Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The Japanese yen has recovered intraday losses that were previously driven by domestic political instability in Japan. The ruling coalition between the Liberal Democratic Party and Komeito collapsed, creating uncertainty as newly appointed Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi seeks support for confirming her leadership. The strategy remains consistent—continue the economic stimulus policies of former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, focusing on aggressive fiscal spending and accommodative monetary measures, while simultaneously strengthening the yen's role as a haven currency amid global geopolitical instability. On the U.S. side, international trade tensions have escalated sharply. T…
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Gold climbed to yet another record on Tuesday, bolstered by increased expectations of further US rate cuts, with investors awaiting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech later in the day for further policy cues. Spot gold shot up nearly 1% to set a new all-time high of $3,790.64 per ounce, before pulling back below the $3,770 level. Meanwhile, US gold futures broke past the $3,800 barrier, trading 0.9% higher at $3809.1 an ounce. Click on chart for live prices. Over the past week, bullion has gained more than 2% while setting a new high almost every trading session, riding the momentum of the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut this year and expectations of …
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Mining advisory firm Appian Capital announced on Wednesday it has sold two royalty and streaming assets under its portfolio to Canada’s Versamet Royalties (TSXV: VMET) for total cash consideration of up to $170 million, of which $125 million is paid upfront. The sale comprises a 2.75% net smelter return (NSR) royalty on the Santa Rita polymetallic mine in Brazil and a 90% silver stream on the Rosh Pinah mine in Namibia. Both mines are majority-owned by Appian and have expansion projects on their way to extend production. In a press release, Appian’s founder and CEO Michael Scherb said the company had received strong interest, reflecting “the quality of the underly…
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On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair traded with minimal volatility once again. The looming threat of a U.S. government shutdown had virtually no impact on trader sentiment — but that may not be the real reason. More likely, the market simply isn't willing to take risks right now or open positions that it might seriously regret in a few days. This explains both the low trading activity and the muted volatility. The dollar's position remains as vulnerable as ever. The greenback fell like a stone in early 2025, even as both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England were cutting interest rates. Now, roles have reversed: the ECB and BoE are taking a wait-and-see appr…
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According to economist Timothy Peterson, Bitcoin has a 50% chance of topping $140,000 before the month ends. He posted that likelihood on X and backed it with simulation work that uses a decade of price moves to map likely outcomes. Simulation Based On Historical Data Peterson said the model runs hundreds of simulations using daily Bitcoin prices going back to 2015. Based on those runs, he put the chance Bitcoin finishes the month above $140,000 at 50%. He also gave a 43% probability that the price will end the month below $136k. At the time he spoke, Bitcoin was trading at $121,200. That means a rise of about 11% would be needed to reach $140,000 from the current leve…
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Solana’s revenue generation is on its generational run. From memecoin mania to AI-powered dApps, Solana’s ecosystem is firing on all cylinders, attracting traders, builders and validators alike. If that doesn’t convince you, here’s a looker. A Swiss investment firm, 21Shares, released a report on 6 October 2025, according to which .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Solana SOL $223.47 0.04% Solana SOL Price $223.47 0.04% /24h …
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Ethereum price failed to extend gains above $4,600 and declined. ETH is now moving lower and might extend losses below $4,400 in the short term. Ethereum started a downside correction below $4,600 and $4,550. The price is trading below $4,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a short-term rising channel forming with support at $4,460 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $4,400. Ethereum Price Dips Again Ethereum price extended gains above $4,620 and $4,650, like Bitcoin. ETH price tested the $4,750 resistance zone before there was a fresh decline. A low was formed at $4,414 and t…
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Bitcoin recently tested the $124,000 level before quickly pulling back. Selling pressure was observed during the Asian trading session, which drove the leading cryptocurrency back to the $121,500 area, where buyers once again became active. However, how long they can maintain this level of support remains uncertain. According to recent data, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have slowed but not reversed, supporting the broader market as Bitcoin trades near its historical highs. This stable, albeit moderate, stream of capital reflects continued interest from institutional investors, despite market volatility and rumors of a deeper correction. In the context of global economi…
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Trade Breakdown and Strategy for the British PoundA test of the 1.3436 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. A second test of the same level while the MACD was in the overbought zone triggered Sell Scenario No. 2 and resulted in a sharp GBP sell-off of more than 50 pips. U.S. economic data continues to point to a slowdown in growth while inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target. Despite this, the Federal Reserve appears committed to supporting the economy, as noted in yesterday's FOMC meeting minutes. This outlook pressured the dollar, giving the pound a small opportunity t…
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Trade Analysis and EUR/USD Trading TipsA test of the 1.1595 level occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun rising from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the euro. As a result, the pair moved up toward the target level of 1.1619. News of declining inflation expectations in the U.S. exerted pressure on the dollar. Fresh data pointing to expected slower consumer price growth over the coming months led traders to revise their outlooks regarding the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy. The probability of a rate cut during the October FOMC meeting remains relatively high. A swift reaction also followed after Trump announced potential 100% tari…
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[Crude Oil] – [Tuesday, October 14, 2025] Although the RSI indicator is in the Neutral-Bullish zone, but with the position of the Death Cross between the two EMAs suggests that #CL remains under bearish pressure. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 60.73 2. Resistance. 1 : 60.13 3. Pivot : 59.57 4. Support. 1 : 58.97 5. Support. 2 : 58.41 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of #CL breaks down and closes below 58.97, there's potential for continued downside toward 58.41. Momentum Extension Bias: If 58.41 is broken and closes below, Crude Oil may extend its decline to 57.81. Invalidation Level Invalidation / Bias Revision: The downside bias is …
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The Reform UK Leader Nigel Farage has shifted his focus from dominating his political adversaries to appealing to British crypto investors, declaring, “I am your champion”. This move comes as the man tipped to be the UK’s next Prime Minister adopts a similar strategy to President Trump’s in garnering election support from digital asset investors. In remarks made yesterday (October 13), at the Digital Asset Summit in London, Farage touted his plans to create a state-owned Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 14 Market sentiment has been yo-yoing since Friday’s turmoil, with investors struggling to find stable footing after the week’s chaotic end. While equities appear to have found an intermediate bottom, the price action remains uncertain, reflecting caution and the price action in risk-assets is now much more open compared to the prior up-only trend. Every US-China headline is being closely dissected, the latest being this Axios update, which reignited some anxiety over the increasingly fragile trade relationship between the two global leaders. The overall ambiance is one of hesitation — a fitting tone for…
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The UK labor market report for August showed no indication that inflationary pressure is likely to ease. Average wages, including bonuses, rose by 5% year-over-year over the last three months, significantly higher than the previous reading of 4.7%. At the same time, unemployment increased, as did the number of jobless claims. Adjusted for inflation, the real annual growth in total wages increased by 1.2%, which is also higher than for the previous three-month period. On a broader scale, there has been no change in the inflation outlook. In September, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) published calculations from its own inflation forecas…
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The Dogecoin price slipped roughly 4% on the day and 24% on the week, hovering near $0.20–$0.21 at press time. While the pullback cools last week’s rebound, analysts say fresh Nasdaq-listing headlines and ETF momentum could reset the narrative and revive the long-standing $1 target if key levels hold. Nasdaq Listing & Dogecoin ETF Buzz Put $1 Back in Sight The House of Doge, a corporate arm tied to the Dogecoin Foundation, plans to go public via a $50 million merger with Brag House Holdings (NASDAQ: TBH). The new entity is set to steward an ecosystem treasury of 837 million DOGE and push DOGE integrations across gaming, campus sports, and digital media, bringin…
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The sudden and violent market correction triggered by geopolitical shockwaves served as an unprecedented stress test for the entire cryptocurrency ecosystem, exposing critical differences in network architecture. While the multi-billion-dollar liquidation event sent prices plunging across the board, Solana demonstrated remarkable resilience, whereas the Ethereum network and liquidity thinned during the peak volatility. Why Solana High-Performance Design Continues To Shine In an X post, the Nasdaq-listed go-to Solana Digital Asset Treasury (DAT), DefDevCorp, has revealed that when the largest liquidation event in crypto history hit last Friday, most of the market froze, a…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair opened on Tuesday with a sharp decline. This time, the market had legitimate reasons to sell the British pound: UK unemployment data and jobless claims came in well below expectations. Unemployment continues to rise, which on its own is negative for the economy. Beyond that, the Bank of England may consider restarting monetary easing due to weakness in the labor market. In short, Tuesday morning brought bad news for the pound. In the second half of the day, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell came to the pound's aid. It's still unknown what exactly Powell said, but demand for the U.S. dollar began to drop sharp…
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Nigel Farage is stepping into the UK crypto conversation with a bold pitch that looks a lot like something out of Donald Trump’s playbook. He wants the country to hold a £5 billion bitcoin reserve, using coins already seized by the government. He’s also pushing for a 10 percent flat tax on crypto profits, an end to the Bank of England’s digital pound project, and even the option for citizens to pay their taxes in crypto. In a speech that felt more like a campaign rally than a policy talk, he positioned himself as the UK’s crypto advocate, borrowing Trump’s tone and timing with just weeks before a general election. A Bold Plan That Looks Better on Paper There’s no denyin…
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Ethereum price started a fresh recovery above $4,050. ETH is now showing positive signs and might rise further toward the $4,350 level. Ethereum started a recovery wave above the $4,000 and $4,020 levels. The price is trading above $4,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,980 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it trades above $4,200. Ethereum Price Holds Support Ethereum price started a recovery wave above the $3,950 level, like Bitcoin. ETH price formed a base and was able to recover above the $4,000 level. The price cleared the 50% Fib retra…
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The U.S. government is preparing to add around 127,271 bitcoin, valued at roughly $14.2 billion, into what it now calls a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. During a joint operation with UK authorities, these coins were confiscated in connection with a massive crypto fraud operation led by Chen Zhi, a Chinese national tied to the Cambodia-based Prince Group. Instead of offloading the assets as it typically would, the government appears ready to hold the Bitcoin. The move marks a potential turning point in how states treat digital assets, suggesting that officials now see this stash as a long-term financial tool rather than something to liquidate. A Web of Scams, Trafficking, an…
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EUR/USD is trading around 1.1618, bouncing after forming a double bottom pattern around 1.1543. After bouncing above 1.1550, the euro is now consolidating above the 7/8 Murray and above the 200 EMA, suggesting it could continue its rise in the coming days, reaching the 200 EMA around 1.1670. EUR/USD is expected to rise in the coming hours until it breaks the downtrend channel and reaches the 8/8 Murray around 1.1718. The euro is expected to cover the bottom it left at around 1.1739. Therefore, we could look for opportunities to continue buying at current levels while the EUR/USD pair trades above 1.1580. Any pullback will then be seen as a buying opportunity. The outl…
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The GBP/USD currency pair once again traded lower on Tuesday. This time, there were actual reasons for the pound's decline—at least during the first half of the day. The UK releases macroeconomic data infrequently, but Tuesday was one of those rare days. The unemployment rate came in above expectations, while jobless claims exceeded forecasts by 2.5 times. These two reports were enough to trigger a further drop in the pound. Naturally, the market continues to ignore equally poor fundamental and macroeconomic data for the U.S. dollar—but that has now become business as usual in recent weeks. In the EUR/USD article, we suggested that the recent declines in both major curren…
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Review of Tuesday's Trades:1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair managed to trade in both directions. In the morning, the euro came under pressure due to weaker-than-expected ZEW economic sentiment indices from both Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, the U.S. dollar faced pressure due to public remarks by Jerome Powell and Donald Trump. Chair Powell once again stated that the Federal Reserve will make decisions based solely on macroeconomic data and also signaled the end of the quantitative tightening program. Both statements could be interpreted in multiple ways. The market still lacks confidence in whether we will see one or two rat…
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[Platinum] – [Wednesday, October 15, 2025] Even though the intersection of the Golden Cross of the two EMA(50) & (200) is relatively narrow, but with the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish zone suggests that buyers are still dominant in Platinum. Key Levels: Level-Level Kunci 1. Resistance. 2 : 1743.0 2. Resistance. 1 : 1704.0 3. Pivot : 1672.5 4. Support. 1 : 1633.5 5. Support. 2 : 1602.0 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If Platinum breaks and closes above 1704.0, it may move to test 1743.0. Momentum Extension Bias: If Platinum successfully breaks and closes above 1743.0, there is potential for it to reach 1774.5. Invalidation Level / Bias R…
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[XPD/USD] – [Wednesday, October 15, 2025] With the condition of technical indicators which showing a bullish momentum for XPD/USD, such as both EMAs forming a Golden Cross and the RSI positioned in the Neutral-Bullish zone. This suggests that XPD/USD has the potential to strengthen today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 1649.30 2. Resistance. 1 : 1605.71 3. Pivot : 1539.32 4. Support. 1 : 1495.73 5. Support. 2 : 1429.34 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If Palladium strengthens above 1539.32, it may continue its rally toward 1605.71. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1605.71 is successfully broken, there is potential for XPD/USD to test the 1649.3…
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