Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6910 tópicos neste fórum
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Good afternoon, traders! On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair reversed in favor of the euro and consolidated above the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1695. Initially, traders were focused on selling and even achieved consolidation below 1.1695. However, the news flow dramatically shifted market sentiment. Thus, the upward movement may continue today toward the next 100% Fibonacci level at 1.1789. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave broke above the previous wave's peak, while the most recent downward wave did not break the previous low. Thus, the trend remains bullish—though not particularly strong or confident. The lates…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1773 coincided with the MACD indicator moving far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. Yesterday, the euro continued its rise, with weak U.S. data helping it break through to new monthly highs. This morning, business confidence indicators in the eurozone and Germany from the ZEW research center, the German current conditions index, and fresh eurozone industrial production figures will be released. These will serve as key markers of the region's economic health. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index will provide valuable information for assessing gr…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of 146.88 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero mark, confirming it as the correct entry point for selling the dollar, and this resulted in a drop of over 40 pips in the pair. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will take a more dovish approach have been the main factor pressuring the dollar and supporting the Japanese yen. Most likely, in the first half of today, the dollar will continue to struggle to gain ground. This situation is due to several factors. First, US economic data lately has been clearly negative, offering a sobering picture of the US economy. Second, even …
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This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “Dow Jones (DJIA) Technical: Poised for a potential bullish breakout as US CPI looms”, published last Thursday, 11 September 2025. The price actions of the US Wall Street 30 CFD Index (a proxy of the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures) have staged the expected bullish breakout above the minor “Ascending Triangle” range resistance at 45,780 and rallied by 1.3% to hit a fresh all-time intraday high of 46,140 on last Friday, 12 September 2025, during the early Asian session. Thereafter, the US Wall Street 30 CFD Index’s minor/short-term bullish momentum fizzled out and staged a corrective pull-b…
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The European Central Bank (ECB) officials have taken a wait-and-see approach and are eagerly anticipating the next release of their economic forecasts. It is quite possible that these new forecasts will help determine whether interest rates are sufficiently low to ensure a stable 2% inflation rate. Policymakers speaking on the sidelines of the European financial leaders' meeting in Copenhagen last week were confident that a deposit rate of 2% is currently appropriate to achieve this goal. However, opinions were divided over the severity of risks affecting the outlook for further inflation growth. President Christine Lagarde stated that the ECB has achieved its goal of cu…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued its decline on Friday after consolidating below the 1.3587–1.3620 zone and ended the day with a close below the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482. This suggests that the pound's decline may continue toward the next support zone of 1.3416–1.3425. A consolidation above the 1.3482 level would work in favor of the British pound and could lead to some growth toward the 100.0% corrective level at 1.3587. The wave pattern has shifted to a "bearish" one. This happened suddenly and unexpectedly. The last upward wave broke the previous high, but the following downward wave easily broke the last low. The information backdrop was mostl…
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On Friday, the EUR/USD pair continued its decline after bouncing off the 1.1789–1.1802 zone. The decline in the euro may continue toward the 76.4% corrective level at 1.1695, but I believe that the euro's fall is a coincidence. I'll explain why below. A rebound from the 1.1695 level will work in favor of the euro and the restoration of the "bullish" trend. A consolidation above the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802 will increase the probability of continued growth toward 1.1896. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave broke the peak of the previous one, and the last downward wave did not break the previous low. Thu…
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Gold rose by nearly 1% to set another all-time high on Monday, as persistent political uncertainty and expectations of more US interest rate cuts continue to fuel demand for the metal. Spot gold surged to a record of $3,728.36 per ounce during the early hours of trading. By 10:30 a.m. ET, it traded at $3,718.77 an ounce for an intraday gain of 0.9%. Meanwhile, US gold futures were 1.3% higher at $3,755.20 per ounce in New York. With Monday’s move, gold has now risen by more than 41% in 2025. Central bank purchases and strong investment demand remain the key drivers of this rally, which could be traced back as far as 2022 when the Russia-Ukraine war broke out. …
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Solana (SOL) investors are witnessing rising volatility as a surge in whale activity signals deadly selling pressure in the market. Despite a strong rally above $250 earlier in September, market sentiment appears to be shifting, with whale deposits into centralized exchanges hinting at potential headwinds ahead. Most recently, a staggering 312,233 SOL tokens were deposited into Coinbase, fueling concerns that whales may be positioning for significant profit-taking. Solana Whale Deposits Signal Rising Selling Pressure Blockchain tracker Whale Alert reported one of the largest Solana transfers in recent weeks, with 312,233 SOL valued at approximately $75.1 million, moved …
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Asia Market Wrap - China, Hong Kong Shares Slide Most Read: Nikkei 225: Bullish reversal above 45,000, no negative impact from BoJ’s ETF unwind Following a technology-fueled surge on Wall Street, Asian stocks were trading near a record high, although shares in Hong Kong and mainland China declined. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index pulled back from its earlier highs to trade mostly flat. Stocks in Hong Kong fell 1% as the city was dealing with its most severe typhoon since 2018. However, shares of Asian companies that are involved in making computer chips rose, which was a reaction to the news that Nvidia has invested in OpenAI. There was no cash trading of U.S. government b…
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Another day, another jump-scare for bulls. Bitcoin BTC ▼-0.80% traders woke up to fresh volatility today, with the price briefly dipping below $112,000 before bouncing from $111,100 and stabilizing near $112,580. The selloff coincided with $104 million in outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs on September 23, led by Fidelity’s FBTC, which saw $75.55 million leave the fund. Ethereum ETFs also struggled, posting $141 million in outflows with no inflows across nine products. In this uncertain market, investors are asking: what’s the best crypto to buy right now? BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.23T24h7d30d1yAll time EXPLORE: Best Crypto To Buy in 2025 Bitcoin Liquidity Levels an…
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Why is crypto down today? Why did the BTC USD price slide below 112K, and Ethereum break under 4K? The entire crypto market shed more than $162 billion in value overnight, with total market cap now at $3.81 trillion. Liquidations have surged to over $400 million overnight, with the biggest loss of $29 million in ETH ▼-3.38% long. (source – Coinglass Liquidation Data) The current situation could be a textbook flush as overleveraged traders are wiped out in a classic shakeout. It could be the end, but it could be just another chapter in crypto’s volatile cycles. But as we predicted yesterday, the current slump is not over. EthereumPriceMarket CapETH$485.90B24h7d30d1…
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Yesterday, Bitcoin stopped just shy of the $114,000 mark, and during today's Asian trading, it quickly dropped back to around $111,500. Apparently, this level is where it's currently most comfortable trading. Ethereum fell below $4,000, triggering $141 million in long liquidations. This sharp market move came as a surprise to many traders who had bet on continued growth for the second-largest cryptocurrency. The break below the psychologically important $4,000 mark triggered a chain reaction—exchanges began to close leveraged positions, which further intensified the downtrend automatically. Several factors contributed to this crash. First, general uncertainty in global f…
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The British pound lost more than the euro over the past week, so its wave pattern now looks ambiguous. Recall that complex wave structures have one major drawback – they are extremely difficult to identify in the early stages of formation. Simply put, if the structure is not classical, it is almost impossible to understand what it represents at the beginning. In my analysis, I avoid working with non-standard structures because, as practice shows, such an approach has a low profitability ratio. Therefore, at the moment, the pound is unattractive for opening positions. I rely on the euro's wave pattern. Its supposed waves 2 and 4 in wave 5 both took on a nearly identical th…
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Iran's nuclear program is once again raising concerns among Western countries. Several months ago, Donald Trump ordered an airstrike on Iran's underground nuclear facilities. The following day, the U.S. president announced the complete destruction of the three largest uranium enrichment sites, declaring Iran a non-nuclear state. However, only a few days later, experts from relevant fields began to question Trump's statements. In short, experts believe that it was impossible to achieve full destruction of underground facilities, and in practice, such an operation is nearly unattainable. The strikes were targeted, while the facilities themselves cover a large underground ar…
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The first week of every month is traditionally the most informative and, as a rule, the most volatile for dollar pairs. October will be no exception. The economic calendar for the coming week is packed with important events, with the release of September Nonfarm Payrolls standing out. After a strong U.S. GDP growth report and a "neutral" PCE index, the NFP release will tip the scales either toward sellers or buyers of EUR/USD. Nonfarm Payrolls will be preceded by other U.S. labor market reports—JOLTs, ADP, and Unemployment Claims—which may also influence the pair, especially if they fall into the green or red zone. Traders should also pay close attention to ISM indice…
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XRP crypto sold off sharply on September 25, but that marked the end of its short-term drop, at least looking at the XRP USD price action. While the downturn lingered into the weekend for most cryptos, XRP USD has held firm, shrugging off broader market pressures and ranking among the most closely watched coins at press time. The recent dip could present a prime buying opportunity for aggressive traders. Several factors bolster this outlook. Despite the heavy selling earlier in the week, XRP USDT remains above $2.60, with buyers now targeting $3, a key psychological level. Moreover, the overall trend stays bullish, building on the rally from early July 2025. (Source: …
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Bitmine has quietly loaded up on Ethereum. Over the past few weeks, the company bought 2.6 million ETH during market dips, pushing its crypto treasury to a massive $10.9 billion. This was not a one-time splash, but a series of buys timed when prices were low. While others were panicking or sitting on the sidelines, Bitmine saw an opportunity and went for it. Buying the Dip on Purpose Bitmine did not stumble into these buys by accident. It waited for ETH to drop, then moved fast. The pattern is clear: buy when the market pulls back, stack when others hesitate. It is a move that says the company sees value in Ethereum and is not just here for the short-term gains. Thi…
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Andre Cronje’s latest project, Flying Tulip, has raised $200M in a private round and is opening a public sale of its FT crypto token at the same $1Bn valuation. The exchange startup, based in New York, announced the move on September 29, stating that it is building a full-on-chain trading platform. The plan combines a native stablecoin, money markets, spot, derivatives, options, and insurance into one system. By linking everything through cross-margin, the company says it can make capital more efficient for users. The public sale will be run directly on-chain across several networks. Details such as which assets are supported, the amount that will circulate at laun…
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Two days remain before the deadline, yet amid recent headlines, the market has almost overlooked the approaching new fiscal year in the U.S. By itself, the start of the fiscal year is usually a formality, but in America, it has become an annual political standoff. Democrats and Republicans once again cannot agree on spending plans for the coming year. The Democratic Party demands the preservation of tax breaks and healthcare subsidies for the American population, while the Republican Party (read—Donald Trump) insists on cutting expenditures in precisely these areas. Previously, Republicans passed most bills in both chambers of Congress with a simple majority. The situatio…
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As the Bitcoin price has staged a rebound coming out of the weekend, the momentum has begun to skew bullish again, and expectations remain that the price will wax higher from here. Some predictions have placed the digital asset’s price lower. However, there are some who expect this to be the start of the next upward wave for Bitcoin. One of those is crypto analyst Arman Shabann, who shared an analysis of the Bitcoin price that seems to be playing out quite well. Why The Bitcoin Price Is Headed For Higher Levels In the analysis, Arman explained the current Bitcoin price trajectory as being bullish, especially with the formation of a clear ascending channel. The digital as…
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Overview: The US dollar is mostly softer against the G10 currencies and emerging market currencies. The hawkish hold by the Reserve Bank of Australia has helped lift the Australian dollar almost 0.5% to a four-day high above $0.6700. The Japanese yen is up nearly as much despite poor industrial production and retail sales data. A US federal government shutdown looks nearly inevitable at this juncture. The US also announced 10% tariffs om softwood timber and lumber, as well as a 25% tax on kitchen cabinets, vanities, and upholstered wood products. Some will take place as soon as October 14, others not until January 1. Canada is the most exposed and is already subject to 35…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Euro The test of 1.1747 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy euros. The second test of 1.1747, when the MACD was in the overbought area, allowed scenario No. 2 for selling to play out, but a major decline of the pair did not follow. Despite the published data showing an increase in jobless claims in Germany, the euro continued to strengthen against the U.S. dollar. The stability of the unemployment rate, which held at 6.3%, was the main supporting factor for the euro. The stability of Germany's labor market was interpret…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British Pound The test of 1.3430 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. U.K. GDP data matched economists' forecasts. Expectations had been built on assumptions of stronger-than-expected growth in the British economy, which fueled speculative buying. However, the actual figures disappointed optimistic investors. The pound sterling, already under pressure from a strengthening U.S. dollar, showed a restrained reaction and lacked the momentum needed to continue its upward movement. During the U.S. trading session…
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XRP is showing signs of strength as it holds above key support levels, but the road to a breakout remains far from clear. While momentum off the trendline brings optimism, bearish divergences on higher timeframes are raising caution. Bearish Divergence Signals Market Caution CasiTrades, in a recent update, noted that XRP has managed to show some momentum after bouncing off the black trendline highlighted last week. The respect of this level is encouraging, but the market is not out of danger just yet. Its price still faces the critical $3 resistance, which remains the key hurdle to confirm the start of a new bullish trend. Until that level is broken, downside risks rema…
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