Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12212 tópicos neste fórum
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Friday Trade Analysis:1H EUR/USD Chart The EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Friday and may break through the ascending trend line as early as today. The euro has been falling for three consecutive days now, which is somewhat puzzling. Most recent data and news have not been negative for the euro or particularly positive for the dollar. The pair began its decline last Wednesday evening, right after the Fed announced the dovish results of its meeting. The fall continued through Thursday and Friday, driven in part by strong pressure on the pound sterling due to renewed budget and debt issues in the UK. However, this process should come to an end s…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stock Rally Takes a Breath Most Read: Gold's (XAU/USD) Bull Run Just Getting Started? A Look at What History Says Asian stock markets took a pause on Thursday after their recent surge, as investors waited for new reasons to buy. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen faced significant selling pressure, especially against the euro and Swiss franc. The broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares (excluding Japan) slipped by 0.1%, coming after a very strong period of rallying over 5% this month and 9% this quarter. Japan's Nikkei index was up slightly by 0.2%, having jumped 7% this month and 13% this quarter. Chinese stocks were the best performers: the CSI300 ind…
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EUR/USD Yesterday's U.S. economic indicators came in better than expected. Q2 GDP was revised up from 3.3% to 3.8%, August durable goods orders increased by 2.9% versus forecasts of -0.3%, the core personal consumption expenditures price index for Q2 came in at 2.6% versus the 2.5% estimate, and even the trade balance improved to -$85.5 billion from -$103.6 billion, with a forecast of -$95.7 billion—this is the best figure in the past two years. The dollar index rose by 0.71%, the euro lost 71 pips, and broke through the daily timeframe support indicator lines. The Marlin oscillator settled in bearish territory. The price is approaching the target support at 1.1605. A fir…
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XRP fell about 8% since last week and dropped below the $3 psychological mark, trading near $2.74 after a sell-off that followed rejection at $2.95. According to Sistine Research, a pattern of tightening price action — known as a compression phase — is forming again, and that pattern could set the stage for a sharp move once buyers or sellers push price out of the narrow range. Compression Phase Returning Based on reports from Sistine Research, XRP has entered its third major compression phase since the US election last November. In plain terms, price swings have grown smaller as trading has concentrated into a tighter band. That shrinking range can build pressure. Wh…
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US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) August YoY (ex. Food & Energy): +2.9% vs +2.9% expected, meets consensusUS Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) August MoM (ex. Food & Energy): +2% vs +0.2% expected, meets consensusUS Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) August YoY: +2.7% vs +2.7% expected, meets consensusUS Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) August MoM: +0.3% vs +0.3% expected, meets consensusUS Personal Income August MoM: +0.4% vs +0.3% expected, above consensus by +0.1%US Personal Spending August MoM: +0.6% vs +0.5% expected, above consensus by +0.1%US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Report (August 2025): …
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Justin Sun and Tron’s legal battle with Bloomberg just got a lot bigger and a whole lot more complex. Here’s what’s next in the Tron founder’s legal dispute. A federal judge’s order and a fresh salvo from Justin Sun’s camp have escalated the TRON founder’s fight with Bloomberg over the disclosure of his crypto holdings. TRON founder Justin Sun’s legal dispute with Bloomberg deepened this weekend after his representatives accused the news outlet of breaking a confidentiality promise. The statement came days after a Delaware federal judge rejected Sun’s request to block Bloomberg from publishing details of his personal wealth. The update was posted on Sunday on TRON DA…
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Last week, Ethereum (ETH) prices fell below $4,000 amidst a general crypto market onslaught marked by heavy liquidations. However, the prominent altcoin soon made a quick bounce off the $3,800 price region and has since slipped into consolidation. Notably, popular crypto analyst Lark Davis is tipping Ethereum to make a euphoric market rebound with a potential all-time high on the cards. Ethereum RSI Flashes Bullish Signal After Fall Into Deep Oversold Zone The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a technical analysis indicator that measures the speed and magnitude of price movements. It is generally used to identify when an asset is overbought, i.e., an overheated market, o…
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The Bitcoin community is again locked in a heated debate following reports that developer Luke Dashjr, creator of the Bitcoin Knots client, is exploring the possibility of a hard fork to remove illicit data from the blockchain. At the heart of the controversy are leaked discussions suggesting Dashjr has considered a framework where a select quorum of signers could retroactively redact blockchain entries using zero-knowledge proofs (ZKPs). The aim, according to these reports, would be to filter objectionable or illegal non-financial data embedded in Bitcoin’s immutable ledger, while preserving valid transaction history. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.18T24h7d30d1yAll time …
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The U.S. dollar quickly lost ground against risk assets at the end of last week, with clear reasons for this shift. Data showed that the U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index matched economists' forecasts, indicating moderate price pressures in the U.S. This sharply weakened the dollar's position. Traders interpreted it as a signal that the Federal Reserve can continue cutting interest rates without major risks, stimulating the economy and supporting the labor market. As a result, U.S. assets became less attractive, triggering capital outflows. The euro, the British pound, and other risk-sensitive assets, by contrast, strengthened on expectations that th…
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Trend Analysis (Figure 1) On Tuesday, the market may continue to move upward from the level of 1.3423 (yesterday's daily candlestick close), targeting 1.3476 – the 38.2% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may begin to move downward, targeting 1.3449 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). Figure 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Volume – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward;Weekly chart – upward.Overall Conclusion: Upward trend. Alternative Scenario: From the level of 1.3423 (yesterday's daily candlestick close), the price may continue to move upward, t…
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Ripple is taking another bold step toward mainstream finance by extending the reach of its Interledger Protocol into the SWIFT network, regarded as the backbone of global payments. By enabling interoperability between two of the most influential payment ecosystems, Ripple is positioning XRP as a key player in the future of international money movement. Could XRP Become A Standard For Settlement? The strategy for mainstream adoption of the XRP Ledger (XRPL) and its native asset, XRP, is intricately linked to the Interledger Protocol (ILP). As highlighted by researcher SMQKE on X, Ripple’s approach is to become an essential part of the Society for Worldwide Interbank Finan…
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[Silver] – [Wednesday, October 01, 2025] With the EMA position still in a Golden Cross and the RSI in the Neutral to Bullish zone, then Silver has the potential to appreciate today toward its nearest resistance levels. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 47.840 2. Resistance. 1 : 47.225 3. Pivot : 46.500 4. Support. 1 : 45.855 5. Support. 2 : 45.160 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the XAG/USD price breaks and closes above 47.225, there is potential to test the 47.840 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 47.840 is successfully breached and closed above, Silver has the potential to move up to the 48.565 level. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The u…
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October opened with tension in both politics and crypto. The U.S. federal government officially shut down for the first time in six years after Congress failed to agree on a budget deal. The deadlock has rattled global markets, and digital assets are no exception. Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $114,521.87 0.76% Bitcoin BTC Price $114,521.87 0.76% /24h Volume in 24h …
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Shutdown and its economic consequences A government shutdown has been declared in the United States due to the lack of a funding agreement, resulting in the closure of government institutions and potential mass layoffs. Economists warn of risks to the labor market and financial markets in this environment of uncertainty. Analysts note that a prolonged shutdown could negatively impact GDP growth in the fourth quarter. Additionally, it increases pressure on politicians, as investors demand quick solutions to stabilize the situation. Read more at the link. Index records and declining futuresThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq stock indices ended the quarter at new highs, but future…
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Bitcoin has reclaimed the $115,000 level, restoring momentum after weeks of uncertainty and signaling that bulls are regaining strength. The move comes as traders push back against selling pressure, with renewed optimism spreading across the market. For many, the rebound highlights Bitcoin’s resilience and its ability to bounce after testing key support levels. Yet, not everyone feels convinced. Several analysts warn that despite the recent upside, Bitcoin may still face the risk of a deeper correction. The recovery looks promising, but the broader structure remains fragile, and cautious voices continue to dominate discussions. A failure to hold above $115,000 could onc…
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The narrative surrounding Ethereum’s future has fundamentally shifted, and is rapidly solidifying its role as the global, compliant settlement layer for traditional finance (TradFi). This strategic transformation is inextricably linked to the dominance of Stablecoins and the explosive growth of Tokenized Real-World Assets (RWAs). Network Effects Of Stablecoins And RWA On Ethereum In a recent post on X, the Token Terminal highlighted a key insight focusing on why Stablecoins and RWAs matter for the Ethereum market cap. To date, Stablecoins and RWAs are crucial for ETH, as the market capitalization of tokenized assets on ETH acts as the floor for ETH’s market cap. The re…
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S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 at all-time highs amid AI optimismThe US stock indices S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 continue to rise, setting new all-time highs. This is linked to optimism around artificial intelligence, stimulating investor interest and underpinning technology sector stocks. An additional growth driver has been strong quarterly earnings from leading IT companies, further strengthening confidence in the sector's outlook. Experts note that inflows of foreign investment into the US market are also playing a key role. Follow the link for more details. S&P 500 sets 30th record thanks to technology companiesDespite threats and criticism, the S&P 500 set…
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Fed Faces Dilemma Ahead of October 29 FOMC Meeting Data Accuracy With the next Federal Reserve (FOMC) decision scheduled for October 29, policymakers are facing an unusual challenge: the government shutdown has delayed critical economic data, leaving the Fed “flying blind” just weeks before its next interest rate call. At the September meeting, the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points, and market pricing suggests traders expect another cut in October. But with a slowing labor market and persistent inflation pressures, the decision won’t be straightforward. What Is the Fed’s Dual Mandate? The Federal Reserve’s dual mandate, set by Congress, consists of two key goals: M…
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The crypto market continued its bullish momentum today as Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $123,550.04 0.31% Bitcoin BTC Price $123,550.04 0.31% /24h Volume in 24h $59.58B Price 7d Learn more , Solana meme coins, surged 35% today, outperforming …
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Trade analysis and advice for trading the euro The price test of 1.1696 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move down from the zero line. This confirmed the correct entry point for selling the euro and resulted in a 30-point drop in the pair. The political crisis in France continues: today, French Defense Minister Le Maire also resigned. This came just a day after the resignation of the Prime Minister, who had served for only 27 days. Political turbulence has reached its peak, plunging the country into deep uncertainty and calling into question the stability of the ruling coalition. The resignation of key government figures one after another indicates a se…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 7th Today commemorates the second anniversary of the tragic massacre when Hamas soldiers invaded Israel, killing, raping, and kidnapping more than a thousand civilians. Tomorrow will see the biggest meeting of Arab leaders regarding implementing the Trump 20-point Plan, which would impose a ceasefire and achieve a process towards peace in the region for the time to come. The meeting will be held in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, and will include the highest diplomatic delegates from Qatar, Turkey, and Egypt. US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff will also participate in the meeting and recently landed in Egypt. Tu…
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The GBP/USD currency pair continued to trade lower on Tuesday, and we continue to view this movement as entirely illogical. In the EUR/USD article, we suggested that the euro pair is in a flat range on the daily timeframe. With GBP/USD, there's really no need to guess — the flat is plain to see. Given the traditionally high correlation between the euro and pound, there's every reason to assume that both currencies are trading sideways. If true, then the current decline in the pound is purely technical and has nothing to do with macroeconomic or fundamental factors. Even on the 4-hour chart, it's clear that the price has been bouncing around in every direction over the pas…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations on the British Pound The price test of 1.3401 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The release of the Bank of England meeting minutes supported the pound. The language of the press release was extremely cautious: no hints of a reassessment of the current monetary policy and not a single mention of upcoming interest rate cuts. Such a neutral tone, combined with detailed statistics on inflation expectations, created a sense of stability, which was immediately reflected in the currency markets. Ahead, a fairl…
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Gold is trading around 4,020, below the 21 SMA and below the uptrend channel formed since early October. The H1 chart shows that gold is undergoing a technical correction, and we could expect it to reach +1/8 Murray around $3,906. If the price consolidates above 4,035, we could expect it to reach +2/8 Murray around 4,062. The H1 chart shows strong overbought conditions. So, if the price closes the gap left at the close of Wednesday's session, we could expect it to reach the 4,040 level and even 4,062. Our outlook will be bearish as long as the gold price consolidates below 4,062. Therefore, any technical rebound, as long as the price remains below this area, will be seen …
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 9th Now up above 2% on the week, many Markets and assets can't ignore the ongoing rally in the US Dollar. Between resilient consumers – with, for example, Airlines like Delta giving out strong future expectations – and the Trump Administration-engineered Middle East deal agreed by both parties now, the US is getting back on its feet. Indeed, some questions are arising in concern of the strength of the US Economy. Despite some job losses and tariffs, how is it that company earnings and retail sales are still growing so much ? Some very interesting pieces convey that US Equities at record highs and filthy …
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