Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The crypto market continued to decline on Thursday and today, October 17, following renewed global uncertainty after former U.S. President Donald Trump’s comments about imposing 100% tariffs on Chinese imports. The threat of trade disruption pushed investors toward defensive assets, weighing on both equities and digital currencies. With market sentiment sinking, traders are now questioning whether this correction could present the best crypto to buy opportunity before year-end. Total crypto market capitalization fell 4.67% to $3.61 trillion, while the CMC20 Index dropped 5.4%. Bitcoin .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-co…
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Asia Market Wrap - Lending Concerns Drag Global Equities Lower Most Read: Silver (XAG/USD) Technical Outlook: Silver Price Consolidates Ahead of Next Move. Where to Next? Global stock markets, particularly the financial sector, fell sharply after concerns about bank loan quality in the US rattled investors. The source of the worry was the US regional banking sector, which slumped 6% on Thursday. Two smaller banks, Zions Bancorp and Western Alliance Bancorp, disclosed issues related to bad loans and fraud allegations, respectively. Wall Street analysts compared this to the recent failure of the auto lender First Brands, suggesting a broader problem with credit oversight…
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DOGE Price is seeing some not so pretty action lately. It broke LTF structure, but what are the implications? Are DOGE holders worried and selling or are they hodling with conviction. The Dino memecoin is always a part of bull runs of the past. Will history repeat or leave DOGE behind for the upcoming alt season? If there will even be one… One large CT (Crypto Twitter) account is still holding and even buying more Dogecoin on this dip. This is a clear example of conviction. Following what others say blindly is not really wise. Even if they are a big name in whatever sphere the asset is found. One good way to be informed is by doing further technical analysis. Review…
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According to multiple reports, Ripple Labs is organizing an effort to raise about $1 billion to build a new XRP treasury intended to hold a large stock of the token. The effort would use a special purpose vehicle to gather outside capital and combine it with XRP that Ripple itself may put into the fund. The plan is still being negotiated and has not been finalized. Plans To Raise $1 Billion Reports have disclosed that the $1 billion target would be raised through a SPAC-style vehicle, with Ripple expected to contribute part of its existing holdings. Ripple has already moved into corporate treasury tools, having announced a roughly $1 billion acquisition of GTreasury, …
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GBP/USD On Thursday, the British pound gained over 30 pips on a rebound from the MACD line support. This morning, the pound remains in a positive mood; however, the Marlin oscillator is now approaching the zero line. If no profit-taking occurs today, the pound has every chance to continue its advance toward the 1.3525 target. If the day ends with a bearish (black) candle, the technical picture may become muddled within the psychological cycle of market anticipation ahead of the Fed meeting on October 29. It is also worth noting that the support level of 1.3369 and the MACD line at 1.3393 currently form a support range of 24 pips. Breaking below this zone will be difficul…
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Bitcoin (BTC) is once again testing critical support above $111,000, with traders debating whether the recent pullback marks the start of a deeper correction or a healthy consolidation before the next leg higher. After touching an all-time high above $126,000, the world’s largest crypto asset has shed nearly 9% on the weekly charts, reflecting waning momentum amid broader market uncertainty and renewed U.S.–China trade tensions. Bitcoin Tests Key Support as Momentum Fades Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $111,300, down roughly 1% in 24 hours, after briefly dipping to an intraday low of $110,292. Technical indicators show the asset under pressure, with the 20-day…
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Thursday Trade Review:1-Hour EUR/USD Chart On Thursday, EUR/USD continued its upward movement, which was clearly visible on the hourly timeframe. On the 5-minute chart, however, the pair was completely flat. It was a tranquil day in terms of macroeconomic and fundamental events. More accurately, the pair has entered a stagnation phase that requires major catalysts to spur renewed volatility. Due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, many key October reports were never released. As a result, traders still don't fully understand how the Federal Reserve will approach its rate decision at the end of the month. The market is pricing in a near-100% probability of another rat…
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Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to lose ground. It now appears likely that the scenario involving a move down to $106,000 for Bitcoin will play out in the coming days. All focus is now on this level. A breakout below $106,000 could lead to a decline toward the $100,000 area—a critical test for the long-term bullish trend. Ethereum has fallen below the $4,000 mark and could easily retreat to $3,500. Meanwhile, Florida has withdrawn two state-level bills aimed at creating a strategic BTC reserve. With this, Florida joins other states such as Wyoming, Pennsylvania, and Oklahoma, where similar initiatives related to Bitcoin investment failed to pass legislative approval. The …
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed lower. The S&P 500 declined by 0.63%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.45%. The industrial Dow Jones dropped by 0.55%. Indices continued to weaken as investors shifted toward safety in government bonds after shares of US regional banks fell amid concerns over lending standards. Gold is on track for a ninth consecutive week of gains. Futures on US stock indices dropped by 0.7%, pointing to further weakness after Thursday's regular session decline. Regional bank stocks came under pressure following the fallout from subprime auto lender Tricolor Holdings, which rippled beyond Wall Street. European indices also indicate a softer open. …
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Texas’s battle with Bulgaria is more than a headline; it’s a flashpoint in the evolving world of stablecoin crypto diplomacy. When Tether froze $44.7M in SDT at the behest of Bulgarian police, alleging illicit activity, Riverstone Consultancy (a Texas-based firm) responded with a U.S. lawsuit claiming procedural violation and loss of opportunities. The case puts stablecoin issuers, law enforcement, and cross-border jurisdictions into direct conflict, and it could reshape how global stablecoin freezes are handled going forward. What Triggered the Texas vs Bulgaria $44.7M Stablecoin Crypto Battle? The dispute began in April 2025, when Tether froze $44.7M USDT from eight w…
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BitMine’s Chairman, Tom Lee, has shared his perspective on the recent surge of crypto-focused treasury companies and the future of this multi-billion-dollar trend. Crypto DATs Bubble Already Burst On Thursday, BitMine’s Chairman Thomas “Tom” Lee joined Fortune’s Crypto Playbook Podcast to discuss the surge of Digital Assets Treasury (DAT) companies and why he thinks the bubble surrounding these vehicles may have already burst. Discussing the need for this alternative type to get exposure to crypto assets, Lee argued that DATS “are not just passive vehicles,” and properly executed companies will get capital and be supported by investors. He noted that companies like St…
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Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other major cryptocurrencies are extending their decline, as pessimistic macroeconomic news keeps weighing heavily on overall market sentiment. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has dropped by 1.57% to $108,757 — the lowest level since early September. Ethereum also declined by 1.5%, falling below the $4,000 landmark and is now trading at $3,828. BNB, XRP, and Solana have also seen significant losses. The market remains volatile amid headlines surrounding the ongoing trade war between the US and China, with recent statements by Donald Trump having the most notable impact. Additionally, renewed concerns over the health of regional banks have pressur…
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GBP/USD The British pound rose by 82 pips yesterday, reaching the MACD line. Today, the market opened above this line, and the upward movement continued. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has not yet crossed into positive territory, suggesting the price may pause temporarily to gather momentum for the next push toward the target level at 1.3525 (the high from October 1). Today, the UK releases a broad set of economic reports. Forecasts are moderately pessimistic: GDP (YoY) for August may decline from 1.4% to 1.3%.Construction output is expected at -0.1% (MoM).Industrial production may fall by -0.6% (YoY).The trade balance may slightly improve from -22.24 billion t…
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AUD/USD As expected in the previous analysis on October 13, the Australian dollar managed to close the Monday gap and move toward the target support at 0.6450. Now, the price has returned to its initial position and faces the same dilemma: either continue rising toward the MACD line at 0.6555 or attempt to break below the 0.6450 level with firm settlement. At the moment, the overall trend remains bearish, but price and the oscillator are visually trying to break free from downward pressure. For this, support from correlated markets is needed—namely, a weakening of the U.S. dollar index and a rise in commodity prices. Oil, in particular, has remained in a range for four c…
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EUR/USD The euro continues following a corrective upward path. This morning, the price reached resistance at the MACD line. However, one obstacle stands in the way—the Marlin oscillator remains in negative territory, slowing the euro's ability to decisively break through this resistance. If the market waits for the oscillator to turn upward, the breakout above 1.1663 is more likely to occur tomorrow. Overall, we expect the euro to continue rising toward the target level of 1.1779. On the four-hour chart, the price has secured its position above both the balance line and the MACD. The Marlin oscillator is signaling a release of tension, which likely precedes a consolida…
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Trade Review for Wednesday:1-Hour GBP/USD Chart The GBP/USD pair rose confidently throughout Wednesday, which is a very positive signal. In recent weeks, we have repeatedly pointed to the illogical nature of the pair's decline, so this latest rise appears to be a "debt repaid" to the British currency. While there have indeed been negative headlines for the pound in recent weeks, they pale in comparison to the fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop weighing on the U.S. dollar. Yesterday, there were no significant events or economic releases in either the UK or the U.S. that could justify a rise in GBP/USD. This move is even more noteworthy, as it strongly suggests that…
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Macroeconomic Report Review: There are a few macroeconomic reports scheduled for Thursday. The most noteworthy will come from the United Kingdom, although even these are not expected to have a major impact. In roughly an hour, the UK will release data on industrial production and gross domestic product. However, the GDP figure will be monthly rather than quarterly. Markets tend to place more weight on quarterly and annual data. As for industrial production, it is not seen as a top-tier indicator among traders. Nevertheless, both reports could trigger a market reaction simply because no other significant data is scheduled for the day. In the Eurozone and the United St…
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The EUR/USD currency pair began a new upward attempt on Tuesday and continued it with moderate success on Wednesday. It's difficult to definitively state whether Jerome Powell's remarks or Donald Trump's latest escalation toward China were the precise catalysts for the dollar's decline—but it's likely. Over recent weeks, the market has been deliberately ignoring virtually all fundamental and macroeconomic pressure weighing on the dollar. We've repeatedly highlighted how illogical the greenback's resilience has been, so it's not guaranteed that the market has suddenly started reacting to bearish U.S. data. This shift actually began back in the first week of October, when m…
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Thursday Trade Review:1-Hour GBP/USD Chart On Thursday, the GBP/USD pair continued moving upward after breaking through the descending trendline. As we can see, the market is now in an upward trend, and we continue to expect further growth in the British pound. Yesterday, the U.K. published reports on industrial production and GDP for August, both of which returned better-than-forecast results. However, as before, British data had little impact on traders. Market attention remains focused on the U.S. dollar, U.S. politics, Donald Trump, the Federal Reserve, and the escalating trade war. From our perspective, none of the major global fundamental factors favor the U.S. …
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Macroeconomic Report Overview: Once again, Friday's calendar contains very few macroeconomic reports. In earlier reports, we mentioned that there were no releases scheduled at all, but that isn't entirely accurate. Today, the eurozone will publish its second estimate for September inflation. However, this is a secondary report: second estimates almost always match the initial reading and are not marked as "high-impact." Beyond that, there are no notable releases scheduled in the U.K., Germany, or the U.S. Fundamental Event Overview: A number of fundamental events are scheduled again for Friday, but nearly all of them are insignificant in terms of market im…
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.50. The price is now showing bearish signs and might extend losses below $2.280. XRP price is moving lower below the $2.40 zone. The price is now trading below $2.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.40 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $2.50 resistance. XRP Price Dips Further XRP price remained below the $2.60 barrier and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below $2.420 and $2.40 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price even spike…
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Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the British PoundThe test of the 1.3419 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line, limiting the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the pound. The British pound continues to show steady growth. However, this rise is more a consequence of U.S. dollar weakness than pound strength. The dollar is under significant pressure due to the Federal Reserve's rhetoric. Dovish remarks from Fed officials suggest further interest rate cuts, which negatively affect the dollar's position. There are no major economic releases scheduled for the U.K. today, so market attention will be foc…
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Trade Analysis and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe test of the 151.06 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly below the zero line, limiting the pair's downside potential. A second test of this price coincided with the MACD being in oversold territory, which triggered Buy Scenario No. 2; however, the pair ultimately failed to rise from that level. The Japanese yen continues to show stable strength. However, the decline in the USD/JPY pair is due more to weakness in the U.S. dollar than to inherent strength in the yen. The yen is traditionally viewed as a safe-haven currency, and during periods of global economic instability—such as…
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Yesterday, the euro rose following another speech by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, who stated that interest rates are in a good place, a view supported by nearly all of her colleagues. This has boosted optimism about the continued stability of the European currency, despite ongoing risks related to geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures. Markets interpreted Lagarde's remarks as a signal that the ECB is not inclined to change its monetary policy course anytime soon. Investors viewed this as confirmation of the central bank's intention to keep interest rates at their current level — a positive sign for the euro, as it supports returns on euro…
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Bitcoin is once again under heavy pressure, sliding toward the $103,000 level as the broader crypto market undergoes a sharp downturn. After days of volatility and failed recovery attempts, BTC has lost key support, triggering renewed fear and accelerating sell-offs across altcoins. Most major assets are showing deep losses, with traders and investors now questioning whether the market has entered a deeper corrective phase. According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s main support zone lies between $106,000 and $107,000, a range defined by the Short-Term Holder (STH) 1M–3M Realized Price and the 200-day simple moving average (SMA 200D). This critical area represents a…
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