Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12210 tópicos neste fórum
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In a situation of two-sided risks, there is no risk-free path. Treat the rate cut as a reduction in risk management. How should risky assets have reacted to Jerome Powell's rhetoric? Correct — with a roller coaster ride! Stocks initially surged, then plunged, but by the close of the trading session managed to recover their lost positions. The "bulls" lined up to buy the dip in the S&P 500 and were rewarded. After a nine-month pause, the Fed resumed its cycle of monetary easing. Markets expected this, but the fact that the FOMC forecasts pointed to two more federal funds rate cuts by the end of the year became a rally catalyst. Then came the classic "sell the fact afte…
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During the Asian session, Bitcoin stopped just one step away from the 118,000 mark, although only yesterday, after the Federal Reserve's rate decision, BTC had updated the level of 114,800. Several factors drive this sharp rally: the continued inflow of institutional investors, rising interest from retail traders, and the Fed's ongoing monetary easing. Institutional players, who had previously shown caution, are likely to keep building positions in Bitcoin now that the Fed has confirmed its dovish stance, viewing BTC as a hedge against inflation and instability in traditional financial markets. Before the Fed's decision, the average daily BTC purchases by public companie…
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The U.S. dollar initially lost ground against risk assets but quickly regained its position after Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech. Yesterday, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter point. At first, the euro and the pound reacted with gains, but without clear hints from Powell on further aggressive rate cuts this year, the dollar sharply rebounded. The market had expected a stronger signal confirming the Fed's readiness to ease monetary policy. The lack of firm commitments disappointed traders who had counted on more aggressive measures to stimulate the economy. Uncertainty about the Fed's next steps pushed investors toward the dollar, traditionally seen as a…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of 146.17 occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair fell by more than 40 pips. Yesterday's Fed decision to cut rates led to a temporary strengthening of the yen, but then demand for the dollar returned. The initial market reaction to the Fed's rate cut was predictable: the yen, traditionally seen as a safe-haven asset, strengthened. The key factor behind the subsequent reversal was the absence of clear signals from the Fed regarding future monetary policy. Traders hoping for stronger statem…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of 1.3660 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The Fed's decision to cut rates initially strengthened the pound, but demand for the dollar quickly returned. The market had expected more decisive action from the regulator, possibly clearer signals of further rate cuts in the near future. The absence of such guidance triggered a reassessment of risks and a return to more conservative strategies. The dollar, as a traditional safe-haven asset, once again drew investor interest amid concerns abo…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe test of 1.1864 coincided with the MACD indicator just beginning to move upward from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for buying the euro in line with the trend. As a result, the pair gained 50 pips. Yesterday's decision by the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 0.25% initially pushed the euro higher. However, since Fed Chair Powell did not provide clear, stronger guidance for further substantial monetary easing this year, the U.S. dollar quickly regained ground. Investors had hoped for a more decisive signal confirming the Fed's commitment to a dovish policy stance. The absence of firm promises dis…
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On-chain data shows the Dogecoin whales have gone on a notable selling spree recently, potentially explaining the decline DOGE has seen since its $0.307 high. Dogecoin Whales Have Reduced Holdings By 680 Million Tokens In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has discussed about the latest trend in the Supply Distribution of the Dogecoin whales. The “Supply Distribution” here refers to an indicator from on-chain analytics firm Santiment that tells us about the total amount of the DOGE supply that a given wallet group is holding right now. Investors or addresses are divided into these cohorts based on the number of coins that they are currently carrying. For example, a …
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Wall Street Shows Mixed Results US stock markets closed with mixed dynamics on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve announced a widely anticipated rate cut of 25 basis points. Despite the predictable decision, remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell added uncertainty to the trading session. Labor Market Concerns Overtake Inflation Risks The central bank signaled that it plans to continue easing monetary policy gradually through the end of the year. Policymakers emphasized growing weakness in the labor market, which they now view as a more pressing challenge than inflation. The Fed's forecast includes two additional quarter-point cuts in the coming months. Market Reaction Ag…
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[XPD/USD] – [Thursday, September 18, 2025] The appearance of a Hidden Bearish Divergence, coupled with the two EMAs crossing with a Death Cross, indicates that Palladium has the potential to weaken against the USD today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 1217.46 2. Resistance. 1 : 1187.50 3. Pivot : 1164.38 4. Support. 1 : 1134.42 5. Support. 2: 1111.30 Tactical Scenario Pressure Prone Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 1134.42, there is potential for continued weakness to 1111.30. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1111.30 is successfully broken and closes below it, there is potential for continued weakness to 1081.34. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Downside bias i…
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[Nasdaq 100 Index] – [Thursday, September 18, 2025] The Nasdaq 100 Index has the potential to strengthen today, as confirmed by its two EMAs intersecting in a Golden Cross, and the RSI position in the Neutral Bullish zone and exhibiting Bullish Divergence with its price movement. Key Levels 1. Resistance 2: 24483.4 2. Resistance 1: 24358.7 3. Pivot: 24173.9 4. Support 1: 24049.2 5. Support 2: 23864.4 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the Nasdaq 100 index strengthens and closes above 24358.7, it has the potential to continue strengthening to 24483.4. Momentum Extension Bias: If 24483.4 is successfully broken and closes above it, there is the potential for a test…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are very few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday, and none of them are significant. The most important reports this week have already been released in the U.K., while at the end of the week, traders will be entirely focused on the meetings of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. The Fed announced the results of its meeting yesterday evening, but throughout today, both currency pairs may remain under the pressure of that event. The Fed meeting will overlap with today's BoE meeting, which will undoubtedly keep the key rate unchanged, but at the same time could trigger either a rise or a decline in the pound, as the m…
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After failing to hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $5,000 in August 2025, Ethereum (ETH) may finally be ready to breach the psychologically important price level. A decline in Binance open interest suggests that ETH is likely close to a local bottom, ready for its next leg up. Ethereum Open Interest Declines, Is Local Bottom Close? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor burakkesmeci, Ethereum may be nearing a local bottom. The analyst referred to the Binance ETH open interest (OI) hourly timeframe metric for their analysis. In their analysis, burakkesmeci noted that according to the Binance ETH OI metric, local bottoms have formed with an average decli…
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Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair on Wednesday showed movements similar to those of the EUR/USD pair. In the morning, the U.K. released an important inflation report, but its significance turned out to be as "bland" as other reports this week. Traders barely noticed it. Inflation in the U.K. remained at 3.8%, which will not affect today's Bank of England decision in any way. The British central bank will, without question, keep monetary policy parameters unchanged, and the main intrigue lies in how the votes of Monetary Policy Committee members will be distributed in the rate decision. Even if the BoE meeting turns out more "dovish" than expe…
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Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD pair traded on Wednesday fully in line with the fundamental background. For almost the entire day, market movements were ultra-weak, as traders awaited the results of the Fed meeting and Jerome Powell's press conference. All other events of the day were irrelevant, even though another set of weak U.S. reports was published — this time in the construction sector. After the Fed's decision was announced, "fireworks" began. As we warned, volatility increased, and the price moved in both directions. First, the dollar dropped 70 pips in 10 minutes, then strengthened by 100 pips over the next several hours. Today, it may…
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Early in the European session, the euro is trading around 1.1813 following a technical correction after the price reached a new high around 1.1917. The euro has been trading within an upward trend channel since early August. Yesterday, during the American session, the EUR/USD pair reached the top of this channel around 1.1917. From this level, we observe a technical correction so that the instrument could continue its fall in the coming days until it reaches the 8/8 Murray support at 1.1718. If the euro finds support around the 21 SMA at 1.1798, this could be seen as an opportunity to resume long positions with targets at 1.1880 and 1.1900. Below the 21 SMA, the euro coul…
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Gold, following the release of the Fed's interest rate decision, made a strong upward move, reaching a new ATH around $3,707. From this level, gold began a technical correction and subsequently bounced within the downtrend channel. The technical correction is likely to continue in the coming days, pushing the price down to the 200 EMA around $3,634. As long as the gold price consolidates below $3,671, it will be seen as an opportunity for short positions, as the 7/8 Murray is located in this area, now acting as resistance. We could expect the price to reach $3,652, and possibly even reach the $3,640 level. Gold could find good support around $3,630. This level represents …
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GBP/USD The British pound reached its target — the upper boundary of the global descending price channel — and even pierced it with its upper shadow (weekly chart). Now the price may well retreat from such strong resistance. If the outcome of today's Bank of England meeting aligns with this expected pullback, a medium-term decline could develop. Here, the key level to watch is the MACD line around 1.3395. On the daily chart, the price reversed downward at the 8th Fibonacci time line. The Marlin oscillator is pointing down from the upper boundary of its range, suggesting the price may attempt to work out the nearest support at 1.3525, which the MACD line has already touc…
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AUD/USD The Australian dollar fell back below 0.6668 yesterday. Today, the decline continues quite actively. Accordingly, the breakout with consolidation on the 16th turned out to be false, which signals the prospect of medium-term downside movement. Confirmation of this scenario will come if the price moves under the MACD line, located near the August 14 high at 0.6571. This would open the target at 0.6450. On the four-hour chart, the price has broken below the MACD support line. The Marlin oscillator is declining steeply. We expect the situation to develop further along the main bearish scenario. The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
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Bitcoin is trading within an uptrend channel formed on the H4 chart. Yesterday, after reaching the bottom of the uptrend channel around $114,800, it resumed its bullish cycle and is now trading around $118,000. BTC is likely to continue rising in the coming days. It could reach the 6/8 Murray at $118,750 and possibly even the top of the uptrend channel around $119,400. A good area to look for short opportunities in Bitcoin could be the 6/8 Murray at $118,750 or the top of the uptrend channel. On the other hand, if Bitcoin undergoes a technical correction and consolidates above $116,000, we could expect it to extend its rise. This would be seen as a buying opportunity, wit…
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BNB price is gaining pace above the $980 zone. The price is now showing positive signs and might aim for a move above the $1,000 handle in the near term. BNB price started a fresh increase above the $950 and $975 levels. The price is now trading above $980 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $960 on the hourly chart of the BNB/USD pair (data source from Binance). The pair must stay above the $960 level to start another increase in the near term. BNB Price Hits New ATH BNB price formed a base above the $900 level and started a fresh increase, beating Ethereum and Bitcoin. There was a steady move above the $…
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ThumzUp Media, a company with ties to Donald Trump Jr., has just made a major move into crypto. The company bought 7.5 million Dogecoin, making it clear that this isn’t just a casual dabble. It’s part of a growing plan to build up a digital asset treasury, and for whatever reason, Dogecoin is now at the center of it. From Likes and Shares to Memecoins This is a company that started off in the ad tech space, helping brands get more attention through social media engagement. Now, it’s buying meme coins. That shift alone tells you something about where their focus is headed. Holding millions of DOGE suggests they’re thinking long-term, not just trying to ride a short-term w…
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The SEC just made a move that could speed up how crypto ETFs get approved in the United States. Until now, getting a spot crypto ETF listed was a long process, often dragging on for months. But with the new changes, exchanges like Nasdaq, NYSE, and Cboe can follow a standard rulebook instead of starting from scratch every time. In some cases, that could cut the wait from eight months down to about two and a half. What’s Actually Changing Before this update, each crypto ETF had to go through a double approval process. The exchange had to get clearance, and the fund manager had to go through their own review. That meant lots of back and forth, uncertainty, and long delays.…
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XRP price started a fresh increase above the $3.020 resistance. The price is now showing positive signs and might gain pace if it clears the $3.120 zone. XRP price is moving higher from the $2.980 support zone. The price is now trading above $3.020 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a rising channel with resistance at $3.070 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if the price clears the $3.120 zone. XRP Price Attempts Fresh Increase XRP price extended losses below $3.00 before the bulls appeared, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price tested the $2.980 zone and recently start…
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According to on-chain alerts, FalconX pulled 413,075 SOL from major exchanges over an eight-hour stretch, valued at about $98.4 million. The tokens were moved off Binance, OKX, Coinbase and Bybit into wallets linked to the brokerage, reports have disclosed. FalconX Withdrawals Raise Eyebrows Blockchain trackers flagged the transfers as significant because they happened across multiple venues in a short window. FalconX is the largest digital asset prime brokerage, the company’s website shows. Lookonchain and other analytics firms have flagged the pattern as consistent with institutional activity, where assets are moved into custody or cold storage rather than kept on e…
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EUR/USD Following yesterday's Federal Reserve meeting, the rate was cut by the expected 0.25%. However, neither FOMC members nor Jerome Powell himself showed a hawkish stance, which is why the U.S. Dollar Index strengthened by only 0.38% — a modest reaction for such an event. The dot plot indicated the intention to cut rates two more times before year-end. In his remarks, Powell even slightly downplayed the inflationary risks stemming from Trump's tariffs, while the Fed raised its PCE forecast for next year from 2.4% y/y to 2.6% y/y. Indirectly, these steps smooth out the tension in the confrontation with Trump. We allow for a scenario in which inflation picks up again be…
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