Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis On Wednesday, the GBP/USD pair spent most of the day in low-volatility consolidation but eventually initiated an entirely logical upward movement by evening. As previously stated, the current fundamental and macroeconomic background does not favor the U.S. dollar, and the recent period of dollar strength has appeared illogical. Both major currency pairs recently broke above their trendlines, shifting short-term sentiment to bullish. On Wednesday, neither the UK nor the U.S. released any important or even notable economic events, making the pound's rise even more telling. The fact that the market began buying GBP/USD without any accompan…
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Trade Analysis and Trading Advice for the British PoundThe test of the 1.3342 price level occurred while the MACD indicator had moved significantly below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. A second test of this price coincided with the MACD entering the oversold zone, which led to the realization of Buy Scenario No. 2. As a result, the pair rose by more than 50 pips. The U.S. dollar continues to steadily lose ground against the British pound, and it seems unlikely that any events in the near future could reverse this trend. The lack of key macroeconomic data, due to the ongoing government shutdown in the U.S., has created an informational vacuum a…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement after consolidating above the 61.8% retracement level at 1.1594 and closed above the 1.1645–1.1656 resistance level. Thus, the upward movement may continue today toward the next 38.2% retracement level at 1.1718. A consolidation below 1.1645–1.1656 would favor the U.S. dollar and lead to a decline toward the 1.1594 corrective level. The wave pattern on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave broke the high of the previous wave, while the last completed downward wave did not break the previous low. Therefore, the trend is now turning bullish. Recent labor market data, the Fed's shifting…
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What to Know: $XRP is down 20% in the past month, but analysis reveals a path forward to $5. Ripple’s expansion in South Africa could bolster institutional adoption of $XRP. With 4 days left in the presale, $SNORT could follow $ XRP’s upward trend. Ripple’s $XRP hasn’t had a great month, dropping 20%. The downturn comes as the rest of the crypto market fares little better; Bitcoin currently trades near $110,000, down 10% for the week. But there’s every chance $XRP could drop further still, with one analyst seeing a plunge down to $2 even as major whales sell $XRP. So why be optimistic about $XRP’s chances? That’s because, despite the poor recent performance, techn…
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The Bitcoin price continues to face challenges as the cryptocurrency has resumed its downtrend, struggling to maintain momentum above the $115,000 mark. This price point has proven to be a significant resistance level in the short term. Amid these fluctuations, Bitcoin skeptic Peter Schiff took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to declare, “Gold is eating Bitcoin’s lunch.” Schiff Calls For HODLers To Sell ‘Fool’s Gold In his post, Schiff highlighted that Bitcoin has experienced a 32% decline when priced in gold since its peak in August, predicting a “brutal” bear market ahead. Schiff urged HODLers to reconsider their investments, suggesting they sell their…
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XRP is still looking to confirm a strong bounce in price action after a crash that saw it register a huge bearish wick over the weekend, and many analysts are anticipating its next major move. According to technical analysis by crypto analyst HovWaves, XRP’s recent crash and bounce could be the early stage of a broader rally that positions its price for a run to as high as $8. XRP Finds Support And Rebounds Over 50% Technical analysis of XRP’s price action on the weekly timeframe, which was posted on the social media platform X by HovWaves, noted that the cryptocurrency got the move down into our support level for the expanded flat he was following. This is in referenc…
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On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair is testing the key resistance level of 1.1660, which corresponds to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the weekly (W1) timeframe. The pair is climbing steadily, and not solely due to the broad weakness of the U.S. dollar. The euro is also playing its part, responding positively to recent political developments in France. But first, let's address a key question—why is the dollar weakening? Not long ago, the U.S. dollar was in strong demand as a safe-haven asset, but over the last three days, the U.S. Dollar Index has been on a consistent decline. Major dollar pairs have shifted accordingly. In particular, EUR/USD sellers …
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The partial shutdown of the U.S. federal government has entered its third week, with no signs of resolution in sight. A Senate vote on the Republican-backed stopgap funding bill once again failed to gain the necessary number of votes on Wednesday — marking the ninth rejection of such an initiative. Investors are increasingly concerned about how a prolonged government shutdown might affect the nation's economic momentum. A Treasury Department spokesperson stated that another shutdown could cost the U.S. economy around $15 billion per week, contradicting earlier comments from Secretary Scott Bessent, who had downplayed the potential economic impact. On the international fro…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 16 US stocks fell on Thursday, adding to a week of unstable trading, as new concerns about the quality of bank loans made investors nervous about the overall health of the financial market. The initial market gains, which were driven by another positive forecast for Artificial Intelligence (AI) demand, quickly disappeared after two regional banks, Zions Bancorp (down 13%) and Western Alliance Bancorp (down 11%), announced they had to write off bad loans. This revived old worries about hidden weaknesses in the banking system, coming shortly after the collapse of auto lender Tricolor Holdings had already force…
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The 200-week moving average is one of the most critical macro indicators for Bitcoin, serving as the definitive divide between bear market capitulation and long-term accumulation. While BTC’s price movements are notorious for their sudden, dramatic swings, history shows that the 200 WMA technical indicator has stood out with remarkable consistency. How The 200 WMA Has Defined Every Bitcoin Cycle Luke Broyles, an observer of Bitcoin’s market cycles, has noted on X that BTC has been screaming buy all 5 times that it hit the 200 WMA. This track record leads many to ask if they should hold a lump sum on the sidelines until that hits. Broyles acknowledges that while BTC has…
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On-chain data shows key investors on the Bitcoin network have collectively participated in some selling recently, a potential reason behind the asset’s decline. Bitcoin Sharks & Whales Have Done Some Net Distribution According to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, Bitcoin’s key investor tier is starting to show signs of slight profit-taking. The indicator of interest here is the “Supply Distribution,” which measures the total amount of the supply that investors belonging to a particular wallet segment are currently holding. Addresses or holders are divided into these groups based on the number of tokens present in their balance. The 1 to 10 coins cohort, …
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Senator Cynthia Lummis is pushing a new proposal that aims to make spending Bitcoin as easy as swiping a debit card. Her plan introduces a de minimis tax exemption that would remove capital gains reporting for small Bitcoin transactions. By cutting out complicated tax steps, she hopes to make paying for coffee, groceries, or everyday services with Bitcoin far more practical. Breaking Down the Proposal The draft framework would exempt individual transactions under roughly 300 dollars from taxation, with a yearly cap of 5,000 dollars per person. That means people wouldn’t need to calculate capital gains every time they spend small amounts. There are limits, though. T…
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The Ethereum Foundation has introduced a new Privacy Cluster dedicated to building out privacy features across the network. This shows a clear push to make privacy part of Ethereum’s foundation rather than a secondary concern. The cluster brings together 47 specialists, including engineers, researchers, cryptographers, and coordinators. It will be led by Igor Barinov, the founder of Blockscout, who has a long history within the Ethereum ecosystem. Working Side by Side with Other Teams Rather than operating as a silo, the Privacy Cluster will coordinate closely with other Foundation groups. One of its key partners will be the Institutional Privacy Task Force, which focu…
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Dryden Gold (TSXV: DRY) has drilled grades as high as 2.55 grams gold per tonne across 9 metres at its Sherridon project in northern Ontario while it also bought two net smelter return royalties (NSRs) for claims at the site. That intercept, from 40 metres depth in Zone Four of hole DSH-25-001 included 19 metres grading 1.28 grams gold; and 39 metres at 0.4 gram gold and 7 metres at 1.82 grams gold in Zone Three, the company said Tuesday. Sherridon, part of the company’s larger Gold Rock property, is about 75 km south of Dryden, Ontario. “While we remain laser-focused on expanding the mineralized footprint at Gold Rock, our regional efforts at Sherridon and Hyndma…
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A discounted $50M Solana buy just collided with fresh tariff jitters, testing whether corporate demand can steady SOL in a risk-off week. Abu Dhabi–based Solmate Infrastructure (Nasdaq: SLMT) said on Oct. 14 that it purchased $50M worth of SOL directly from the Solana Foundation at a 15% discount. SOL was trading between $169 and $195 in a pattern of a symmetrical triangle, a pattern that is commonly observed before a huge breakout. The upper resistance zone aligns near $195–$200, while key Fibonacci confluence levels sit just above. (Source: X) If Solana breaks above the upper boundary, the next Fibonacci extension (1.618) projects a potential rally toward th…
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On Tuesday evening, what may end up being the most closely watched event of the week took place—Jerome Powell's speech. Although, in my view, this event draws more attention out of habit rather than actual substance, at least at this stage. Powell rarely shakes the markets with bold statements or abrupt policy changes. As a result, 8 out of every 10 of his speeches offer little new information. In recent weeks, leading up to the next FOMC meeting, Powell has spoken multiple times, reiterating the same core message: any decision will depend on incoming economic data. Yet therein lies his skill in message delivery. Powell never offers specifics, but like a skilled gardener,…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair once again traded in a very lackluster fashion. The only notable event of the day was the Eurozone industrial production report, which—although still weak—came in slightly better than the most pessimistic market forecasts. As a result, the euro experienced a modest uptick. However, overall, we saw yet another day of extremely low volatility. In recent sessions, price action resembles a flat movement on both intraday and daily timeframes. It almost feels as though U.S. traders, along with government institutions shut down by the ongoing budget deadlock, have simply gone on vacation. Technically, the most re…
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The GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday, which began Tuesday evening when Donald Trump issued new threats toward China and Jerome Powell subtly hinted at a possible easing of monetary policy at the end of October. In reality, Powell made no such hints, but the market likely interpreted his statements that way. It is worth remembering that faith and expectations often influence market participants' trading decisions. Powell may state there is no expected monetary policy easing in the near future, yet the market may choose not to believe him. Thus, traders most likely read between the lines and found the desired phrase about lowering the key int…
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According to market charts and comments from well-known traders, XRP’s price action is drawing fresh attention as some investors say it could challenge Ethereum’s spot in the rankings. A decade-long chart was shared that traces moves from 2013 through 2025, and one commentator went as far as to call the next leg a potential “Ethereum killer.” That claim has reignited debate across crypto circles. Technical Patterns Signal Repeats Crypto analyst Peter Brandt pointed to a repeating set of shapes on XRP’s chart — symmetrical triangles and long consolidations that ended in sharp rallies. The timeline covers a decade and breaks down into three phases. The first run, from 2…
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The U.S. dollar continued to decline actively against the euro, the pound, and other assets. Statements from Federal Reserve representatives advocating for interest rate cuts led to a dollar sell-off. Traders interpreted these signals as confirmation of a likely shift toward more accommodative monetary policy in the near future, which traditionally puts pressure on the American currency. The euro, the pound, and other assets gained support as rate cuts in the U.S. reduced the attractiveness of American assets. However, it is worth noting that long-term prospects remain uncertain. Economic growth in Europe and the United Kingdom still lags behind that of the United States,…
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Bitcoin remains in the $110,000–$111,000 range—an area that is technically very significant. A breakout below this level could trigger a more active sell-off of the cryptocurrency down toward $106,000, bringing it dangerously close to the $100,000 range. A test of that range would represent a critical moment for the entire cryptocurrency market. Ethereum has also declined sharply, barely holding above the $4,000 level. A move below this mark could result in a significantly more aggressive sell-off. While traders continue to battle for direction, news has emerged that the Bank of England plans to introduce temporary limits on the size of holdings and transactions in stabl…
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Trade Analysis and Euro Trading TipsThe test of the 1.1615 price level occurred while the MACD indicator had already moved significantly lower from the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. The euro then rose, but at the moment the price reached 1.1641, MACD had also climbed well above the zero mark. Therefore, I opted not to buy and instead waited for the realization of Sell Scenario No. 2, which helped to extract about 10 pips of profit from the market. Hints from Federal Reserve officials about the need to ease interest rates triggered a wave of dollar selling, strengthening the euro's position. Market participants interpreted these signals as a sign …
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After a turbulent few days, Bitcoin (BTC) has resumed its downtrend, currently retracing toward $111,000. This marks a 12% decline from its recent peak of $126,000, which raises concerns among market experts who suggest that the bull run may be closer to its end than many investors believe. End Of Bitcoin Bull Cycle Within Nine Days? On October 14, market analyst CryptoBirb, took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to assert that the bullish cycle is nearing its conclusion, stating that it may end within the next nine days. He referenced the Cycle Peak Countdown indicator, which suggests that Bitcoin is 99.3% through its current cycle, having lasted 1,058 day…
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Upbeat corporate earnings from U.S. banks and Washington's attempts to de-escalate the trade conflict with China allowed the S&P 500 to extend its rally. The broad market index has recovered most of the losses suffered during the sell-off triggered by the White House's announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese goods. The current pullback looks more like a rational recalibration than a reversal. The six largest U.S. banks earned $41 billion in profit in the third quarter, 19% more than during the same period in 2024. Shares of Morgan Stanley and Bank of America jumped by 4.4% and 4.7%, respectively. A positive signal for the S&P 500 came from banking executives' stat…
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A BNB Coinbase deal has officially been reached, rewriting crypto’s rivalry map. It’s the first real bridge between the two giants. People are going ride or die with .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { bo…
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