Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12210 tópicos neste fórum
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Global oil markets are showing a rapidly growing supply surplus.“Oil on water” volumes have surged, signaling difficulties in placing cargoes.Sanctioned oil flows increasingly contribute to the buildup in floating storage.New sanctions on Russia may intensify oversupply pressures in the coming weeks. A clear supply-side pressure is emerging in the global oil market, a trend that agencies such as the EIA and IEA have been signaling since the start of the year but which had not been fully visible in official statistics. The main reason was China accumulating crude oil outside the OECD reporting system. This situation, however, is now beginning to shift. Data from recent…
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Overview: The US dollar is trading firmer against nearly all the G10 currencies. The yen is the best performer, and it is virtually flat despite the swing toward BOJ hike next month. Expectations have steadied for a Fed cut next month around 80%. The November inflation reports from the largest eurozone members failed to inspire the market and the euro's four-day advance is being threatened. Sterling's favorable reaction to the government's budget stalled yesterday near $1.3270 after starting the week below $1.3100. Emerging market currencies are mixed. The Chinese yuan is a little firmer, even though the PBOC lifted the dollar's fix for the first time in six sessions. Gl…
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What to Know: Circle’s climb toward a potential $100 valuation reflects recovering crypto sentiment, renewed USDC activity, and stronger demand for regulated on-chain liquidity exposure. As risk appetite returns, capital often rotates from infrastructure equities and large caps into earlier-stage narratives with more asymmetric upside potential. AI-powered content platforms aim to fix Web2 creator pain points: high fees, opaque moderation, fragmented tools, and limited global payment options. SUBBD Token merges Web3 payments and integrated AI tools so creators can keep more earnings, automate fan engagement, and control content inside a transparent, tokenized ecosystem.…
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Upbeat corporate earnings from U.S. banks and Washington's attempts to de-escalate the trade conflict with China allowed the S&P 500 to extend its rally. The broad market index has recovered most of the losses suffered during the sell-off triggered by the White House's announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese goods. The current pullback looks more like a rational recalibration than a reversal. The six largest U.S. banks earned $41 billion in profit in the third quarter, 19% more than during the same period in 2024. Shares of Morgan Stanley and Bank of America jumped by 4.4% and 4.7%, respectively. A positive signal for the S&P 500 came from banking executives' stat…
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Is the APT price finally ready to rebound after months of pressure? As the Aptos Experience 2025 kicks off this week, optimism is returning to the Aptos crypto community. The event showcases key upgrades like Shardines scaling, the Raptr consensus engine, and AI interactions with Microsoft’s “Aptos Assistant”, alongside institutional partnerships with BlackRock and Franklin Templeton. These developments arrive just as the APT price bounces off its all-time low near $2.8, fueling renewed FOMO and hopes for an altcoin season comeback. Could crypto Aptos finally be staging its long-awaited turnaround? Market Cap …
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Alamos project area in Sonora, Mexico. Image from Minaurum Gold. Minaurum Gold (TSXV:MGG) (OTCQX:MMRGF) announced Thursday the initial results of its 2025 resource-definition drill program targeting the Promontorio, Europa, and Travesia vein zones at its Alamos Silver project in Sonora, Mexico. Promontorio, along with the Europa vein zone, is one of the high-priority targets in which Minaurum said it will establish a maiden resource at Alamos. The 1 km-long Promontorio vein zone consists of multiple veins including the Veta Grande and Veta Las Guijas veins. These vein zones returned numerous high-grade intersections including 5.85 m of 476 g/t silver equi…
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The ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) saw $275.2 million exit in a single trading session, making it the fund’s largest daily outflow since August. The drop was steep enough to catch the attention of analysts, who see this as a warning sign for institutional confidence in crypto ETFs. ARKB has long been one of the more active Bitcoin funds on the market. But this latest pullback shows that even the more established names are not immune when sentiment turns negative. Total Daily Outflows Top Half a Billion ARKB’s staggering outflow was only part of the bigger picture. Across all Bitcoin ETFs, the total net outflow for the day reached $530.9 million. That is one of the larg…
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GBP/USD Friday's trading range for the pound was about 80 pips, with the day closing down by eight pips. The lower shadow of the candlestick touched the MACD line. This is a sign that the repositioning of short-term traders has been completed, and the price is ready to continue rising toward the target level of 1.3525. The balance line (red moving average) is approaching this level, and the price may reach the target at the point where it intersects with the indicator line. In that case, a new correction may occur. The Marlin oscillator is still in negative territory but visually appears to be preparing to enter the growth zone. On the four-hour chart, the extremes of F…
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Bitcoin is recovering rapidly after reaching the key low of 103,501, which coincided with a sharp drop from the October 10th low, forming a double bottom pattern. Bitcoin is now consolidating above the 3/8 Murray and above the 21 SMA, which suggests that it could continue to rise in the coming days to reach the 4/8 Murray at 112,500. BTC could even attempt to break the strong dynamic resistance of the 200 EMA around 114,120. If Bitcoin breaks and consolidates above $114,000, we could expect a strong recovery and the price could reach the 6/8 Murray around 118,750. On the other hand, if there is a technical correction below the psychological level of $110,000 in the coming…
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The Ethereum network was built to democratize a finance platform where anyone, anywhere, could deploy code and create value. With no centralized oversight, ETH has become a stage where builders and grifters coexist, each leveraging the same tools of decentralization to vastly different ends. Can Ethereum Evolve Beyond Its Culture Of Exploitation? Ethereum has always been more than just a cryptocurrency. It’s a programmable, open finance framework that allows anyone to build and exploit ETH. According to AdrianoFeria’s post on X, this openness has enabled innovation and also allowed countless grifters to accumulate vast amounts of ETH by selling low-quality tokens and NF…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1)On Tuesday, the market, from the 1.3400 level (yesterday's daily candle close), may continue moving downward toward 1.3332 – the lower fractal (red dashed line). Upon testing this level, the price may possibly start moving upward toward 1.3363 – the 61.8% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Volume – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.3400 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may start moving downward toward …
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Crypto analyst Captain Faibik has predicted that the Bitcoin price could crash to as low as $50,000, representing a 60% crash for the flagship crypto. The analyst explained why he has turned bearish on BTC, while declaring that the bull run is over. Why The Bitcoin Price Could Crash To $50,000 In an X post, Captain Faibik shared an accompanying chart which showed that the Bitcoin price could crash to $50,000 from its current level. This came as the analyst stated that he is turning bearish on BTC for the mid-term. He further remarked that the bull run is over and that now late buyers are getting trapped. Captain Faibik went on to note that the Bitcoin price is still …
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Australia's unemployment rate rose to 4.5% in September, marking a four-year high. While 15,000 new jobs were created, 34,000 jobs were lost during the same period. The Australian dollar and government bond yields both declined as markets began pricing in a higher probability of another interest rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The RBA held its key rate steady at 3.6% in October and did not indicate a potential cut at the next meeting. However, the latest labor market data suggests a case for easing is building. With third-quarter inflation data due next week, it is clearly too early for a final policy call—but the case for a rate cut has clearly st…
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After two decades of markets exalting belief over balance sheets, the pendulum is swinging back toward the ground, underground, in fact. Until now, we’ve lived in an era where belief and vision routinely outperform reality. It was the triumph of ideology. Markets rewarded charisma over cash flow, tokens over tonnage, software over substance. Crypto, SPACs, Web3, WeWork – each iteration more untethered than the last. But as an invisible hand, the gravitational pull of the real world is providing unavoidable headwinds. From belief systems to balance sheets Ideology is not the enemy. It’s necessary. Every major technological or political movement begins with belie…
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The USD/CAD pair has been actively declining over the past few days. The decline was triggered by Tuesday's inflation report from Canada, which showed all components within the "green zone." This allowed USD/CAD sellers to go on the offensive. Over the previous four weeks, the pair had been steadily rising, climbing from 1.3720 to 1.4080 (a six-month high). Following the inflation release, it fell back into the 1.39 zone. Still, bears failed to overcome the 1.3970 support level, which aligns with the middle line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily timeframe. This suggests that the broader upward trend remains intact — despite accelerating inflation in Canada. …
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The U.S. stock market and the U.S. dollar regained confidence after President Donald Trump announced that he was aiming for a quick victory at an important meeting next Thursday with his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping — even if the outcome falls short of a comprehensive agreement. Ahead of the meeting, the U.S. president said he wants to extend the pause on tariff increases on Chinese goods in exchange for Xi resuming purchases of American soybeans, taking measures against fentanyl, and lifting restrictions on rare earth metal exports — while maintaining certain trade barriers that he considers necessary. "I think we'll make a deal on everything," Trump told reporters. …
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Key takeaways Japan 225 CFD Index rally: The Japan 225 CFD Index (Nikkei 225 proxy) reached an all-time high of 49,970 on optimism over PM Takaichi’s more than ¥13.9 trillion expansionary stimulus plan.Market pullback: The index declined 3.4% from its peak, suggesting investors had already priced in expectations of aggressive fiscal measures.Earnings momentum: Forward 12-month EPS growth for Nikkei 225 stocks rose to 9.3% in October from 7% in September, signaling an improving corporate outlook.Foreign inflows strengthen: Net foreign purchases of Japanese equities surged sharply, reinforcing continued medium-term bullish momentum for Japan’s equity market. This is a…
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Overview: The US dollar is trading higher against all the G10 currencies today, but it has not broken out of this week's ranges. The Dollar Index is rising for the fourth session this week and has recovered last week's 0.55% decline. The greenback is more mixed against emerging market currencies. While the JP Morgan Emerging Market Currency Index is up about 0.15% this week, the MSCI gauge is off by about 0.10%. Equities are mostly firmer today. In the Asia Pacific region, the Nikkei and China's CSI 300 gained more than 1%, but South Korea's Kospi jumped 2.5% and led the region higher this week with a 5.1% gain. President Lee will meet President Trump on October 29 and …
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Canada has fined Cryptomus an eye-watering $126 million for breaking the country’s anti-money laundering rules. Cryptomus, officially registered as Xeltox Enterprises Ltd and based in Vancouver, reportedly failed to report thousands of suspicious transactions, including ones potentially linked to serious crimes such as child exploitation, ransomware, and sanctions evasion. In July 2024 alone, Cryptomus chose not to report over 1,000 instances of suspicious activity and more than 1,500 reports on large crypto transactions. Canada’s financial watchdog, Financial Transactions and Reports Analysis Centre of Canada (FINTRAC), announced the penalty on 22 October 2025 and said…
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Monday Trade Review: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair On Tuesday, the GBP/USD pair also traded upward, albeit with minimal volatility. The mere fact that the British pound is rising is already positive, as in recent weeks the market has completely ignored macroeconomic and fundamental factors that, in fact, suggested the pair's growth. We previously mentioned that the key issue is the flatness on the daily timeframe, which causes weak, illogical movements on lower timeframes. However, the flat will not last forever, so one must be prepared for a new, powerful movement. Given the current conditions, such a movement can only be expected in one direction – north. There were…
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October 29 is an important day for the Canadian dollar. The Bank of Canada will hold its next meeting. Most analysts believe the result of the October meeting will be a 25-basis-point interest rate cut due to the slowdown in the Canadian economy. However, some experts do not rule out the possibility that the central bank will adopt a wait-and-see position or implement a "hawkish cut." This scenario is not out of the question, given the inflation growth data published last week in Canada. To remind, the overall consumer price index rose by 0.1% month-on-month in September. Despite pessimistic forecasts, the index emerged from negative territory (down 0.1% in August), re…
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The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to indicate the formation of an upward wave pattern, but over the past few weeks, it has become complex and ambiguous. The pound has fallen too sharply, making the trend segment that began on August 1 appear uncertain. The first thought that comes to mind is a complication of the presumed wave 4, which may take on a three-wave form, with each sub-wave containing its own three smaller waves. In this case, a decline of the pair toward the 1.31 and 1.30 levels can be expected. The downward wave structure that began on September 17 appears to be five-wave, though it could theoretically become much longer and more complex. Personally, I c…
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Grayscale Investments kicked off trading of a new Solana-focused ETF on Wednesday, adding a staking feature that passes network rewards to investors. The fund, now listed on NYSE Arca as the Grayscale Solana Trust ETF (GSOL), was converted from a closed-end vehicle that first launched in 2021. From Closed-End Trust To ETF According to Grayscale, the move makes the firm one of the largest Solana exchange-traded product managers in the US by assets under management. The converted ETF lets ordinary brokerage accounts hold SOL exposure while receiving staking rewards tied to the network. Inkoo Kang, Grayscale’s Senior Vice President of ETFs, said the launch shows the fir…
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Yesterday, US stock indices ended lower. The S&P 500 decreased by 0.99%, the Nasdaq 100 fell by 1.57%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 0.93%. During today's trading, futures for US stock indices rose following strong earnings reports from Amazon.com Inc. and Apple Inc., lifting market sentiment after yesterday's correction. Investors appear to have brushed aside concerns about inflation and the Fed's hawkish policy, focusing instead on the robust performance of major tech companies. Both Amazon and Apple's earnings exceeded expectations, demonstrating resilience in consumer demand and operational efficiency amid a challenging macroeconomic environmen…
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Overview: After extending this week's rally yesterday, the US dollar is consolidating yesterday's gains in what appears to be favorable price action. The pullback from greenback's best level has been shallow. The US struck several trade deals this week, and secured a trade truce with China, even if many are skeptical of its longevity, and the Federal Reserve pushed against a December cut, and the futures market has reduced the odds to about 2/3 from near certainty. Emerging market currencies are mixed, but this week's highlights include the PBOC setting the dollar's fix at a new low since October on Wednesday before steadying it in the last two sessions and the (3.6%) rec…
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