Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12206 tópicos neste fórum
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The Dogecoin price is about to complete a Golden Cross pattern, a technical event that often signals the start of a super bullish run. A crypto analyst argues that the real test lies at $0.33, a resistance level that could determine whether DOGE begins its next major rally and extends its momentum into the broader altcoin market. Golden Cross Forms On Dogecoin Price Chart Crypto analyst Cas Abbe recently highlighted in an X social media post Dogecoin’s bullish momentum, noting that the meme coin is about to complete another Golden Cross. In technical terms, a Golden Cross signals the potential start of an extended bullish cycle. Cas Abbe emphasized the significance …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
1.20 per euro is the minimum projected exchange rate for EUR/USD by year-end. Most banks and economists agree with this forecast. The news background for the dollar in 2025 is not just poor—it keeps worsening. Just a couple of weeks ago, the market was still digesting Donald Trump's new import tariffs (covering all medicines, trucks, and furniture) and the FOMC rate cut, when a government shutdown had already begun in the U.S., while the labor market continued to cool. Currently, demand for the U.S. currency has not declined significantly, but I believe the market will factor these considerations in later. The Federal Reserve has not just carried out one round of monetary…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis On Monday, the GBP/USD currency pair once again failed—possibly for the third or fourth time—to break through the 1.3420–1.3425 area. A rebound followed, suggesting that the British currency could rise, at least up to the Senkou Span B line, even in the absence of fundamental or macroeconomic support. In any case, no significant news is expected today from either the United States or the United Kingdom. Overall, the British pound continues to trade rather poorly. The pair still has enough reason to revive the upward trend of 2025, but traders remain hesitant to initiate buying activity. There were no significant events on Monday in eith…
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On 6 October 2025, Indian Union Minister Piyush Goyal said that the country is ready to launch a sovereign, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) -backed digital currency, which will be traceable. Goyal insisted that the country will not be encouraging cryptocurrency,” which does not have sovereign backing or which is not backed by assets, say it on the federal bank or local currency.” The digital Rupee will be akin to regular currency. It will be backed by the central bank, while leveraging blockchain technology. “Our idea is that this will only make it easier to transact. It will also reduce paper consumption and will be faster to transact than the banking system. But it will a…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair remained under downward pressure throughout Tuesday. For the second consecutive day, the pair gravitated toward the downside. The political crisis in France remains the only noteworthy event so far this trading week, and we've already discussed that in earlier reviews. However, we do not believe this political development is significant or impactful enough to justify two days of sustained euro declines. In our view, the U.S. government shutdown carries far more weight in the eyes of traders. To be fair, the pair hasn't fallen too far — for two consecutive days, the 1.1657–1.1666 zone has halted the decline. The…
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Asia Market Wrap - Stocks Retreat Tracking Wall Street Most Read: USD/JPY Price Outlook: Key Levels, BoJ, and Political Risks Asian stocks fell taking their cues from Wall Street. Market participants are starting to become more careful because they are worried that stock prices have gone too high (stretched valuations) and that too much money is being invested into Artificial Intelligence. This caution is making them doubt whether the recent market gains will last. As a result, Asian stocks are heading for their biggest drop in two weeks, following declines in both the MSCI All-Country World Index and the U.S. S&P 500, both of which slipped after a seven-day winnin…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations on the British Pound The price test of 1.3401 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The release of the Bank of England meeting minutes supported the pound. The language of the press release was extremely cautious: no hints of a reassessment of the current monetary policy and not a single mention of upcoming interest rate cuts. Such a neutral tone, combined with detailed statistics on inflation expectations, created a sense of stability, which was immediately reflected in the currency markets. Ahead, a fairl…
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Palladium surged nearly 10% on Wednesday to a two-year high amid a relentless rally in precious metals that propelled both gold and silver prices to records. The metal, used primarily in catalytic converters in car exhaust systems, traded as high as $1,482.65 per ounce, the highest since May 2023. Over the past month, palladium has risen by more than 20%, riding the momentum of investment demand for safe-haven metals, in particular during a period of heightened political and economic uncertainty. In comparison, gold has gained 11% during that period, while silver rose by nearly 17%. Year to date, palladium is up by nearly 49%, almost mirroring the performance …
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According to Coach JV, XRP could become “one of the greatest assets of our lifetime,” a view he has repeated in recent posts. He pointed to his decision in December 2020 to back the token when the US Securities and Exchange Commission filed a suit against Ripple, saying he went all-in while many others were selling. That moment, when XRP slipped to $0.17, is central to his claim that patience and discipline pay off. Coach JV’s Early Bet He says intuition and calm guided his call. Reports have disclosed that he credits those traits for building systems he expects to last. Back then, panic pushed prices down. He chose to hold and add. That move, according to his accoun…
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Bitcoin recently tested the $124,000 level before quickly pulling back. Selling pressure was observed during the Asian trading session, which drove the leading cryptocurrency back to the $121,500 area, where buyers once again became active. However, how long they can maintain this level of support remains uncertain. According to recent data, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have slowed but not reversed, supporting the broader market as Bitcoin trades near its historical highs. This stable, albeit moderate, stream of capital reflects continued interest from institutional investors, despite market volatility and rumors of a deeper correction. In the context of global economi…
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Key takeaways Nasdaq 100 hits record high: The index rallied 1.2% on 8 October 2025, reaching a new all-time closing high of 25,137, supported by continued tech sector strength.AI bubble concerns rise: Market chatter grows around US$1 trillion in “AI circular deals” among OpenAI, Nvidia, AMD, and Oracle, sparking valuation worries.Technical outlook remains bullish: The Nasdaq 100 stays within its ascending channel, above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages.Market breadth improves: A rising share of Nasdaq 100 stocks now trades above short- and medium-term moving averages, reinforcing bullish momentum. The Nasdaq 100 rallied by 1.2% on Wednesday, 8 October 2025, an…
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The US government shutdown, which began at midnight on October 6, shows no sign of ending soon — and many now expect it could at least become the second-longest in US history. Despite six Democratic attempts to pass a funding bill, the Senate has repeatedly rejected proposals to reopen the government. …
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American Dollar Strengthens Against All Currencies The reason was the latest statements from U.S. Federal Reserve representatives, who indicated that, given the current government shutdown, further reductions in interest rates would be inappropriate. Against the backdrop of budgetary turmoil in Washington, where uncertainty about the future of fiscal policy continues to grow, such rhetoric from the U.S. central bank came as unexpected and, essentially, counterproductive under current circumstances. Traders who had expected a more flexible stance from the Fed reacted by selling euros and moving into dollar-denominated assets they considered more reliable. However, the long…
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Why is Crypto Down Today? The crypto market just faced its sharpest liquidation wave of October, catching overleveraged bulls off guard. Peace in the Middle East, anon. All safe haven assets are going to crash 80 percent, and leveraged speculative investments are going to 100x. Or are they? So far more than $630 million in positions were wiped out on October 9, according to data from Coinglass, with over 81% of those being long bets. .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Bitcoin BTC $121,607.12 0.23% …
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Binance said it will compensate a group of users affected by Friday’s extreme market swings that caused three major tokens to lose their peg and trigger forced liquidations. The exchange confirmed on Saturday, Oct. 11, that users who held Ethena’s USDe, BNSOL, or WBETH as collateral on its platform between 21:36 and 22:16 UTC on Oct. 10 will receive compensation. During that 40-minute window, prices for those assets briefly diverged from their benchmarks, prompting automatic liquidations. What Triggered the $19 Billion Liquidation Across Global Exchanges? Market Cap 24h 7d 30d …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Friday's Trade Review: 1H Chart of the GBP/USD Pair The GBP/USD pair also showed signs of recovery on Friday, although in the first half of the session, it once again attempted to resume its decline and failed to break through the descending trendline. Therefore, the downtrend remains in effect for now, even though it is entirely illogical. The rise of the dollar should have come to an end a week ago. Even then, there were more than enough reasons for the U.S. currency to resume falling. Over the past week, those reasons have only multiplied, especially after Donald Trump initiated a new round of trade war escalation with China—a key reason for the dollar's collapse …
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Published overnight, the latest UK labor market data has raised several red flags for the economy, signaling a possible shift in the broader macro outlook. Persistent inflation pressures constrain the Bank of England’s rate-cut path, leaving the BoE with the second-highest policy rate among OECD economies, just behind the Federal Reserve at 4%. (FYI Fed Chair Powell will be speaking here for those interested) …
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Dogecoin just endured a sharp weekend drawdown, slipping back below the $0.20s after failing to extend its early October rebound. This decline was enough to wipe out many weeks of steady gains and shake retail sentiment. However, amid the volatility, the monthly chart is still bullish. Despite the weekend crash, Dogecoin is well above its 25-month moving average and is trading near the same structural zone that preceded past parabolic rallies. This setup caught the attention of a technical analyst on X known as EᴛʜᴇʀNᴀꜱʏᴏɴᴀL, who pointed out that the same pattern that preceded Dogecoin’s 36,000% breakout in 2021 has now resurfaced. Historical Structure Reappears On Doge…
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EUR/JPY printed a hammer candlestick yesterday just above a key support level hinting at a potential bullish continuation. The bullish daily candle close also came after three successive days in the red but today has seen price action fail to build on yesterday's momentum. EUR/JPY has pushed lower testing the lows printed yesterday. What does the pair have in store for market participants in the coming days? Let us take a look. Japanese Yen: Geopolitical Safety Bid vs. Domestic Instability The Japanese Yen (JPY) is currently getting stronger, but this strength is based on fear and is likely to be temporary. The yen's recent gains is likely because market participants a…
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BTC ▲0.68% is back above $110K, trading around $110,300 after dipping as low as $107K yesterday. The bounce comes even as both Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs showed outflows, keeping the overall market cautious. On September 1, crypto ETFs saw strong outflows. (Source: BTCUSDT) Bitcoin ETFs lost 631 BTC ($68.8M), mostly from VanEck (627 BTC), now holding 16,780 BTC ($1.83B). Ethereum ETFs shed 4,319 ETH ($19M), led by Bitwise’s 5,467 ETH ($24.1M) sale, though it still holds 130,701 ETH ($575M). Still, with BTC reclaiming a key level, many traders are now asking if WLFI could be the next crypto to explode. EXPLORE: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 WLFI Recovery – …
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Chile’s state-owned copper giant Codelco is warning that national production could stagnate at about 5.5 million tonnes per year as the industry faces mounting challenges. Chairman Máximo Pacheco said at the Ecos de la Minería summit in Santiago the sector faces “enormous difficulties,” citing deeper mining operations, falling ore grades and rising costs. Chile is the world’s top copper supplier, and a prolonged plateau in output could tighten global markets just as demand from the energy transition accelerates. Despite the challenges, Pacheco said Codelco is pressing ahead with upgrades and new ventures. He confirmed the company remains committed to a lithium par…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Bitcoin price is struggling to recover above $112,500. BTC is now consolidating and might decline if there is a move below the $110,800 level. Bitcoin started a recovery wave above the $110,800 zone. The price is trading above $111,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $110,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline if it stays below the $113,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Key Hurdles Bitcoin price started a fresh recovery wave from the $110,000 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $110,800 and $111,200 resistance levels. The bulls were able to p…
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Dogecoin flashes a bullish signal after crashing through the Kumo. However, with the $0.23 resistance in the spotlight, the question remains: Can DOGE clear this hurdle and rekindle its rally momentum? Cloud Turns Support: Kumo Now Shields Bitcoin Price Action In a recent analysis shared on X, crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade provided an updated technical outlook on DOGE’s price action using the Ichimoku indicator. The analysis points to a significant development: a Kumo breakout, which has triggered a long trade signal for the cryptocurrency. The analyst explained that this breakout is a crucial turning point, as the Kumo, or “Cloud,” which previously acted as resista…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum price started a fresh recovery wave above the $4,350 zone but failed. ETH is still struggling and might slide below the $4,270 zone. Ethereum is still struggling to recover above the $4,400 zone. The price is trading below $4,350 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $4,290 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a strong decline if it settles below the $4,220 level in the near term. Ethereum Price Could Slide Further Ethereum price started a recovery wave after it formed a base above the $4,220 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $4,300 a…
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Overview: The US dollar continues to trade with a heavier bias. Today, the yen is leading the move on the back of renewed speculation that the BOJ may still hike rates this year. The Australian dollar has broken above $0.6600 to approach the year's high, while the Canadian dollar is the laggard, as is often the case in a soft US dollar environment. With the encouragement of the PBOC, which set the dollar’s reference rate at a new low for the year, the market has pushed the dollar below CNH7.1150 for the first time since last November. Emerging market currencies are mostly firmer against the greenback today. The fall of the French government has not caused much of a stir, …
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