Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12214 tópicos neste fórum
-
Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks Advance Most Read: US CPI Preview: Implications for the DXY & Federal Reserve Asian stock markets went up on Wednesday, following a similar trend on Wall Street. This happened because traders are becoming more confident that the US Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next week, as the US job market seems to be weakening. In Japan, the Nikkei stock average rose by 0.8%, while South Korea's KOSPI increased by 1.7%. Taiwan's stock market also did well, climbing 1.5% to reach a new all-time high. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index was up 1.3%, and mainland Chinese blue-chip stocks rose by 0.3%. The Bank of Japan is expected to announce it…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The upcoming week promises to be volatile and informative. The central event will be the September Federal Reserve meeting, whose outcome will overshadow all other fundamentals. Let's first review the key macroeconomic reports for EUR/USD that will be released in the coming days. On Monday, the US will publish the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index, based on a survey of New York Fed district manufacturers. After two months of growth, it's expected to fall to 4 points, signaling a fading of the momentum seen in July and August. For dollar bulls, the index must not return to negative territory, especially with the ISM Manufacturing Index (in contraction since Ma…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
BNB price is gaining pace above the $920 zone. The price is now showing positive signs and might aim for a move above the $950 level in the near term. BNB price started a fresh increase above the $900 and $920 levels. The price is now trading above $920 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $925 on the hourly chart of the BNB/USD pair (data source from Binance). The pair must stay above the $910 level to start another increase in the near term. BNB Price Eyes More Gains BNB price formed a base above the $880 level and started a fresh increase, beating Ethereum and Bitcoin. There was a steady move above the $…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold prices rose to a new all-time high on Monday, as investors geared up for this week’s Federal Reserve meeting with the expectation that the US central bank will finally let loose and start cutting interest rates. Spot gold hit a fresh peak of $3,682.51 per ounce, about $9 higher than its previous high set nearly a week ago. US gold futures also jumped about 1% to $3,724.90 per ounce. Click on chart for live prices. The latest move takes gold’s year-to-date gains up to 40%, with geopolitical uncertainty and robust central bank buying providing strong momentum for the safe-haven metal. After surpassing the $3,500 mark in April, gold has largely consolidated wi…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade review and tips for trading the Japanese yen The price test of 147.54 in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. The dollar may rise against the yen if the U.S. Empire Manufacturing Index shows strong results. However, the figures would need to significantly exceed economists' expectations. The Empire Manufacturing Index, which reflects the state of the manufacturing sector in New York State, is traditionally considered an indicator of U.S. economic activity. Better-than-expected results often signal rising production, higher orders, and overall improve…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 15 Following the positive post-CPI move, today’s session saw ecstatic flows around consistently higher equities. Despite trade tensions still in the air, the latest talks between the US and China centered around Chinese firms (like TikTok and their rights) recently happened, with the Chinese top trade envoy Chenggang reaffirming their positions. Nvidia was also hit by Antitrust fines in China, which preceded a pullback in the stock, which consequently rallied back, lifted by positive sentiment. In fact, it really was a commodity day in Markets: Coffee and Orange Juice finished their session above 5%, w…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, September 16, 2025] Although the EMA has not yet formed a Golden Cross, the RSI is in the Neutral Bullish area, so Natural Gas has the potential to strengthen today. Key Levels 1. Resistance 2: 3.135 2. Resistance 1: 3.089 3. Pivot: 3.002 4. Support 1: 2.956 5. Support 2: 2.869 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the #NG price successfully breaks through and closes above 3.089, it will potentially lead to #NG strengthening all the way to 3.135. Momentum Extension Bias: If the 3.135 level is successfully broken through and closes above it, 3.222 has the potential to be the next level to be tested. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Upside…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
“US Jobless Claims Spike: Labor Market Weakness, Fed Rate Cuts, and Market Implications” Unemployment number The old trading adage, “It’s not the news but the reaction to the news that matters,” was on full display after last week’s sharp increase in U.S. weekly jobless claims. Markets initially reacted to fears of an acceleration in labor market weakness, but the details suggest a less dire picture. What the Jobless Claims Data Shows Initial claims for unemployment insurance spiked by 27,000 to 263,000, well above the consensus forecast of 230,000. This was the highest reading since October 2021, raising concerns about whether the labor market is finally cracking under…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold extended its record-settling rally on Tuesday, breaking above the $3,700 mark for the first time ever, as bets continue to pile in for a Federal Reserve rate cut this week. Spot gold hit $3,702.84 per ounce for a new all-time high during the morning trading. It has since retreated to the $3,685 level, but remains above the previous record set on Monday. US gold futures shot up to $3,739.90 per ounce, before experiencing a similar pullback. Click on chart for live prices. The gains were supported by a falling US dollar, now sitting at lows not seen since July. A potential US rate cut this week, which has largely been priced in by the markets, has also be…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Binance is in talks with the US Department of Justice to remove the independent monitor that was assigned after the company’s massive $4.3 billion settlement last year. The monitor’s job was to keep an eye on whether Binance was fixing the compliance issues that got it into trouble in the first place. These discussions are still underway, but the two sides appear to be moving closer to an agreement. Why the Monitor Was Put in Place The monitor wasn’t just there for show. It was installed to oversee Binance’s operations from the outside and make sure the company was actually improving its internal systems. Regulators wanted assurance that Binance was cleaning up its handl…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
There’s a new worry for the crypto market. Companies that hold huge amounts of digital assets on their balance sheets are struggling, and their declining values are putting about 4% of all circulating Bitcoin at risk. While the digital asset treasuries (DATs) are feeling the squeeze, Ethereum-focused ones seem to be holding up just fine. Some of the best altcoins to buy, like Best Wallet Token ($BEST), prove why, as they offer you more bang for your buck. Why Ethereum Holds the Advantage These DATs are basically public companies that have bet big on crypto, and their health is a key driver of demand. The main issue is a sharp drop in their market net asset values, or m…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
It isn't typical to see as much FX volatility ahead of such a key FOMC. Currency Markets had been particularly slow throughout August after some post-NFP correction in the US Dollar – Despite having reasons to sell the USD further, particularly after Powell's dovish speech at Jackson Hole, end-summer slow trading largely contained volatility for fiat majors. To catch up with the volatility seen in Equities (which kept flying higher throughout that entire period), the US Dollar took a two-day downward train to start this week. The greenback saw close to 1% moves in Monday and yesterday's consecutive sessions against European currencies particularly – The widest range thro…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
BHP (ASX, NYSE LSE: BHP) plans to close its Saraji South joint venture coal mine in Australia and lay off about 750 workers amid weak coal prices and high royalties in Queensland, media including the Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) and The Wall Street Journal reported. Saraji is among five steelmaking coal mines operated in Queensland by BMA, a 50-50 joint venture between BHP and Mitsubishi Development Industry, Australia’s largest exporter of steelmaking coal. Saraji, located near the central Queensland town of Dysart, is to be shuttered in November. The state government’s coal tax has seen BMA pay A$0.67 for every dollar in royalties, or about eight ti…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP price started a fresh increase above the $3.020 resistance. The price is now showing positive signs and might gain pace if it clears the $3.120 zone. XRP price is moving higher from the $2.980 support zone. The price is now trading above $3.020 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a rising channel with resistance at $3.070 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if the price clears the $3.120 zone. XRP Price Attempts Fresh Increase XRP price extended losses below $3.00 before the bulls appeared, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price tested the $2.980 zone and recently start…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of 146.17 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair fell by more than 40 pips. Yesterday's Fed decision to cut rates led to a temporary strengthening of the yen, but then demand for the dollar returned. The initial market reaction to the Fed's rate cut was predictable: the yen, traditionally seen as a safe-haven asset, strengthened. The key factor behind the subsequent reversal was the absence of clear signals from the Fed regarding future monetary policy. Traders hoping for stronger statem…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, from the 1.1812 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving downward toward the target of 1.1762 – the 85.4% pullback level (red dotted line). Upon testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.1779 – the upper fractal (red dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.General conclusion: bearish trend. Alternative scenario: on Thursday, from the 1.1812 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The pound and the euro worked perfectly today through the Mean Reversion strategy. I tried trading the yen using Momentum, but the outcome was not great. Today's calm in the Eurozone economic calendar allowed the euro to take a breather after recent turbulence. The absence of fresh data that could shake traders' confidence played into the hands of those who see further growth potential in the single currency. Yesterday's Fed decision, which confirmed its commitment to a dovish monetary policy, continues to support risk assets, including the euro. In the second half of the day, we expect figures on U.S. initial jobless claims, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index, and …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Malian prosecutors have appealed a judge’s order to release four employees of Barrick Mining (NYSE: B) on bail, extending the legal uncertainty around the Canadian miner’s operations in the country, Bloomberg reported on Thursday. The employees — including a regional manager detained late last year — will remain in jail until the Court of Appeal reviews the prosecution’s case, according to people familiar with the matter. The judge had set bail at 50 billion CFA francs (about US$90.3 million), an unusually high sum, one of the people said. The arrests in November 2024 were tied to allegations of money laundering, terrorism financing, and tax-related offenses. Barr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Following the recent decision by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates, the Bitcoin price has resumed its upward trajectory after a brief period of consolidation below $115,000. This shift aligns with forecasts from leading analysts, who suggest that the market’s top cryptocurrency may reach a new all-time high (ATH) in the coming months. Some experts even believe that this milestone could be achieved as soon as two weeks from now. Bullish Indicators Emerge Market expert Axel Adler has highlighted key indicators supporting this outlook. He noted on social media platform X that BTC futures are trading at a premium compared to spot prices, with a consistentl…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Dogecoin price had seen an initial run-up to $0.3 before the correction that brought it back toward $0.26 again. The aftermath of this has been uncertain price movements for the meme coin, especially as bulls and bears vied for control of the digital asset. At this junction, there is now a near equal opportunity for the price to actually go in either direction, and crypto analyst MyCryptoParadise has outlined the conditions that could favor either side. Why Dogecoin Price Is Still Bullish Despite the Dogecoin price decline, there is still a lot of bullishness in the current price action. This comes with the breakout of a classic falling wedge pattern, which is bullis…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Gold prices have fallen from a new all-time high amid a strengthening U.S. dollar, following the Federal Reserve's announcement of an anticipated interest rate cut after months of intense White House pressure to reduce borrowing costs. This decision, made despite lingering concerns about persistent inflation, triggered a wave of selling in gold, which is traditionally seen as a safe-haven asset during periods of economic uncertainty and currency weakness. Although the rate cut was expected, some analysts saw it as a sign of the Fed's vulnerability to political pressure. Investors fear that further concessions could lead to runaway inflation and undermine confidence in th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Elon Musk-owned X social media platform has gone public with claims that a bribery network tried to pay its staff to bring back suspended crypto accounts. According to the company, middlemen acted on behalf of banned users, offering money to insiders in hopes of overturning account suspensions tied to scams and market abuse. Bribery Network And Methods Based on the company posts and follow-up reporting, the scheme did not involve direct contact between banned users and staff. Instead, intermediaries were paid to make offers and set up meetings with employees. Reports have disclosed that the operation targeted accounts tied to crypto fraud and coordinated manipulati…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum’s institutional narrative is strengthening as US-based Spot ETF trackers witnessed another week of inflows last week. BlackRock’s ETHA fund captured the majority of this activity with more than half a billion dollars in new investments, while other ETFs struggled with minor outflows. At the same time, technical patterns are aligning with this buying pressure, which has given many analysts confidence that the Ethereum price could be preparing to push towards its all-time high in the coming weeks. Ethereum ETFs Register Second Consecutive Inflow Week Last week was another positive week for Spot Ethereum ETFs. Across all issuers in the US, Spot Ethereum ETFs add…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Thursday and Friday, having earlier broken through the ascending trend line. From a technical perspective, the decline of the British pound was fairly easy to predict. As mentioned before, the trend line was breached—an important signal of movement against the prevailing trend. However, last week unfolded in a highly pessimistic scenario for the pound. Most of the macroeconomic data from the UK was moderately positive. The Federal Reserve meeting can be considered dovish, and the Bank of England meeting was neutral. Despite that, the pound showed a strong decline over the past three…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Crude Oil] – [Monday, September 22, 2025] Although the RSI is in the Neutral-Bullish area, but with both EMAs crossing in a Death Cross configuration, #CL is likely to weaken in the near term down to its closest support level. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 64.04 2. Resistance. 1 : 63.35 3. Pivot : 62.98 4. Support. 1 : 62.29 5. Support. 2 : 61.92 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If price breaks down below 62.98, it has the potential to move towards 62.29. Momentum Extension Bias: If 62.29 is breached and closed below, it is likely to continue down to 61.92. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside bias is contained if the price strengthens and bre…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
