Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12230 tópicos neste fórum
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Senator Elizabeth Warren is intensifying her scrutiny of Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, by demanding clarifications from the US Department of Justice (DOJ) regarding the crypto company’s compliance with a 2023 settlement agreement. This comes in the wake of concerns about the exchange’s alleged ties to President Donald Trump’s administration and the potential easing of regulatory oversight. Warren Pressures DOJ On Binance Compliance Following years of legal challenges, which culminated in the resignation and brief imprisonment of former CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) over allegations of money laundering in the US, Binance appeared to have navigated a pa…
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An analyst has pointed out how a 78% price move could be coming for Pepe based on a technical analysis (TA) pattern forming in its daily chart. PEPE Is Approaching The End Of A Symmetrical Triangle In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has shared a TA pattern forming in the 1-day price of Pepe. The pattern in question is a “Symmetrical Triangle,” which forms when an asset observes consolidation between two trendlines approaching each other at a roughly equal and opposite slope. The upper line of the pattern acts as a resistance barrier, while the lower one provides support. Together, they make it so that the price remains stuck in the channel between them, and since …
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We discussed the results of the September Fed meeting in the previous review—I recommend reading it. Now it's time to look at Jerome Powell's press conference. The Fed Chair made a few important and interesting remarks. First, Powell stated that the impact of import tariffs on inflation may be short-lived. Second, Mr. Powell said that the main blow from the trade war would be felt by companies that stand between exporters and end consumers. Here, I must disagree with the FOMC Chair, since all retailers and manufacturing companies, without exception, always pass additional costs on to end consumers. No business will operate at a loss for long. Ultimately, it's American bu…
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So, the Federal Reserve made a decision that was entirely expected and not at all surprising. The interest rate was lowered by 25 basis points, but this is precisely what the market anticipated. There were far more questions about the central bank's next moves amid a weakening labor market and rising inflation. But, as was easy to predict, there were no specifics from the Fed or from Jerome Powell himself. Powell's entire speech can be interpreted in any way you like. The Fed chair didn't say "no" to a 50 basis point cut by the end of the year, but he didn't announce one either. The dot plot showed a slightly more "dovish" mood for the coming year, but only marginally so.…
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The FOMC meeting could amuse anyone who follows American news even a little. At the end of August, one of the Fed governors, Adriana Kugler, left her post under rather strange circumstances, just a few months before the end of her term. I can already imagine the most expensive champagne being popped open in the White House to celebrate. Trump didn't have to search long for her replacement. He nominated Stephen Miran, who was and still is Donald Trump's economic advisor. Even if you're not an expert in staffing at U.S. government agencies, it's easy to guess that Miran cannot legally hold two positions at once—one directly linked to politics, and the other to monetary poli…
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The AUD/USD pair has been in a zone of strong turbulence in recent days — on Wednesday, buyers made their presence felt at the 0.6709 mark, while on Thursday, sellers pushed it down to the lower end of the 0.66 range. Such swings are driven not only by the outcome of the Fed's September meeting. The Australian currency has also played a role, sharply reacting to the published labor market data out of Australia. The release did not favor the Aussie. Unemployment in August held at the previous month's level, i.e., 4.2%. On the one hand, this is "stability," but it's important to remember that the unemployment rate is a lagging and shaky indicator. Labor market cooling ca…
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It's sheer chaos! Instead of continuing its rally after the Federal Funds rate cut and the FOMC's "dovish" forecasts, EUR/USD confidently moved south. Investors decided that Donald Trump would fail in dictating terms to the central bank and stripping it of its independence. A serious split within the ranks of the Fed raises doubts about the central bank's commitment to its chosen path. Statistics on jobless claims further fueled bearish pressure. The September FOMC meeting revealed how Trump's people intend to act. Stephen Miran not only voted for a 50-basis-point cut in the Federal Funds rate, but also projected in the dot plot its reduction by 150 basis points! Given th…
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Dogecoin (DOGE) has surged 13% this week, climbing to $0.282, despite heavy selling pressure from investors. Over $1.63 billion worth of DOGE, nearly 5.81 billion tokens, have been moved to exchanges in September, signaling profit-taking and caution among traders. Long-term holders, who had previously offered stability, are also shifting assets according to the coin days destroyed (CDD) metric, often a sign of potential downside risk. However, the bullish rally remains strong, mainly driven by optimism about a possible spot Dogecoin ETF launch. This regulatory milestone, along with increasing corporate treasury use and payment integrations, has kept DOGE on the minds o…
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Zeus Network is positioning itself at the heart of cross-chain innovation by linking Bitcoin’s unmatched security with Solana’s high-speed infrastructure. If successful, Zeus Network could become a cornerstone of cross-chain adoption, reshaping how value flows between blockchains in the ecosystem. Unlocking New Use Cases For Bitcoin In Solana DeFi Zeus Network is stepping into the spotlight as the project is designed to connect Bitcoin and Solana into one seamless ecosystem, the two most powerful blockchains in the crypto space. SkyeOps, in a post on X, has highlighted the core of Zeus Network’s technology, a decentralized permissionless communication layer that enables …
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 18 Today's story was one of a FOMC rate decision that American Markets loved. Between a comeback in the US Dollar and Nasdaq rallying to new highs, traders loved the atmosphere. Tech stocks led the charge after the acquisition news that Nvidia had acquired a stake in Intel, propelling related names like CrowdStrike and Synopsys higher. Still, the Dow Jones closed near the same lows seen during the FOMC’s intraday down-wick, a dynamic that will be worth watching in the coming sessions. By contrast, the Russell 2000 marked fresh all-time highs—a first since November 2024—underscoring the rotation into sma…
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The market has been gaining momentum in recent weeks, with industry leaders suggesting that the Bitcoin price is only at the beginning of its next major rally. As the digital asset shows resilience against broader market volatility, Adam Back, the co-founder and Chief Executive Officer of Blockstream, a blockchain technology company, has made a bold prediction that Bitcoin at $100,000 is still cheap. The crypto founder believes the flagship cryptocurrency holds far greater potential, predicting its real peak value for this cycle. Why Bitcoin Price At $100,000 Is Still Cheap Back, a long-time advocate of Bitcoin, recently emphasized that the market continues to underesti…
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An XRP/BTC long-term chart shared by pseudonymous market technician Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX) points to a delayed—but potentially explosive—upswing for XRP versus Bitcoin, with the analyst arguing that “the next monster leg up” cannot begin before early 2026 if key Ichimoku conditions are to be satisfied on the highest time frames. Posting a two-month (2M) XRP/BTC chart with Ichimoku overlays and date markers for September/October, November/December and January/February, Dr Cat framed the setup around the position of the Chikou Span (CS) relative to price candles and the Tenkan-sen. “Based on the 2M chart I expect the next monster leg up to start no earlier than 2026,” he wro…
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Gold prices are declining for the second consecutive day from record highs after volatility triggered by the Fed's actions. For the second day in a row, gold prices are retreating from record highs after volatility sparked by the Fed's moves. The metal broke below $3658 and the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, shifting momentum to the downside. This opens the way toward the psychological level of $3600, with stronger support seen in the $3565–3578 level, where the 100-SMA on the 4-hour chart is located. The $3658 level, together with the 50-period SMA, now acts as resistance, capping any rebound attempts from current levels. A breakout above this…
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Gold and Silver are subject to immediate pressure as the US Dollar regains strength and reputation after yesterday's FOMC meeting. The challenged independence of the Fed was a major driver behind the immense rally metals enjoyed from late August into early September, as Powell’s shift in tone from the Jackson Hole conference cast doubt on the Fed’s consistency amid still high inflation. Yet the dovish stance advocated by Bowman and Waller, seen as President Trump's protege-appointees ahead of the Sep FOMC—was vindicated by subsequent NFP misses and the downward revisions in BLS data. This is leading to the Federal Reserve regaining back some of its lost confidence thro…
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Bitcoin is targeting the $118,000 level, reigniting bullish momentum and fueling speculation of a potential push toward a new all-time high. With buyers regaining control after recent volatility, this breakout could open the path toward $120,000 and beyond. Pullback Seen As Final Shakeout Before Rally Crypto VIP Signal, in a recent update, pointed out that Bitcoin experienced a sharp pullback yesterday after news of a rate cut, coupled with remarks from Jerome Powell, triggered a wave of volatility. The decline caught the attention of traders across the market, but the expert’s analysis suggests that this movement is more likely a final shakeout rather than the start of …
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On Thursday, the Japanese yen took a defensive stance against the U.S. dollar. The USD/JPY pair is rising for the second straight day, recovering after briefly dropping to its lowest level since July 7, immediately following the Federal Reserve's rate decision. At the time of writing, the pair is trading near the psychological level of 148.00, up nearly 0.75% on the day. This strength is driven by dollar gains, while traders await two key events on Friday: Japan's national Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Bank of Japan's final rate decision. The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its benchmark rate at 0.50%, with investor focus on Governor Kazuo Ueda's outlook. The Japan…
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On Thursday, the euro began the North American session with a 0.2% gain against the U.S. dollar, recovering part of the positions lost earlier during European trading. The EUR/USD pair is paying little attention to the persistent political instability in France. The political situation in France remains a significant source of uncertainty, with French 10-year government bond yields now exceeding Italian equivalents. The new prime minister is struggling to secure support from the Socialist Party, while hardline remarks by National Rally leader Marine Le Pen on Wednesday fueled speculation about the potential dissolution of parliament or even the resignation of President Ma…
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The wave structure on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, which is very encouraging. Even when corrective waves form, the integrity of the structure is preserved. This makes accurate forecasting possible. I should remind you that wave counts rarely look textbook-perfect. Right now, however, they look very good. The construction of the upward trend section continues, while the news background mostly supports everything but the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. The market's dovish expectations regarding Fed policy are growing. Market participants rate the results of Trump'…
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The pound reacted with a slight decline to the Bank of England's decision to keep the interest rate at 4%. The regulator also left open the prospect of a further rate cut later this year due to growing concerns about a resurgence of inflation. The Monetary Policy Committee voted 7–2 on Thursday to keep rates unchanged. Swati Dhingra and Alan Taylor, long-time supporters of a dovish stance, backed another quarter-point cut. Economists had expected such a decision and a split vote. In its accompanying statement, the Bank of England noted that inflation remains above the 2% target and that there is a risk of further acceleration. The regulator also stressed that it is close…
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XRP has been subjected to bold predictions about its future value in the crypto community this cycle. One such prediction came recently from Versan Aljarrah, better known as Black Swan Capitalist, who noted that the stage is set for XRP to hit the $100 mark. Here, he outlined a roadmap on social media that explains how XRP could scale from today’s modest $3 price levels to $100, $1,000, and even beyond. Big Players Need To Start Stacking According to Aljarrah, XRP’s first push to $100 is dependent on accumulation by big players. This is very important, and recent market dynamics have quietly increased this accumulation trend, especially as institutional investors are now…
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A surge in supply from the Congo, responsible for 80% of the world’s cobalt output, coupled with tepid demand from the electric vehicle market, saw cobalt prices sink to historic lows at the start of 2025. Copper production in the DRC, with a big chunk owned by Chinese companies, was rising fast – leading to a near 40% jump in the country’s co-product cobalt output in 2024, but in February the country announced a four month ban on exports, extending it again in June. The price of cobalt sulphate entering the EV battery supply chain in China duly responded and is now trading over 90% higher than at the start of the year averaging $6,947 a tonne in August (still no…
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Tax-Friendly States for Retirees: Best Options for High-Income Households Executive Summary: Where you live in retirement can quietly add or subtract six figures from your lifetime tax bill. This guide highlights the most tax-friendly states for retirees, flags common “gotchas” for high earners (capital gains, estate and inheritance taxes, and property-tax rules), and gives you simple checklists and scenarios so you can compare options with confidence. Why State Choice Matters for High-Income Retirees Federal taxes get the headlines. Yet your state can be the difference between easy cash flow and constant drag. If your income comes from investments, business interests, o…
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Market Insights Podcast (18/09/2025): In today’s episode, we discuss the Federal Reserve’s 25 basis point cut yesterday, the Bank of England’s vote to maintain headline lending rates today, and recent revelations concerning the Swiss National Bank, amongst a renewed wave of franc strength. Join OANDA Market Analyst Kenny Fisher, OANDA Financial Writer Christian Norman, Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide r…
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Crypto pundit Pumpius is drawing attention to what he calls the “XRP Endgame,” saying all the key pieces are falling into place for Ripple and its token. According to him, these shifts put XRP in a rare position to rise above other digital assets. Global rules and banking standards are also moving in Ripple’s favor at the same time. Pundit: Institutional Rails And Legal Clarity Cement XRP’s Role Pumpius stresses that Ripple’s victory in its long fight with the SEC is not just a legal win but a turning point. After years in court, XRP now has the strongest legal clarity of any cryptocurrency in the U.S. He also points to Ripple’s launch of RLUSD, its enterprise stablec…
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MoneyGram is launching its own entry into the digital custody space with an app designed to hold both traditional fiat currencies and stablecoins. A trial run is scheduled in Colombia before MoneyGram expands to other markets. It’s a carefully planned decision, as most remittances in Colombia come from abroad, usually in USD. The underlying blockchain is powered by Stellar and Crossmint, with customer balances held in Circle’s USDC. While MoneyGram’s new wallet appears to be a good way to bring existing MoneyGram customers into stablecoins, support for other cryptocurrencies is limited. So, it’s a bit of a stretch to say MoneyGram has launched a new digital crypto walle…
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