Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12206 tópicos neste fórum
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Crypto platforms rarely hike fees due to the potential negative impact on their user base and revenue. However, OpenSea, a leading NFT marketplace, has made the bold decision to double its trading fees. Overall, fees play a critical role in determining the activity of decentralized applications (dApps) and overall platform revenue, particularly for open systems, including mainnets. Despite a decline in market activity since the 2020-2022 crypto boom, driven mainly by DeFi and NFT mania, OpenSea remains a dominant force in the $6Bn NFT industry as of September 12, 2025, according to Coingecko. (Source: Coingecko) Presently, CryptoPunks lead the market, holding +33.8% …
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Good afternoon, traders! On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair reversed in favor of the pound on Thursday and rallied almost to the 100.0% correction level at 1.3587. A clear sell signal was not formed. Today, a rebound from this level would allow traders to look for a decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.3482. If the pair consolidates above the resistance zone at 1.3611–1.3620, the likelihood of further pound gains increases, with the next target being the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3708. The wave pattern continues to shift bullish. The last completed wave downward broke two previous lows, while the new upward wave broke the last two highs. Thus, at this poi…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed higher. The S&P 500 rose by 0.85%, while the Nasdaq 100 added 0.72%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.36%. Relatively moderate inflation readings, combined with new signs of weakening employment, triggered a rally on Wall Street amid speculation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates for the first time this year. The long-awaited consumer price index showed that although inflation still exceeds the Fed's 2% target, it remains under control. At the same time, weekly jobless claims surged to their highest level in nearly four years, reinforcing bets on a rate cut next week to counter the rapid slowdown in the lab…
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For now, Bitcoin continues to react positively to US inflation data, preparing to enter a new bull cycle. However, one of the key crypto exchanges published a report yesterday warning that the BTC market has matured significantly—meaning the times of easy money for corporate buyers of BTC and other altcoins are over. The report notes that simply copying the BTC strategy of companies like Strategy is no longer enough to secure high returns on BTC investments. While it's positive that more and more such firms are entering the market, the odds of seeing huge price swings are becoming less realistic. The report emphasizes that institutional investors now conduct much more t…
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The fresh US consumer inflation data released Thursday showed an increase, with the month-on-month number coming in above forecasts. What's next? Will this stop the Federal Reserve from cutting rates? Yesterday's inflation report showed an annual CPI increase from 2.7% to 2.9%, in line with expectations. But the August month-on-month figure jumped to 0.4% (from 0.2% in July), versus a forecast of 0.3%. Let's look at how markets reacted yesterday and what's likely from the Fed next week. As I suspected earlier, markets have fully priced in a 100% probability of a 0.25% rate cut—basically, no one doubts this any longer. Stock markets unambiguously moved higher on the CPI ne…
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Bitcoin renewed its weekly high today, reaching $116,300. However, it's still too early to say the previous bear cycle is broken. To do that, price needs to firmly break through $118,000, which would open the way to $120,000 and $124,000. Ethereum is also up modestly. Yesterday's crypto market rally was fueled by news that US inflation, while still rising, is doing so at a very slow pace. This allows the Federal Reserve to consider rate cuts as soon as next week, providing support for crypto. Investors, tired of the Fed's tight stance, saw this as a long-awaited glimmer of hope. Lower interest rates are likely to spur capital flows out of traditional assets like bonds an…
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Global markets hit new highs On Thursday, the MSCI global equity index climbed to an all-time peak. At the same time, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar retreated as expectations of interest rate cuts grew. The softer labor market data outweighed the stronger-than-expected inflation reading. Inflation accelerated Consumer prices rose by 0,4% in August, the fastest pace in seven months, following a 0,2% increase in July. Housing costs advanced by 0,4%, while food prices went up by 0,5%. The category of food consumed at home recorded an even sharper gain of 0,6%. Rate cut expectations Traders are almost certain that the Federal Reserve will cut rates at its upcoming meet…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenA test of 147.80 occurred just as the MACD indicator was starting to move down from the zero line, confirming a good entry for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair fell toward the target area of 147.03. US inflation data once again weakened the dollar and boosted the Japanese yen. The published US inflation figures, which show a slowdown in consumer price growth, triggered the expected reaction in the currency markets. Additionally, another reason for the yen's appreciation is that a weaker dollar reduces pressure on the Bank of Japan, which has recently faced criticism for not shifting toward a tighter policy. Howev…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the British PoundThe test of the 1.3525 level occurred when the MACD indicator was starting to move upward from the zero line, confirming a good entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose to the target area around 1.3582. US inflation data once again weakened the dollar and led to growth in the British pound. Investors welcomed the slowdown in US consumer price growth, which increased the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts. This weakened the US dollar and provided significant support to the pound. A lot of important data for the UK is expected out this morning. Economists and analysts will closely watch the numbers…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroA test of the 1.1692 level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving up from the zero line, confirming a good entry point for buying euros. As a result, the pair rose by more than 50 pips. The US Consumer Price Index increased, but the growth was relatively modest. The actual increase was 0.4% versus an expected 0.3%. This put moderate pressure on the dollar and boosted demand for the euro. Evidently, August's CPI rise in the US was minor, which could push the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates at its next meeting. The released figures suggest inflationary pressures are slowing, giving the Fed more flexibility. Econom…
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The US dollar once again weakened against risk assets as traders increased their expectations of an interest rate cut next week. Despite no rate cut yet, the US Consumer Price Index came in close to expert forecasts. The actual uptick was 0.4% versus a forecast of 0.3%. This kept pressure on the dollar and stimulated interest in the euro, the British pound, and other risk assets. The released data indicate a smooth rise in inflation, giving the Federal Reserve more room to maneuver. Today, in the first half of the day, data is expected for Germany's and France's consumer price indices, Italy's unemployment rate, and a speech by Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel. Economis…
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Litecoin has observed a surge in its price as on-chain data shows the whales have participated in a significant amount of buying. Litecoin Whales Have Added 181,000 LTC To Their Wallets In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the holdings of the Litecoin whales. The indicator of interest here is the Supply Distribution, which tells us about the total amount of the LTC supply that a given address group is holding. Investors or wallets are put into these cohorts based on the number of coins that they are carrying in their balance. The 1 to 10 coins group, for instance, contains all addresses holding between 1 and 10 LTC. …
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[Ripple] – [Friday, 12 September 2025] The Golden Cross condition of the EMAs, along with the RSI being in the Neutral-Bullish area, means Ripple has the potential to strengthen throughout today. Although there is a possibility of a correction due to the appearance of Divergence on the RSI, as long as the price does not break and close below 2.9184, Ripple remains in a bullish bias. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.0800 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.0460 3. Pivot : 2.9992 4. Support. 1 : 2.9652 5. Support. 2 : 2.9184 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If Ripple's price breaks out and closes above 3.0460, it will likely continue strengthening up to 3.0800. Mom…
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This is a follow-up analysis and an update of our prior report “AUD/USD Technical: Further Aussie rally towards major resistance, supported by firmer China core inflation”, published on 10 September 2025. The price actions of the AUD/USD have indeed jumped as expected; it rallied by 1.2% to record an intraday high of 0.6690 on Friday, 12 September, Asia session at the time of writing, and hit the lower limit of the 0.6660/0.6680 major resistance zone mentioned in our publication. …
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[Chainlink] – [Friday, 12 September 2025] With the EMA(50) positioned above the EMA(200) which indicating a Golden Cross and the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish area, Chainlink is likely to strengthen today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 24.84456 2. Resistance. 1 : 24.51180 3. Pivot : 23.91681 4. Support. 1 : 23.58405 5. Support. 2 : 22.98906 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price successfully breaks and closes above 23.91681, it has the potential to continue strengthening to 24.51180. Momentum Extension Bias: If 24.51180 is broken and closed above, the price could test the 24.84456 level. Invaldation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weaken…
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Concerns about a potential crypto bubble have intensified over the past few days, with industry leaders like Arjun Sethi, co-CEO of crypto exchange Kraken, voicing alarm over the current state of the digital asset landscape. Sethi Warns Of Short-Term Crypto Bubbles In a recent interview with Fortune at the Brainstorm Tech conference in Park City, Utah, Sethi acknowledged the presence of a bubble when examining short-term market trends. During the panel discussion, Sethi noted, “If you look at it quarter by quarter, the answer is yes, we get into those bubbles all the time.” Since the beginning of the year, the market’s leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), has achie…
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BNB price is gaining pace above the $885 zone. The price is now showing positive signs and might aim for a move above the $920 level in the near term. BNB price started a fresh increase above the $880 and $900 levels. The price is now trading above $900 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $898 on the hourly chart of the BNB/USD pair (data source from Binance). The pair must stay above the $885 level to start another increase in the near term. BNB Price Extends Gains BNB price formed a base above the $850 level and started a fresh increase, beating Ethereum and Bitcoin. There was a steady move above the $87…
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Macroeconomic Report Analysis: There are a lot of macroeconomic reports scheduled for Friday, which is rather unusual. In Germany, a second, relatively minor estimate for August inflation will be released. In the UK, there will be low-importance monthly reports on GDP and industrial production. In the US, there's the not-so-important University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. In all cases, significant market reaction is only possible if there is a serious deviation from forecasted values. Fundamental Events Analysis: There is nothing notable among fundamental events for Friday. The ECB meeting was just yesterday, so the market has already absorbed all nece…
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Avalanche (AVAX) has reclaimed a crucial level as support after its recent rally, fueled by multiple bullish developments for the ecosystem. Some analysts forecast a massive rally toward the start-of-year highs if the momentum holds. Avalanche Eyes 35%-40% Rally On Thursday, Avalanche hit a seven-month high of $29.99 after breaking out of its multi-month accumulation range and turning the $26.50 resistance into support for the first time since February. The cryptocurrency has been rallying over the past few days, currently printing five consecutive green candles in the daily timeframe. Analyst Sjuul from AltCryptoGems noted that AVAX had been pushing on the key resista…
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Gold, after reaching a low around $3,613, made a strong technical rebound and is now trading around $3,652. It is likely to continue rising until the price reaches the R_2 daily resistance around $3,667. The metal could eventually reach its high around $3,673. Conversely, if gold retraces below the 61.8% Fibonacci level around $3,650, we could expect the bearish cycle to resume, and it could fall to the 21SMA located at $3,630 and even return to price levels around the 6/8 Murray level located at $3,593. The Eagle indicator on the H1 chart has been showing a positive signal since September 11, so any pullback in the gold price in the coming days will be seen as a buy sign…
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Bitcoin, having reached a weekly high around $116,400, is currently undergoing a technical correction and is likely to find strong support around the 21SMA at $114,600 or around the bottom of the uptrend channel formed on September 9 at $114,500. If Bitcoin consolidates above $114,500, it will be seen as a signal to resume buying, with targets at the top of the uptrend channel around $117,448. Crypto could even reach the 6/8 Murray level at $118,750. Conversely, a break below $114,500 could be seen as a strong technical correction, and Bitcoin could drop to the 4/8 Murray level at $112,500. The eagle indicator on the H1 charts has reached overbought levels, and it's likel…
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Thursday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair also showed decent growth on Thursday, mainly due to the US inflation report. Many traders are now wondering why the dollar fell again if US inflation rose (which is usually bullish for the dollar). After all, rising inflation means the Fed has less reason to cut the key rate aggressively. That's true, but for the last two weeks it's been clear that the Fed's No. 1 priority is now saving the labor market, which has been weak for four straight months. Thus, two rate cuts by year-end are now practically a done deal. The fact that US inflation is rising—who can be surprised by that during a global trade war the U…
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Thursday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair demonstrated strong growth on Thursday and continues to remain in its new upward trend, although the movement is still somewhat weak. It feels like market makers are waiting for the right moment—and that moment has not yet arrived. Recall that the dollar still has every reason to keep falling: nothing has fundamentally improved in the US lately to justify a dollar rally. Yesterday, the ECB decided to keep all monetary policy parameters unchanged, signaling to the market that policy easing won't occur any time soon. Meanwhile, the Fed is set to resume cutting its key rate as early as next week, and in …
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XRP price gained pace for a move above the $3.00 resistance. The price is now consolidating gains and might start another increase above $3.080. XRP price is facing hurdles and struggling to clear the $3.080 resistance. The price is now trading above $3.00 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3.020 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to rise if it stays above the $2.950 zone. XRP Price Eyes Upside Break XRP price managed to stay above the $2.880 level and started a fresh increase, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price climbed above the $2.920 and $2.…
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