Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6910 tópicos neste fórum
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WTI prices have been erratic, even without a clear direction in the past few weeks. WTI Oil has been moving sideways, gradually decreasing, since early July. Forming an initial range from $65 to $70, then taking steps towards lower levels, August led another consolidation between $62 to $66. With Russia announcing it is close to reduce its oil output due to the heavy (and successful) drone attacks, prices have began an impulsive move higher. Moving towards the final months of the year, headlines still revolve around higher OPEC+ output but also a continuing Ukraine-Russia war (Trump said a few lines on this earlier), which notably shook up yearly flows throughout Ukrai…
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Oil prices surged yesterday ending the day with a 5.4% gain on heightened geopolitical risk from the Middle East. A decision by the US to lighten embassy staff in Iraq and move personnel in the Middle East ahead of Nuclear talks with Iran raised eyebrows. close Source: TradingView (click to enlarge) …
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Most Read: Oil prices went up on Wednesday after the American Petroleum Institute reported a drop in U.S. crude stockpiles. Investors are also watching for updates on efforts to end the Ukraine war, with sanctions on Russian oil still in effect. US Crude Stockpiles Drop The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported that U.S. crude stocks fell by 2.4 million barrels last week, more than the expected 1.2 million-barrel drop, showing stronger demand. Official data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later today. Other Factors Impacting Oil Prices Oil prices have been holding out hope of a Russia-Ukraine peace deal. On Tuesday, Trump…
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Most Read: S&P 500, Dow Jones Q3 Outlook: Tariffs, Tech, and Small Cap Concerns Oil prices surged yesterday after gapping down over the weekend. The gap down came about as the OPEC+ group, which includes OPEC and its allies, agreed to increase oil production by 548,000 barrels per day in August. This is a bigger rise compared to the 411,000 barrels per day added in each of the last three months. The surprise for many is the rise in Oil since Sunday night's market opened, and from my point of view there are two reasons for this which we will break down now. close …
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Most Read: Markets Today: Japan PM Resigns, Gold Above $3600/oz, China Exports Miss Forecasts, FTSE 100 Holds at Support Oil prices have risen as much as 1.8% at the start of the week as Oil pares last week's losses. The rally this morning has come as a surprise to some quarters after eight OPEC + members agreed to lift output by 137,000 bpd from October. However, the move by OPEC + was seen as more modest than expected and thus saw market participants shrug off the potential consequences. On top of that, markets are focused on the possibility of more sanctions on Russian crude.after Russia hit Ukraine with its biggest air attack since the start of the war. For now, conce…
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Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook - S&P 500, Nasdaq & Dow Jones on a Tear as Fed Rate Cut Looms Oil prices have risen as much as 1.17% at the start of the week following claims by Ukrainian forces that their recent drone attacks have hit two major Russian oil centers in the Baltic Sea. According to reports, these strikes temporarily halted crude oil shipments at Primorsk, Russia's biggest oil port, late last week. There are also claims that three pumping stations that send oil to another port, Ust-Luga, were also attacked. Russia Sanction Calls Grow Add to this growing calls for harsher sanctions on countries and entities which are still purchasing Russian Oil.…
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Most Read: Gold (XAU/USD) Eyes Weekly Close Above $3400/oz on Renewed Haven Demand and DXY Weakness Oil prices have rallied just over 1% to start the week thanks in part to rising geopolitical risks with Russia-Ukraine tensions stoking supply concerns. Russia-Ukraine Developments Ukraine has recently used drones to attack and shut down many of Russia's oil processing plants. These attacks have stopped Russia from processing over a million barrels of oil each day, which is a significant part of their total supply (about 17%). Ukraine's President, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, has said they plan to launch more of these attacks deep inside Russia. This is happening three and a hal…
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Most Read: Markets Today: Trump's FED Battle Intensifies, French Stocks Slide on Political Risk, DAX Finds Support at 50-Day MA Oil prices dropped by over 1% after they had risen by almost 2% on Monday to start the week on the front foot. Traders are watching the war in Ukraine and the possibility of interruptions to Russia's oil supply. Brent crude oil fell by $1.08, or 1.57%, to $67.72 per barrel. It had reached its highest price since early August just a day earlier. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil also dropped, losing $1.13, or about 1.74%, to $63.67. The rally yesterday was largely driven by Russian supply fears as Ukraine struck Russian energy infrastruc…
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Most Read: July PMI Week, NZ Inflation and ECB's Rate Decision – Markets Weekly Outlook Oil prices continue to trade in a tight range between the 100 and 200-day MAs. Similar to Gold last week Oil prices appear to be in need of a catalyst that could provide some direction. close Source: TradingView (click to enlarge) …
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Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook – US Services PMI, Bank of England rate decision and Canadian/NZ Employment Oil prices continued their slide from the back end of last week as the rumors about an OPEC + output hike were confirmed on the weekend. WTI Oil hit a daily low around the 65.44 handle before bouncing to trade at 66.68 at the time of writing. Is the OPEC + Production Hike a Strategy Play? OPEC + have for the best part of the last 4 years since the Covid pandemic stuck to the line of ‘price stability’. However since the election of US President Donald Trump who pledged lower Oil prices and urged American companies to drill even more, they appear to have pivoted …
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Oil prices continued to edge lower this morning following a triangle breakout which could lead to a potential $12 move to the downside. IEA Oil Market Report - August 2025 The International Energy Agency (IEA) announced on Wednesday that it expects oil supply to grow more this year but has reduced its forecast for demand because of weak fuel usage in major economies. This comes a day after OPEC + released their monthly report yesterday. The OPEC + report saw the group raise its global oil demand forecast in a move that contradicts the IEA forecast today. Thesis is not a surprise as we have seen this diverging outlooks between the two organizations over the last few yea…
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The Elon Musk-owned X social media platform has gone public with claims that a bribery network tried to pay its staff to bring back suspended crypto accounts. According to the company, middlemen acted on behalf of banned users, offering money to insiders in hopes of overturning account suspensions tied to scams and market abuse. Bribery Network And Methods Based on the company posts and follow-up reporting, the scheme did not involve direct contact between banned users and staff. Instead, intermediaries were paid to make offers and set up meetings with employees. Reports have disclosed that the operation targeted accounts tied to crypto fraud and coordinated manipulati…
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The growing confidence that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates two more times this year has been the main driver behind the notable seven-week rally of the traditionally non-yielding yellow metal. Additional support stems from concerns that the prolonged U.S. government shutdown may negatively impact economic data, strengthening demand for safe-haven assets amid ongoing trade and geopolitical tensions. Sanae Takaichi's victory in Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leadership elections has raised the likelihood that the Bank of Japan will postpone its next interest rate hike. Although this triggered a sell-off in the Japanese yen and supported the …
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Today, Thursday, gold continues to consolidate, although it holds above the key level of $4000 thanks to mixed fundamental data. The agreement reached between Israel and Hamas on launching the first stage of a peace plan reduces geopolitical tensions and prompts investors to lock in profits on the safe-haven asset — the precious metal, which still appears overbought. At the same time, the U.S. dollar is strengthening its weekly gains, reaching new highs since early August, which further weakens the momentum of this precious metal. Nevertheless, dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve still provide some support to vulnerable gold, helping to limit its decline. In addi…
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Gold is showing moderate gains during the day, pausing near record highs reached earlier on Tuesday, though prices remain below the round level of 3700. Bulls have taken a breather after a sharp surge to new historic highs, preparing for potential changes in central bank policies. However, downward potential remains limited due to fundamentally supportive factors for the yellow metal. Strengthening confidence that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates this week is pushing the U.S. dollar close to yearly lows, which in turn boosts demand for this non-yielding precious metal. In addition, rising geopolitical risks amid the intensifying Russia–Ukraine conflict are dr…
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Today, gold prices are correcting from the record high reached on Tuesday, amid a moderate recovery in the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar has paused its decline as markets reposition ahead of the key FOMC rate decision, which has put slight pressure on the precious metal. As a result, gold ended its three-day winning streak after setting a new all-time high. Nevertheless, downward potential remains limited. Investors are convinced that the Federal Reserve will resume its rate-cutting cycle, with two cuts expected before the end of this year. This outlook caps further U.S. dollar strength and supports gold, keeping it near historical highs. In addition, geopolitical risks st…
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Gold prices are declining for the second consecutive day from record highs after volatility triggered by the Fed's actions. For the second day in a row, gold prices are retreating from record highs after volatility sparked by the Fed's moves. The metal broke below $3658 and the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, shifting momentum to the downside. This opens the way toward the psychological level of $3600, with stronger support seen in the $3565–3578 level, where the 100-SMA on the 4-hour chart is located. The $3658 level, together with the 50-period SMA, now acts as resistance, capping any rebound attempts from current levels. A breakout above this…
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Despite positive U.S. data and pressure on the precious metal from the dollar, gold continues to attract buyers. From a technical perspective, however, Tuesday's failure near the round level of 3800 can be seen as the first sign of possible exhaustion of the bullish trend, given the persistent overbought condition of the daily RSI (Relative Strength Index). Still, last week's breakout above 3700 was viewed as a key trigger for the bulls, confirming the likelihood of buying on pullbacks near that level. That said, a decisive break below 3700 would trigger technical selling, pushing the yellow metal toward intermediate support at 3645 on the way to the 3615–3600 level. On t…
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Today, gold is attracting buyers again, while the dollar has shown weakness during the day despite positive PMI data.On Tuesday, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that a government shutdown could inflict more significant damage on the economy than previously thought, weighing on GDP, economic growth, and the labor market. However, traders remain optimistic, expecting the effects of a partial shutdown to be limited. This optimism fueled new record highs on Wall Street and continues to support positive sentiment in the stock markets. This acts as an additional factor reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, although a large-scale corrective decline has not…
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Gold is once again attracting buyers, despite the release of positive U.S. economic data, against the backdrop of escalating geopolitical risks. Earlier this week, comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell pushed the U.S. dollar to a two-week high, putting pressure on gold prices. Powell sought to temper expectations of significant rate cuts, noting that overly sharp easing could leave the fight against inflation unfinished and require policy adjustments. Nevertheless, traders still expect the Fed to cut rates in October and December, following this month's 25 basis point reduction prompted by labor market concerns. This "dovish" outlook limits further dollar gain…
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On Thursday, gold was trying to maintain its optimism. On Wednesday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced that the Producer Price Index (PPI) in the US annually fell to 2.6% in August compared to 3.3% a month earlier. Other indicators showed that the core PPI—excluding food and energy—rose 2.8% year-on-year, down from 3.7% in July. The absence of inflationary pressure from producers, despite the imposed import tariffs, signals weakening domestic demand amid instability in the labor market. Even though the released Consumer Price Index exceeded forecasts, this dynamic supports market expectations of an upcoming interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at next…
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Stellar (XLM) has made its fourth attempt since June to break the $0.45 resistance, though it now trades at $0.36 after repeated rejections. Analysts note that such repeated tests often signal “resistance fatigue,” suggesting sellers may be running out of steam. This attempt comes at a time when Stellar’s fundamentals are strengthening. The much-anticipated Protocol 23 upgrade and growing adoption of real-world assets (RWA), now valued at more than $460 million, are providing a strong narrative for a potential breakout. Why $0.45 Could Define Stellar’s Next Move Despite optimism around Stellar (XLM), it remains one of the biggest losers among the top 20 cryptocurrencie…
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Stellar Lumens hit a critical support level this week at $0.20, putting the token in a precarious spot. At that price, XLM sits 30% below its peak in May and 60% under its 2024 high. Based on reports, bears have been piling on, pushing the funding rate into negative territory since early June. If that support gives way, traders warn XLM could slide toward $0.15, a drop of about 35%. Network Activity Up According to Artemis, operations on the Stellar network surged to 197 million in June. Stablecoin supply also reached a record $667 million. Over the past five months, the total value locked in real‑world asset tokenization grew to $487 million, helped by new offerings …
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Crypto analyst XForce has again alluded to the 5-Wave count to show when the XRP Price is likely to hit a new all-time high (ATH) above $5. As part of his analysis, the analyst also declared that there is no reason to be bearish on the altcoin at the moment. XRP To Rally Above $5 Based On 5-Wave Count In an X post, XForce shared an accompanying chart that showed that XRP could rally above $5 on the Wave 3 impulsive move to the upside. The altcoin could even rally to double digits and touch $13 on this move. The chart also showed that XRP will reach this target by year-end or early next year. Based on the 5-Wave count, XRP will then witness a price correction to arou…
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The XRP price action is unfolding in line with a textbook Elliott ABC Wave pattern, signaling the potential for its next upward move. According to crypto analyst Dark Defender, the chart structure remains intact and could set the stage for a major rally if the current corrective phase completes as projected. ABC Wave Pattern To Drive XRP To New Highs In Dark Defender’s latest XRP price analysis, the crypto expert outlined a clear Elliott Wave ABC structure on a 4-hour chart, suggesting a potential price surge to new highs if the formation completes. The setup began forming in July 2025 after XRP reached $3.66, marking the starting point for the corrective pattern on the…
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