Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Trade Review and Strategy for the EuroA price test at 1.1658 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of 1.1658 happened while the MACD was in the oversold zone. This allowed Buy Scenario #2 to unfold, resulting in a 20-pip upward movement. Comments by Federal Reserve officials about the potential for rising inflation if interest rates are cut too quickly contributed to the U.S. dollar's strength and a significant decline in the euro. Investors, anticipating tighter monetary policy in the U.S., actively sold the euro and other…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Yesterday, the U.S. dollar continued its rise against a number of currencies — with the euro and the Japanese yen suffering the most. The dollar's rally resumed after Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari warned that any sharp cut in U.S. interest rates could lead to higher inflation. His remarks, delivered amid growing expectations of imminent monetary easing, had a significant impact on the currency market. Investors, weighing the risks associated with premature policy loosening, once again turned to the dollar as a relatively safe asset. Kashkari's comments highlighted the dilemma facing the Federal Reserve. On the one hand, slowing economic growth …
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Tuesday rebounded from the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3482, turned in favor of the U.S. dollar, and fell below the 76.4% corrective level at 1.3425. Thus, the decline may continue toward the support level of 1.3332–1.3357. A rebound from this zone would favor the pound and a move higher toward 1.3425, while a close below it would increase the likelihood of further decline toward the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3225. The wave structure remains "bearish." The last completed upward wave failed to break the previous peak, while the most recent downward wave did not break the previous low. The news background in recent weeks has been…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Wednesday, from the level of 1.1655 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue downward toward 1.1593 — the 61.8% retracement level (blue dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.1608 — a historical resistance level (light-blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – down.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.1655 (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may continue downward tow…
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As the crypto market rallies, BNB continues to hit new record levels, surpassing some of the largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization and leading some analysts to suggest that its end-of-year run has just started. BNB Sees 30% Weekly Run After a massive Q3 rally, BNB has started the last quarter of the year with a remarkable 30% rally. Over the past week, the cryptocurrency has recorded four new all-time highs (ATHs), climbing the list of top cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. The altcoin recovered from the late September pullback a week ago, reclaiming the $1,000 barrier. At the time, Analyst Ali Martinez suggested that turning this level into su…
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Kazakhstan’s Fincraft Group is seeking to acquire Tethys Petroleum (CVE: TPL), a Toronto-listed oil and mining company, as part of a broader push to integrate upstream energy production into its expanding mining portfolio. The move, announced in a non-binding letter of intent in September, also reflects Fincraft’s strategy to secure greater control over the Central Asian region’s critical resource infrastructure. Fincraft, which trades on the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange, operates significant assets in nickel through Kaznickel, as well as cobalt and coal via Shubarkol Premium. It has previously held controlling stakes in London-listed gold miner Petropavlovsk and Cen…
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US stock indices close lowerUS stock indices closed lower: the S&P 500 was down 0.38%, and the Nasdaq 100 lost 0.67%. Tesla shares fell by more than 4% following the launch of new models, while Dell shares rose by 3.5% on strong AI demand. Analysts believe that the fluctuations reflect capital rotation between technology segments. Follow the link for more details. Investors reassess expectations after Oracle reportInvestors reacted to disappointing results from Oracle, which triggered a correction in the S&P 500. Elevated stock valuations and uncertainty could affect further market dynamics, especially during the shutdown. Market participants are closely wa…
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Historically, the Dogecoin price has recorded some of the most legendary rallies in the crypto space. Over the last couple of bull markets, the meme coin seems to have started a trend of outperforming its previous cycle’s performance, notching way more gains than anyone expected. Following this trend, the Dogecoin price is once again approaching a point where it could initiate another rally, and this time around, a crypto analyst predicts that it will reach double-digit values. The Anatomy Of The Historical Breakout Crypto analyst Dima Potts has predicted a possible 37x rally for the Dogecoin price this bull cycle. This forecast is gleaned from the previous cycle perform…
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Teck Resources (TSX: TECK.A, TECK.B)(NYSE: TECK) has lowered its copper production guidance for 2025 after persistent setbacks at its Quebrada Blanca (QB) mine in Chile and Highland Valley Copper (HVC) operation in Canada. The company, which in September agreed to a $53-billion merger with Anglo American (LON: AAL), stressed that the deal’s strategic rationale remains intact. Teck reported QB copper output of 39,600 tonnes and sales of 43,900 tonnes in the third quarter. Annual production guidance for 2025 has been cut to between 170,000 and 190,000 tonnes, down from 210,000–230,000 tonnes, after extended downtime to raise the tailings dam crest. Forecast out…
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At long last, gold has done it: it crossed the $4,000 per oz. threshold today, something no one had ever seen before. While intraday trading pared some gains, the climb to that round number signals deeper tectonic shifts in how investors are viewing risk, monetary policy, and macro stability. In this post, we dive into gold’s enduring role, the reasons behind its meteoric ~51% advance in 2025, and what this may hint at going forward. The Classic Role of Gold Gold has always been more than a precious metal. Over centuries, it’s occupied a place in financial portfolios as a hedge, a reserve asset, and a refuge when faith in paper currencies wobbles. In modern times, its ke…
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At long last, gold has done it: it crossed the $4,000 per oz. threshold today, something no one had ever seen before. While intraday trading pared some gains, the climb to that round number signals deeper tectonic shifts in how investors are viewing risk, monetary policy, and macro stability. In this post, we dive into gold’s enduring role, the reasons behind its meteoric ~51% advance in 2025, and what this may hint at going forward. The Classic Role of Gold Gold has always been more than a precious metal. Over centuries, it’s occupied a place in financial portfolios as a hedge, a reserve asset, and a refuge when faith in paper currencies wobbles. In modern times, its ke…
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Crypto expert BarriC has shared a bold view about the future of the XRP price. He believes that it could rise to $1,000 or even higher if it reaches full global use by banks and financial institutions. BarriC says the world has never seen what happens when a digital asset is used on a massive scale by traditional finance. According to him, this level of use could set XRP apart from all other cryptocurrencies. XRP Price Poised For Historic Gains Amid Global Bank Adoption BarriC predicts that the XRP price has the potential to reach record-breaking levels once banks and financial firms worldwide begin to adopt the cryptocurrency on a daily basis. If banks move money throug…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations on the British Pound The price test of 1.3401 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The release of the Bank of England meeting minutes supported the pound. The language of the press release was extremely cautious: no hints of a reassessment of the current monetary policy and not a single mention of upcoming interest rate cuts. Such a neutral tone, combined with detailed statistics on inflation expectations, created a sense of stability, which was immediately reflected in the currency markets. Ahead, a fairl…
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Bitcoin’s next leg higher sits inside a broader “everything, everywhere, all at once” bull market that echoes the 1950s more than the 1990s—and the underlying engine is fiat debasement that will continue to funnel monetary premiums into neutral reserve assets such as Bitcoin and gold. That is the core of veteran macro analyst and investor Mel Mattison’s thesis in a wide-ranging interview on Milk Road Macro published Monday, October 7. Mattison, a former fintech executive with 25+ years in finance, argues that investors are misreading the cycle by citing relationships from the 1970s and 1980s instead of the earlier regimes that rhyme more closely with today. “I actually t…
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Demand for the euro continues to fall against the backdrop of the political crisis in France and the sharp drop in Germany's industrial production. In my view, the market is not currently factoring in all the available elements, but let's assume it is pricing them in one by one. This week, most of the news has come from the Eurozone, but in the second half of the week, the situation will likely shift in the opposite direction. Let me remind you that ECB President Christine Lagarde has already spoken three times this week. In some of her speeches, she avoided the subject of monetary policy, while in others she said she was satisfied with the current level of inflation, tho…
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Palladium surged nearly 10% on Wednesday to a two-year high amid a relentless rally in precious metals that propelled both gold and silver prices to records. The metal, used primarily in catalytic converters in car exhaust systems, traded as high as $1,482.65 per ounce, the highest since May 2023. Over the past month, palladium has risen by more than 20%, riding the momentum of investment demand for safe-haven metals, in particular during a period of heightened political and economic uncertainty. In comparison, gold has gained 11% during that period, while silver rose by nearly 17%. Year to date, palladium is up by nearly 49%, almost mirroring the performance …
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Bitcoin price corrected gains and traded below the $125,000 pivot level. BTC is now consolidating near $122,200 and might struggle to rally above $125,000s. Bitcoin started a downside correction below the $124,000 level. The price is trading below $123,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $122,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $122,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price extended gains above the $125,000 zone. BTC climbed above the $125,250 and $125,500 resistance levels before the bears appeared. A new …
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[USDX] – [Thursday, October 09, 2025] Although both EMAs are still in a Golden Cross, but with the appearance of a Bearish Divergence along with the RSI in the Neutral-Bearish area indicates potential weakness in #USDX today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 99.29 2. Resistance. 1 : 99.05 3. Pivot : 98.80 4. Support. 1 : 98.56 5. Support. 2 : 98.31 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If #USDX breaks down and closes below 98.56, it has the potential to continue its decline toward 98.31. Momentum Extension Bias: If 98.31 is breached and closes below, the 98.07 level will likely be tested. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside bias is held if #USDX rem…
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Dogecoin’s spot pair is grinding higher inside a well-defined structure while its BTC cross sits at an inflection between monthly moving averages—an alignment three widely followed traders say still favors upside, provided trend supports hold. Is It Too Late To Buy Dogecoin? IncomeSharks’ daily chart frames the current advance as a rising channel that has been in place since early summer. Price is riding a sequence of higher lows off the June base and is now near $0.26, mid-channel, with the lower trendline rising through roughly $0.24 and the upper boundary capping rallies in the $0.33 area. The analyst’s “squiggle” path predicted a shallow pullback to the midline fol…
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Macroeconomic Report Review: Very few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Friday, as has been the case throughout the entire current week. Essentially, the only notable economic data so far was Germany's industrial production, which once again showed extremely weak — in fact, negative — results. That's all we've really seen. Today, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will be released in the United States. It's not a particularly important indicator, and this week's market behavior has shown that traders don't care about the reasons they're buying the U.S. dollar — the same dollar that was aggressively sold off over the past eight months. Fundamen…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on the Euro The test of 1.1563 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. Predictably, in the absence of key economic data from the eurozone, the euro showed a modest rise in the first half of the day. This pause in the series of negative factors that had been weighing on the euro in recent days led to a slight easing of tensions in financial markets. Overall economic instability and ongoing political problems in France continue to exert significant negative pressure on the single currency. Most experts agree that for the euro t…
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On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded from the resistance level of 1.1645 – 1.1666, reversed in favor of the US dollar, and continued the downward move that has been observed in recent weeks. Consolidation below the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.1594 allows us to expect further decline toward the next corrective level at 76.4% – 1.1517. A consolidation above 1.1594 would favor the euro and open the way for growth toward the 1.1645 – 1.1656 level. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the peak of the previous wave, while the new downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, the trend currently remains …
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What to Know: Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle is officially over Fed rate cuts and global liquidity expansion create unprecedented bullish conditions Bitcoin Hyper presale surges past $22.9M as investors position for new market paradigm Arthur Hayes, the crypto billionaire who was pardoned by President Trump and somehow always manages to be both controversial and correct, just dropped a manifesto declaring Bitcoin’s sacred four-year cycle officially deceased. RIP to the most reliable pattern in crypto, apparently. In his latest Substack post, dramatically titled Long Live the King, the former BitMEX boss argues that everything we thought w…
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Litecoin (LTC) ripped as much as 11% to $129–$131, outpacing Bitcoin and Ethereum during a market pullback as fresh spot ETF momentum stoked bids. Trading volume exploded 143% to $1.66B, while futures open interest jumped 25% to $1.21B, signaling new leverage and renewed directional conviction. The catalyst is linked to the growing confidence that a U.S.-listed spot Litecoin ETF could be near the finish line. Canary Capital’s updated S-1 now includes ticker LTCC and a 0.95% fee, the kind of last-mile filing detail ETF watchers say typically appears “before go-time.” With Grayscale and CoinShares also in the hunt, analysts argue LTC’s commodity-like profile and long pro…
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