Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
6910 tópicos neste fórum
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Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $4,175. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears the $4,240 resistance. Ethereum remained stable above $4,100 and started a recovery wave. The price is trading above $4,160 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $4,120 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $4,220 and $4,240. Ethereum Price Eyes Upside Break Ethereum price remained supported above the $4,050 level and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to recover above the $4,150 and $4,200…
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Yesterday, the U.S. Congress missed the midnight deadline for funding submissions, which led to the first government shutdown in nearly seven years — and the third under President Donald Trump. The White House Office of Management and Budget ordered agencies to implement their contingency plans for a funding lapse, which will halt government operations except for essential duties, disrupt the work of hundreds of thousands of Americans, and shut down many federal services. Both parties have reached a deadlock over healthcare subsidies. Experts note that the shutdown and its economic consequences could drag on. If it lasts for three weeks, the unemployment rate could rise …
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Traders are lowering their expectations regarding how much the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in the coming months, illustrating how mixed signals from central bank officials are clouding the outlook for monetary policy. In the futures market, the scenario implying just one 25-basis-point rate cut in 2025 and the so-called neutral rate — the optimal rate at which policy neither stimulates nor restrains growth — is now expected to be only partially realized. This stands in sharp contrast with last week, when bets on a 50-basis-point cut by year-end were in demand. A wider range of views on monetary policy expressed by Fed officials in recent days contributed to t…
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Overview: The US federal government is under partial closure following the inability to approve appropriations to start the new fiscal year. The president has threatened to permanently fire not just furlough many "non-essential" government workers, but note that as of yesterday, some 150k federal workers have accepted the government's buyout. The longest shutdown in this macabre and repeated political drama has been 35 days in President Trump's first term. We fear this one may also be protracted. The dollar is narrowly mixed, steadying in late European morning turnover after initially being sold. The dollar is also mostly firmer against emerging market currencies. The r…
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Well, folks, Uptober is finally here, and in what could be a precursor to an altcoin season, Ethereum (ETH) treasuries have flipped the script and are leading the buying frenzy. ETH has been on a tear this year. It has bounced back from a rather shaky start in Q1 to deliver a surge of nearly 80% in Q3 alone! The catalyst? A wave of institutional interest, with US spot ETH ETFs parking more than $2.3 Bn in just six days, flipping the narrative and outpacing BTC in year-to-date performance. Institutions now hold 3.5% of all .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Ethereum ETH …
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Andrew Bailey, the Bank of England (BoE) Governor has dramatically softened his stance on stabelcoins. Talking to the Financial Times on 1 October 2025, Bailey said that it would be “wrong to be against stablecoins as a matter of principle.” Stablecoins are digital tokens designed to maintain a stable value by being pegged to traditional currencies like the British Pound at a one-to-one ratio. And unlike Bitcoin, stabelcoins can offer stability while offering benefits of digital transactions. Hence, Bailey’s latest comments could finally indicate UK’s acceptance of stablecoins. Especially since industry analysts at Citigroup predict this market could explode to $4 tri…
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The EUR/USD currency pair exhibited a downward movement on the third trading day of the week. However, overall behavior has remained consistent — this is still a gradual upward trend on the lower timeframes. On the 4-hour chart, the euro has been rising steadily for the past month and a half, indicating no fundamental change in price behavior. The euro still tends toward growth, but it's a slow grind. Why? It's challenging to answer definitively, but we can assume the initial wave of panic associated with Donald Trump's policies has passed. From here, the euro may climb more calmly — unless, of course, a sudden shock sends the dollar into another tailspin. Yesterday, like…
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The euro is trading around 1.1735, above the 200 EMA, above the 21 SMA, and above the 8/8 Murray, which could indicate a recovery. However, EUR/USD is under bearish pressure as it is located within a downtrend channel. If the euro falls below the 8/8 Murray and below the 200 EMA in the coming hours, this could indicate a further bearish movement. Therefore, EUR/USD is expected to reach the 7/8 Murray at 1.1596 in the short term. A sharp break above 1.1765 could favor a recovery for the euro. In the short term, it could reach +1/8 Murray at 1.1840 and even reach +2/8 Murray at 1.1962. The eagle indicator on the H4 chart is showing a positive signal for the euro, so a recov…
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The results of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Tankan survey for September, released on October 1, showed an improvement in the business conditions index (DI) by 1 point compared to June for large manufacturers, reaching +14. The index for large non-manufacturing firms remained at a very high level of +34. Forecasts for capital investment and current profits also remained stable despite tariffs introduced by the Trump administration. This provides a solid basis for expecting another round of wage increases next year, which in turn supports concerns about persistent inflationary pressures. Overall, the Tankan report contributed to the arguments in favor of a rate hike at th…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, the market from the level of 1.1729 (yesterday's daily close) may continue moving upward toward the target of 1.1782 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may roll back downward with a target of 1.1717 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;volumes – upward;candlestick analysis – upward;trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: on Thursday, the market from the level of 1.1729 (yesterday's daily c…
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BTC USD is catapulting markets today. Bitcoin now sits around $118,500 after a 3.5% climb over 24 hours, and Nvidia is also in the news today after becoming the first company to hit $4.5 trillion valuation. Bitcoin, at around $2.36 trillion, would need another doubling to eclipse Nvidia. A steep hill to climb, yet the momentum says it’s not impossible. The entire crypto sector is showing strength. The total market cap has crossed $4 trillion, aided by nearly $950 million pouring into Bitcoin ETFs in just two days. The Fear & Greed Index has surged to 64, from neutral territory yesterday, to slight greed. Crypto Fear and Greed Chart …
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Forget meme coins. In 2025, crypto is being defined by stablecoins. USDT by Tether remains the undisputed leader, commanding over $175 billion as of early October 2025. USDC by Circle is in second place, while algorithmic alternatives like Ethena’s USDe and Sky’s USDS are making massive strides. The explosion of stablecoins has pumped the broader crypto market, benefiting some of the best cryptos to buy. With Tether minting billions, capital has flowed to Ethereum and Bitcoin, pushing them to fresh all-time highs in 2025. While USDT, USDC, and other stablecoins blossom, their issuers swim in billions in profits. Every $1Bn increase in USDT or USDC circulation generates r…
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Altcoin markets are bearing witness to a Perp DEX war, as the big guns battle for supremacy Perp DEX protocols just cleared a $1Tn month, and one analyst says the near-term winners are lining up. Perpetual trading on decentralized exchanges just crossed a milestone: more than $1Tn in a single month. The surge highlights how fast on-chain derivatives are gaining ground, with traders now weighing which platforms could take the lead. The Block’s latest data shows that September volumes for perpetuals trading on DEXs surpassed $ 1Tn for the first time, driven by a battle between Hyperliquid, Aster, and Lighter. Crypto analyst “Unipcs” said today the market is “big enough…
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Dogecoin is cooling off after its recent rejection near $0.307, with price action now consolidating between $0.220 and $0.240. Despite the pullback, bullish momentum remains intact, and market signals suggest a retest of the $0.32 level could be only a matter of time. Critical Support Validated, Bulls Eye $0.32 Retest Master Kenobi, in a fresh DOGE chart update, pointed out that the red dashed line has once again acted as a strong support level. This confirmation aligns with the point earlier highlighted by the yellow arrow, showing that the level was accurately identified as a realistic and critical zone for price stabilization. According to his analysis, this support…
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1.20 per euro is the minimum projected exchange rate for EUR/USD by year-end. Most banks and economists agree with this forecast. The news background for the dollar in 2025 is not just poor—it keeps worsening. Just a couple of weeks ago, the market was still digesting Donald Trump's new import tariffs (covering all medicines, trucks, and furniture) and the FOMC rate cut, when a government shutdown had already begun in the U.S., while the labor market continued to cool. Currently, demand for the U.S. currency has not declined significantly, but I believe the market will factor these considerations in later. The Federal Reserve has not just carried out one round of monetary…
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Gold is on the way to new all-time highs, placing the price within a strong upward trend similar to the movement formed on September 11. XAU/USD could continue its rise in the coming hours, reaching 3,963, a level that coincides with the top of the uptrend channel. At current price levels, gold is having a small consolidation. If the price remains above +1/8 Murray in the coming days, we could expect a strong upward acceleration that could push the instrument up to 3,950 and even to the psychological level of $4,000. Conversely, if the gold price falls below the key level of 3,906, we believe it could reach the 21SMA around 3,872 or the bottom of the uptrend channel aroun…
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Last Friday, US stock indices ended mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.01%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.28%. The industrial Dow Jones jumped by 0.51%. On Friday, the tech rally slowed, pulling back from record highs. Optimism around artificial intelligence was dented by warnings from US President Donald Trump directed at Hamas and signs of economic weakness amid the ongoing US government shutdown. The yield on 10-year bonds, which sets the range for borrowing costs in the US, dropped by more than five basis points. Shares of Palantir Technologies Inc. were among the leading decliners, falling by 7.5% after reports of significant problems in the communication system. D…
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In today’s session, gold (XAU/USD) trades at $3960 per troy ounce, up an astounding +1.91%, and has yet again comfortably renewed all-time highs. With gold pricing up over 50% year-to-date, markets now turn their gaze to the key level of $4,000, having only rallied above $3,000 for the first time in history less than seven months ago. As ever, let’s take a look at some of the macro themes affecting precious metal markets, alongside some likely price targets for this week’s trading. Gold (XAU/USD): Key takeaways 06/10/2025 While wind has remained in the sails of precious metals for much of 2025, news of the US government has provided further tailwind to the current rall…
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One prime minister's resignation is already a big deal. But when four of them step down in quick succession, it can spark panic. That's precisely what is happening across French and European markets after Sebastien Lecornu announced that he does not intend to lead the French government. The reason is simple: an inability to reach a consensus with major political parties on the national budget. This unpleasant surprise from Paris knocked the EUR/USD pair off balance. Yield Spread Between German and French Bonds Soars The sell-off in French government bonds has pushed the yield spread between French and German securities — a key measure of political risk in Europe — to its …
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On Monday, the GBP/USD currency pair declined only slightly, in contrast to the EUR/USD pair. A new political crisis erupted in France, where the new Prime Minister resigned after holding the position for less than a month. The euro was likely under pressure from the market due to this event. However, the political crisis in France has nothing to do with the British pound. At the same time, the pound has plenty of its own problems. Remember, just over the past couple of months, the British currency has crashed twice on news surrounding issues with the 2026 budget. In short, government spending has outpaced revenue, making it impossible to draft a workable budget proposal.…
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Ondo Finance has officially completed its acquisition of Oasis Pro, a major step that positions the company as one of the most regulated and strategically equipped players in the digital asset industry. The deal includes SEC-registered licenses for a broker-dealer, alternative trading system (ATS), and transfer agent (TA) — giving Ondo the most comprehensive regulatory framework among US digital asset firms. This acquisition comes at a pivotal time for the market. As altseason begins to take shape and investor appetite for real-world asset (RWA) tokenization grows, Ondo is quickly emerging as a dominant force. Analysts point to Ondo’s strategic partnerships with Chainli…
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Matt Hougan, Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer, posted a brief, bullish note on social media on Oct 6, 2025, writing “$1 trillion inbound….” Based on reports, that short message kicked off fresh coverage and debate about how large Bitcoin-focused funds could get if current trends continue. Bitcoin was trading near a fresh high at the time, which helped the comment spread quickly. Context Around The Claim Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of $126,080 on Oct 7, 2025. At the same time, data cited by several outlets put global Bitcoin fund assets under management at about $200 billion. Those two figures were used by many market watchers to give the $1 trillion remark conte…
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Grayscale has introduced staking within its spot Ethereum exchange-traded products. Investors holding the Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHE) and the Ethereum Mini Trust ETF (ETH) can now earn staking rewards as part of their investment. The company framed this as giving people more flexibility, letting some reinvest their rewards for compounding while others take cash payouts instead. A Milestone for U.S. Crypto ETFs This development marks a first in the U.S. Grayscale is the only asset manager so far to integrate staking rewards into spot Ethereum ETFs. The firm also expanded staking to its Solana Trust (GSOL), but that fund still needs regulatory approval before it can trade as…
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.920. The price is now consolidating losses and might continue to move down if it trades below $2.850. XRP price is slowly moving lower below the $2.920 pivot zone. The price is now trading below $2.950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a key declining channel with support at $2.90 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh decline if it settles below $2.850. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price failed to stay above $3.020 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $3.00 and $2.950 to enter a short-term bearish z…
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On the weekly chart, the price is trying to push through the support of the MACD line. This line has been broken several times in the past (marked by green arrows), but each time the price quickly rebounded as there was no weekly close below it. The same may happen now — if the next weekly candle does not close below the current level of 1.3400, then a breakout into a medium-term downtrend is unlikely. However, the probability of a true breakout is significantly higher this time compared to previous attempts, because back then the Marlin oscillator remained in positive territory, whereas now it is situated in negative territory. On the daily chart, the price has moved …
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