Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12213 tópicos neste fórum
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Bitcoin once again ran into resistance at $118,000 and failed to break through this level. This indicates that the market currently lacks enough bullish momentum to push above $118,000, suggesting that the consolidation phase may continue and potentially open the way for a deeper pullback toward $107,000 and $105,000. Meanwhile, news emerged yesterday that Michigan lawmakers are reviewing a bill that would allow up to 10% of state funds to be invested in Bitcoin. The proposal, which has sparked heated debate among financial and political circles in the state, could set a precedent for other US regions and open a new chapter in the history of public sector investment. S…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Thursday consolidated below the support zone of 1.3587–1.3611, which allows for a continued decline of the pound toward the 76.4% retracement level at 1.3482. A rebound from 1.3482 followed by growth will keep the trend "bullish." However, over the past two days, developments have been unfavorable for bulls and for the pound. The wave structure remains "bullish." The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the last upward wave easily broke the previous peak. For the most part, the news background this week was neutral for the pound, but Thursday and Friday spoiled the picture. The trend will shift to "…
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As an eventful week ends, Bitcoin and some of the best cryptos to buy are steady. BTC USD is firm above $116,000 while the Ethereum price is wavy around the $4,500 level. Meanwhile, PENGU USD is defying gravity, adding a decent +15%, shaking off the weakness of early this week. While PENGU crypto is down in the meme coin rankings across the board, it still has an active community and decent trading volume. According to Coingecko, PENGU is the top Solana meme coin with a market cap exceeding $2.2Bn. Nonetheless, like other meme coins, including TRUMP, PENGU USD is under pressure, sliding nearly -5% in the past 24 hours. (Source: Coingecko) On Coinglass, most traders a…
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US stock indices hit record highs amid Fed decisions and Nvidia investments The largest US stock indices closed the trading session at new historical highs. This significant growth was driven by two powerful factors. First, the Federal Reserve decided to lower the key interest rate, which had a positive impact on market expectations and increased capital inflow into stocks. Second, the market was inspired by news from Nvidia: the company announced plans to invest $5 billion in Intel's stock. This initiative triggered a strong rally in the IT sector, particularly with Intel shares soaring a record 22.8% in a single day. The success of the tech sector and the Fed's polic…
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China’s exports of rare earth products jumped to a near-record 7,338 tons in August, marking the highest monthly volume since 2012, according to customs data cited by Bloomberg on Friday. The data comes right before a scheduled phone call between Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Donald Trump, during which they are expected to discuss trade and critical minerals. China is the world’s largest producer of rare earths, a group of 17 minerals used in a multitude of high-tech applications, ranging from consumer electronics to fighter jets. With control over 70% of the global mine supply and almost all of the processing, the nation has a near-monopoly status…
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The UK is once again sinking under the weight of economic and financial troubles. Recall that the "British drama" began in 2016, when by a margin of several percentage points the British people decided to break off official ties with the European Union and begin building a fully independent United Kingdom. Nearly ten years have passed, and many opinion polls now show that Britons are starting to regret their decision. A trade agreement with the EU was signed with great difficulty, but many problems remain unresolved. One of them is labor supply: earlier, migrants came to the country for high wages and took on low-skilled jobs that Britons themselves were unwilling to do. …
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Friday Trade Analysis:1H EUR/USD Chart The EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Friday and may break through the ascending trend line as early as today. The euro has been falling for three consecutive days now, which is somewhat puzzling. Most recent data and news have not been negative for the euro or particularly positive for the dollar. The pair began its decline last Wednesday evening, right after the Fed announced the dovish results of its meeting. The fall continued through Thursday and Friday, driven in part by strong pressure on the pound sterling due to renewed budget and debt issues in the UK. However, this process should come to an end s…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stock Rally Takes a Breath Most Read: Gold's (XAU/USD) Bull Run Just Getting Started? A Look at What History Says Asian stock markets took a pause on Thursday after their recent surge, as investors waited for new reasons to buy. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen faced significant selling pressure, especially against the euro and Swiss franc. The broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares (excluding Japan) slipped by 0.1%, coming after a very strong period of rallying over 5% this month and 9% this quarter. Japan's Nikkei index was up slightly by 0.2%, having jumped 7% this month and 13% this quarter. Chinese stocks were the best performers: the CSI300 ind…
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XRP fell about 8% since last week and dropped below the $3 psychological mark, trading near $2.74 after a sell-off that followed rejection at $2.95. According to Sistine Research, a pattern of tightening price action — known as a compression phase — is forming again, and that pattern could set the stage for a sharp move once buyers or sellers push price out of the narrow range. Compression Phase Returning Based on reports from Sistine Research, XRP has entered its third major compression phase since the US election last November. In plain terms, price swings have grown smaller as trading has concentrated into a tighter band. That shrinking range can build pressure. Wh…
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US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) August YoY (ex. Food & Energy): +2.9% vs +2.9% expected, meets consensusUS Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) August MoM (ex. Food & Energy): +2% vs +0.2% expected, meets consensusUS Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) August YoY: +2.7% vs +2.7% expected, meets consensusUS Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) August MoM: +0.3% vs +0.3% expected, meets consensusUS Personal Income August MoM: +0.4% vs +0.3% expected, above consensus by +0.1%US Personal Spending August MoM: +0.6% vs +0.5% expected, above consensus by +0.1%US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Report (August 2025): …
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Justin Sun and Tron’s legal battle with Bloomberg just got a lot bigger and a whole lot more complex. Here’s what’s next in the Tron founder’s legal dispute. A federal judge’s order and a fresh salvo from Justin Sun’s camp have escalated the TRON founder’s fight with Bloomberg over the disclosure of his crypto holdings. TRON founder Justin Sun’s legal dispute with Bloomberg deepened this weekend after his representatives accused the news outlet of breaking a confidentiality promise. The statement came days after a Delaware federal judge rejected Sun’s request to block Bloomberg from publishing details of his personal wealth. The update was posted on Sunday on TRON DA…
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Last week, Ethereum (ETH) prices fell below $4,000 amidst a general crypto market onslaught marked by heavy liquidations. However, the prominent altcoin soon made a quick bounce off the $3,800 price region and has since slipped into consolidation. Notably, popular crypto analyst Lark Davis is tipping Ethereum to make a euphoric market rebound with a potential all-time high on the cards. Ethereum RSI Flashes Bullish Signal After Fall Into Deep Oversold Zone The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a technical analysis indicator that measures the speed and magnitude of price movements. It is generally used to identify when an asset is overbought, i.e., an overheated market, o…
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The Bitcoin community is again locked in a heated debate following reports that developer Luke Dashjr, creator of the Bitcoin Knots client, is exploring the possibility of a hard fork to remove illicit data from the blockchain. At the heart of the controversy are leaked discussions suggesting Dashjr has considered a framework where a select quorum of signers could retroactively redact blockchain entries using zero-knowledge proofs (ZKPs). The aim, according to these reports, would be to filter objectionable or illegal non-financial data embedded in Bitcoin’s immutable ledger, while preserving valid transaction history. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.18T24h7d30d1yAll time …
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The U.S. dollar quickly lost ground against risk assets at the end of last week, with clear reasons for this shift. Data showed that the U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index matched economists' forecasts, indicating moderate price pressures in the U.S. This sharply weakened the dollar's position. Traders interpreted it as a signal that the Federal Reserve can continue cutting interest rates without major risks, stimulating the economy and supporting the labor market. As a result, U.S. assets became less attractive, triggering capital outflows. The euro, the British pound, and other risk-sensitive assets, by contrast, strengthened on expectations that th…
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Monday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD On Monday, GBP/USD also traded with a slight upward bias, but there is one important difference between the technical picture of the pound and that of the euro. The British currency consolidated above a fairly strong descending trendline and also broke through the key level of 1.3413. This strongly suggests that the pound's decline has ended. Recall that over the past two weeks the market used almost any reason to sell sterling, but overall the fundamental backdrop for the dollar remains much weaker. We tend to view the recent moves as just another correction within the broader uptrend, which will resume sooner or later. On Mond…
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Trend Analysis (Figure 1) On Tuesday, the market may continue to move upward from the level of 1.3423 (yesterday's daily candlestick close), targeting 1.3476 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may begin to move downward, targeting 1.3449 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). Figure 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Volume – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall Conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative Scenario: From the level of 1.3423 (yesterday's daily candlestick close), the price may continue to move upward, t…
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Ripple is taking another bold step toward mainstream finance by extending the reach of its Interledger Protocol into the SWIFT network, regarded as the backbone of global payments. By enabling interoperability between two of the most influential payment ecosystems, Ripple is positioning XRP as a key player in the future of international money movement. Could XRP Become A Standard For Settlement? The strategy for mainstream adoption of the XRP Ledger (XRPL) and its native asset, XRP, is intricately linked to the Interledger Protocol (ILP). As highlighted by researcher SMQKE on X, Ripple’s approach is to become an essential part of the Society for Worldwide Interbank Finan…
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[XPD/USD] – [Wednesday, October 01, 2025] With the RSI Position in the Neutral-Bearish level, then there is potential for XPD/USD to decline today toward its nearest support levels. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 1339.48 2. Resistance. 1 : 1306.17 3. Pivot : 1267.27 4. Support. 1 : 1233.96 5. Support. 2 : 1195.06 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 1267.27, Palladium is likely to go down to 1233.96. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1233.96 is breached and closes below, XPD/USD could continue weakening down to 1195.06. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside bias is limited if XPD/USD suddenly strengthens up to th…
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[Silver] – [Wednesday, October 01, 2025] With the EMA position still in a Golden Cross and the RSI in the Neutral to Bullish zone, then Silver has the potential to appreciate today toward its nearest resistance levels. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 47.840 2. Resistance. 1 : 47.225 3. Pivot : 46.500 4. Support. 1 : 45.855 5. Support. 2 : 45.160 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the XAG/USD price breaks and closes above 47.225, there is potential to test the 47.840 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 47.840 is successfully breached and closed above, Silver has the potential to move up to the 48.565 level. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The u…
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October opened with tension in both politics and crypto. The U.S. federal government officially shut down for the first time in six years after Congress failed to agree on a budget deal. The deadlock has rattled global markets, and digital assets are no exception. Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $114,521.87 0.76% Bitcoin BTC Price $114,521.87 0.76% /24h Volume in 24h …
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Regulations are crucial in crypto. Without supportive government frameworks, navigating the landscape becomes extraordinarily challenging. In 2025, with Donald Trump in the White House, the U.S. is leading the charge as far as regulatory clarity is concerned. So far, DeFi and tokenization projects have been leading the charge via the GENIUS Act, for example. However, DePin initiatives are starting to make equally compelling strides. This is a huge win, especially since crypto’s core promise is to boost efficiency and empower end users with greater control. Victories for projects that advance these goals are essential. According to Coingecko, DePin is a burgeoning crypto …
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Shutdown and its economic consequences A government shutdown has been declared in the United States due to the lack of a funding agreement, resulting in the closure of government institutions and potential mass layoffs. Economists warn of risks to the labor market and financial markets in this environment of uncertainty. Analysts note that a prolonged shutdown could negatively impact GDP growth in the fourth quarter. Additionally, it increases pressure on politicians, as investors demand quick solutions to stabilize the situation. Read more at the link. Index records and declining futuresThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq stock indices ended the quarter at new highs, but future…
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Bitcoin has reclaimed the $115,000 level, restoring momentum after weeks of uncertainty and signaling that bulls are regaining strength. The move comes as traders push back against selling pressure, with renewed optimism spreading across the market. For many, the rebound highlights Bitcoin’s resilience and its ability to bounce after testing key support levels. Yet, not everyone feels convinced. Several analysts warn that despite the recent upside, Bitcoin may still face the risk of a deeper correction. The recovery looks promising, but the broader structure remains fragile, and cautious voices continue to dominate discussions. A failure to hold above $115,000 could onc…
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The narrative surrounding Ethereum’s future has fundamentally shifted, and is rapidly solidifying its role as the global, compliant settlement layer for traditional finance (TradFi). This strategic transformation is inextricably linked to the dominance of Stablecoins and the explosive growth of Tokenized Real-World Assets (RWAs). Network Effects Of Stablecoins And RWA On Ethereum In a recent post on X, the Token Terminal highlighted a key insight focusing on why Stablecoins and RWAs matter for the Ethereum market cap. To date, Stablecoins and RWAs are crucial for ETH, as the market capitalization of tokenized assets on ETH acts as the floor for ETH’s market cap. The re…
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S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 at all-time highs amid AI optimismThe US stock indices S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 continue to rise, setting new all-time highs. This is linked to optimism around artificial intelligence, stimulating investor interest and underpinning technology sector stocks. An additional growth driver has been strong quarterly earnings from leading IT companies, further strengthening confidence in the sector's outlook. Experts note that inflows of foreign investment into the US market are also playing a key role. Follow the link for more details. S&P 500 sets 30th record thanks to technology companiesDespite threats and criticism, the S&P 500 set…
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