Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12210 tópicos neste fórum
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Arthur Hayes believes the macro domino that sends Bitcoin to $1 million has just tipped. In a post on X late Monday, the BitMEX co-founder argued that the US Federal Reserve is preparing markets for “yield curve control” (YCC) under what he called a “third mandate,” pointing to the confirmation of economist Stephen Miran to the Fed’s Board of Governors and a fresh Bloomberg report raising the same specter. “With Fed board member Miran now confirmed, the MSM is preparing the world for the Fed’s ‘third mandate’ which is essentially yield curve control. LFG! YCC -> $BTC = $1m,” Hayes wrote. His comment came hours after Bloomberg published “Fed ‘Third Mandate’ Forces Bond…
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The Director of Brazil’s National Mining Agency (Agência Nacional de Mineração), Caio Seabra Filho, was arrested on Wednesday as part of a wide-ranging federal operation targeting corruption, environmental crimes, and illegal mining activity in the mineral-rich state of Minas Gerais. Launched by the Federal Police in partnership with the Federal Prosecution Service, the Comptroller General’s Office (CGU), and Brazil’s Internal Revenue Service, the investigation revealed a complex criminal network accused of fraudulently securing environmental and mining licenses. These licenses enabled illegal iron ore extraction in areas protected under federal environmental and…
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $4,520. ETH is now showing positive signs and might attempt to clear the $4,680 resistance. Ethereum is now recovering higher above the $4,550 zone. The price is trading above $4,580 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $4,550 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above $4,640 and $4,700. Ethereum Price Eyes Steady Increase Ethereum price extended losses below $4,550 before the bulls appeared, like Bitcoin. ETH price tested the $4,415 zone and recently started a recovery wave. The price …
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ThumzUp Media, a company with ties to Donald Trump Jr., has just made a major move into crypto. The company bought 7.5 million Dogecoin, making it clear that this isn’t just a casual dabble. It’s part of a growing plan to build up a digital asset treasury, and for whatever reason, Dogecoin is now at the center of it. From Likes and Shares to Memecoins This is a company that started off in the ad tech space, helping brands get more attention through social media engagement. Now, it’s buying meme coins. That shift alone tells you something about where their focus is headed. Holding millions of DOGE suggests they’re thinking long-term, not just trying to ride a short-term w…
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The Federal Reserve’s first rate cut of 2025 has landed—25 basis points on September 17—and, in Trader Mayne’s telling, that removes the last macro “X-factor” hanging over the crypto market. In a video analysis posted the same day, the veteran price-action trader argued that with the policy move now in the rear-view mirror, crypto can “just focus on the charts,” sketching a roadmap in which Bitcoin posts one more leg higher into new all-time highs before a pullback ushers in a classic altseason blow-off. “We had FOMC today and the rates got cut finally… It’s 25 basis points,” he said. “Now the market’s going to digest it.” Where Is Bitcoin Price Going Next? The policy ba…
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Following the Federal Reserve's recent meeting, Bitcoin remained stable, while several altcoins responded with notable gains. Tensions surrounding the key interest rate persist, largely driven by forecasts about the near-term outlook for the US economy. After the Fed's decision, Bitcoin held its ground and on Thursday, September 18, climbed to $117,300. Meanwhile, other digital assets like Ethereum, Dogecoin, Solana, and XRP showed strong upward momentum. Notably, ETFs based on XRP and Dogecoin sparked avid investor interest in the US. The Fed's interest rate cut has revived hopes for a new crypto rally, which some analysts believe could be the largest since the bull ma…
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Gold and Silver are subject to immediate pressure as the US Dollar regains strength and reputation after yesterday's FOMC meeting. The challenged independence of the Fed was a major driver behind the immense rally metals enjoyed from late August into early September, as Powell’s shift in tone from the Jackson Hole conference cast doubt on the Fed’s consistency amid still high inflation. Yet the dovish stance advocated by Bowman and Waller, seen as President Trump's protege-appointees ahead of the Sep FOMC—was vindicated by subsequent NFP misses and the downward revisions in BLS data. This is leading to the Federal Reserve regaining back some of its lost confidence thro…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of the 1.1823 price coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started to move down from the zero line, confirming the validity of the sell entry for the euro. As a result, the pair dropped by 50 pips. The explosive growth of the Philadelphia Manufacturing Index triggered an instant surge in demand for the dollar and, as a result, a weakening in the euro's position. The optimistic data encouraged investors to actively buy the US currency, which was perceived as a sign of an improving US economy. In the near term, the dollar's strengthening trend is likely to persist, especially if positive economic report…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 147.49 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar and missed a good upward move. The jump in the Philadelphia Manufacturing Index to 21 points in August led to instant dollar buying and a drop in the Japanese yen. This surge took most analysts by surprise—forecasts had called for much lower readings—and triggered an immediate reassessment of the US economic outlook. Investors eager to catch any signs of recovery quickly turned to the dollar as a safe haven and profit i…
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Safe Withdrawal Rate: Income from a $5M–$10M Portfolio Executive Summary A safe withdrawal rate is a disciplined way to turn savings into steady retirement income while keeping the risk of running out low. For $5 million to $10 million portfolios, even a 0.5% shift changes annual income by roughly $25,000 to $50,000; it takes about a 1% change on $10 million to move income by six figures. Additionally, this guide defines the safe withdrawal rate, shows practical ranges, and gives you a simple playbook to use with your advisor. In short, start with a sensible range, then refine it with rules you can actually follow. What a Safe Withdrawal Rate Really Means A safe withdraw…
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Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3524 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair fell by more than 25 points. The drop was caused by a sharp increase in public sector borrowing, which threatens the UK's economic outlook and the political career of Rachel Reeves. The surge in government debt, reported at far higher levels than expected, triggered panic among investors. Many economists questioned the government's ability to manage finances effectively, which immediately weighed on the pound sterling. This significa…
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, which is very encouraging. Even when corrective waves form, the structure's integrity is preserved, allowing for accurate forecasts. Recall that wave structures do not always look like textbook examples. At present, however, the pattern looks very good. The upward segment of the trend continues to develop, while the news background largely does not support the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. Market expectations for Fed rate cuts are becoming more dovish. The market's assessment of Trump's first 6–7 months in offic…
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XRP has failed to maintain bullish momentum after pushing as high as $3.13 during the week. At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $3.00 and testing its resilience above this level after sliding alongside Bitcoin. The resulting price action is a defining moment for XRP’s short-term trend, according to technical analysis, and crypto analyst CasiTrades has pointed out a decisive support level that could determine whether the bullish structure remains intact. XRP Tests $2.98 Support Zone Taking to the social media platform X, crypto analyst CasiTrades highlighted an important support level that XRP must hold in order to continue its bullish momentum. According to Ca…
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Despite an aggressive intraday drop in the cryptocurrency market — likely aimed at flushing out speculators and weaker hands in preparation for the next leg of the bull run — Bitcoin managed to stay above the $112,000 level. And with continued inflows into crypto investment products, there's reason to remain calm. In fact, when looking at the fundamental factors supporting the crypto industry, the outlook remains largely positive. Institutional interest is holding strong, and more corporations are adding digital assets to their balance sheets. Regulatory developments are ongoing, fostering innovation and expanding the practical use of cryptocurrencies. The regulatory e…
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XRP can finally plug into DeFi, but will FXRP’s launch on Flare be enough to lift the token in October? Flare Network announced on Sept. 24 that its FAssets protocol is now live on mainnet, beginning with FXRP v1.2. The token is a one-to-one, over-collateralized representation of XRP that can be used in Flare’s decentralized finance stack. The rollout marks the first time XRP holders can tap into lending, liquidity, and, soon, liquid staking on Flare. If the pattern holds, the next resistance levels are near $3.20 to $3.30, possibly extending toward $3.60 to $3.80. Traders say a daily close above $2.95 would strengthen the bullish case. On the downside, a break …
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If the White House interferes with the Federal Reserve, why shouldn't the central bank express its view about financial markets? Scott Bessent wonders why the Fed Chair hasn't signaled future rate cuts—which, according to the Treasury Secretary, should drop by 100–150 bps by the end of 2025. Still, Jerome Powell's statement that stocks are "fairly highly valued" made a much bigger impression on investors. The S&P 500 posted three dozen record highs in 2025, rising 35% off its April lows and adding $16 trillion in market cap. Greed and FOMO were so intense that the broad index went 107 sessions without a single drop of 2% or more in a day—the longest winning streak sin…
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The crypto market is back in deep red today as Bitcoin BTC ▼-0.80% once again failed to reclaim the crucial $113,500 resistance. After briefly attempting a bounce, BTC has been pushed lower and is now hovering near the weekly lows. Market bears are calling for a potential dip toward $107,000, right in line with the “max pain” zone ahead of a massive $17.5 billion Bitcoin options expiry in just two days. Historically, Bitcoin tends to move toward this level during large expirations, suggesting a possible final flush before a reversal. (Source: Coinglass) Ethereum ETH ▼-3.38% has also broken below the $4,000 mark, adding to the bearish pressure across altcoins. Most major…
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After hitting its $124,000 all-time high back in July, the Bitcoin price has now moved back into a phase of struggling and consolidation. While many have called this out as only a temporary stop, expecting the Bitcoin price to continue its ascent once the decline is over, crypto analyst EXCAVO has taken a more bearish outlook. According to the analyst, the current market trend actually points to the end of the bull market and the beginning of the next bear market. Why The Bitcoin Price Will Crash In the analysis, EXCAVO outlined why they believe that the Bitcoin bear market was actually over. These were given as the classic signs of a top of the market, and there were th…
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Bitcoin is trading around 109,607, rebounding after reaching a low of 108,659. If Bitcoin consolidates above 3/8 Murray in the coming hours, we could expect it to return to the $110,000 level, and could even reach 4/8 Murray at 112,500. When Bitcoin unsuccessfully attempted to break the bearish trend channel resistance around $114,000, it initiated a strong bearish sequence, reaching the key support at 3/8 Murray. If the Bitcoin price consolidates below $109,375, it could continue its bearish sequence and reach the 2/8 Murray level around $106,250. The eagle indicator has reached oversold levels, so it's likely that the Bitcoin price will consolidate above $108,000 in the…
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Omai Gold Mines (TSXV: OMG) stock hit a new all-time high Friday after the company said new drilling at its namesake project in Guyana produced multiple high-grade intercepts. Hole 25ODD-125 in the Wenot deposit cut 9.5 metres grading 6.84 grams gold per tonne from 470 metres depth, Toronto-based Omai Gold said Wednesday in a statement. Another hole, 25ODD-127, intersected 37.5 metres at 1.52 grams gold from 431 metres downhole and 25.8 metres at 3.08 grams from 517 metres depth. The new assays, which follow a resource update released last month, will be included in an updated preliminary economic assessment (PEA) that the company expects to release early next yea…
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Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, is stepping up its presence on the continent by joining the African Blockchain Summit as a platinum sponsor. Through this sponsorship, the exchange will likely expand its reach as more people consider the exchange. This is not the first time Binance is sponsoring a crypto event. In the past, the exchange sponsored a crypto conference in Kenya. Meanwhile, South African fund manager Syngnia Limited has urged diversification in Bitcoin investments. Bitcoin is a premier crypto exchange and is undoubtedly one of the best cryptos to buy. Public firms, especially in Europe, North America, and Japan, have bought BTC, adding the crypt…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Monday, the market from the level of 1.3400 (Friday's daily candle close) may continue upward with the target at 1.3454 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). Upon reaching this line, a corrective move downward is possible with the target at 1.3363 – the 61.8% pullback level (yellow dotted line). When testing this level, the price may then start moving upward with the target at 1.3381 – the 14.6% pullback level (blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – up;Fibonacci levels – up;Volumes – up;Candlestick analysis – up;Trend analysis – up;Bollinger Bands – up;Weekly chart – up.General conclusion: upward…
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Bitcoin is once again trading at a critical juncture after a sharp Monday rally pushed the price above the $114,000 level. The surge comes as bulls attempt to counteract days of persistent selling pressure, with momentum beginning to tilt back in their favor. This move marks a potential turning point in the market, signaling that investors are testing whether Bitcoin can hold above this key threshold and establish it as a new base for higher gains. Supporting this view, fresh on-chain data from CryptoQuant highlights a notable development in short-term holder behavior. The Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR) has reset to 1, a crucial equilibrium level…
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Overview: The US federal government is under partial closure following the inability to approve appropriations to start the new fiscal year. The president has threatened to permanently fire not just furlough many "non-essential" government workers, but note that as of yesterday, some 150k federal workers have accepted the government's buyout. The longest shutdown in this macabre and repeated political drama has been 35 days in President Trump's first term. We fear this one may also be protracted. The dollar is narrowly mixed, steadying in late European morning turnover after initially being sold. The dollar is also mostly firmer against emerging market currencies. The r…
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In order to form a sustained rally in October, the flagship cryptocurrency must break through the $115,000 barrier, according to analysts at QCP Capital. Right now, the leading crypto asset is only approaching this level. According to analysts, open interest in Bitcoin and major cryptocurrencies is gradually stabilizing. Current conditions in the crypto market are favorable for the start of a Bitcoin bullish trend. QCP Capital analysts also noted a recovery in prices, despite significant capital outflows from ETFs. Prices are absorbing selling pressure more smoothly than previously expected. After recovering part of their earlier losses, ETF inflows could spark renewed …
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