Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded lower throughout Tuesday and Wednesday, declining steadily without major pauses, even overnight. This drop has been swift and persistent. So, let's ask an important question: do traders really understand that such a move requires major fundamental justification? And do they realize that it's not enough to isolate a single event—they need to consider the entire spectrum of macroeconomic and fundamental signals? Reading various expert commentaries brings to mind the classic line from the film "Casablanca": "Round up the usual suspects." At the moment, the euro does not have any serious reasons to be falling, yet many analysts are pointing fi…
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On Wednesday, the GBP/USD currency pair again traded slightly lower — but only marginally so. In our accompanying article on EUR/USD, we discussed the reasons for the euro's decline (spoiler alert: there are hardly any). Here, we take a closer look at the pound's behavior and ask — why is it falling at all? After all, the political crisis in France has nothing to do with the British currency. In fact, the answer is already clear. The pound has even fewer reasons to fall than the euro. The situation in France, which can hardly be called a genuine crisis, has no bearing on GBP. Suggesting that the pound is falling due to a political reshuffle in France makes as much sense a…
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Ethereum price failed to extend gains above $4,600 and declined. ETH is now moving lower and might extend losses below $4,400 in the short term. Ethereum started a downside correction below $4,600 and $4,550. The price is trading below $4,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term rising channel forming with support at $4,460 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $4,400. Ethereum Price Dips Again Ethereum price extended gains above $4,620 and $4,650, like Bitcoin. ETH price tested the $4,750 resistance zone before there was a fresh decline. A low was formed at $4,414 and t…
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Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.260 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might dip further if it stays below $0.2550. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.2550 level. The price is trading below the $0.2550 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.2570 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if there is a move below $0.2420. Dogecoin Price Trims Gains Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.2620, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.260 and $0.2550 support level…
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Trade Breakdown and Strategy for the Japanese YenA test of the 152.71 level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving downward from the zero line, confirming a valid sell entry. This strategy resulted in a decline of more than 25 pips in the pair. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will continue its rate-cutting path as early as October, as clearly indicated by yesterday's FOMC meeting minutes, which put some minor pressure on the U.S. dollar. However, this did little to disrupt the bullish trend that USD/JPY has demonstrated since the start of the week. Today's equipment orders data from Japan offered only brief support to the yen. While the growth suggests a…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) takes a brief breather after creating a new all-time high (ATH) above $125,000, on-chain data shows that three key indicators played a major role in the digital asset’s latest rally to new highs. These Three Indicators Suggest More Room For Bitcoin According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, fresh data from Binance suggests that BTC is witnessing one of its most significant buying phases since mid-year. Notably, BTC’s price has surged from around $117,000 to $124,000 since the beginning of October. Arab Chain emphasized three key indicators that suggest the return of whales into the Bitcoin market. First, the net buying pressu…
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The UK has officially lifted its ban on crypto exchange-traded products for retail investors, opening access to a global market estimated at around $800 billion. These products, which were previously restricted to professional investors, will now be available to everyday users under regulated conditions. The change comes after years of limited access and growing frustration from individuals who wanted regulated exposure to crypto. Until now, retail investors were forced to either stay out or use less regulated exchanges. This update gives them a route through familiar financial channels, which could significantly shift how crypto fits into mainstream portfolios. Bitcoi…
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On-chain data shows the 30-day netflow of the XRP whales has remained deep negative recently, a sign that the asset is under persistent selling pressure. XRP Whale Flow Is At A Negative $50 Million Per Day At The Moment As explained by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a new post on X, XRP whales have been offloading coins recently. “Whales” refer to the big-money investors who hold significant amounts in their wallets and carry some influence in the market. The behavior of these key investors can often be worth keeping an eye on, as even if it may not always directly correlate with the asset’s trajectory, it can still be revealing about how the influential enti…
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Bitcoin continued its rally during U.S. trading yesterday and gained further during today's Asian session, reaching the 114,800 mark. Ethereum also posted significant gains, consolidating above $4,000. Yesterday, the SEC required issuers of spot ETFs for LTC, XRP, SOL, ADA, and DOGE to withdraw their 19b-4 filings, following the approval of general listing standards that replace the need for individual submissions. Clearly, this change will significantly accelerate the approval process for new crypto ETFs, making the old approach obsolete. As I noted earlier, the SEC's decision marks a turning point in recognizing cryptocurrencies as a legitimate asset class. The withdr…
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On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair traded with minimal volatility once again. The looming threat of a U.S. government shutdown had virtually no impact on trader sentiment — but that may not be the real reason. More likely, the market simply isn't willing to take risks right now or open positions that it might seriously regret in a few days. This explains both the low trading activity and the muted volatility. The dollar's position remains as vulnerable as ever. The greenback fell like a stone in early 2025, even as both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England were cutting interest rates. Now, roles have reversed: the ECB and BoE are taking a wait-and-see appr…
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Binance Coin (BNB) extended its hot streak, trading above $1,310 (up 3% on the day and 30% on the week), as it flipped XRP to become the third-largest cryptocurrency by market value. BNB’s market cap now hovers near $182–185 billion, capping a seven-day run that outpaced Bitcoin and Ethereum. The surge followed a clean breakout above $1,100 and $1,200, with bulls now eyeing $1,360 and the psychological $1,500 handle if momentum holds. On the downside, $1,200–$1,240 is the first support zone traders are watching for a healthy retest. Record On-Chain Activity and Meme-Season Tailwinds Currently, BNB Chain is printing cycle-high activity. Daily transactions have ranged…
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Wednesday Trade Breakdown:1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair traded in both directions while maintaining a downward bias on the hourly timeframe. The main decline occurred during the Asian session, so even the one major macroeconomic report — Germany's industrial production, which disappointed significantly — had virtually no impact on the euro. In the evening, the minutes from the latest FOMC meeting revealed that about half of the committee members expect further monetary easing. The key interest rate could be cut two more times by year-end. However, this information had already been public knowledge since September 17, the date of the Fede…
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Trade Breakdown and Strategy for the British PoundA test of the 1.3436 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. A second test of the same level while the MACD was in the overbought zone triggered Sell Scenario No. 2 and resulted in a sharp GBP sell-off of more than 50 pips. U.S. economic data continues to point to a slowdown in growth while inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target. Despite this, the Federal Reserve appears committed to supporting the economy, as noted in yesterday's FOMC meeting minutes. This outlook pressured the dollar, giving the pound a small opportunity t…
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Natural Gas (NG) Over the past two weeks, the price of natural gas has made two unsuccessful attempts to break above the weekly balance and MACD indicator lines. As of today, the price has returned below the key support level of 3.333. The Marlin oscillator has also failed to enter positive territory and is now indicating a potential downward reversal. The nearest target at 3.086 is open. With a high degree of probability, the decline could extend well below this initial target — toward 2.643. On the daily chart, the price held above the 3.333 level for six consecutive sessions, but all attempts to build upward momentum were thwarted by technical resistance from higher …
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Bitcoin’s recent price action suggests a cooling phase after its failed attempt to secure a close above the $123,000–$124,000 all-time high zone. While short-term retracement appears likely, the broader market structure remains bullish. This correction could serve as a healthy reset before Bitcoin gathers momentum for its next major wave, with $150,000 standing as the next target. Heatmap Reveals Key Gaps In Bitcoin’s Support Levels ZYN, a prominent crypto analyst, recently posted an update on X highlighting a key observation from Bitcoin’s cost basis heatmap. The analyst noted that there’s limited support between the $121,000 and $120,000 levels, creating a fragile zone…
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The crypto market has been in the red today with Bitcoin taking altcoins down with it. The main reason could be the Trump and China thing on tariffs and taxes. It is also affecting the S&P500, Nasdaq (US100) and DJI indexes. Actually all three are having their biggest red day in a while. In the meantime, Gold and Silver are doing well. This shows us that Bitcoin is more tied to the indexes rather than safe-haven assets like Silver and Gold. Partially meaning we are still early with .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $112,512.17 7…
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Senator Cynthia Lummis is pushing a new proposal that aims to make spending Bitcoin as easy as swiping a debit card. Her plan introduces a de minimis tax exemption that would remove capital gains reporting for small Bitcoin transactions. By cutting out complicated tax steps, she hopes to make paying for coffee, groceries, or everyday services with Bitcoin far more practical. Breaking Down the Proposal The draft framework would exempt individual transactions under roughly 300 dollars from taxation, with a yearly cap of 5,000 dollars per person. That means people wouldn’t need to calculate capital gains every time they spend small amounts. There are limits, though. T…
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The Ethereum Foundation has introduced a new Privacy Cluster dedicated to building out privacy features across the network. This shows a clear push to make privacy part of Ethereum’s foundation rather than a secondary concern. The cluster brings together 47 specialists, including engineers, researchers, cryptographers, and coordinators. It will be led by Igor Barinov, the founder of Blockscout, who has a long history within the Ethereum ecosystem. Working Side by Side with Other Teams Rather than operating as a silo, the Privacy Cluster will coordinate closely with other Foundation groups. One of its key partners will be the Institutional Privacy Task Force, which focu…
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