Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12315 tópicos neste fórum
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Overview: Speculation that Japan will take measures to stem the rout in the government bond market has helped spur a short-covering bounce in the dollar after finished last week poorly and sold off yesterday. There has been a sharp drop in Japanese long-term bond yields, and although the dollar is higher against all the G10 currencies today, the yen is the weakest, off nearly 0.75%. Given the intraday momentum indicators and sentiment toward the dollar, we suspect North American participants will sell into the greenback's gains. European benchmark 10-year yields are off 1-3 bp today. The 10-year US Treasury yield is four basis points lower near 4.47%. Equities are mostly…
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Japan will begin test mining rare earth rich mud from the deep seabed near Minamitori Island in 2026, aiming to secure a domestic supply of critical minerals amid tightening global exports. The government-backed project, led by Shoichi Ishii of the Cabinet Office’s ocean innovation platform and using pipes deployed by a Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC) vessel, marks the world’s first attempt to extract and refine rare earths from abyssal mud. The project will collect mud at depths of 5,000–6,000 m near Minamitori Island, with trial operations set to begin in January 2026, as reported by Reuters. If fully successful, the system co…
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The Japanese yen has started the week with strong gains. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.71, down 0.73% on the day, Japanese PM on shaky ground after election drubbing Japanese Prime Minister Ishiba's ruling coalition failed to win a majority in the election for the upper house of parliament on Sunday. The result is a humiliating blow to Ishiba, as the government lost its majority in the lower house in October. The stinging defeat could be the end of the road for Ishiba. The Prime Minister has declared he will remain in office, but there is bound to be pressure from within the coalition for Ishiba to resign. Op…
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The Japanese yen is showing little movement on Friday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 148.69, up 0.06% on the day. On the data calendar, Japan's inflation rate eased in June. It's a light day in the US, highlighted by UoM consumer sentiment and inflation expectations. Japan's core CPI eases to 3.3%Inflation in Japan fell in June as expected and the yen is showing little movement today. Headline CPI dropped to 3.3% y/y from 3.5% in May, matching the consensus. This was the lowest level since Nov. 2024, as prices for electricity and gasoline rose more slowly in June. Food prices were up 7.2%, the most since March, as rice prices soared 100%. Monthly, C…
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The yen showed almost no reaction to news that Japan's economic decline is strengthening Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's resolve to develop an ambitious stimulus package, even though the central bank still intends to raise interest rates in the coming months. According to the data, Japan's real gross domestic product in the third quarter of this year fell by 1.8% year-on-year. Compared to the second quarter, GDP declined by 0.4%. Private residential investment and exports were among the key factors weighing on overall output. Consumer spending, the largest component of GDP, remained virtually unchanged, failing to offset the weakening economy. This downturn raises concer…
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The Japanese yen is in positive territory on Monday. In the European sesssion, USD/JPY is trading at 147.87, down 0.35% on the day. Japan's economy expands 2.2% in Q2 The week has started on a positive note in Japan, as GDP for the second quarter was revised sharply higher to 2.2% y/y, up from the initial reading of 1.0% and above the Q1 gain of 0.3%. This was the fastest pace of growth since Q3 2024, as private consumption was higher, in part due to government subsidies for rice and energy. Exports were higher as firms rushed to ship to the US before the blanket 15% tariffs kicked in. On a quarterly basis, GDP expanded 0.5%, up from the initial reading of 0.3%. T…
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The Japanese yen is slightly lower on Thursday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.87, up 0.39% on the day. Japan's inflation expected to continue slowingJapan releases the July inflation report on Friday. The markets will be especially interested in the core rate, which is expected to ease to 3.0% y/y, from 3.3% in June. Core CPI includes energy but excludes fresh food Core CPI has remained above the Bank of Japan's 2% target for over three years but the central bank has been slow to raise interest rates. BoJ Governor Ueda has said that the Bank will not raise rates until underlying inflation, which is generated by domestic demand and wages, is sustainabl…
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Overview: The dollar is mixed against the G10 currencies today. Fanned by Japanese official caution about exchange rate developments, and perhaps what seems like a successful between President Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi, the dollar is snapping a seven-day advance against the yen. The dollar bloc and sterling are under-performing, while the roughly 1.75% drop in crude prices, the third consecutive declining session, put the Norwegian krone at the bottom of the G10 today. Emerging market currencies are mixed. And despite the stronger yuan, and the PBOC setting the dollar's reference rate at a new one-year low, Asia Pacific currencies were mixed. Equities ar…
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Japan is preparing to launch its first stablecoin credit card. Starting in October 2025, ‘Nudge Card’ will be accepted at over 150M VISA merchants worldwide, and Nudge Corporation will accept the Japanese yen-backed stablecoin JPYC for repayments. Meanwhile, over in South Korea, e-commerce giant, Coupang, is partnering with Tempo to build blockchain rails for stablecoin adoption These developments in the Asian market reflect the broader global race to adopt crypto and blockchain payment systems. Best Wallet is gearing up with its upcoming Best Card, aiming to make everyday crypto transactions easier for people around the world. How Japan’s Nudge Card Could Revolutioniz…
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Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) is preparing to approve the country’s first Yen-denominated stablecoin. This will be the first time a domestically issued, fully collateralized Yen stablecoin is expected to go live at national scale. Japan’s stablecoin can be approved and launched as early as this autumn. Furthermore, Tokyo-based fintech JPYC is set to lead issuance under Japan’s revised regulatory framework. 18 August 2025 local media reports also confirmed that JPYC aims to issue roughly $7 billion of the new cryptocurrency over three years. The stablecoin will be pegged 1:1 to the Japanese Yen. It will be backed by highly liquid assets such as bank deposits an…
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Japan is all set to classify cryptocurrencies as financial products under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (FIEA). Further to this, it also plans to introduce a new taxation regime for this sector as part of its crypto reform process. According to an article published by a local media, Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) wants to reclassify 105 cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), under the FIEA, effectively putting crypto under the same umbrella as stocks and bonds. This expansion of the regulatory umbrella onto crypto aims to ensure that the sector falls under investor protection rules and is held up to a higher standard. Th…
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Japan’s Strategy equivalent, Metaplanet, has acquired an additional 1,112 Bitcoin, bringing the company’s total to a staggering 10,000 BTC as of 16 June 2025. The investment company is Asia’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder and the seventh largest publicly traded company globally by Bitcoin treasury size. Notably, Metaplanet issued $210 million worth zero-interest bonds to acquire the additional Bitcoin. Simon Gerovich, CEO of Metaplanet, took to X on 16 June 2025 to announce that Metaplanet has acquired 1112 BTC for $117.2 million at $105,435 per Bitcoin and has achieved BTC Yield of 266.1% YTD 2025. “As of 6/16/2025, we hold 10,000 BTC acquired for $947 million at …
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Japan’s Remixpoint, an energy consulting firm, is diving into Bitcoin, raising $215 million to grow its portfolio to 3,000 Bitcoins. Already holding over 1,000 BTC ▲2.20%, this marks a bold, treasury-focused move amid Japan’s shifting crypto landscape. The company is not just stacking sats, but the CEO announced now takes his paycheck in BTC. With Japan’s crypto laws evolving fast and ETFs on the horizon, Remixpoint’s move is not just bullish. Asia’s biggest traditional economy is setting the tone for overall bigger corporate adoption. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.21T24h7d30d1yAll time Remixpoint Treasury Hits 3,000 Bitcoin Ambition Remicpoint just dropped $215 million …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Overview: The dollar is mostly consolidating with a softer bias after the disappointing employment report before the weekend. The derivatives market is pricing in about a 10% chance of a 50 bp Fed cut next week, which still seems exaggerated given the likely uptick in headline CPI this week. The Japanese yen is the only G10 currency that is weaker on heels of the resignation of Prime Minister Ishida who saw the surveys that showed a majority of his party wanted a leadership contest this year as a vote of no-confidence. The policy uncertainty weighed on the long-end of the Japanese interest rate, though the 10-year yield slipped and equities rose. Most emerging market curr…
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Overview: Disappointing flash May PMI readings in Europe and the Asia Pacific helped the US dollar stabilize after yesterday's drop. Asian currencies, including the yen, has been unsettled by reports that in bilateral trade discussions with the US, exchange rates have been discussed. This, coupled with extensive unhedged dollar exposure rocked several of the regional currencies in recent weeks. Yesterday's 1.6% surge of the South Korean won has been mostly though not fully unwound today. The dollar has edged lower against the Taiwan dollar for the third consecutive session today, and the sixth time in the past seven sessions. The greenback is higher against the all the G1…
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Japan’s largest bank, SBI, has unveiled plans to launch the country’s first exchange-traded fund (ETF) that will be linked to both Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP. SBI Unveils Japan’s First Bitcoin And XRP ETF According to circulating reports, this investment vehicle aims to trade on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), offering institutional investors a regulated avenue to gain exposure to two of the market’s largest cryptocurrencies. In addition, the country’s financial giant has introduced a second product, the Digital Gold Crypto ETF, which will allocate 51% to gold and 49% to cryptocurrencies. This structure is reportedly designed to mitigate investment risks through divers…
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The Japanese yen continues to lose ground on Friday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 148.68. Earlier, USD/JPY hit 148.77, its highest level since August 1. Japan's core CPI falls to 3.1%Japan's core CPI, which excludes fresh food, dropped to 3.1% y/y in July, down from 3.3% and just above the market estimate of 3.0%. Headline CPI also declined to 3.1% from 3.3%, as rice inflation, which has skyrocketed, eased slightly. Headline inflation has been above the Bank of Japan's 2% inflation target for 40 consecutive months but the central bank remains hesitant to raise rates, arguing that it needs more evidence that domestic demand and wages will keep under…
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Overview: The market is optimistic a deal will be struck between the US and China tomorrow. A reduction in the fentanyl tariff is expected, and a one-year delay in the broad export licensing requirement for rare earths and related technology has been tipped. Reports suggest China purchased two cargoes of US soy for the first time in months. But it is not clear what concessions the US made. Separately, the US appears to have finalized an agreement with South Korea. Ahead of the outcome of the FOMC meeting later today, the US dollar is firm. Among the G10 currencies, the noted exception in the Australian dollar, where firmer than expected inflation has seen rates raise acr…
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The Japanese yen is stepping into the FX spotlight, battling the Australian dollar for top weekly performer — with the AUD lifted by the RBA’s hawkish pause and firm domestic data. A rare sight in 2025, the yen is beginning to dominate broader currency performance, as fundamentals start to assemble in its favor. Political momentum is shifting, with LDP contenders Takaichi and Koizumi pulling ahead in Friday’s LDP party leadership race and hinting at a possible renegotiation of Japan’s trade deal with the US. Both stances, seen as less supportive of Abenomics and Ishibanomics’ era of ultra-low rates, fuel growing speculation that BoJ hikes may be closer than expected. Ec…
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The Japanese yen has edged lower on Monday. USD/JPY is trading at 142.76 in the North American session, up 0.15% on the day. The US dollar was broadly lower on Friday and declined 1% against the yen. BoJ Core CPI expected to accelerate On Friday, Japan's core CPI for April hit 3.5% y/y, up from 3.2% in March and above the market estimate of 3.4%. This marked the fastest annual pace since January 2023. The spike in inflation was driven by higher food prices. Japan's inflation will remain in focus this week, with BoJ Core CPI and Services Producer Price Index on Tuesday and Tokyo Core CPI on Friday. BoJ Core CPI, one of the central bank's preferred inflation…
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The Japanese yen is sharply lower on Tuesday and has fallen to a two-week low. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 148.62, up 1.0% on the day. BoJ Deputy Governor says rate hike coming Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino said on Tuesday that the central bank would raise rates if conditions were appropriate. Himino said there were "upside and downside risks for economy and inflation", citing the tight labor market and global economic uncertainty as upside inflation risks and tariffs and commodity prices as downward price risks. Himino said that the impact of US tariffs could be "smaller or larger than expected" and the BoJ woul have to carefully ass…
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The Japanese yen is steady on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.72, up 0.09% on the day. On Friday, the yen soared 2.2%, its best one-day showing since April. US nonfarm payrolls misses forecast The week ended with a softer-than-expected US employment report. Nonfarm payrolls for July rose by only 73 thousand, missing the market estimate of 110 thousand. Adding to the bad news, the June and May reports were both revised sharply lower, down by a combined 258 thousand. The unemployment rate ticked higher to 4.2%, up from 4.1%. The weak July reading and the downward revisions indicate that the labor market may be cooling more quickly than initial…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Japanese yen is trading quietly on Monday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.47, up 0.04%. The US dollar posted strong gains last week, as USD/JPY jumped 2.0%, its best week since December 2024. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational purposes only. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, an award winning forex, commodities and global indices analysis and news site service produced by OANDA …
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There’s a new sheriff in town—or at least that’s how Vice President JD Vance framed it from the main stage at Bitcoin 2025 in Las Vegas. In a packed ballroom at The Venetian, the Republican VP laid out the clearest message yet from the Trump administration: the days of what he called “regulatory harassment” are over. “Operation Choke Point 2.0 is dead,” Vance announced to roaring applause. “Let my words serve as its obituary.” Vice President JD Vance Delivers Remarks at Bitcoin 2025 Conference at Las Vegas, NV https://t.co/m2IIVUS1j4 — Vice President JD Vance (@VP) May 28, 2025 JD Vance became the first U.S. vice president to address a crypto-focused crowd—and use…
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Blue Origin will now sell New Shepard spaceflight seats in Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and selected dollar-pegged stablecoins through a new checkout integration with Shift4 (NYSE: FOUR), the payments company said in a Business Wire announcement. The integration is live and applies to upcoming commercial flights, adding crypto rails alongside traditional methods for one of the world’s best-known suborbital tourism offerings. Jeff Bezos Opens Blue Origin To Bitcoin, ETH, SOL Payments According to the joint release, customers “starting today” can pay for Blue Origin’s suborbital flights in BTC, ETH, SOL, USDT and USDC. Shift4 says the flow also supports direct connections to …
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