Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12207 tópicos neste fórum
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This is a follow-up analysis and a timely update of our prior publication, “USD/JPY Technical: Mild JPY strength detected ahead of US CPI”, published on 11 September 2025. In the last four weeks, the US dollar has weakened significantly against several major currencies, such as the euro, which rallied to a 4-year peak against the greenback on Tuesday, 16 September, but the bearish momentum of the US dollar has lagged against the Japanese yen (see Fig. 1). …
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BHP (ASX, NYSE: BHP) and Lundin Mining’s (TSX: LUN) joint venture in Argentina is investing more than $400 million near the Chilean border, aiming to develop a multibillion-dollar copper project that could become the country’s next major production hub. The venture, Vicuña Corp, was created in January after the partners acquired Filo Corp. It controls both the Filo del Sol deposit in straddling the border Argentina-Chile and the Josemaría deposit in Argentina’s San Juan province. Since the acquisition, Vicuña has carried out tests and pre-construction work at Josemaría, with plans to seek approvals and begin production in 2030. The company also extended the mine’…
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Bitcoin has observed a recovery surge toward $117,000 as on-chain data shows Binance users have been making consistent withdrawals recently. Binance Bitcoin Netflow Has Been Negative Recently As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a Quicktake post, BTC has been flowing out of Binance recently. The on-chain indicator of relevance here is the “Exchange Netflow,” which keeps track of the net amount of Bitcoin that’s entering into or exiting out of the wallets connected to a given centralized exchange. When the value of this metric is positive, it means the inflows are overwhelming the outflows on the platform. Generally, one of the main reasons why inv…
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Most Read: USD/JPY Technical: Yen eyeing a medium-term bullish breakout against USD from a 5-month range The Bank of Japan is broadly expected to keep its policy rate at 0.5% during its meeting on September 19, 2025. The future economic outlook remains cautious because of political uncertainty within Japan and challenges from international trade. …
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GBP/USD The British pound reached its target — the upper boundary of the global descending price channel — and even pierced it with its upper shadow (weekly chart). Now the price may well retreat from such strong resistance. If the outcome of today's Bank of England meeting aligns with this expected pullback, a medium-term decline could develop. Here, the key level to watch is the MACD line around 1.3395. On the daily chart, the price reversed downward at the 8th Fibonacci time line. The Marlin oscillator is pointing down from the upper boundary of its range, suggesting the price may attempt to work out the nearest support at 1.3525, which the MACD line has already touc…
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Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair on Wednesday showed movements similar to those of the EUR/USD pair. In the morning, the U.K. released an important inflation report, but its significance turned out to be as "bland" as other reports this week. Traders barely noticed it. Inflation in the U.K. remained at 3.8%, which will not affect today's Bank of England decision in any way. The British central bank will, without question, keep monetary policy parameters unchanged, and the main intrigue lies in how the votes of Monetary Policy Committee members will be distributed in the rate decision. Even if the BoE meeting turns out more "dovish" than expe…
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The euro has continued to rally against the greenback from the 1 August 2025 low of 1.1392 and broke above its recent 52-week high of 1.1830 printed on 1 July 2025, within its medium-term uptrend phase in place since 13 January 2025 The EUR/USD hit a 4-year high of 1.1919 on Wednesday, 17 September, at the onset of the FOMC announcement of a 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut to bring down the Fed funds rate to 4.00%-4.25%, and the release of the latest summary of economic projections (dot plot) that indicates two more projected interest rate cuts of 25 bps each before 2025 ends. Post FOMC sell-off due to a less “dovish” Fed Chair Powell’s press conference Thereaf…
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Crypto Insight UK used the first post-cut trading day to reframe the XRP narrative around what he calls the difference between utility and speculation, arguing that the latest burst of institutional developments does not automatically validate “$100 dreams.” While welcoming macro and regulatory tailwinds, he cautioned that euphoria often front-runs fundamentals and urged disciplined profit-taking if XRP reaches what he considers this cycle’s plausible range. “Don’t get caught in the trap of thinking when it starts to send that it’s going to go to $100 or $200 or $50 straight away,” he said, adding that, should XRP push into double digits, “I’m going to be taking a signif…
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Week in review - Fed Delivers Cut but Keeps Markets in Check A busy week that was still dominated by the highly anticipated Federal Reserve Meeting. I have to say, hats off to Fed Chair Powell who kept markets in check whether you think he is right or wrong in his decision. Believe me there is support in both camps. Fed Chair Powell in particular has been under pressure from the political sphere while labor data and mixed economic signals put the Fed Chair in the firing line. The Fed board itself faced a key decision as markets have turned extremely dovish in expectations ahead of the meeting. The message from the Fed balanced market expectations while not giving too m…
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Institutional staking may soon receive a significant boost as reports emerge that Grayscale is preparing to stake its substantial Ethereum holdings. This move would mark a pivotal shift for one of the world’s largest crypto asset managers, bringing billions of dollars worth of ETH into active network participation. In an X post, on-chain analyst CryptoGoos has brought to light a significant development in the institutional crypto space. Grayscale is reportedly preparing to stake its massive Ethereum holdings. Although not yet confirmed, such a move, which was flagged by on-chain data following a transfer of over 40,000 ETH, is a significant signal of Grayscale’s evolving…
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Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has experienced a notable decline, erasing the gains it achieved following the recent decision by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates. After soaring to nearly $118,000—just 5% shy of its all-time high—the market has faced renewed uncertainty. Despite this setback, experts emphasize that the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains optimistic, especially as September 21 approaches, a date identified as pivotal for Bitcoin’s price trajectory. Will September 21 Mark The Start Of A New Bull Run? Market analyst Timothy Peterson highlights that historically, Bitcoin has finished the year higher 70% of the time after Sept…
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Charles Hoskinson has affirmed that Cardano (ADA) will steal the crypto spotlight as the altcoin attempts to hold a crucial level as support. Some analysts believe the cryptocurrency is preparing for a massive rally in the coming months. ADA Holds Key Support Zone Following Thursday’s market rally, Cardano has seen its price retrace 4% in the last 24 hours, failing to reclaim the range high for the second time over the past week. The altcoin has been trading between $0.72-$0.96 since July, hitting a local high of $1.01 last month. Despite the dip, ADA has held the $0.85-$90 zone as support, attempting to stabilize around this area throughout Friday morning. Analyst Seb…
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EUR/USDThe euro exchange rate has approached the support of the daily Kijun line (1.1720). A consolidation below this level would signal that the EUR/USD pair is ready to continue its decline toward the target level of 1.1632 (the peak from June 12). However, the Marlin oscillator is still in positive territory, so it would be beneficial for the euro to slow down a bit and prepare for a downward breakout—possibly tomorrow, when there will be a showdown between the PMI indices of Europe and the United States. On the four-hour chart, conditions are forming in favor of the dollar winning the PMI battle, as the price has settled below both indicator lines, and the Marlin os…
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The GBP/USD currency pair continued its downward trend on Friday, and it was much more pronounced than what we saw with the EUR/USD pair. This allows us to immediately conclude that it was the British pound that started the decline first — and it had specific reasons for doing so. The euro simply followed. Why did the British pound fall? The meetings of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England had absolutely nothing to do with it, as the British central bank decided to maintain its monetary policy parameters, did not signal any upcoming rate cuts, and only slightly trimmed its quantitative easing (QE) program. Meanwhile, the Fed lowered its key rate and hinted at the p…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued its decline on Friday after consolidating below the 1.3587–1.3620 zone and ended the day with a close below the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482. This suggests that the pound's decline may continue toward the next support zone of 1.3416–1.3425. A consolidation above the 1.3482 level would work in favor of the British pound and could lead to some growth toward the 100.0% corrective level at 1.3587. The wave pattern has shifted to a "bearish" one. This happened suddenly and unexpectedly. The last upward wave broke the previous high, but the following downward wave easily broke the last low. The information backdrop was mostl…
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XRP’s growing momentum has not only intensified price speculations but has also placed it in direct comparison with Bitcoin in one surprising metric, especially in the South Korean market. Data shows that XRP is now challenging Bitcoin’s dominance in the South Korean crypto world, as evidenced by the reserves of Upbit, the biggest crypto exchange in the country in terms of trading volume and market share. Upbit’s Unusual XRP Reserve Levels On-chain data shows how XRP is beginning to challenge Bitcoin’s long-standing dominance in South Korea, where trading activity is among the most vibrant globally. As the leading cryptocurrency, most exchanges across the world hold Bit…
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First came Michael Saylor with MicroStrategy, launching a Bitcoin treasury. Soon, public firms explored Ethereum, and as of late September 2025, the first Solana treasury is now live in South Korea. Although the launch coincides with SOL USD falling, this development could provide the tailwinds to lift SOL USDT above $250. At press time, the Solana price is steady but hasn’t been spared the market-wide sell-off. Although the uptrend remains, there needs to be a conclusive close above September highs at around $250. If SOL bulls take charge, SOL USD could extend the gains from early July. According to Coingecko, the Solana price is up a decent +53% in the past year and +1…
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This is a follow-up analysis and timely update of our prior report, “Nikkei 225 Technical: Bullish trend remains intact despite Japan’s PM resignation”, published on 8 September 2025. The Japan 225 CFD Index (a proxy of the Nikkei 225 futures) has continued to remain in a bullish trend as expected and rallied by 5.3% to hit a fresh all-time high of 45,956 on last Thursday, 18 September 2025, ex-post FOMC. Thereafter, the Japan 225 CFD Index staged a minor corrective pull-back of -3.2% to print an intraday low of 44,485 on Friday, 19 September 2025, on the onset of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announcement to start unwinding its massive hoard of around 79.5 trillion yen of …
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3467 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below zero, limiting the pair's downside potential. Long positions on the rebound from 1.3434 (Scenario #2) returned about 15 pips of profit. News that US new home sales came in much higher than economists had forecast strengthened the dollar and led to a decline in the British pound. Investors immediately reconsidered their positions, anticipating good economic growth momentum. The prospect of keeping rates higher for longer returned appeal to the US dollar. Today, the Confederation of British Industry will release UK retail sales figur…
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XRP stands at a pivotal point as it approaches the $2.97–$3 resistance zone. Holding above this level could confirm bullish momentum and spark the next Wave 3 rally, but a rejection here risks triggering a deeper correction. Perfect Retest: $2.79 Support Holds Strong CasiTrades, a crypto analyst, recently shared an update on XRP’s ongoing market structure, pointing out that the backtest of the $2.79 support level was flawless. According to CasiTrades, this was precisely where momentum was expected to re-enter the market, and buyers have indeed shown strength at this zone. She emphasized that the macro 0.5 Fibonacci level is continuing to act as a major support, anchoring…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Thursday. Recall that the "black streak" for the British currency began last week. Over this period, both news events genuinely worked against the pound, and events that could be interpreted in various ways. In almost all cases, traders chose to interpret the news unfavorably for the British currency. Yesterday, the fall of the GBP/USD pair was entirely justified, as US data turned out to be far better than forecasts. US GDP grew in the second quarter by 3.8% versus initial forecasts of about 3%, and durable goods orders increased by 2.9% despite negative expectations. From a technical …
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Yesterday, Bitcoin plunged below $109,000, triggering panic in the market. Ethereum also remained below $4,000, indicating ongoing active selling that has been seen recently. It's clear that BTC began to see heavy selling right after the FOMC, and a couple of failed attempts to rise above $118,000 only encouraged even more short positions from speculators. The overall market structure now points to fading momentum. According to Glassnode data, there is currently heavy selling from long-term holders, but these sales are not being absorbed, as inflows to ETFs have slowed significantly lately. This is worrisome, since long-term holders are traditionally seen as the most sta…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Friday, the market may continue moving downward from the 1.3340 level (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.3293 – a historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, a corrective upward movement is possible, with a target of 1.3322 – the lower fractal (daily candle from September 25, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – up.Overall Conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative Scenario: The price from the 1.3340 level (yesterday's daily candle close) may c…
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The crypto market isn’t exactly in great shape today, with BTC USD and ETH USD pairs still stuck in a brutal slump. However, not everything is in red. Newer players like Plasma(XPL), ASTER, Stable (SBTL), and Avantis(AVNT) are drawing USD liquidity in. While BTC slipped below 110K USD and ETH dropped over 2.5%, those newer coins are recording more than 100% gains at least. XPL USD pair is hitting $1.5 after launching, and ASTER USD pair is posting 3-digit percentage gains to $2.4, before correcting these past 2 days. (source – XPL/USD, TradingView) On social media, especially Twitter, the sentiment is bumping up. Posts about ASTER are wildly climbing by 190% weekly. …
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Many analysts believe that next summer, the leading cryptocurrency could reach a staggering $200,000. They estimate the likelihood of this scenario at 50%. This forecast may come true if the asset rides the wave of growth. Throughout this week, the price of Bitcoin has risen by almost 6%. This has given hope to analysts and market participants for a further upward move in the first cryptocurrency. According to crypto analyst Timothy Peterson, by June 2026, the BTC price could reach a new all-time high of $200,000. The expert puts the odds of hitting such a peak at 50%. By the end of this week, Bitcoin has remained stable: on Friday, September 26, it started sideways tra…
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