Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12279 tópicos neste fórum
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How do retirement account withdrawals affect my Social Security taxes? Quick take: This guide explains how retirement withdrawals affect Social Security taxes via provisional income thresholds, timing, and account type—plus tactics to legally reduce the tax bite. Key takeaways Provisional income determines if up to 50%–85% of benefits become taxable. Traditional IRA/401(k) withdrawals raise AGI and can trigger taxation of benefits. Roth IRA withdrawals (qualified) are not included in AGI and don’t raise provisional income. Timing matters: spreading withdrawals and coordinating with RMDs can lower taxes. Plan ahead with conversions, QCDs, and drawdown sequencing to manag…
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How does gold compare to silver, platinum, and Bitcoin as a store of wealth? Quick take: In the gold vs silver vs platinum vs bitcoin debate, the right store of wealth balances stability, volatility, and long-term utility. This guide compares core traits, correlations, and use cases so you can choose what fits your portfolio. Key takeaways Gold: historically low correlation and durable hedge; highly liquid store of wealth. Silver & Platinum: add growth via industrial demand but carry higher price swings. Bitcoin: high upside and portability with high volatility; adoption trends matter. Diversification wins: mixing assets can smooth risk across market cycles. In the…
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For many pre-retirees and retirees, one of the most common questions about owning physical gold is how simple it is to sell when the time comes. The reality is that physical gold is one of the most liquid assets in the world, especially when held through a well structured Gold IRA with clear processes for selling and transferring funds. When the goal is to protect retirement savings while still maintaining flexibility, physical precious metals offer the kind of dependable exit strategies that paper assets often fail to match. Why Pre-Retirees and Retirees Need Reliable Liquidity in Their Retirement Savings As retirement approaches, many investors become more aware of risk…
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The Ethereum price has not been able to maintain its red-hot start to the year’s second quarter, with the altcoin’s value still pretty much around where it was at the start of June. This sluggish performance comes despite the consistent capital inflows witnessed by the US-based spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the past four weeks. ETH ETFs Snap 19-Day Positive Inflow Streak However, this positive record came to an end on Friday, June 13th, with the spot ETH ETFs registering their first net outflow in the past 20 days. According to the latest market data, the crypto-linked financial products posted a total daily net outflow of $2.14 million to close the week.…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 24 Connecting market movements to specific headlines is often a daunting task—a reality that keeps the "buy the rumor, sell the news" adage relevant. The most recent casualty of this phenomenon was the Nvidia earnings report. Despite the AI giant delivering quarterly results that blew past even the loftiest expectations, the reaction heavily faked out investors: an initial surge was quickly erased, leading to a 180-degree turn lower on Thursday that dragged broader sentiment down with it. As the dust settles, markets seem to be really focusing on one thing: The FOMC path. To maintain these lofty valuati…
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Gold has captivated civilizations for thousands of years. It has shaped economies, inspired exploration, and served as a trusted store of wealth. Its enduring value is rooted in scarcity, difficulty of extraction, and universal demand. These same qualities that made gold essential in ancient trade continue to make physical gold a powerful inflation hedge and diversification tool for modern retirement savers, particularly through vehicles like a self-directed Gold IRA.Generations of prospectors have crossed continents searching for gold, from the American West to Australia and Canada. While tools and technology have evolved, the natural processes that create gold have not.…
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Look up the gold price on three different websites and you’ll likely see slightly different figures. Unlike stocks with a single exchange price, gold trades continuously across global markets through a network of banks, exchanges, and data providers. Each site is quoting the spot price, i.e. the current market value of gold for immediate delivery, though small variations appear because different platforms pull data from different sources. This article explains how gold spot price actually works, who sets it, and why understanding these mechanisms helps investors make smarter decisions. Watch this educational video for additional context on the key market forces that driv…
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Look up the gold price on three different websites and you’ll likely see slightly different figures. Unlike stocks with a single exchange price, gold trades continuously across global markets through a network of banks, exchanges, and data providers. Each site is quoting the spot price, i.e. the current market value of gold for immediate delivery, though small variations appear because different platforms pull data from different sources. This article explains how gold spot price actually works, who sets it, and why understanding these mechanisms helps investors make smarter decisions. Watch this educational video for additional context on the key market forces that driv…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For thousands of years, gold has been a treasured asset. Gold is not only a time-honored symbol of wealth, it is a reliable store of value and wealth building tool. Today, this ancient currency’s role in modern portfolios is becoming more important than ever. As you know, global uncertainty and shifting economic tides have put gold back in the spotlight—as the precious metal has surged 40% higher since the start of the year setting new record highs. A new study by the D. E. Shaw group, Worth Its Weight? Assessing Gold’s Portfolio Utility offers a refreshingly honest look at gold’s strengths, and the key reasons why it is relevant today, even as global markets evolve. H…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For thousands of years, gold has been a treasured asset. Gold is not only a time-honored symbol of wealth, it is a reliable store of value and wealth building tool. Today, this ancient currency’s role in modern portfolios is becoming more important than ever. As you know, global uncertainty and shifting economic tides have put gold back in the spotlight—as the precious metal has surged 40% higher since the start of the year setting new record highs. A new study by the D. E. Shaw group, Worth Its Weight? Assessing Gold’s Portfolio Utility offers a refreshingly honest look at gold’s strengths, and the key reasons why it is relevant today, even as global markets evolve. H…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Rate cuts by year-end Fed: 70 bps (91% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting; the rest for a 50 bps cut) ECB: 8 bps (99% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) BoE: 12 bps (98% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) BoC: 42 bps (89% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) RBA: 30 bps (81% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)RBNZ: 38 bps (91% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) SNB: 7 bps (91% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) Rate hikes by year-end BoJ: 12 bps (97% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)The biggest changes in interest rates expectations happened o…
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Where is GBPUSD Headed by The Savvy Trader How High Can a Surging GBPUSD Go? This week’s price action in the dollar has been choppy, lacking a clear one-way trend, but the broader tone has been decidedly negative. We opened the week near the highs and are closing near the lows, not an encouraging sign for dollar bulls. Watch GbpUsd A key currency to watch in this context is GbpUsd, which continues to test the upside and a key level around 1.3550. Sellers have consistently stepped in just below it, indicating it remains a psychological and technical cap for now. The market seems to be preemptively pricing in a potential pause but as discussed previously, a brea…
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In a video published earlier this week titled “SHIBA INU — HOW HIGH WILL PRICE BE IN 2025?!! MY HONEST THOUGHTS!,” the crypto analyst behind the LuckSide Crypto channel argued that Shiba Inu’s upside for the remainder of 2025 depends almost entirely on whether retail investors finally return to crypto in size. “Retail has not shown up yet,” he said, adding that the share of people in crypto “remains very much unchanged from last market cycle,” which he put at “5 to 6% of the world.” In his view, without a fresh retail wave, Shiba Inu (SHIB) can rise but is unlikely to break its longer-term range; with a retail surge, he believes the token could “drop a zero” and set a ne…
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XRP traders are once again arguing about upside targets after popular chartist Charting Guy reposted a bullish long-term setup and doubled down on his call that XRP can still reach $8 this cycle. “XRP still going to $8, idc,” he wrote on X in the early hours of Nov. 25, alongside a weekly XRP/USD chart from Bitstamp. XRP Price Still Has Room To Run At the time of the screenshot, XRP was trading around $2.25, up roughly 9.8% on the week, with the chart plotting an Elliott Wave structure from early 2023 into a projected peak in 2026. The analysis is built on a dense Fibonacci framework spanning from about $0.25 to a 1.272 extension at $8.29661, which anchors his upside tar…
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Inflation Risk in Retirement: How Millionaires Protect Their Portfolios Executive Summary Rising prices quietly chip away at what your money can buy. Over decades, that adds up fast. To manage inflation risk in retirement, pair smart asset allocation with steady spending rules and tax-aware withdrawals. This guide uses plain English, simple math, and a clear, step-by-step plan you can apply now to manage inflation risk in retirement. What Is Inflation Risk in Retirement? Inflation risk is the chance that higher prices reduce the real value of your savings and income. Your account balance might look steady, yet its buying power can slip. That matters even more once payche…
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How Interest Rates Shape Global Markets Interest Rates Today Interest rates are one of the most powerful forces in global financial markets. They influence everything from the cost of borrowing to currency values and investment decisions. Whether you trade forex, stocks, or bonds, understanding how interest rates drive market behavior can give you a major edge. With the next FOMC decision due to be announced on October 29, expectations are for another 25bps rate cut followed by a similar reduction in December. Why interest rates matter: The Cost of Borrowing Interest rates directly affect the cost of financing trades. When traders use leverage or margin to increase the…
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The US government shutdown, which began at midnight on October 6, shows no sign of ending soon — and many now expect it could at least become the second-longest in US history. Despite six Democratic attempts to pass a funding bill, the Senate has repeatedly rejected proposals to reopen the government. …
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Many Americans reach a point in their retirement planning when they realize their portfolio relies heavily on stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. Adding physical gold can strengthen long term financial stability, but understanding how gold is taxed when sold is essential. This article explains how taxes apply to personal gold holdings and how a self directed Gold IRA can offer meaningful tax advantages for retirees who want to protect their wealth with physical precious metals. Understanding How Physical Gold Is Taxed in the U.S. The IRS classifies physical gold and other precious metals as collectibles. When you sell personally owned gold for a profit, the gain is subject t…
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For the 34th day in a row, the "shutdown" in America continues, which was "supposed to be resolved in 2 weeks." Democrats and Republicans continue to hold formal votes in the Senate, where no one seems willing to concede. Therefore, each new meeting may take place in a friendly atmosphere over coffee and pastries, with the outcome known in advance. Donald Trump does not seem concerned about the pause in government and state operations, and the lack of significant economic reports appears to work in his favor. At least for the dollar, which, despite the "shutdown," saw demand increase throughout October. For President Trump, the "shutdown" might only be advantageous if the…
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As I mentioned in the previous review, the majority of Americans blame the Republicans and Donald Trump personally for the "shutdown." Many people in the US are currently opposing Trump and his policies. It suffices to recall the "No Kings" rallies, occurring roughly every two months, which clearly hint that someone fancies themselves a king. Therefore, it comes as no surprise to me that about 46% of Americans blame Trump for the "shutdown," while only 37% blame the Democrats. Consequently, the Democrats' position in negotiations is more advantageous than the Republicans'. The absolute majority of respondents have also reported being very concerned about the "shutdown." B…
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As part of the campaign to force Democrats into concessions, Donald Trump has already attempted to dismiss 4,000 federal employees. The US President continues to blame Democrats for the halt in government operations, although any person with a basic understanding of the issue can see that the problem does not lie with the Democrats. Fortunately, the attempt at mass dismissal failed. Federal Judge Susan Illston blocked Trump's attempt to fire the 4,000 employees, siding with the unions that brought a lawsuit against the president's actions. Judge Illston also indicated that any future attempts by the president to fire anyone without just cause would have the same outcome. …
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JPMorgan has put a numerical marker under this Bitcoin cycle, telling clients that the market’s “pain threshold” now sits near $94,000 — a level the bank frames as both a mining-economics floor and an answer to the question of how low spot can realistically trade before fundamentals start to bite. According to reporting by The Block, the analyst team led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou argues that “Bitcoin’s downside from current levels appears to be ‘very limited,’” because they “see its support price at around $94,000.” How Low Can Bitcoin Go? The core of the call is JPMorgan’s updated estimate of Bitcoin’s production cost. In their latest note, cited by The Block, the anal…
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After more than five weeks of unrelenting downside pressure, Cardano (ADA) finds itself approaching a potentially decisive juncture. In a new analysis published June 18, crypto analyst Quantum Ascend (@quantum_ascend) offered a fresh take on ADA’s price structure, warning that the final leg of a downward five-wave Elliott pattern may now be unfolding—with a critical resolution point drawing near. How Low Can Cardano Crash? “We dropped down into that second wave… and had it highlighted, it bounced from there. So we did call that correctly,” the analyst began, referencing earlier predictions. But despite the brief bounce, he now sees a more extended impulse playing out. “I…
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Most Americans never stop to think about how many pennies remain in circulation, yet the answer is staggering. Billions of pennies continuously move through the economy, quietly reminding us how far the dollar has drifted from its former purchasing power. For pre-retirees and retirees, this reality provides an important lesson about inflation, currency erosion, and the need to protect long-term retirement savings with assets that hold intrinsic value, such as physical gold and other precious metals. The Surprising Volume of Pennies in Circulation and What It Reveals About Inflation There are tens of billions of pennies circulating in the United States at any given moment,…
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High Expectations How Markets Really React to News High Expectations Navigating financial markets around major news events can feel unpredictable even for experienced traders. Many hope for a simple formula: if this news happens, the market will do that. Unfortunately, trading doesn’t work that way. While news releases often spark quick volatility, the follow-through is rarely straightforward. In this article, we break down how markets react to news, what “consensus expectations” really mean, and why price action can often defy logic. Why You Can’t Trade Every News Event the Same Way There is no guaranteed strategy for “playing” news events. While economic data, centra…
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