Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The trade war, which flared up again last week following Donald Trump's announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese goods, continues to put pressure on the US dollar. On Thursday morning, the greenback slipped to a low of 98.38, and this may not be the bottom if the uncertainty in US-China relations persists. Here's what we know so far about the conflict — and what markets should expect next. Dollar under pressure: latest currency market trends On Thursday morning, the US dollar index dropped to 98.38 against a basket of major world currencies — a level not seen since spring. The dollar index, which measures the strength of the greenback against six key currencies, fell 0.1…
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Coloured precious stones miner Gemfields (LON: GEM) (JSE: GML) confirmed on Thursday that two police officers were killed earlier this week during an attack at its Montepuez ruby mine in northern Mozambique. According to the company, about 40 illegal miners marched on the mine gate on Monday and assaulted officers guarding the entrance. No Gemfields employees or contractors were injured, and the company said conditions on site have since remained calm. Gemfields said it was informed that the attack may have been linked to an earlier incident involving district immigration authorities investigating suspected illegal immigrants in a nearby village, during which one …
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Now that the bull run is dead, will Fed Chair Jerome Powell do further rate cuts? This crash proved two things : 1. Always DCA into bitcoin 2. Hold and assume it’s a lifetime investment Meanwhile, Powell signaled this week that the central bank could be nearing the end of its three-year effort to unwind the massive stimulus unleashed during the 2020 pandemic. Speaking before the National Association of Business Economics in Philadelphia, Powell said the Fed may soon conclude its balance-sheet reduction.” “We may approach that point in the coming months,” Powell said, noting that policymakers have adopted a “deliberately cautious approach” to avoid a repeat of the 2019…
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Michael Saylor’s latest push to steady Bitcoin holders arrived as markets wobbled this week. A 15-second clip and a fresh corporate buy were timed closely, and both landed while investors were still digesting a sharp pullback that pushed Bitcoin near $102,000 before a rebound. Saylor Issues Viral Warning According to a short cinematic video titled “Don’t Feed The [Bitcoin] Bears,” Saylor used a playful metaphor — “Ursus Bitcoinius, the Bitcoin Bear” — to urge holders not to reward bearish chatter. Based on reports, Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, also announced a purchase of 220 BTC for about $27.2 million. That move was presented as proof the company remains committ…
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The euro is trading around 1.1656 within the downtrend channel formed since September 12 and reaching resistance levels near the 200 EMA. EUR/USD is likely to encounter a strong rejection zone around 1.1675. If the euro consolidates above the 200 EMA and sharply breaks the downtrend channel, we could expect it to reach the Murray 8/8 level at 1.1718 and could even cover the gap it left in early October around 1.1740. Our outlook remains bullish for the euro, so any pullback and technical rebound around the 21 SMA at 1.1610 or around the Murray 7/8 level at 1.1596 could be seen as an opportunity to open long positions with a target at 1.1740. If the euro falls below 1.1596…
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Recently suffering a loss of 2.50% only six days ago, the Dow Jones 30 edges 0.22% in today’s session, erasing losses from Friday’s trading. Trading around ~$46,428, the Dow Jones now looks for support to continue the recent rally, albeit currently lagging behind its US equity counterparts. What’s next? zoom_out_map Dow Jones 30 (green), S&P 500 (blue) & Nasdaq-100 (yellow) OANDA, TradingView, 16/10/2025 Dow Jones …
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The US-China trade scare has sent a wave of anxiety across all risk-assets, and digital assets rarely avoid such. Cryptocurrencies got sold off violently at the past week close. It isn't the first time that such flows happen on a Friday late afternoon, but this one was particularly brutal: The Crypto total market cap lost close to $1 trillion in value in about an hour and some altcoins printed down about 70% of their value with cascading liquidations. Since, much of the moves have recovered with conciliatory tones from both US and China, but the overall tone still seems passive/aggressive. …
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Binance Coin (BNB) extended its hot streak, trading above $1,310 (up 3% on the day and 30% on the week), as it flipped XRP to become the third-largest cryptocurrency by market value. BNB’s market cap now hovers near $182–185 billion, capping a seven-day run that outpaced Bitcoin and Ethereum. The surge followed a clean breakout above $1,100 and $1,200, with bulls now eyeing $1,360 and the psychological $1,500 handle if momentum holds. On the downside, $1,200–$1,240 is the first support zone traders are watching for a healthy retest. Record On-Chain Activity and Meme-Season Tailwinds Currently, BNB Chain is printing cycle-high activity. Daily transactions have ranged…
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Wednesday Trade Breakdown:1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair traded in both directions while maintaining a downward bias on the hourly timeframe. The main decline occurred during the Asian session, so even the one major macroeconomic report — Germany's industrial production, which disappointed significantly — had virtually no impact on the euro. In the evening, the minutes from the latest FOMC meeting revealed that about half of the committee members expect further monetary easing. The key interest rate could be cut two more times by year-end. However, this information had already been public knowledge since September 17, the date of the Fede…
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On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how the latest Bitcoin selloff is different from the LUNA and FTX crashes of 2022. Bitcoin Supply In Profit Trend Is Structurally Different For The Latest Crash In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed how the recent bearish action in BTC compares against some of the past crashes. The analytics firm has used the Percent Supply in Profit to make the comparison. This on-chain indicator measures, as its name suggests, the percentage of the total Bitcoin circulating supply that’s sitting on some net unrealized gain right now. The metric works by going through the transaction history of each token in circulation to see what…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: Very few macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Wednesday. The only notable report is industrial production in the Eurozone, which is once again unlikely to impress traders with a strong result. However, expectations for this indicator are already quite low, so exceeding them may be relatively easy. No other significant reports are expected throughout the day. Fundamental Event Overview: Several fundamental events are scheduled for Wednesday, but several important points should be noted straight away. Jerome Powell and Christine Lagarde have both spoken frequently in recent weeks. As a result, the market now has a clear under…
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Trade Review and Advice for Trading the Japanese YenThe 151.89 level test occurred when the MACD indicator began moving downward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the U.S. dollar, which resulted in a 25-pip drop in the pair. The Japanese yen resumed its upward movement against the dollar after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell announced plans for a 25-basis-point rate cut. His statement acted as a catalyst for currency markets, triggering a reassessment of risk and outlooks for both the U.S. and Japanese economies. Investors shifted their focus back to the yen—a traditional safe-haven currency. Despite the release of weak industrial producti…
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As the market volatility continues, Ethereum (ETH) has dropped 3.1% in the daily timeframe and is attempting to hold a key price area as support once again. Despite the dip, some analysts have suggested that the King of Altcoin is set to start a new expansion phase soon. Ethereum Retests Major Support Zone On Wednesday, Ethereum fell below the $4,000 level for the third time this week, retesting a crucial area before bouncing. The cryptocurrency has been trading within the $3,800-$4,800 price range in the daily timeframe since the early August breakout. During the recent market correction, ETH briefly lost its local range, reaching a two-month low of $3,435 last Friday…
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Another day, another crypto hack. Hackers hijacked the official DOTA 2 YouTube account to advertise dota2coin, a Solana-based memecoin. The hack came to surface on 15 October 2025, when the scammers started a livestream claiming to launch an official DOTA 2 token. The livestream, headlined “Dota 2 Launch Official Meme Coin Hurry Up,” showcased a (now expired) URL for a Pump.fun token page that redirected viewers back to the compromised YouTube channel. Once the scammers are in, they start a livestream for their shakedown operations, trying to trick people into sending crypto or buying fake tokens. In one incident, the scammers compromised the YouTube account belong…
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Adobe Stock image. The mining sector is entering a new phase of unpredictability as “operational complexity” emerges as the top business risk for the year ahead, according to the latest EY Top 10 Business Risks and Opportunities survey. Based on responses from 500 senior executives worldwide, the report highlights a marked shift from strategic and geopolitical concerns toward short-term operational challenges that directly affect productivity and costs. The rise of operational complexity—appearing at the top of the risk index for the first time—reflects intensifying pressure on miners to deliver consistent output as ore grades decline, mines deepen and input costs …
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A widely watched on-chain profile for Dogecoin is flagging a striking absence of realized cost basis between roughly $0.19 and $0.07—an “air pocket” that could amplify volatility if price migrates into the range. Posting a Glassnode UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD): ATH-Partitioned chart, analyst NekoZ (@NekozTek) wrote: “There’s a huge gap on DOGE between $0.19 and $0.07.” URPD maps coins by their last on-chain transfer price, a proxy for where current holders acquired their coins. Dense clusters typically align with strong support or resistance; sparsely populated bands imply fewer cost-anchored holders who might otherwise slow a move. In the Dogecoin snapshot …
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Early in the American session, gold is trading around 4,254, reaching a new all-time high and approaching daily resistance at around 4,266. In the coming hours, gold could continue its rise to reach 4,270, a strong resistance level where the weekly resistance level 3 and the daily resistance level 2 are located. If gold encounters a barrier in this area, it could be seen as an opportunity to enter short positions, as we could expect a technical correction to reach the 21SMA, located at 4,223. If gold falls and sharply breaks the uptrend channel, which has been underway on the H1 chart since October 10, and consolidates below the 7/8 Murray and below the 21SMA, we could ex…
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The partial shutdown of the U.S. federal government has entered its third week, with no signs of resolution in sight. A Senate vote on the Republican-backed stopgap funding bill once again failed to gain the necessary number of votes on Wednesday — marking the ninth rejection of such an initiative. Investors are increasingly concerned about how a prolonged government shutdown might affect the nation's economic momentum. A Treasury Department spokesperson stated that another shutdown could cost the U.S. economy around $15 billion per week, contradicting earlier comments from Secretary Scott Bessent, who had downplayed the potential economic impact. On the international fro…
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XRP is still looking to confirm a strong bounce in price action after a crash that saw it register a huge bearish wick over the weekend, and many analysts are anticipating its next major move. According to technical analysis by crypto analyst HovWaves, XRP’s recent crash and bounce could be the early stage of a broader rally that positions its price for a run to as high as $8. XRP Finds Support And Rebounds Over 50% Technical analysis of XRP’s price action on the weekly timeframe, which was posted on the social media platform X by HovWaves, noted that the cryptocurrency got the move down into our support level for the expanded flat he was following. This is in referenc…
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The EUR/USD currency pair continued a moderate upward movement on Wednesday, as expected. Let us recall that the recent decline in the pair over the past few weeks seemed illogical, as the fundamental and macroeconomic background for the U.S. dollar has only worsened during this period. Of course, we're not suggesting everything is going perfectly in Europe or the U.K., but in 2025, the United States has been setting records for the number of negative developments. As such, even the dollar's recent strengthening defied the underlying fundamentals. On the daily timeframe, two clear things stand out: first, the upward trend is intact; second, the market has been in a sidewa…
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Bitcoin price is struggling to settle above $112,500 and $113,000. BTC is now moving lower and might start another decline below $108,000. Bitcoin started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the $113,000 resistance level. The price is trading below $110,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $110,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it trades below the $107,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Again Bitcoin price failed to surpass the $113,000 resistance level and started a fresh decline. BTC dipped below the $112,000 and $110,500 support…
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Solana is taking a breather after a strong rally, now testing the crucial $195 support zone. Traders are watching closely to see if the bulls can defend this level and set the stage for a potential comeback. Solana Begins A Healthy Pullback After Recent Rally In a recent update, BitGuru highlighted that Solana (SOL) appears to be entering a healthy pullback phase following a sharp rally and partial recovery. This retracement is part of a natural market rhythm, allowing the asset to cool off after its recent burst of bullish momentum. Such pauses often serve as a foundation for more sustainable future growth, rather than signaling weakness. While SOL’s price is hovering…
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Tensions between the U.S. and China remain unresolved. "If we don't get a deal, there will be a trade war," said Donald Trump. And if it weren't for a 100% tariff, he added, "America would be treated like a doormat." The president, as usual, made his statements after market close—but even without aggressive rhetoric like this, the S&P 500 had enough reasons to turn lower. Any financial system relies not only on its largest players. While major institutions such as Goldman Sachs and Bank of America posted strong corporate earnings, mid-sized and smaller banks disappointed. Several regional institutions revealed issues with fraudulent lending activity, reawakening inves…
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OpenLoot, the platform behind popular Web3 games like Big Time, is launching a new reward program called the OpenLoot Credit Airdrop. Starting 19 October 2025, instead of giving out tokens, OpenLoot will be offering discount credits worth up to $2.9 million, to thank players who stayed true to the platform and supported their earlier games. These credits are not just cash or crypto. Imagine them being more like coupons that give you up to 25% discount on future purchases made with OpenLoot’s native token $OL. The goal here is simple. The platform wants to reward past spending and encourage players to stay active in the ecosystem. This is an important decision, as OpenL…
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A potential XRP supply squeeze may be brewing, and new insights from leading market watchers suggest that the impact on price could be significant. Crypto analyst Zach Rector has warned that the long-dismissed ”XRP supply shock” narrative is no longer just talk. As more XRP is locked, tokenized, and deployed in Decentralized Finance (DeFi) ecosystems, the available supply continues to tighten. XRP Supply Shock To Evolve From Meme To Market Reality Crypto analyst Zach Rector ignited discussions about XRP’s circulating supply this week after posting on X social media that the “XRP supply shock is not just a meme anymore.” Rector explained that while the concept once seeme…
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