Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12214 tópicos neste fórum
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[XPD/USD] – [Wednesday, October 01, 2025] With the RSI Position in the Neutral-Bearish level, then there is potential for XPD/USD to decline today toward its nearest support levels. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 1339.48 2. Resistance. 1 : 1306.17 3. Pivot : 1267.27 4. Support. 1 : 1233.96 5. Support. 2 : 1195.06 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 1267.27, Palladium is likely to go down to 1233.96. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1233.96 is breached and closes below, XPD/USD could continue weakening down to 1195.06. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside bias is limited if XPD/USD suddenly strengthens up to th…
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On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair continued a modest upward move toward the resistance zone at 1.1789–1.1819. A rebound from this zone would work in favor of the U.S. dollar and a decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1695. Consolidation above 1.1789–1.1819 would increase the likelihood of further growth toward the next corrective level, the 127.2% Fibonacci at 1.1896. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed downward wave broke the low of the previous wave, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the previous peak. Thus, the trend is still "bearish" for now. Recent labor market data and the shifting Fed monetary polic…
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Overview: The US federal government is under partial closure following the inability to approve appropriations to start the new fiscal year. The president has threatened to permanently fire not just furlough many "non-essential" government workers, but note that as of yesterday, some 150k federal workers have accepted the government's buyout. The longest shutdown in this macabre and repeated political drama has been 35 days in President Trump's first term. We fear this one may also be protracted. The dollar is narrowly mixed, steadying in late European morning turnover after initially being sold. The dollar is also mostly firmer against emerging market currencies. The r…
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Shutdown and its economic consequences A government shutdown has been declared in the United States due to the lack of a funding agreement, resulting in the closure of government institutions and potential mass layoffs. Economists warn of risks to the labor market and financial markets in this environment of uncertainty. Analysts note that a prolonged shutdown could negatively impact GDP growth in the fourth quarter. Additionally, it increases pressure on politicians, as investors demand quick solutions to stabilize the situation. Read more at the link. Index records and declining futuresThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq stock indices ended the quarter at new highs, but future…
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Bitcoin has reclaimed the $115,000 level, restoring momentum after weeks of uncertainty and signaling that bulls are regaining strength. The move comes as traders push back against selling pressure, with renewed optimism spreading across the market. For many, the rebound highlights Bitcoin’s resilience and its ability to bounce after testing key support levels. Yet, not everyone feels convinced. Several analysts warn that despite the recent upside, Bitcoin may still face the risk of a deeper correction. The recovery looks promising, but the broader structure remains fragile, and cautious voices continue to dominate discussions. A failure to hold above $115,000 could onc…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the Euro The test of 1.1770 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of 1.1770, with MACD in the overbought area, triggered scenario #2 for selling, resulting in a 30-point decline in the pair. Revised upward data on the eurozone manufacturing PMI still showed a decline compared to the previous month, which negatively affected the euro in the first half of the trading day. Inflation figures fully matched economists' forecasts, which also failed to spark renewed demand for risk assets. D…
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People in the industry are starting to talk like Solana spot ETFs are finally about to happen. Issuers are looking at the window between October 6 and 10 as the most likely time for the SEC to give the green light. There have been some real changes in how the SEC is handling crypto funds, and those changes are fueling confidence. Behind the Hype: What’s Changed A big part of the momentum comes from the SEC’s decision to adopt what are called generic listing standards for crypto exchange-traded products. That move basically removes the need for ETF issuers to file a separate rule change every time they want to launch a new crypto ETF. Instead of a long, messy process for …
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The XRP price is positioned at a pivotal level that will determine the next trend to play out from here. This was highlighted by crypto analyst, The Alchemist Trader, in a TradingView post that shared notable insights into the current price action of the cryptocurrency. The crypto analyst also explained that there are technical points that will determine the next move, and depending on how bears and bulls perform, there could either be a lot of gains or major losses. The Three Key Points To Watch With the XRP price already showing a lot of weakness, The Alchemist Trader explains that the altcoin is now consolidating near the value area low of its local trading range. Thi…
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Cryptocurrencies have yo-yo'd quite aggressively in the past two months, moving from the dovish FED narrative to widespread profit-taking after failing to pursue the 2025 bull-move. Some concerns had been raised, and with justification. The Crypto total Market Cap had been free falling, some key ETFs had been seeing their first yearly outflows and technicals were corroborating a double top in both Ethereum and Bitcoin, adding to the shaded picture. But amid the ceaseless everything rally, buyers stepped up to create a lower high in Bitcoin as Equity indices were getting lifted and even more as the US government shutdown put back some diversification-interest in investor…
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Bitcoin and XRP have both made strong attempts to reclaim resistance levels in recent days. Bitcoin has broken above the $120,000 price level. XRP, on the other hand, hasn’t found it as easy to establish a firm breakout, although it has pushed as high as $3.10 in the past 24 hours. Technical analysis points to possible short-term price gains if resistance levels holds, but it also outlines a scenario where both Bitcoin and XRP could face another round of declines in the coming week. XRP’s Struggle Against The Downtrend Technical analysis of XRP’s daily candlestick timeframe chart, which was posted on the social media platform X by a crypto analyst called Guy on the Ear…
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Here’s the latest crypto news as the weekend is showing us a mix of politics, price action, and institutional partnerships. The big three stories are that Washington won’t pass a budget until late next week, Binance broke ATHs, and .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Cardano ADA $0.8589 1.18% Cardano ADA Price $0.8589 1.18% /24h Volume in 24h $1.30B Price 7d …
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On Friday, the GBP/USD currency pair posted a slight increase, though volatility remained nearly minimal. The U.S. was expected to release the Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment data that day, but it had become clear earlier in the week that those reports wouldn't be published due to the ongoing government shutdown, which forced many federal agencies into unpaid leave. However, the ISM Services PMI was released on Friday, and it sharply disappointed, following the same pattern seen earlier with the Manufacturing PMI. Thus, the dollar had significant reasons to fall, yet once again it barely moved, despite ample justification for a decline. As we have stated multiple times…
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The outlook for Eurozone economic growth remains broadly optimistic, supported by rising real disposable incomes, low inflation, and high wages. These factors are expected to form a foundation for sustained consumer demand. Although PMI data has been mixed — with manufacturing slowing and services accelerating — consumer demand remains solid, and GDP growth, while modest, is stable. Inflation rose in September from 2.0% year-over-year to 2.2%. This increase was anticipated due to rising energy prices, while core inflation remained steady at 2.3%. At this stage, there are no reasons to expect a resurgence in inflation, which means the ECB is likely to stick to its policy o…
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Gold is bouncing back after reaching the support of the uptrend channel formed on September 26th and is now likely to reach the 3,977 area. If the price breaks this high, we could expect it to reach 3,992 and could even reach the psychological level of $4,000. Conversely, if the gold price falls below 3,951, this could signal a breakout of the uptrend channel, and we could expect a strong technical correction that could push the price down to the +1/8 Murray around 3,906. If gold reaches 3,977 and fails to consolidate above this area, we could expect the formation of a double top or triple top pattern, which could confirm a short-term technical reversal. We should pay att…
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If we examine the daily chart, Bitcoin has displayed a steady and strong uptrend for nine consecutive days, excluding October 4. The price rebounded from $109,000 to $126,200. Ethereum has also surged significantly and is approaching its all-time high. One of the key drivers behind this rally is the prolonged U.S. government shutdown. The political stalemate has led to notable institutional inflows into crypto ETFs. Ongoing uncertainty over U.S. fiscal policy traditionally pushes large market players to seek alternative investment assets that can preserve and grow capital during periods of increased volatility. Crypto ETFs, offering regulated and convenient access to dig…
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US stock indices close lowerUS stock indices closed lower: the S&P 500 was down 0.38%, and the Nasdaq 100 lost 0.67%. Tesla shares fell by more than 4% following the launch of new models, while Dell shares rose by 3.5% on strong AI demand. Analysts believe that the fluctuations reflect capital rotation between technology segments. Follow the link for more details. Investors reassess expectations after Oracle reportInvestors reacted to disappointing results from Oracle, which triggered a correction in the S&P 500. Elevated stock valuations and uncertainty could affect further market dynamics, especially during the shutdown. Market participants are closely wa…
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The Bitcoin price rise is not going to slowing down, according to market expert Anthony Pompliano. The well-known investor and founder of Professional Capital Management believes the top cryptocurrency still has a long way to go. In a recent video post on X, Pompliano revealed that Bitcoin’s value will continue to grow as long as governments and central banks continue to print more money. Anthony Pompliano Links Bitcoin Price Endless Rise To Global Money Printing During an interview with CNBC, Pompliano said Bitcoin’s rally is far from over. According to him, when more money enters the system, the value of paper currencies decreases, and people begin seeking more effect…
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Macroeconomic Report Review: Very few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Friday, as has been the case throughout the entire current week. Essentially, the only notable economic data so far was Germany's industrial production, which once again showed extremely weak — in fact, negative — results. That's all we've really seen. Today, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will be released in the United States. It's not a particularly important indicator, and this week's market behavior has shown that traders don't care about the reasons they're buying the U.S. dollar — the same dollar that was aggressively sold off over the past eight months. Fundamen…
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[Uniswap] – [Friday, October 10, 2025] Although EMA(50) and EMA(200) are still in a Death Cross configuration, but the RSI is in the Neutral-Bullish zone and a Bullish Divergence has emerged, suggesting that this cryptocurrency will strengthen. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 8.316 2. Resistance. 1 : 8.048 3. Pivot : 7.844 4. Support. 1 : 7.576 5. Support. 2 : 7.372 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If Uniswap strengthens and breaks out and closes above 7.844, it is likely to continue its upward movement to 8.048. Momentum Extension Bias: If 8.048 is broken and closed above, Uniswap will likely continue strengthening to 8.316. Invalidation Level…
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The British pound, Australian dollar, and Canadian dollar were traded today using the Mean Reversion strategy. I did not trade anything through Momentum. As expected, in the absence of important statistics from the eurozone and the UK, the euro and the pound showed a slight recovery in the first half of the day. This pause in the continuous pressure that has haunted these currencies in recent weeks allowed some of the market nervousness to calm down. Traders cautiously welcomed the absence of negative news, which in turn pushed the euro and other currencies slightly higher against the US dollar. However, it should not be forgotten that this is only a temporary reprieve. G…
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XRP price started a fresh increase above $2.250. The price is now showing positive signs but faces a major hurdle near the $2.60 level. XRP price is attempting a recovery wave above the $2.50 zone. The price is now trading below $2.60 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.660 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh decline if it settles below $2.70. XRP Price Starts Recovery XRP price found support and started a strong recovery wave above $2.0, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above the $2.20 and $2.25 levels to enter a posit…
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Solana started a fresh increase above the $180 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $185 and might aim for more gains above the $200 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $175 and $180 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $200 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $188 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $200 resistance zone. Solana Price Eyes More Gains Solana price started a decent increase after it found support near the $155 zone, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $172 l…
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Fitch Solutions’ BMI has raised its 2025 average copper price forecast to $9,650 per tonne, up from $9,500 previously, as persistent supply disruptions and resilient industrial demand continue to support the market. Copper prices have averaged $9,609 per tonne, but are currently trading above $10,000 per tonne due to a confluence of macro factors. Chief amongst those are US interest rate cuts, which BMI predicts will spur manufacturing and investment activity into 2026, creating a tailwind for industrial metals. However, it also cautions that geopolitical tensions—particularly the renewed US-China trade confrontations—could cap further gains through 2026. Clea…
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A discounted $50M Solana buy just collided with fresh tariff jitters, testing whether corporate demand can steady SOL in a risk-off week. Abu Dhabi–based Solmate Infrastructure (Nasdaq: SLMT) said on Oct. 14 that it purchased $50M worth of SOL directly from the Solana Foundation at a 15% discount. SOL was trading between $169 and $195 in a pattern of a symmetrical triangle, a pattern that is commonly observed before a huge breakout. The upper resistance zone aligns near $195–$200, while key Fibonacci confluence levels sit just above. (Source: X) If Solana breaks above the upper boundary, the next Fibonacci extension (1.618) projects a potential rally toward th…
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The storm in the U.S. equity market shows no signs of calming. The S&P 500 opened with a gap for the second consecutive trading session—this time to the downside—following news of an escalation in the trade conflict. Beijing effectively barred Chinese companies from doing business with the U.S. subsidiary of South Korean shipbuilding giant Hanwha Ocean. Yet upbeat corporate earnings and dovish comments from Jerome Powell helped the broad market index ride the volatility rollercoaster and rebound. Financial results from major banks, including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo, exceeded expectations, while BlackRock announced that assets under management su…
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