Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12208 tópicos neste fórum
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XRP stands at a pivotal point as it approaches the $2.97–$3 resistance zone. Holding above this level could confirm bullish momentum and spark the next Wave 3 rally, but a rejection here risks triggering a deeper correction. Perfect Retest: $2.79 Support Holds Strong CasiTrades, a crypto analyst, recently shared an update on XRP’s ongoing market structure, pointing out that the backtest of the $2.79 support level was flawless. According to CasiTrades, this was precisely where momentum was expected to re-enter the market, and buyers have indeed shown strength at this zone. She emphasized that the macro 0.5 Fibonacci level is continuing to act as a major support, anchoring…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Thursday. Recall that the "black streak" for the British currency began last week. Over this period, both news events genuinely worked against the pound, and events that could be interpreted in various ways. In almost all cases, traders chose to interpret the news unfavorably for the British currency. Yesterday, the fall of the GBP/USD pair was entirely justified, as US data turned out to be far better than forecasts. US GDP grew in the second quarter by 3.8% versus initial forecasts of about 3%, and durable goods orders increased by 2.9% despite negative expectations. From a technical …
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Yesterday, Bitcoin plunged below $109,000, triggering panic in the market. Ethereum also remained below $4,000, indicating ongoing active selling that has been seen recently. It's clear that BTC began to see heavy selling right after the FOMC, and a couple of failed attempts to rise above $118,000 only encouraged even more short positions from speculators. The overall market structure now points to fading momentum. According to Glassnode data, there is currently heavy selling from long-term holders, but these sales are not being absorbed, as inflows to ETFs have slowed significantly lately. This is worrisome, since long-term holders are traditionally seen as the most sta…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Friday, the market may continue moving downward from the 1.3340 level (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.3293 – a historical support level (blue dashed line). Upon testing this level, a corrective upward movement is possible, with a target of 1.3322 – the lower fractal (daily candle from September 25, 2025). Fig. 1 (daily chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – down;Fibonacci levels – down;Volumes – down;Candlestick analysis – down;Trend analysis – down;Bollinger Bands – down;Weekly chart – up.Overall Conclusion: Downward trend. Alternative Scenario: The price from the 1.3340 level (yesterday's daily candle close) may c…
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The crypto market isn’t exactly in great shape today, with BTC USD and ETH USD pairs still stuck in a brutal slump. However, not everything is in red. Newer players like Plasma(XPL), ASTER, Stable (SBTL), and Avantis(AVNT) are drawing USD liquidity in. While BTC slipped below 110K USD and ETH dropped over 2.5%, those newer coins are recording more than 100% gains at least. XPL USD pair is hitting $1.5 after launching, and ASTER USD pair is posting 3-digit percentage gains to $2.4, before correcting these past 2 days. (source – XPL/USD, TradingView) On social media, especially Twitter, the sentiment is bumping up. Posts about ASTER are wildly climbing by 190% weekly. …
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Many analysts believe that next summer, the leading cryptocurrency could reach a staggering $200,000. They estimate the likelihood of this scenario at 50%. This forecast may come true if the asset rides the wave of growth. Throughout this week, the price of Bitcoin has risen by almost 6%. This has given hope to analysts and market participants for a further upward move in the first cryptocurrency. According to crypto analyst Timothy Peterson, by June 2026, the BTC price could reach a new all-time high of $200,000. The expert puts the odds of hitting such a peak at 50%. By the end of this week, Bitcoin has remained stable: on Friday, September 26, it started sideways tra…
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Thumzup Media’s $10 million stock buyback and its move into Dogecoin mining have stirred fresh interest in DOGE, but traders are watching price action closely for confirmation before calling a rally. Market Tests Key Trend Line Reports have disclosed that DOGE recently pulled back to a demand zone that matches the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA). That area is being watched as a make-or-break spot. A solid bounce from here could push Dogecoin toward $0.29 in the near term. If buyers push through the rising wedge pattern, a move to $0.40 is the next clear target. Some traders say a run to $1 is possible if momentum picks up sharply, though that would require su…
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Monday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD On Monday, GBP/USD also traded with a slight upward bias, but there is one important difference between the technical picture of the pound and that of the euro. The British currency consolidated above a fairly strong descending trendline and also broke through the key level of 1.3413. This strongly suggests that the pound's decline has ended. Recall that over the past two weeks the market used almost any reason to sell sterling, but overall the fundamental backdrop for the dollar remains much weaker. We tend to view the recent moves as just another correction within the broader uptrend, which will resume sooner or later. On Mond…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 148.58 price level occurred at a time when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line. This limited the pair's downside potential, and as a result, I chose not to sell the dollar. The second test of the same level occurred while the MACD was in oversold territory, which triggered the implementation of Scenario #2 (Buy). However, this did not result in a significant upward move for the pair. A U.S. government shutdown has become even more probable following yesterday's meeting between Democrats and Republicans. The failure to reach an agreement weakened the dollar and strengthened the yen…
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According to Arkham, a wallet labeled “Tether: Bitcoin Reserves” received 8,889 Bitcoin in a single transfer from Bitfinex. The move added roughly $1 billion to Tether’s holdings and pushed the firm’s Bitcoin stash to about $9.8 billion based on the market price. It was one of the biggest single top-ups to its BTC balance this year. Quarter-End Buying Pattern Based on reports, the timing of the buy was not random. Blockchain records show Tether has made similar quarter-end additions in September 2024, December 2024, and March 2025. Analysts say the pattern points to a deliberate effort to bolster reserves ahead of public attestations. Tether’s second-quarter attestati…
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1.20 per euro is the minimum projected exchange rate for EUR/USD by year-end. Most banks and economists agree with this forecast. The news background for the dollar in 2025 is not just poor—it keeps worsening. Just a couple of weeks ago, the market was still digesting Donald Trump's new import tariffs (covering all medicines, trucks, and furniture) and the FOMC rate cut, when a government shutdown had already begun in the U.S., while the labor market continued to cool. Currently, demand for the U.S. currency has not declined significantly, but I believe the market will factor these considerations in later. The Federal Reserve has not just carried out one round of monetary…
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The time for optimistic predictions about the Bitcoin price reaching a new record is swiftly running out. Many analysts initially predicted that the market’s leading cryptocurrency would achieve a milestone of $200,000 this year. However, as time progresses, these forecasts are being adjusted, with some traders on crypto prediction platforms lowering their price targets. Despite this, the potential for new all-time highs (ATHs) still lingers for the remainder of the year. Historical Data Points To New Records In Q4 Recently, the Bitcoin price once again surged past the significant $120,000 threshold, a level that has acted as a major resistance barrier over the past mo…
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The EUR/USD currency pair remained relatively calm on Friday. Volatility remained minimal. In fact, the only relatively strong movement of the entire past week occurred on Thursday—ironically, the day with virtually no significant macroeconomic or fundamental events. Only the Eurozone unemployment rate, which unexpectedly climbed to 6.3%, had the theoretical potential to trigger a reaction. However, other days featured far more important data, even excluding the unreleased Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment figures. Thus, the first conclusion is that last week's price movement had nothing to do with logic. As we've stated many times before, there's no point in trying to r…
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Overview: There are two main drivers today. The outcome of Japan's LDP leadership contest means Japan will have its first woman prime minister, She espouses the traditional LDP policy mix of expansionary fiscal policy and advocates easy monetary policy. The yen was sent reeling as were Japanese bonds, where the 40-year yield surged 15 bp to around 3.55%. Japanese stocks jumped 3%-4%. The second development was the unexpected resignation of the French prime minister who was in office less than a month. French bonds and stocks have been sold, and the euro has been dragged lower. Despite the continued shutdown of the US federal government and no sign of an off-ramp, the gree…
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Australia’s Predictive Discovery (ASX: PDI) and Canada’s Robex Resources (CVE: RBX)(ASX: RXR) have agreed to merge in an all-share deal worth A$2.35 billion ($1.55 billion), creating a new mid-tier gold producer in Guinea. Robex shareholders will receive 8.67 Predictive shares for each Robex share, giving them about 51% ownership of the combined company. The merger, announced jointly by the West Africa-focused developers, combines two of the region’s most advanced gold projects. “By combining two of West Africa’s largest and most advanced gold development projects and leveraging the proven track record of both management teams in Africa, we are creating a company …
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Global markets are buzzing: gold is storming all-time highs, Bitcoin is once again proving it can rival the dollar, BlackRock is doubling down on AI infrastructure, and Tesla has released a mysterious announcement that could upend the electric vehicle market. In this review, we cover everything driving markets today: from the luster of gold and digital optimism to billion-dollar deals and Elon Musk's ambitions, along with practical ideas for those seeking to turn volatility into profit. Gold storms records: factors behind historic rally and ways to capitalize Against the backdrop of the prolonged US government shutdown, gold has once again claimed center stage in financi…
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MetaMask, the world’s most popular crypto wallet developed by Consensys, is preparing to launch a large-scale rewards program aimed at boosting user engagement and strengthening its position in decentralized finance (DeFi). The MetaMask airdrop initiative will distribute over $30M worth of LINEA tokens in its first phase, as part of a broader plan to introduce a long-term incentive system for wallet users. According to Consensys, users will earn points by participating in everyday wallet activities, such as referrals, using the mUSD stablecoin, joining partner events, and performing token swaps or bridge transfers through MetaMask. The rewards will primarily come in the…
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Trade Review and Strategy for the Japanese YenA price test at 151.17 occurred while the MACD indicator was beginning to rise from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the U.S. dollar. As a result, the pair gained more than 40 pips. The yen continued to rapidly lose ground against the dollar following yesterday's comments from Federal Reserve officials. Specifically, remarks from Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari — who warned that a sharp decrease in interest rates could lead to a surge in inflation — triggered a rally in the dollar and further weakness in the yen. However, the yen's current weakness is also driven by domestic factors. Following S…
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Just a couple of weeks ago, analysts at Goldman Sachs predicted that gold could soon reach the $4,000 mark. Yesterday, that prediction came true. Spot gold prices exceeded $4,000 per ounce for the first time and are now holding around $4,036. This milestone comes amid growing concerns that the ongoing government shutdown could have a severe impact on the U.S. economy. It's a historic moment for gold, which was trading below $2,000 just two years ago. This year alone, gold has surged more than 50%, driven by global trade uncertainty, questions surrounding the independence of the Federal Reserve, and concerns over U.S. financial stability. Heightened geopolitical tensions…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations on the British Pound The price test of 1.3401 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The release of the Bank of England meeting minutes supported the pound. The language of the press release was extremely cautious: no hints of a reassessment of the current monetary policy and not a single mention of upcoming interest rate cuts. Such a neutral tone, combined with detailed statistics on inflation expectations, created a sense of stability, which was immediately reflected in the currency markets. Ahead, a fairl…
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Bitcoin recently tested the $124,000 level before quickly pulling back. Selling pressure was observed during the Asian trading session, which drove the leading cryptocurrency back to the $121,500 area, where buyers once again became active. However, how long they can maintain this level of support remains uncertain. According to recent data, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have slowed but not reversed, supporting the broader market as Bitcoin trades near its historical highs. This stable, albeit moderate, stream of capital reflects continued interest from institutional investors, despite market volatility and rumors of a deeper correction. In the context of global economi…
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European gas prices stay near 30–32 euro per MWh despite the upcoming heating season.High storage levels and strong LNG inflows from the U.S. keep the market stable.China’s weaker LNG demand reduces global price pressure.Risks ahead include Norwegian production outages and possible winter cold pushing prices toward 40 euro per MWh. Despite the approaching heating season, natural gas prices in Europe remain near a yearly low — around 30–32 euros per megawatt-hour (MWh). The persistence of such low levels results primarily from high storage inventories and strong inflows of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the United States. In addition, lower demand for LNG in China — o…
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Arthur Hayes argues that Bitcoin’s widely cited four-year halving cycle has broken down and that macro liquidity—not protocol mechanics—will dictate the next leg of the market. In a new essay titled “Long Live the King!” published on October 9, 2025, the BitMEX co-founder contends that policy choices in Washington and Beijing are setting up a structurally easier money regime that should keep pushing BTC higher, even as many traders look for a textbook cycle peak. “The four-year anniversary of this fourth cycle is upon us,” he writes, but those applying the old pattern “miss why it will fail this time.” The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Is Dead Hayes’ framework is explicit: the pr…
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The latest FOMC news signals a clear dovish tilt among U.S. Federal Reserve officials, with the newly released minutes showing that additional rate cuts are likely before the end of the year. Most participants judged that it would be “appropriate to ease policy further over the remainder of 2025,” marking a notable shift from the cautious tone that dominated much of the year. While the central bank remains officially committed to its 2% inflation target, the tone of the September meeting minutes suggests the Fed is becoming more concerned about slowing employment than lingering inflation. The first rate cut in September—by 25 basis points—was driven by signs of a softeni…
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Equities have enjoyed a remarkable run, with major indices pushing to fresh highs — from last Friday’s Dow peak above the 47,000 milestone to yesterday’s record closes in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Since June–July 2025, following the end of the 12-day Israel–Iran conflict, markets have been ecstatic, printing new all-time highs almost every week. Yet, beneath the surface, some divergences are starting to show. The S&P 500 now stands 9.5% above its January 2025 high, the Nasdaq is up 12.5%, but the Dow Jones has gained only 3.6% — a notable gap that hints at sectoral imbalance. A weekly look at US Indices …
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