Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Review of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenA test of the 152.87 level occurred when the MACD indicator began moving upward from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for buying the dollar, which resulted in a 35-pip rise in the pair. The Japanese yen remained under pressure after additional U.S. Federal Reserve officials expressed concern about inflation yesterday, preferring a more cautious position on interest rates. The market reacted instantly to such rhetoric: the yen—already influenced by the dovish political stance of the new Prime Minister—faced additional selling pressure. The future direction of the USD/JPY pair will depend on how closely al…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, from the level of 1.1556 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue to move downward toward the target of 1.1529 – the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands indicator (black dotted line). When testing this line, a pullback upward is possible with a target of 1.1556 – the historical support level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – upward.General conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: Today, from the level…
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Despite the fact that more and more ECB policymakers are advocating for a restrictive approach to interest rates, the euro is not benefiting from it. In an interview, European Central Bank Governing Council member Jose Luis Escriva stated that at present policymakers are not inclined to cut interest rates and could just as well raise them instead. According to Escriva, the current economic situation in the eurozone is still marked by uncertainty, and although inflationary pressure shows signs of easing, it remains significant. Under these conditions, in his view, cutting rates could prove premature and risky, potentially triggering a new wave of inflation. Escriva's argu…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on the British Pound The test of 1.3298 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. This week, investors will focus on speeches by U.S. Federal Reserve representatives Austan D. Goolsbee and Alberto Musalem. Markets will closely monitor their statements to get a sense of the regulator's future plans regarding monetary policy. Any hints of tightening or, on the contrary, readiness to ease policy could trigger sharp swings in the currency markets. Alongside these speeches, particular importance will be given to the University of M…
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Ethereum is trading at critical price levels after a sharp 10% decline from the $4,750 mark, reflecting growing uncertainty across the broader crypto market. The recent correction has pushed ETH toward the $4,300 support zone, a level that bulls are now fiercely defending to prevent a deeper retracement. Despite the pullback, on-chain data suggests that large holders remain confident, signaling that this dip may be part of a healthy market reset rather than the start of a downtrend. According to recent data, Bitmine continues its aggressive accumulation of ETH, adding to its holdings even as prices fluctuate. This steady inflow from institutional players highlights stro…
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A consortium of major banks, including Bank of America, Citi, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, and UBS, announced on Friday that they will collaborate to explore the development of stablecoins pegged to G7 currencies. A New Era For Crypto In Mainstream Finance The renewed interest in stablecoins comes in the wake of US President Donald Trump’s endorsement of the sector, which has reignited discussions about integrating blockchain technology into mainstream finance. Currently, the stablecoin market is heavily dominated by Tether (USDT), based in El Salvador, which accounts for approximately $179 billion of the total $310 billion in stablecoins circulating, according to da…
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The US dollar continued to lose ground actively—a development that's easy to explain. There is growing talk in the market that the Fed will be forced to act more dovish, especially after the latest fundamental data from the US, which hardly gives dollar bulls any confidence. Yesterday, strong data from Germany's ZEW institute, which indicated improving economic sentiment in the eurozone, led to a stronger euro. Investors saw this as a signal of potential regional economic stabilization, increasing interest in the European currency. However, the key factor influencing the FX market in the second half of the day was a shift in expectations around future Federal Reserve poli…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of 1.3660 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The Fed's decision to cut rates initially strengthened the pound, but demand for the dollar quickly returned. The market had expected more decisive action from the regulator, possibly clearer signals of further rate cuts in the near future. The absence of such guidance triggered a reassessment of risks and a return to more conservative strategies. The dollar, as a traditional safe-haven asset, once again drew investor interest amid concerns abo…
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As an eventful week ends, Bitcoin and some of the best cryptos to buy are steady. BTC USD is firm above $116,000 while the Ethereum price is wavy around the $4,500 level. Meanwhile, PENGU USD is defying gravity, adding a decent +15%, shaking off the weakness of early this week. While PENGU crypto is down in the meme coin rankings across the board, it still has an active community and decent trading volume. According to Coingecko, PENGU is the top Solana meme coin with a market cap exceeding $2.2Bn. Nonetheless, like other meme coins, including TRUMP, PENGU USD is under pressure, sliding nearly -5% in the past 24 hours. (Source: Coingecko) On Coinglass, most traders a…
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For thousands of years, gold has been a treasured asset. Gold is not only a time-honored symbol of wealth, it is a reliable store of value and wealth building tool. Today, this ancient currency’s role in modern portfolios is becoming more important than ever. As you know, global uncertainty and shifting economic tides have put gold back in the spotlight—as the precious metal has surged 40% higher since the start of the year setting new record highs. A new study by the D. E. Shaw group, Worth Its Weight? Assessing Gold’s Portfolio Utility offers a refreshingly honest look at gold’s strengths, and the key reasons why it is relevant today, even as global markets evolve. H…
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In just the last 12 months, crypto millionaires have exploded in number, surging by 40% to a record 241,700 globally. Visibly, high-net-worth investors are increasingly favouring cryptocurrency and gold over traditional assets. The Crypto Wealth Report 2025 from Henley & Partners, published on 23 September 2025, reveals a meteoric rise in not only crypto millionaires but also crypto billionaires. Institutional adoption is at an all-time high. Crypto billionaires surged by 29, to 36 globally. Cryptocurrencies are even being launched by the sitting US President and the First Lady! “At the apex of the crypto wealth pyramid, the number of ultra-wealthy individuals is ri…
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Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair fell unexpectedly and even consolidated below the ascending trendline. In fact, the recent decline in the pair occurred for no clear reason. We didn't see and still don't see any solid fundamental or macroeconomic grounds for the euro's drop, especially yesterday. Nevertheless, the technical picture is now bearish, but not everything is so straightforward. The 1.1737 level has halted the euro's decline for the second time. Therefore, we believe the fall may finish here. Traders are in a favorable position now: if the price breaks below 1.1737, everything will become clear—the trend has …
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Ethereum is struggling to defend the $4,000 level after losing more than 11% of its value since Monday. The sharp decline highlights how quickly sentiment has shifted, with bulls losing control of momentum and sellers stepping in to capitalize. This pullback comes after weeks of upward pressure that had pushed ETH toward multi-month highs, but the latest selloff suggests the market has entered a corrective phase. Despite this, not all analysts are pessimistic. Some see the move as a healthy consolidation rather than the beginning of a deeper downturn, arguing that Ethereum is simply digesting its prior gains before attempting another push higher. The key question is whe…
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Smackover Lithium, a joint venture between Standard Lithium (TSXV: SLI) (NYSE.A: SLI) and Norway’s state-owned petroleum company Equinor (NYSE: EQNR), announced a maiden inferred resource for its Franklin project in the northeast region of Texas. The report for the JV’s first project in the East Texas region of the Smackover Formation highlights the size and quality of its brine position, the company said. Analysts estimate that the Smackover Formation could host more than 4 million tonnes of lithium, enough to power millions of electric vehicles and other electronic devices. Smackover said the project contains the highest reported lithium-in-brine grades …
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GBP/USD Against the backdrop of yesterday's 0.71% rise in the US dollar index, the British pound, which was already experiencing additional pressure from the policy divergence between the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve, lost 102 pips. On the weekly chart, the price has broken below the MACD line. The Marlin oscillator has also consolidated in the territory of a downward trend. The pound is likely to face a prolonged decline ahead. The nearest significant target is the embedded price channel line around the 1.3000 mark. On the daily chart, the price has broken below the nearest support at 1.3364. The next target at 1.3253 is now in play. The decline may continue…
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EUR/USD Yesterday's U.S. economic indicators came in better than expected. Q2 GDP was revised up from 3.3% to 3.8%, August durable goods orders increased by 2.9% versus forecasts of -0.3%, the core personal consumption expenditures price index for Q2 came in at 2.6% versus the 2.5% estimate, and even the trade balance improved to -$85.5 billion from -$103.6 billion, with a forecast of -$95.7 billion—this is the best figure in the past two years. The dollar index rose by 0.71%, the euro lost 71 pips, and broke through the daily timeframe support indicator lines. The Marlin oscillator settled in bearish territory. The price is approaching the target support at 1.1605. A fir…
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Jobless Reincarnation A potential U.S. government shutdown on October 1 could not come at a worse time for financial markets. Just two days later, the September employment report. the most closely watched piece of economic data, is scheduled for release. With traders laser-focused on U.S. job growth as a guide for Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, any delay would leave markets sailing without a rudder. Why the Timing Matters The Fed is walking a tightrope: despoite Trump’s Pressure on the Fed Jobs market: Data shows signs of softening, raising recession concerns. Inflation: Remains sticky, keeping the Fed cautious on cutting rates too quickly. The non-farm payro…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis On Friday, the GBP/USD pair recovered significantly, so it is too early to write off the British currency. Over the past week and a half, the pound has gone through a rough patch, but we still believe this weakness will be short-lived. Even when all factors point in one direction, technical corrections are inevitable. Individual reports and events can trigger counter-trend movements, which, on lower timeframes, may appear as independent trends. This is precisely the kind of trend we are observing now on the hourly chart. On Friday, the pound was strongly supported by the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. The indicator once agai…
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The dollar began an eventful week on a weaker note. The Dollar Index fell 0.2% on Monday, marking its second consecutive day of losses. The looming U.S. government shutdown, with both political parties holding firm to their positions, could significantly affect the strength of the dollar in the short term. Several important U.S. economic releases are also expected this week, culminating in Friday's monthly employment report. The prospect of a government shutdown, hanging over the U.S. economy like a Damocles' sword, adds considerable uncertainty to the currency markets. Traders, who traditionally seek safety during turbulent periods, may begin shifting capital into more …
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Friday rebounded from the support zone of 1.3332–1.3357 and turned in favor of the pound. Today, consolidation above the 76.4% Fibonacci level – 1.3524 – was recorded, which allows for expectations of further growth toward 1.3482 and 1.3528. A close below 1.3425 would once again favor the U.S. dollar and a return to the 1.3332–1.3357 zone. The wave situation remains "bearish." The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, while the new upward wave has not yet broken the last peak. The news background for the pound has been negative over the past two weeks, but I believe traders have already fully priced this in. This w…
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Ethereum price started a recovery wave above $4,150. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears the $4,220 resistance. Ethereum remained stable above $4,020 and started a recovery wave. The price is trading above $4,150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $4,100 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $4,220 and $4,250. Ethereum Price Eyes More Gains Ethereum price remained supported above the $4,020 level and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to recover above the $4,050 and $4,120 r…
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If new U.S. tariffs and the looming government shutdown haven't spooked markets, should investors really be worried about lofty valuations? The S&P 500 is currently trading at nearly 23 times the earnings expected over the next 12 months. Over the past 25 years, such levels have been seen only twice — during the dot-com bubble and the pandemic. Yet some individual companies are trading at even higher P/E multiples. U.S. Companies With Elevated Valuations Interestingly, it is precisely the stocks with inflated valuations that are leading the rally. On September 29, the S&P 500 gained on the back of a 12% surge in Robinhood, whose P/E stands at 60. Since the b…
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Bitcoin continued its rally during U.S. trading yesterday and gained further during today's Asian session, reaching the 114,800 mark. Ethereum also posted significant gains, consolidating above $4,000. Yesterday, the SEC required issuers of spot ETFs for LTC, XRP, SOL, ADA, and DOGE to withdraw their 19b-4 filings, following the approval of general listing standards that replace the need for individual submissions. Clearly, this change will significantly accelerate the approval process for new crypto ETFs, making the old approach obsolete. As I noted earlier, the SEC's decision marks a turning point in recognizing cryptocurrencies as a legitimate asset class. The withdr…
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China has ordered its steelmakers and traders to suspend purchases of dollar-denominated seaborne iron ore from BHP (ASX: BHP) as annual price talks stall. The directive from China Mineral Resources Group (CMRG), the state-run buyer created in 2020 to strengthen Beijing’s hand in global negotiations, blocks new contracts, even for cargoes already en route from Australia, Bloomberg News reported. Talks between BHP and CMRG have so far failed to produce an agreement, with the dispute believed to centre on discounts applied to BHP’s medium-grade ore. BHP, the world’s largest mining company, is China’s third-biggest iron ore supplier after Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO) and Val…
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Ripple is taking another bold step toward mainstream finance by extending the reach of its Interledger Protocol into the SWIFT network, regarded as the backbone of global payments. By enabling interoperability between two of the most influential payment ecosystems, Ripple is positioning XRP as a key player in the future of international money movement. Could XRP Become A Standard For Settlement? The strategy for mainstream adoption of the XRP Ledger (XRPL) and its native asset, XRP, is intricately linked to the Interledger Protocol (ILP). As highlighted by researcher SMQKE on X, Ripple’s approach is to become an essential part of the Society for Worldwide Interbank Finan…
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