Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, from the level of 1.3436 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin upward movement toward the target of 1.3501 – the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). When testing this level, a corrective downward move toward 1.3482 – the 61.8% retracement level (red dashed line) – is possible. Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative Scenario: From the level of 1.3436 (yesterday's daily candle close),…
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Bitcoin's growth continues and is accompanied by active inflows into spot BTC and ETH ETFs. According to the latest report, recent inflows into BTC ETFs are now significantly stronger than inflows into ETH ETFs, which points to a renewed demand for the world's first cryptocurrency. The daily inflow into these two ETFs amounted to $80.79. The renewed interest in Bitcoin is not accidental. Institutional investors are returning to a tried-and-true value—the "digital gold" that Bitcoin is known as. The recent large correction in Bitcoin down to around $108,000, followed by a new wave of growth, once again demonstrates that investors remain committed to the first cryptocurre…
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Crypto markets started October with renewed strength, as Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $119,770.39 0.95% Bitcoin BTC Price $119,770.39 0.95% /24h Volume in 24h $57.98B Price 7d Learn more is up 57% over the past week, supported by $76M in tr…
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Having rallied substantially from lows made last week, the GBP/USD broke a four-day winning streak in yesterday's trading, falling by 0.28%. Today, and at the London open, GBP/USD currently trades at ~1.34521, up 0.10%. GBP/USD: Key takeaways 03/10/2025 The most significant catalyst of GBP/USD movement currently, the US government shutdown is weighing heavily on the dollar, as markets readjust confidence in American governanceOtherwise, and following Wednesday’s worse-than-expected UK manufacturing PMIs, signifying five-month lows, the Bank of England is under increasing pressure to consider further rate cuts, although inflation remains somewhat stickyRecent GBP/USD up…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1). On Friday, from the level of 1.1714 (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin upward movement toward the target of 1.1782 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line). When testing this level, a corrective downward move toward 1.1749 – the 38.2% retracement level (red dashed line) – is possible. Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative Scenario: Today, from the level of 1.1714 (yesterday's daily candle close),…
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AI rules the day! No matter how grim Donald Trump's threats of mass layoffs, warnings from Scott Bessent about a U.S. economic slowdown, or even the ADP private sector jobs report may seem, the S&P 500 still managed to notch its 30th record high of the year. Leading the northbound herd are the tech giants. Deals between OpenAI and Samsung Electronics, as well as SK Hynix, sparked a swift rebound in the broad equity index after a dip early in the session. Performance of Tech and Other Sectors in the S&P 500 A 45% rally in tech stocks since the April low doesn't look like a bubble — at least according to Bank of America. The bank recommends that its client…
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Dogecoin’s daily chart is coiling into a technically clean inflection, according to trader IncomeSharks, who posted a rising channel and an on-balance volume (OBV) wedge that together map a straightforward route to higher levels. “DOGE – Not a bad setup. Obvious channel and clear OBV wedge. Ideally OBV will break out before price,” the analyst wrote, sharing the chart that frames the current advance. Dogecoin Breakout Watch: $0.33 Trigger On Deck Price has been respecting a well-defined ascending channel that has governed trade since early summer. Multiple touches on both boundaries validate the structure: higher lows along the lower trendline from July through early Oct…
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Bitcoin has finally broken above the $118,000 mark, consolidated at this level, and yesterday set a new monthly high around $121,000. Ethereum also saw a gain of over 4% in just one day. So far, Bitcoin has not posted a single red day for October, reinforcing the historical pattern indicating that traders and investors typically return to the crypto market following a weak September. This year appears to be no exception. An interesting piece of news surfaced yesterday: in late September, one of the largest long liquidations in Bitcoin history occurred, totaling $370 million. This event is historically considered bullish. Contrary to the intuitive assumption that such eve…
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[Polkadot] – [Friday, October 03, 2025] Although the RSI is at the Neutral-Bearish level, but with EMA(50) positioned above EMA(200), Polkadot has the potential to strengthen today. Key Levels Level-Level Kunci 1. Resistance. 2 : 4.4882 2. Resistance. 1 : 4.3985 3. Pivot : 4.2414 4. Support. 1 : 4.1517 5. Support. 2 : 3.9946 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If Polkadot strengthens and closes above 3.9946, it has the potential to further extend gains up to 4.3985. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4.3985 is breached and closes above, Polkadot could potentially test the 4.4882 level. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if Polkado…
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[Ripple] – [Friday, October 03, 2025] Looking at the Golden Cross crossover of the two EMAs, accompanied by the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish zone and the appearance of a Hidden Divergence, there is a strong indication that this cryptocurrency has the potential to strengthen toward its nearest resistance level. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.2012 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.1300 3. Pivot : 3.0283 4. Support. 1 : 2.9571 5. Support. 2 : 2.8554 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If Ripple's price strengthens and breaks above 3.0283, it has the potential to extend its gains up to 3.1300. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3.1300 is breached and closes above, Ripple …
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 146.82 price level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving upward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the dollar and resulting in the pair rising toward the target level of 147.22. Hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials—highlighting that the U.S. economy is in good shape and the fight against inflation is not yet over—led to dollar purchases and yen sell-offs. This reaction was neither unexpected nor accidental. It was a logical reflection of the diverging monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. While the Fed may cautiously continue cut…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3490 price level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving downward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the pound, which resulted in a drop of over 40 pips. Strong U.S. data, supported by hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve, restored confidence in a more cautious approach by the Fed regarding interest rate cuts. This, in turn, makes the U.S. dollar more attractive to yield-seeking investors. The pound, however, came under pressure. The situation is further complicated by the fact that the Bank of England is facing a greater challenge than the Fed. The UK central ba…
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Trade Review and Tips for Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1746 price level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving down from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the euro. As a result, the pair fell toward the target area near 1.1712. Yesterday's statements from Federal Reserve officials—that the U.S. economy is in good shape and that the fight against inflation is far from over—spurred U.S. dollar buying. However, today brings important data releases, including the Eurozone services PMI, composite PMI, and producer price index (PPI), all of which could significantly impact the market. The significance of the upcoming reports cannot be over…
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The U.S. dollar has regained leadership – especially after it became clear that the much-anticipated key U.S. labor market statistics would not be released this week. Yesterday's statements from Federal Reserve representatives Logan and Goolsbee, noting that the U.S. economy is in good shape, also increased demand for the dollar. Traders interpreted these comments as a sign of a cautious approach to future interest rate cuts, making the U.S. currency more attractive for investment. Ahead, markets await data on the Eurozone Services PMI, Composite PMI, and the Producer Price Index. Weak numbers will only increase pressure on EUR/USD, reinforcing the bearish outlook for the…
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As the crypto market kicks off October with a remarkable recovery, Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to turn the $4,500 level into support after nearly two weeks. Some analysts forecast that a breakout from this crucial area could set the stage for a massive 50% rally in Q4. Ethereum Retests Next Major Resistance Ethereum has bounced 17% from last week’s lows and is retesting the next crucial level to reclaim. The cryptocurrency started this week by recovering from the recent market correction, which sent its price to a multi-week low of $3,815. Since then, the King of Altcoins has reclaimed the mid-zone of its macro range and broken past a major sell wall located around th…
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Macroeconomic Reports: There aren't many macroeconomic reports scheduled for Friday, and only one of them is truly important – the ISM Services PMI in the U.S. In addition to this index, we'll also see second estimates of services PMIs for Germany, the UK, and the EU, as well as the Producer Price Index in the EU. However, these reports are of secondary importance. Also, the NonFarm Payrolls report and the unemployment rate were supposed to be released today, but most likely that won't happen due to the U.S. government "shutdown" that began on October 1. Therefore, all attention today will be on the ISM Services PMI. Fundamental Events Overview: Several key…
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Trade Review for Thursday: 1H Chart of EUR/USD On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair unexpectedly collapsed. This does not mean the dollar strengthened enough to start a new local "dollar trend." However, this week's movements have been very mixed and illogical, with the market ignoring many factors unfavorable for the U.S. currency. As noted, the dollar had formal reasons to fall yesterday. The eurozone unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 6.3%, which could have triggered the euro's decline. Yet, in the U.S., a government shutdown has just begun, and the labor market once again showed weakness. In our view, these two factors are far more important than the EU unemploymen…
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Trade Review for Thursday:1H Chart of GBP/USD On Thursday, the GBP/USD also showed a downward move, despite the British pound having no real reason to fall. As mentioned earlier, this week's movements in the FX market have been very strange and illogical. Such moves are not rare, and when they do not align with the fundamental or macroeconomic background, the best approach is to acknowledge their illogicality rather than trying to force-fit news or data to explain them. There were no significant events in the UK or the U.S. yesterday, although earlier this week, at least two events could have triggered a major dollar sell-off—but didn't. That's the main "strangeness" …
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The time for optimistic predictions about the Bitcoin price reaching a new record is swiftly running out. Many analysts initially predicted that the market’s leading cryptocurrency would achieve a milestone of $200,000 this year. However, as time progresses, these forecasts are being adjusted, with some traders on crypto prediction platforms lowering their price targets. Despite this, the potential for new all-time highs (ATHs) still lingers for the remainder of the year. Historical Data Points To New Records In Q4 Recently, the Bitcoin price once again surged past the significant $120,000 threshold, a level that has acted as a major resistance barrier over the past mo…
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EUR/USD On Thursday, for the fourth time since Monday, the pair attempted to rise but were pushed back down. This time, the pressure was stronger, with the lower shadow piercing both indicator lines. The Marlin oscillator has moved into negative territory. For the target level of 1.1605 to open, the price must consolidate below the MACD line (1.1700). Even if today's daily candle closes under it, such confirmation won't come until later. Despite mounting pressure on the euro, an upward move remains possible, as the price is still technically above the indicator lines. Sideways movement and uncertainty continue. On the H4 chart, the price continues to fluctuate between t…
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Today's labor data from Japan showed a jump in the August unemployment rate from 2.3% to 2.6% (forecast: 2.4%). According to market participants, such figures will slow the Bank of Japan's monetary tightening. Considering that the yen has spent 2.5 months in the 146.29–149.38 range precisely in anticipation of tightening signals, after a signal pointing to easing, the pair may break out of the range upward. On the daily chart, we see that the upper boundary of the range at 149.38 will soon align with the MACD line, so their overlap may provoke another strong price surge, continuing the uptrend. The target is the 151.70–152.10 range. The Marlin oscillator is close to ente…
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GBP/USD By the end of Thursday, the price returned below the balance and MACD indicator lines. The daily close occurred 23 pips below the MACD line, marking a conditional consolidation under it and significantly increasing the likelihood of further decline. Support at 1.3364 is formally open. The Marlin oscillator turned downward while remaining in bearish territory. A close above the MACD line on Friday near 1.3475 would indicate conditional consolidation above it, opening the path to 1.3525. For now, the base scenario remains bearish. On the H4 chart, the price attempted conditional consolidation twice above the MACD line, but each time it closed firmly below it. Toda…
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Bitcoin edged higher today, breaching the key $119,000 mark, after a string of steady sessions, lifting prices above recent ranges and drawing fresh attention from big investors. According to Coinglass data, BTC rose about 2.50% in the last 24 hours, and is up 8% over the last seven days. Trading activity and inflows are being watched closely as traders size up the next move. Institutional Flows Drive Momentum Data shows the top crypto asset registered a second straight day of strong inflows, putting $430 million into Bitcoin spot ETFs. That kind of demand helps explain why Bitcoin’s market value has jumped from $870 billion to $2.34 trillion this year. Analysts say t…
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The U.S. government is partially shut down, and that’s thrown a wrench into the SEC’s regular activity. One of the biggest consequences right now is the halt on reviewing applications for spot altcoin ETFs. For investors hoping to see new crypto funds approved soon, especially ones linked to Solana and other popular tokens, the wait just got longer. SEC Freezes Review During Budget Impasse The SEC has a contingency plan for situations like this, and it clearly states that only emergency cases will be reviewed during a shutdown. Everything else, including new financial product applications, is off the table for now. That leaves crypto ETF filings stuck in limbo. …
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CME Group plans to open the door to round-the-clock trading for cryptocurrency futures and options starting in early 2026. This move still needs the green light from regulators, but if it goes through, it would mean no more waiting for market open. Instead of being locked into specific hours, users will be able to access these products any time on CME’s Globex platform. It’s a clear response to the growing call for nonstop trading access in a market that never really shuts down. What the New Schedule Will Look Like Once it’s live, crypto futures and options will trade 24 hours a day, every day of the week. The only pause will be a two-hour maintenance break each week. If…
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