Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12212 tópicos neste fórum
-
GBP/USD On Wednesday, the British pound reached the target support level of 1.3369, corresponding to the June 23 low. Previously, this level was slightly lower, based on the July 16 low. A rebound occurred from this support zone, which could potentially lift the price above the MACD line (at 1.3434), thereby opening the path toward the next target at 1.3525. However, the Marlin oscillator remains in negative territory, suggesting that the anticipated upward movement will not be easy — especially considering that the entire 1.3369–1.3525 range represents a long-term zone of free movement. On the four-hour chart, the MACD line at 1.3430 is the immediate resistance. The Ma…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.90. The price is now struggling and might continue to move down if it trades below $2.820. XRP price is slowly moving lower below the $2.90 zone. The price is now trading below $2.90 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.880 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh decline if it settles below $2.820. XRP Price Dips Further XRP price failed to stay above $3.00 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $2.950 and $2.920 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price tes…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how the Open Interest for Bitcoin and the altcoins is forming a setup that previously led to a market downturn. Bitcoin & Altcoins Have Seen A Jump In Open Interest Recently In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has discussed about the latest trend in the Open Interest for Bitcoin and the altcoins. This indicator measures the total amount of positions related to a given asset or group of assets that are currently open on all centralized derivatives exchanges. It takes into account both long and short positions. When the value of the Open interest rises, it means speculative interest in the market is goin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The British pound, euro, and Australian dollar were traded today using the Momentum strategy. I did not trade anything using Mean Reversion. Given the current pressure on risk assets, it is not surprising that the dollar continues its winning growth streak. This is especially evident in pairs with the euro, pound, and Japanese yen. Even positive data on Germany's trade surplus failed to help the euro rise. The European currency remains under the influence of a number of negative factors, including concerns over slowing eurozone economic growth, uncertainty regarding the European Central Bank's future monetary policy, as well as political tensions in the region. Considerin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The New Zealand Dollar has been under heavy pressure in recent weeks, weighed down by a string of disappointing economic data, including a sharp GDP contraction that surprised markets and pushed the RBNZ toward a more dovish stance. But markets often move in unexpected ways. Despite the policy decision being split between a 25 bps and 50 bps cut, and the RBNZ ultimately choosing the larger move, NZD/USD didn’t tumble as far as expected. In fact, buyers stepped in, bringing the pair back to nearly unchanged levels by the close of yesterday's session. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Despite consolidating around the $0.24 area for months now, a new technical analysis suggests that the Dogecoin price could be gearing up for another explosive move this cycle. A crypto analyst has identified a recurring rounded bottom pattern in DOGE’s historic price chart, suggesting a familiar setup that often precedes massive rallies. The analyst argues that a combination of technical structure and macroeconomic conditions could once again send Dogecoin flying. Macro Correlations Suggest Dogecoin Price Rally Ahead In an extensive analysis shared on X social media, crypto market analyst Osemka highlighted a recurring pattern of rounded bottom formations in Dogecoin’s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price corrected losses and traded above the $114,200 level. BTC is now struggling and might face hurdles near the $116,000 level. Bitcoin started a recovery wave above the $114,000 resistance level. The price is trading below $115,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $119,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $112,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Hurdles Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $110,000 pivot level. BTC recovered above the $112,500 and $113,200 resistance levels. The price climbed abov…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Binance Coin (BNB) climbed to a fresh record on Monday, hitting $1,370 after briefly topping $1,355. According to reports, the move came even as the wider crypto market took a heavy blow — a nearly $20 billion wipeout tied to leveraged positions — leaving many tokens under pressure while BNB pushed onward. The token also stood out in the top 20 by market cap by closing the week with a 10% gain. BNB Inks New Highs Traders watching price charts pointed to a string of strong moves. After a rally to $860 in July, BNB fell about 14% to $728 and then resumed its rise. It later reached $1,075 before pulling back to $930, and it rode that momentum into the early October peak. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
EUR/USD is trading around 1.1618, bouncing after forming a double bottom pattern around 1.1543. After bouncing above 1.1550, the euro is now consolidating above the 7/8 Murray and above the 200 EMA, suggesting it could continue its rise in the coming days, reaching the 200 EMA around 1.1670. EUR/USD is expected to rise in the coming hours until it breaks the downtrend channel and reaches the 8/8 Murray around 1.1718. The euro is expected to cover the bottom it left at around 1.1739. Therefore, we could look for opportunities to continue buying at current levels while the EUR/USD pair trades above 1.1580. Any pullback will then be seen as a buying opportunity. The outl…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice for Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3284 level coincided with the MACD indicator having already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's bullish potential. The second test of this level occurred while MACD was in the overbought zone, triggering the implementation of Sell Scenario No. 2. However, the anticipated decline in the pair did not materialize. The pound surged sharply on Tuesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled that the U.S. central bank plans to lower the key interest rate by 0.25% at the end of the month. The market reacted instantly with widespread buying of the British currency, as i…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, gold has updated its all-time high, driven by a series of fundamental factors. This week has been marked by new threats from U.S. President Donald Trump, who announced the possible suspension of trade operations with China — including shipments of vegetable oil and other goods — in response to Beijing's refusal to purchase American soybeans. In turn, China announced additional special port fees for American vessels entering its ports, as well as stricter export restrictions on rare earth metals. These measures indicate a significant escalation of the trade conflict between the world's two largest economies. At the same time, geopolitical risks and concerns that the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 15 An uneasy sentiment still dominates markets, even as equities somehow manage to close higher. The opening session continued the positive flows coming from Europe but at some point buyers vanished into the fog the moment selling pressure hit. Thin trading conditions are amplifying the swings, with many participants on edge for the latest headline. US-China trade angst remains front and center, with top officials on both sides offering a mix of fiery remarks and conciliatory tones. It is part of the Trump's way of doing to publish harsh comments, never failing to scare markets and TACO it out – Bulls…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational pu…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The sterling slumped against the US dollar, losing as much as 1.2% intraday and erasing all gains from Fed Chair Powell’s dovish Jackson Hole speech on 22 August 2025. Based on a one-day rolling performance basis as of Tuesday, 2 September, the sterling is the weakest major currency against the greenback, where the USD/GBP gained by 1.1% at the time of writing (see Fig. 1). …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe price test at 147.60 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far down from the zero level, which limited the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. Today's data on the growth of the money supply aggregate in Japan supported the yen and weakened the dollar's position. An increase in the money supply, reflecting higher liquidity in the Japanese economy, is usually seen by the market as a positive factor. This may indicate increased business activity, rising investments, and consumer spending. In turn, this strengthens investor confidence in the prospects of the Japanese economy…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
According to reports, Michael Saylor told viewers that most equity analysts expect Bitcoin to top $150,000 by Christmas. From a current price of $113,050, that would require an increase of about 35%. There are roughly three months left until December 25. The figures set a clear benchmark for what traders now call the year-end race. Analysts Back A $150,000 Target Saylor tied the call to wider adoption. He said during a CNBC interview more firms adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets and more people learning about the asset will lift demand. Because Bitcoin’s supply is fixed, that demand pressure, he argued, could push prices higher. The tone was confident, and the mat…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Perpetua Resources (TSX, NASDAQ: PPTA) says it received initial terms for a $2 billion US government loan that would almost completely fund restarting the fast-tracked Stibnite project in Idaho, which shut in the 1990s as the last domestic source of antimony used in weapons. The Export-Import Bank of the United States, which is conducting due diligence on Perpetua’s application, sent the company a preliminary project letter with its initial findings and a non-binding term sheet, according to a statement issued late Monday. Perpetua is continuing to work with the lender to advance the project through the next stages of the loan application process. If the due dilig…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Germany’s much-publicized Bitcoin seizure campaign has come under fresh scrutiny after blockchain analysts revealed that nearly $5 billion worth of BTC has remained untouched. The finding raises intrigue within the crypto community, as questions swirl over whether the funds are lost, frozen, or simply being held in reserve. Why The Coins Remain Untouched In an X post, Elite KOL Crypto Patel, who is also associated with CoinMarketCap and Binance, has highlighted that Germany’s Bitcoin crackdown has encountered a major roadblock. Blockchain analytics firm Arkham has revealed a massive trove of untouched BTC connected to the now-defunct Movie2K piracy site, suggesting that …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
BTC ▲0.49% kicked off the day trading just above $112,000, with ETH ▲0.73% crossing $4,300. In addition to price action, news on the SEC has triggered discussion on privacy and how it will affect crypto. A change in regulatory tone is taking shape, and markets are now paying attention. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.24T24h7d30d1yAll time There has been news on chatter around the SEC lately, especially with signs that crypto regulators potentially can ease up on privacy-related issues, something many in the space have been hoping for. With altcoins like SOL ▲1.23% rallying, the optimism seems to be spreading for altcoins season. (source – SOL/USD TradingView) DISCOVER: Ne…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Tuesday rebounded from the 100.0% Fibonacci retracement level – 1.3587, turned in favor of the U.S. currency, and began a decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level – 1.3482. Today, the pair is stuck between two important levels, so the formation of new signals will depend on which direction the price moves during the day. The wave situation continues shifting toward "bullish." The last completed downward wave broke through two previous lows, while the new upward wave broke through the last two peaks. Thus, it can currently be considered that a new "bullish" trend is starting after more than two months of bearish dominance. That d…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD On Wednesday, the GBP/USD pair also traded strictly sideways with minimal volatility. There were no significant events scheduled for Wednesday, but let's recall that this week already saw the NonFarm Payrolls report and the Producer Price Index. Today, the US inflation report will be released. It also became known that the US Supreme Court reinstated Lisa Cook, whom Donald Trump fired a few weeks ago. So, the battle between Trump and the Federal Reserve continues, and the American president still cannot do anything about the FOMC's unwillingness to cut rates by 2–3% at once. Thus, the US dollar already had plenty of reasons t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3525 level occurred when the MACD indicator was starting to move upward from the zero line, confirming a good entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose to the target area around 1.3582. US inflation data once again weakened the dollar and led to growth in the British pound. Investors welcomed the slowdown in US consumer price growth, which increased the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts. This weakened the US dollar and provided significant support to the pound. A lot of important data for the UK is expected out this morning. Economists and analysts will closely watch the numbers…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
UK GDP stagnated in July 2025 (0.0% m/m), confirming an economic slowdown - however, on an annual basis the economy was 1.4% larger than a year earlier.Services and construction supported growth, while manufacturing weighed on the economy – with sharp declines in metal products, transport equipment, and computers & electronics.GBPUSD is at a key technical level, with the future direction likely to depend on monetary policy divergence between the Fed and the Bank of England – US rate cuts could support the pound.UK economy standstill In July 2025, the UK economy came to a standstill, with monthly GDP growth recorded at 0.0%, following a 0.4% increase in June and a 0…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
High-grade results from drilling at Seabridge Gold’s (TSX: SEA; NYSE: SA) Iskut project in British Columbia’s Golden Triangle have confirmed the continuity and size of the Snip North target and spurred the company to add 3,000 metres to its drill program. Highlight hole SN-25-30 cut 104.3 metres grading 1.55 grams gold per tonne, 0.25% copper and 4.5 grams silver from 390 metres depth, including 57.6 metres at 2.62 grams gold, 0.4% copper and 3 grams silver, Seabridge reported Monday. “A core zone may be emerging within this mineralized envelope showing strong gold and copper grades that we see continuing for hundreds of meters in our drill logs,” Seabridge Chair …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave structure of the 4-hour EUR/USD chart has remained unchanged for several months, which is encouraging. Even when corrective waves form, the overall structure holds together. This makes accurate forecasting possible. It should be noted that wave patterns do not always look like textbook examples. At the moment, the pattern looks very clear. The upward segment of the trend continues to develop, while the news background continues to support mostly not the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump is ongoing. The confrontation with the Fed continues. Market "dovish" expectations for the Fed's rate are growing. The market's assessment of Trump's first 6–7 month…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
