Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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According to reports, Michael Saylor told viewers that most equity analysts expect Bitcoin to top $150,000 by Christmas. From a current price of $113,050, that would require an increase of about 35%. There are roughly three months left until December 25. The figures set a clear benchmark for what traders now call the year-end race. Analysts Back A $150,000 Target Saylor tied the call to wider adoption. He said during a CNBC interview more firms adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets and more people learning about the asset will lift demand. Because Bitcoin’s supply is fixed, that demand pressure, he argued, could push prices higher. The tone was confident, and the mat…
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Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities, and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational p…
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German officials thought they had wrapped up one of the biggest crypto cases in the country’s history when they seized and sold nearly 50,000 Bitcoin tied to the piracy platform Movie2K. But a new investigation is raising eyebrows. It turns out there might be another massive stash that was completely overlooked. There Might Be More Where That Came From In early 2024, German police took control of Bitcoin surrendered by Movie2K’s operators. Those coins were auctioned off for nearly $3 billion. At the time, it seemed like a done deal. Now, with Bitcoin’s price way up, those coins would be worth far more. And according to blockchain firm Arkham, that original stash might no…
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After retesting the range lows, Bitcoin (BTC) has closed the week above a key area, momentarily preventing a breakdown to lower levels. Some market watchers suggested that reclaiming the local range highs this week will set the stage for another leg up, but an analyst warned of potential volatility in the coming days. Bitcoin Holds Crucial Weekly Support As the market moves sideways, Bitcoin has continued to trade within its local range between the $108,250-$111,140 levels since the start of the month. The cryptocurrency has shown mixed signals since the second half of August, failing to hold the crucial $109,000 level during the previous week. Analyst Rekt Capital ass…
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What’s the safest way to store millions in gold? Executive summary: The safest way to store gold at the seven- or eight-figure level is a layered plan that blends professional vaulting with rigorous documentation, audits, and insurance. Most owners combine fully allocated, segregated vault storage with a smaller portion held closer to home for liquidity. Your final design should be cost-efficient, auditable, and resilient to theft, fraud, and operational mistakes. What “safe” actually means when you hold millions in gold “Safe” is not one thing. It’s a stack of safeguards that reduce distinct risks. With large positions, you should measure storage decisions against five…
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[USDX] – [Monday, 15 September 2025] Today, USDX has a potential to weaken due to a Death Cross between the EMA(50) and EMA(200), and the RSI being in the Neutral-Bearish area. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 98.00 2. Resistance. 1 : 97.79 3. Pivot : 97.63 4. Support. 1 : 97.42 5. Support. 2 : 97.26 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 97.42, there is potential for continued weakening towards 97.26. Momentum Extension Bias: If 97.26 is broken and closed below, the next level to be tested could be 97.05. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside bias is restrained if #USDX strengthens, breaks, and closes above 98.00…
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France crypto industry is once again in the spotlight, as Reuters revealed that France is again positioning itself at the center of Europe’s crypto debate, signalling it may move to block companies licensed in other EU jurisdictions from operating domestically. The regulatory warning, delivered Monday by Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF) chair Marie-Anne Barbat-Layani, underscores the deep fractures already emerging under the European Union’s landmark Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA). MiCA, which formally took effect for service providers in December 2024, was billed as the world’s first comprehensive digital asset rulebook. The framework allows crypto fi…
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EUR/USD Brief analysis: The direction of price movement for the euro since the end of July this year has been defined by an upward wave. The wave level corresponds to the daily timeframe. At the end of August, quotes reached the lower boundary of a strong potential reversal zone. In recent weeks, the price has been in correction. Weekly forecast: In the first days of the coming week, the most likely scenario is sideways movement of the euro along resistance boundaries. Toward the weekend, volatility may increase, with a potential reversal and the beginning of a decline toward support levels. Potential reversal zones Resistance: 1.1760/1.1810Support: 1.1600/1.1550Recomm…
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EUR/NZD The EUR/NZD pair abandoned its downward scenario, reversing from support at the MACD line. A consolidation above 1.9778 would coincide with the Marlin oscillator shifting into positive territory, making bullish momentum the primary scenario. The main growth target lies at the embedded price channel line, around 2.0300. In this case, the 2.0029 level (the August 20 high) becomes the interim target. On the four-hour chart, the price has broken above both indicator lines, with Marlin firmly in positive territory. The pair is preparing for a breakout above resistance at 1.9778. Today, industrial production data for the euro area will be released for July. The foreca…
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US equity indices closed higher yesterday, with the S&P 500 up 0.47% and the Nasdaq 100 adding 0.44%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.11%. Indices continued to notch record highs, while gold rose to a new peak as investors maintained bets that the Federal Reserve will ease monetary policy this week. The committee's two-day meeting begins today, with a rate decision to follow. Market sentiment is fueled by expectations that the Fed—faced with slowing economic growth and persistent inflation—may reconsider its policy stance. Some analysts are even suggesting the possibility of a more aggressive rate cut in the near future, which would be a strong catalyst f…
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The US dollar continued to lose ground actively—a development that's easy to explain. There is growing talk in the market that the Fed will be forced to act more dovish, especially after the latest fundamental data from the US, which hardly gives dollar bulls any confidence. Yesterday, strong data from Germany's ZEW institute, which indicated improving economic sentiment in the eurozone, led to a stronger euro. Investors saw this as a signal of potential regional economic stabilization, increasing interest in the European currency. However, the key factor influencing the FX market in the second half of the day was a shift in expectations around future Federal Reserve poli…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Gold and Silver are subject to immediate pressure as the US Dollar regains strength and reputation after yesterday's FOMC meeting. The challenged independence of the Fed was a major driver behind the immense rally metals enjoyed from late August into early September, as Powell’s shift in tone from the Jackson Hole conference cast doubt on the Fed’s consistency amid still high inflation. Yet the dovish stance advocated by Bowman and Waller, seen as President Trump's protege-appointees ahead of the Sep FOMC—was vindicated by subsequent NFP misses and the downward revisions in BLS data. This is leading to the Federal Reserve regaining back some of its lost confidence thro…
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The GBP/USD currency pair also easily and calmly returned to its original positions on Thursday, only to continue its decline. As we mentioned in previous articles, it is wise to reserve judgment for now and not rush to conclusions or entirely rethink the technical picture. The dollar may show some growth, but under current conditions, any rise in the dollar is likely to be only corrective. The Fed's monetary policy stance nearly perfectly matched traders' expectations, so in essence, there was no fundamental reason to sell or buy. Jerome Powell took the same stance he always does: Fed decisions will depend entirely on macroeconomic data, and any rate decisions will be ma…
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The Bank of England held its meeting yesterday, almost exactly in line with expectations, except for the voting: the forecast was 8-1 for holding the rate, but it turned out to be 7-2. Now, expectations for a rate cut have shifted to November. Meanwhile, the realization is spreading through the media and markets that the Fed is unlikely to cut rates twice by year-end, so the BoE is set to retain its leadership in the easing cycle. On the daily chart, the price is preparing to break through support at 1.3525, which coincides with the MACD line. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is not only about to move into bearish territory, but also looks poised to fall below th…
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Dogecoin is pressing a make-or-break weekly level as price retests the mid-$0.27s “springboard” highlighted by popular trader Rekt Capital, while macro cross-currents and a pivotal USDT dominance structure flagged by analyst Kevin may decide whether momentum extends into Q4. Dogecoin Bulls Face Crucial Test On the weekly DOGE/USDT chart shared by Rekt Capital, price has rallied back into the $0.27–$0.28 area and is attempting to flip it into support. At the time of the screenshot, the active weekly candle sat near $0.28410 with 3 days and 6 hours left, directly atop a green horizontal level plotted at $0.27884. Above, the next clearly marked resistance is the prior ran…
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The Japanese yen climbed 0.50% earlier against the US dollar but was unable to consolidate these gains. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.92, down 0.04% on the day. Bank of Japan delivers hawkish holdThe Bank of Japan maintained its key interest rate at 0.50% at today's meeting. The non-move was widely expected by the markets. What was a surprise was the split vote, as two of the nine members voted in favor of a rate hike, indicating some support for a more hawkish montary policy. Governor Ueda has been cautious and has the markets guessing as to when the BoJ will raise rates. The markets have priced in a 59% chance of a rate hike before the end of the ye…
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Over the past week, the Bitcoin market experienced significant volatile price action, resulting in a net price loss of 0.07%. Notably, the crypto market leader initially surged to $118,000 as bullish sentiments rose after the US Federal Reserve announced the first interest rate cut of 2025. However, Bitcoin has since retraced to around $115,700 in the past 24 hours, as transaction activity cooled off. In studying the asset’s price structure, a popular market analyst with the X username KillaXBT has highlighted two important price levels. Bitcoin’s Weekly Open Faces Pressure Amid Daily Imbalance Threat In an X post on September 19, KillaXBT shares a vital cautionary…
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Elton John has said goodbye to the yellow brick road – but not to the yellow metal, which is a big part of his life as the new short film “Touched by Gold” shows. Released this week by the World Gold Council, the free online movie explores the English pop star’s relationship with the precious metal, from his art to his health. “Gold is used in pacemakers,” John said while describing being fitted with one of the devices in 1999. “[Gold] is highly conductive which makes it perfect for carrying electrical signals to the heart. I was astonished. It made me feel good about it. So gold is used for things other than glamourization and beautiful objects!” The release …
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Friday Trade Analysis:1H chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair continued its downward movement on Friday, even though a rise in the pound would have been more logical. Let's recall that on Friday morning, the UK released a fairly positive retail sales report, which traders completely ignored. Overall, last week's economic statistics in the UK were quite solid, but it didn't prevent the pound from falling due to renewed concerns over the national budget. The pound has declined not because of the Fed or Bank of England meetings, but due to more budget-related issues. From our point of view, this factor has already been priced in—how long can the market keep selling off the …
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Amid Wall Street’s heightened expectations for future rate cuts, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will be speaking on Tuesday, 22 September 2025. Hence, the crypto market is bracing for volatility and has every reason to. Apart from Powell’s speech, a string of high-impact US economic data drops throughout the week. On Wednesday, 23 September 2025, home sales figures will be released. On Thursday, 24 September 2025, we’ll see existing home sales data shine a light on the strength of America’s housing market, along with the latest durable goods orders report. The health of both reports has influenced investment flows into digital assets in the past. But Thursday wil…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to remain range-bound between $110,000 – $115,000, data from crypto exchanges seems divided toward the leading cryptocurrency. While Binance traders are exhibiting a bullish stance, traders from other exchanges are still showing a degree of hesitation. Binance Traders Expecting Bitcoin Price Surge According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, fresh derivatives data from Binance is signaling shifting market dynamics – specifically, the recent BTC funding rate on Binance points toward traders taking a bullish stance. On the contrary, the BTC funding rate from other exchanges, such as OKX, Bybit, and Deribit, suggests th…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, from the 1.1737 level (yesterday's daily close), the market may continue moving downward toward 1.1706 – the 38.2% retracement level (red dotted line). When testing this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.1720 – the 50% retracement level (red dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: On Thursday, from the 1.1737 level (yesterday's daily close), the market may conti…
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Silver prices rose above $45 an ounce for the first time since 2011 on Thursday, bolstered by an increased risk-off sentiment in equity markets amid worries about the trajectory of the US economy. Spot gold hit an intraday high of $45.07 — its highest in over 14 years — before pulling back to around $44.70 per ounce, for a 1.8% rise. Click on chart for live prices. The move takes silver’s year-to-date gains up to over 55%, surpassing that of its more expensive sister metal gold, which has seen multiple record highs this year. The bullish drivers include a weakening US dollar, relentless central bank buying and rising geopolitical risks. Surging demand for go…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded relatively calmly on Thursday, but had managed to consolidate below the moving average line the day before. In fact, everyone is now used to the constant back-and-forth around the moving average. Over the past month and a half, the pair's movement has been such that a 100-pip rise is followed by an 80-pip fall. In other words, the European currency rises steadily, but very weakly, with frequent corrections and pullbacks. Unfortunately, with such price action, moving averages are almost useless. Moreover, this kind of price movement displays signs of both a trend and a flat, which is important to understand. It's not exactly sideways moveme…
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