibility of a hard fork to remove illicit data from the blockchain. At the heart of the controversy are leaked discussions suggesting Dashjr has considered a framework where a select quorum of signers could retroactively redact blockchain entries using zero-knowledge proofs (ZKPs). The aim, according to these reports, would be to filter objectionable or illegal non-financial data embedded in Bitcoin’s immutable ledger, while preserving valid transaction history. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.18T24h7d30d1yAll time …
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In my reviews, I have repeatedly stated that I continue to expect growth in the European currency. Many economists also support this view, as most factors point in favor of the euro. The key factor, in their opinion, is further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, combined with the likely completion of the ECB's easing cycle. Since Donald Trump is demanding that the Fed lower rates to at least 2%, there is reason to expect that the Fed will eventually reach the target that the ECB has already achieved. In other words, over the next six months, a year, or even two, only the Fed will be engaged in rate cuts, putting the already weak dollar in an even more difficult posit…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1689 level coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of this price coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed scenario #2 for selling to play out, although a major decline in the pair did not materialize. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index in the US matched economists' forecasts, indicating moderate price pressure. This event served as a catalyst for a reassessment of risks and opportunities in global financia…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 149.56 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar and missed the entire downward move. The Japanese yen surged sharply against the US dollar at the end of last week after news that the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index rose by only 0.2%, entirely in line with economists' forecasts. Although expected, this release triggered a chain reaction in the currency markets. Investors interpreted it as a signal that the Federal Reserve may adjust its policy course as …
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Top crypto commentator CryptoinsightUK argues that market consensus has misread the setup for XRP and altcoins, contending that sentiment, liquidity positioning, and cross-asset relationships point to an imminent phase in which XRP could outperform even a resurgent ETH. In his latest Weekly Insight (Week 161, Sept. 27, 2025), the analyst opens with a blunt reset of stance: “I am bullish.” He acknowledges the psychological toll of recent chop and public pushback—“I am getting pushback from all sides for staying bullish… But I also do not really care”—yet he frames the current drawdown as the kind of fear-laced inflection that historically precedes a trend resumption highe…
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Asian markets kick off week with gainsOn Monday, most Asian equity markets ended the session in positive territory. The dollar weakened as investor focus shifted to the US, where the risk of a temporary government shutdown persists. Such a scenario could delay the release of the September jobs report and several other key data points. Washington seeks compromisePresident Donald Trump plans to meet with leaders of both congressional parties on Monday to discuss extending federal funding. Otherwise, the government will face a partial shutdown. This coincides with the introduction of new US tariffs on heavy trucks, pharmaceuticals, and a number of other goods. Seasonal sup…
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Crypto analyst Bobby has revealed that the XRP price is about to close a 3-minute candle above a major region. He indicated that this was very bullish for the altcoin, providing insights into how high it could rally. XRP Price Set To Close Fourth 3M Candle Above In an X post, Bobby revealed that the XRP price is about to close its fourth 3-minute candle above the highest 3-minute candlestick close of its prior bull cycle. He added that the altcoin is also on track to close a 3-minute candle body above the previous 3-minute candle wick high amid a highly fearful market and even without reaching a 1.618 extension. Based on this, he urged market participants to “think …
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Trade review and tips for trading the pound The test of 1.3427 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly down from the zero line, which limited the downward potential of the pair. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The second test of 1.3427 coincided with the MACD being in the overbought zone, which allowed Scenario #2 for buying the pound to play out, resulting in growth of more than 20 points. In the second half of the day, weak U.S. pending home sales data is unlikely to pressure the dollar, but dovish comments from Fed officials Christopher Waller and John Williams are another matter. An unexpected drop in sales would be an unpleasant su…
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Key takeaways RBA steady, RBNZ dovish tilt: Australia’s central bank is expected to hold rates at 3.6%, while New Zealand’s weak labour market raises the odds of a more dovish RBNZ stance.Widening yield spreads: The 2-year and 10-year AU/NZ sovereign bond yield spreads are likely to widen further, favouring AUD strength over NZD.AUD/NZD strength: The cross pair has gained 5.8% since July 2025, hitting a three-year high of 1.1390, supported by relative macro and yield dynamics.Technical outlook bullish: Short-term bias stays positive for AUD/NZD above 1.1330 support, with scope to test 1.1435 and the long-term secular resistance at 1.1470. Australia’s central bank (R…
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Key takeaways Silver’s stellar run: XAG/USD surged 16.1% in September and 27.5% in Q3 2025, marking its strongest quarter since Q3 2020.Short-term pullback risk: Price stalled at US$47.17 resistance with bearish RSI divergence, signalling potential mean reversion decline.Upside scenario: A breakout above US$47.17 could extend gains toward US$48.14/49.45 in the near term. Silver (XAG/USD) has delivered a stellar performance, surging 16.1% month-to-date and 27.5% in Q3 as of 30 September 2025, its strongest quarterly gain since Q3 2020. Over the same period, Silver has outpaced Gold (XAU/USD), which posted comparatively smaller advances of 10.4% month-to-date and 15.5…
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Markets just received the report for the US JOLTS Job Openings, which came in at 7.227 million vs 7.190M expected – a modest upside surprise compared to the prior 7.184M. The JOLTS release is closely watched by participants as it offers an early signal on labor demand and hiring appetite, especially as the data gets released ahead of the Monthly NFP figures. The one thing to keep in mind however is that the data gets released for the prior month (this is the report for August). Today’s beat shows that, despite slowing momentum elsewhere in the economy, the US labor picture is not deteriorating. This resilience may again temper expectations for aggressive 2026 rate cuts…
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Since everything Trump does is "Great," the shutdown will likely be Great as well — albeit with a negative side. This time, Trump has decided not to simply send federal workers home while he and his team attempt to negotiate with the Democrats. Instead, he's opted for a more dramatic move: to fire government employees — and blame the Democrats for it. It may look and sound absurd, but let's not forget that Trump is a gambler. And gamblers love to bluff. I believe this is just that — a bluff — and no one is actually going to be fired. However, Trump will play this card as a trump (no pun intended) in his standoff with the Democrats. Without a doubt, he will announce loudly…
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The Canadian dollar continues to weaken against the U.S. dollar, with no notable fluctuations, largely due to a relatively steady decline in oil prices (yesterday, -1.50%). The Marlin oscillator has settled in positive territory and is poised to turn upward. A breakout above the resistance level of 1.3958 (the high from September 26) opens the way to the next target at 1.4060. The first sign of a potential alternative (bearish) scenario for the Canadian dollar would be a decline below the 1.3890 level (high from September 11 and yesterday's low). However, a more significant signal would be a break below the 1.3860 level, which would open the path toward 1.3810. On the …
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As the market stabilizes from last week’s correction, BNB is attempting to hold a crucial area that could set the stage for a rally, leading some analysts to suggest that the next leg up could be around the corner. Kazakhstan Adoption Pushes BNB To $1,000 Nearly two weeks after breaking above the $1,000 milestone for the first time, BNB is attempting to hold this key area as support following the recent market pullback. The cryptocurrency has recorded a massive multi-month rally this quarter, surging 54% since the July opening. Over the past month, the cryptocurrency has climbed 16% from the start-of-September lows, turning the crucial $800-$900 zone into support befor…
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No matter how challenging the current U.S. government shutdown may seem, these disruptions are temporary. This fact, combined with positive news from pharmaceutical companies, has pushed the S&P 500 back toward record highs. Donald Trump announced that Pfizer will introduce new medications in the U.S. at reduced prices. As long as the company invests in the American economy, it will be exempt from tariffs. The White House is also working with other industry representatives to reach similar agreements. U.S. Stock Index Performance The market hears what it wants to hear. That's why stock indices have continued their rally despite the government shutdown and declin…
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Tether, the issuer behind the leading stablecoin, USDT, has made headlines by acquiring $1 billion worth of Bitcoin—approximately 8,800 BTC—during the third quarter of this year. While many investors have reacted positively to this significant investment, caution has emerged from industry experts like Jacob King, CEO of SwanDesk, who warns that this move may contribute to what he believes could be the “largest bubble in history.” Bitcoin’s True Value Could Be Below $1,000 In a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), King raised serious concerns about the Bitcoin market, claiming that 80-90% of the total buy volume is artificially inflated. He argue…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Tuesday continued a very sluggish upward move after consolidating above the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3425. Thus, the pound's growth may continue today towards the next corrective levels at 1.3482 and 1.3528. Consolidation below 1.3425 or a rebound from 1.3482 would work in favor of the U.S. dollar and a pullback toward the nearest levels. The wave structure remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the last high. The news background for the pound over the past two weeks has been negative, but I believe traders have already fully priced it in. This w…
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On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair continued a modest upward move toward the resistance zone at 1.1789–1.1819. A rebound from this zone would work in favor of the U.S. dollar and a decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1695. Consolidation above 1.1789–1.1819 would increase the likelihood of further growth toward the next corrective level, the 127.2% Fibonacci at 1.1896. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave broke the low of the previous wave, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the previous peak. Thus, the trend is still "bearish" for now. Recent labor market data and the shifting Fed monetary polic…
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Spot silver soared above $46.00, recently touching the $45 an ounce level in late September. The powerful and enduring rally in precious metals this year has lifted silver as much as 55% in 2025, outpacing the 43% gain in gold. The push to fresh highs in silver comes alongside news that the U.S. economy grew at a faster pace in the second quarter. The third estimate of Q2 U.S. GDP came in at 3.8%, which is higher than the previous estimate of 3.3%. Upward revisions to consumer spending contributed to the better number. This followed a negative reading in the first quarter of the year, which revealed that economic growth shrank by 0.6%. Other economic news also surprised…
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Against all expectations, September 2025 proved surprisingly kind to crypto. While BTC USD ticked higher in the first few weeks of the month, the sharp plunge in the final week failed to erase those gains. Instead, a mix of bullish Bitcoin news and resilient buyers provided strong support, establishing a solid foundation for BTC USDT to push above $125,000 in Q4 2025. Presently, the Bitcoin price is steady above $116,000. The digital gold has successfully reversed its losses from September 25. That said, this leg up is on relatively low trading volume but has nonetheless pumped some of the best cryptos to buy. From a technical standpoint, a close above $118,000 could ign…
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