Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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With just one statement, Sebastien Lecornu saved France — and Europe! The speech by the outgoing prime minister, announcing progress in negotiations with political parties over the budget, led to a rebound in the CAC-40 index and a narrowing of the yield spread between French and German bonds. As a result, EUR/USD managed to find a footing. But how long will it last? Yield Spread Dynamics Between French and German Bonds Achieving results requires efforts from both sides. Lecornu studied the demands of both the left- and right-wing parties and indicated a willingness to compromise. While he previously announced plans to set the budget deficit for next year at 4.7%, h…
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Canada's trade deficit widened significantly in August, reaching 6.3 billion CAD compared to 3.8 billion CAD in July. The key factor behind this shift was the implementation of new tariffs, which led to a noticeable decline in exports to the United States. Weakened exports are expected to put pressure on GDP growth in the third quarter, which already looks uncertain after the disappointing second-quarter contraction of -0.4%. The likelihood of a rebound now appears low. Consumer demand in Canada is rising, primarily due to the Bank of Canada's rate cuts, which have encouraged household spending. Not even the threat of higher prices from new U.S. tariffs deterred Canadian …
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded lower throughout Tuesday and Wednesday, declining steadily without major pauses, even overnight. This drop has been swift and persistent. So, let's ask an important question: do traders really understand that such a move requires major fundamental justification? And do they realize that it's not enough to isolate a single event—they need to consider the entire spectrum of macroeconomic and fundamental signals? Reading various expert commentaries brings to mind the classic line from the film "Casablanca": "Round up the usual suspects." At the moment, the euro does not have any serious reasons to be falling, yet many analysts are pointing fi…
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Ethereum price failed to extend gains above $4,600 and declined. ETH is now moving lower and might extend losses below $4,400 in the short term. Ethereum started a downside correction below $4,600 and $4,550. The price is trading below $4,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term rising channel forming with support at $4,460 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $4,400. Ethereum Price Dips Again Ethereum price extended gains above $4,620 and $4,650, like Bitcoin. ETH price tested the $4,750 resistance zone before there was a fresh decline. A low was formed at $4,414 and t…
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Bitcoin recently tested the $124,000 level before quickly pulling back. Selling pressure was observed during the Asian trading session, which drove the leading cryptocurrency back to the $121,500 area, where buyers once again became active. However, how long they can maintain this level of support remains uncertain. According to recent data, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have slowed but not reversed, supporting the broader market as Bitcoin trades near its historical highs. This stable, albeit moderate, stream of capital reflects continued interest from institutional investors, despite market volatility and rumors of a deeper correction. In the context of global economi…
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The Ethereum price has struggled to mount any significant bullish pressure since hitting the all-time high of $4,946 in August. The bullish momentum of the second-largest cryptocurrency has mostly waxed and waned, reaching the $4,750 high twice in the past few weeks. After running up to this local peak on Tuesday, October 7, the Ethereum price has been on a steady descent in recent days. This bearish pressure intensified on the close of the week, with the ETH price falling towards $3,700 due to United States President Donald Trump’s tariff imposition on China. Interestingly, a recent technical outlook still points to a possible journey to the $5,000 mark for the altcoi…
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Trade Analysis and EUR/USD Trading TipsA test of the 1.1595 level occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun rising from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the euro. As a result, the pair moved up toward the target level of 1.1619. News of declining inflation expectations in the U.S. exerted pressure on the dollar. Fresh data pointing to expected slower consumer price growth over the coming months led traders to revise their outlooks regarding the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy. The probability of a rate cut during the October FOMC meeting remains relatively high. A swift reaction also followed after Trump announced potential 100% tari…
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Artificial intelligence can slash truck waiting times in open-pit mining by as much as 55%, while increasing productivity and fuel efficiency, according to a new study by GEM Mining Consulting. The research tested Reinforcement Learning (RL) as an alternative to conventional rule-based truck dispatch. Across multiple scenarios, the AI system delivered stronger results: 23–33% more tonnage moved, 19–24% faster cycle times, 6–21% better fuel efficiency, and up to 48% less downtime. Truck allocation remains one of mining’s toughest challenges, with loading and hauling making up 50%–60% of costs. Traditional dispatch systems depend on fixed rules that often break down…
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The pound sterling has forcefully reversed downward from the 1.3525 level. Yesterday's candle closed below the balance line, and the Marlin oscillator has moved deeper into negative territory. The nearest target at 1.3364 is now open, and the pound continues to weaken. Consolidating below this level would open the way to the next target at 1.3253. On the four-hour chart, price and oscillator have formed a divergence. This does not signal a trend reversal (given the broader context), but it does suggest a possible correction of some kind. However, since Marlin has spiked upward and is likely to lose momentum soon, any correction is unlikely to be deep, so we expect a p…
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Binance Coin (BNB) extended its hot streak, trading above $1,310 (up 3% on the day and 30% on the week), as it flipped XRP to become the third-largest cryptocurrency by market value. BNB’s market cap now hovers near $182–185 billion, capping a seven-day run that outpaced Bitcoin and Ethereum. The surge followed a clean breakout above $1,100 and $1,200, with bulls now eyeing $1,360 and the psychological $1,500 handle if momentum holds. On the downside, $1,200–$1,240 is the first support zone traders are watching for a healthy retest. Record On-Chain Activity and Meme-Season Tailwinds Currently, BNB Chain is printing cycle-high activity. Daily transactions have ranged…
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Wednesday Trade Breakdown:1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair traded in both directions while maintaining a downward bias on the hourly timeframe. The main decline occurred during the Asian session, so even the one major macroeconomic report — Germany's industrial production, which disappointed significantly — had virtually no impact on the euro. In the evening, the minutes from the latest FOMC meeting revealed that about half of the committee members expect further monetary easing. The key interest rate could be cut two more times by year-end. However, this information had already been public knowledge since September 17, the date of the Fede…
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Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.260 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might dip further if it stays below $0.2550. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.2550 level. The price is trading below the $0.2550 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.2570 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if there is a move below $0.2420. Dogecoin Price Trims Gains Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.2620, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.260 and $0.2550 support level…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) takes a brief breather after creating a new all-time high (ATH) above $125,000, on-chain data shows that three key indicators played a major role in the digital asset’s latest rally to new highs. These Three Indicators Suggest More Room For Bitcoin According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, fresh data from Binance suggests that BTC is witnessing one of its most significant buying phases since mid-year. Notably, BTC’s price has surged from around $117,000 to $124,000 since the beginning of October. Arab Chain emphasized three key indicators that suggest the return of whales into the Bitcoin market. First, the net buying pressu…
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Ethereum .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Ethereum ETH $4,491.06 0.20% Ethereum ETH Price $4,491.06 0.20% /24h Volume in 24h $35.20B Price 7d Learn more continued its upward momentum (with a recent ATH), drawing short-term market focus toward the BSC ecosystem as …
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Natural Gas (NG) Over the past two weeks, the price of natural gas has made two unsuccessful attempts to break above the weekly balance and MACD indicator lines. As of today, the price has returned below the key support level of 3.333. The Marlin oscillator has also failed to enter positive territory and is now indicating a potential downward reversal. The nearest target at 3.086 is open. With a high degree of probability, the decline could extend well below this initial target — toward 2.643. On the daily chart, the price held above the 3.333 level for six consecutive sessions, but all attempts to build upward momentum were thwarted by technical resistance from higher …
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Trade Breakdown and Strategy for the British PoundA test of the 1.3436 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. A second test of the same level while the MACD was in the overbought zone triggered Sell Scenario No. 2 and resulted in a sharp GBP sell-off of more than 50 pips. U.S. economic data continues to point to a slowdown in growth while inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target. Despite this, the Federal Reserve appears committed to supporting the economy, as noted in yesterday's FOMC meeting minutes. This outlook pressured the dollar, giving the pound a small opportunity t…
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A crypto analyst has sparked fresh discussions on X social media after pointing out an eerie similarity between the current XRP price structure and its 2017 setup. Back then, the cryptocurrency experienced a sudden flash crash on Binance, dropping from $0.36 to $0.001 before soaring tens of thousands of percent to its all-time highs just weeks later. XRP Mirrors Flash Crash Setup From 2017 A new technical analysis by a crypto market expert known as ‘Guy on the Earth’ on X recalls December 2017, when XRP faced an alleged rug pull moment from Binance, which sent its price into a sharp, temporary collapse before igniting one of the most powerful bull runs in its history. Hi…
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Bitcoin’s recent price action suggests a cooling phase after its failed attempt to secure a close above the $123,000–$124,000 all-time high zone. While short-term retracement appears likely, the broader market structure remains bullish. This correction could serve as a healthy reset before Bitcoin gathers momentum for its next major wave, with $150,000 standing as the next target. Heatmap Reveals Key Gaps In Bitcoin’s Support Levels ZYN, a prominent crypto analyst, recently posted an update on X highlighting a key observation from Bitcoin’s cost basis heatmap. The analyst noted that there’s limited support between the $121,000 and $120,000 levels, creating a fragile zone…
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Senator Cynthia Lummis is pushing a new proposal that aims to make spending Bitcoin as easy as swiping a debit card. Her plan introduces a de minimis tax exemption that would remove capital gains reporting for small Bitcoin transactions. By cutting out complicated tax steps, she hopes to make paying for coffee, groceries, or everyday services with Bitcoin far more practical. Breaking Down the Proposal The draft framework would exempt individual transactions under roughly 300 dollars from taxation, with a yearly cap of 5,000 dollars per person. That means people wouldn’t need to calculate capital gains every time they spend small amounts. There are limits, though. T…
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The Ethereum Foundation has introduced a new Privacy Cluster dedicated to building out privacy features across the network. This shows a clear push to make privacy part of Ethereum’s foundation rather than a secondary concern. The cluster brings together 47 specialists, including engineers, researchers, cryptographers, and coordinators. It will be led by Igor Barinov, the founder of Blockscout, who has a long history within the Ethereum ecosystem. Working Side by Side with Other Teams Rather than operating as a silo, the Privacy Cluster will coordinate closely with other Foundation groups. One of its key partners will be the Institutional Privacy Task Force, which focu…
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