Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12202 tópicos neste fórum
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Argentina’s bid to unlock its vast lithium, copper, oil and gas reserves has gained fresh momentum after President Javier Milei led his far-right party to a landslide victory in Sunday’s midterm elections. The sweeping win consolidates his hold on power and strengthens his alliance with Washington, analysts say. It follows two turbulent years marked by Milei’s radical spending cuts and deregulation measures aimed at stabilizing the economy. The victory also comes after a campaign in which US President Donald Trump announced a $40-billion bailout for Argentina and tied continued aid to Milei’s success at the polls. As Milei’s administration embarks on the second h…
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The precious metal began the new week with a decline. Signs of easing trade tensions between the United States and China have boosted investor appetite for riskier assets, which in turn has undermined demand for gold, traditionally viewed as a safe-haven asset. On Sunday, senior economic officials from China and the U.S. reached a preliminary understanding on the potential framework of a future trade agreement. The news came ahead of the upcoming meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, scheduled for the end of this week. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that talks held on the sidelines of the ASEAN summit in Kuala Lumpur e…
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The likelihood of MetaMask releasing its own token this year climbed to 34% on prediction platform Polymarket, following the appearance of a link allegedly leading to a token claim page on Monday. (Source: Polymarket) MetaMask representatives have repeatedly hinted at the possibility of introducing a native token for the Ethereum-focused wallet, developed by blockchain software firm Consensys. The speculation has intensified in recent months, as on-chain activity and internal references to reward systems have fueled user expectations. In mid-September, Consensys CEO Joe Lubin remarked that a MASK token could arrive “sooner than you would expect,” describing it as a…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Euro CurrencyThe tests of the levels I indicated in the second half of the day did not take place, so I was left without trades. The absence of U.S. reports due to the shutdown, which is approaching its monthly mark, negatively affected the U.S. dollar's position. Given that today marks the start of the Federal Reserve meeting, this factor discourages traders from making active dollar purchases—especially amid the recent dovish rhetoric from committee members. The geopolitical situation also plays a role, particularly the ongoing trade conflict between the U.S. and China, which may de-escalate after the upcoming meeting between X…
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The Dogecoin price is fighting to hold the psychological $0.20 support as large investors continue offloading holdings and leveraged traders exit the market. The Dogecoin price briefly traded above $0.21 earlier this week, but has since slipped by more than 2%, highlighting the mounting selling pressure in the market. Related Reading: Is The Dogecoin Bull Run Over? Analyst Predicts When DOGE Rallies Again According to on-chain data, whales have sold over 500 million DOGE tokens in the past week, fueling fears of further downside. The selloff coincides with a sharp 61% drop in futures open interest, plunging from $5.03 billion to $1.95 billion, signaling widespread posit…
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The GBP/USD pair traded differently on Tuesday than the EUR/USD pair, even though both pairs have shown similar dynamics in recent days, weeks, and months. Therefore, the reasons for the decline of the British currency should have been sought within the UK. It is worth noting that there were no macroeconomic reports or significant events scheduled for Tuesday in the EU, the UK, or the U.S.. Thus, the search took a while and was not focused on the economy. The cause of the new drop in the British pound was a statement from the "politician of the hour" – Rachel Reeves, the head of the UK Treasury. As mentioned earlier, Reeves has already triggered at least two significant d…
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Summit Nanotech announced this week a major breakthrough in water efficiency for lithium extraction, marking a key step toward commercializing its sustainable direct lithium extraction (DLE) technology. Independent validation confirmed the Chile-based company’s process uses about 30% less freshwater than traditional evaporation ponds and 50% less than current commercial DLE benchmarks. The process maintains high lithium recovery and product quality. Summit’s proprietary flow sequencing method enables the reduction in water use, requiring minimal make-up water compared with evaporation ponds and other DLE systems, including advanced ion exchange platforms. The meth…
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The crypto market is beginning to display early indications that a new altcoin season could be approaching, as analysts reference historical patterns and technical signals hinting at a rebound after a lengthy slump. Although altcoins have recently lagged behind Bitcoin, bullish factors from data and macroeconomic parallels are building optimism that a change in liquidity conditions might trigger a strong market-wide rally for altcoins. Altcoin Dominance Hits Record Oversold Levels According to crypto analyst Javon Marks, altcoin dominance has entered oversold conditions for the first time in history. Marks highlighted in his post that the indicator, which measures the ma…
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The world economy is limping into November 2025, buffeted by geopolitical crosswinds, policy fragmentation, and structural shifts that defy easy categorization. Despite record highs in many equity markets, beneath the surface, the global order is being re-engineered—one export restriction, cyberattack, and parliamentary deadlock at a time. US-China Tensions Move Away from the Immediate Brink Let’s start with the main event: the U.S.–China tech war. Washington thought it had cornered the semiconductor chessboard. By the end of September, the U.S. had expanded its extraterritorial export controls, tightening the screws on Chinese firms and their subsidiaries abroad. The san…
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Recent on-chain data shows that a relevant class of Bitcoin investors known as long-term holders has continued to move out of their market positions. LTHs Actively Switching To Distribution In a November 1st post on social media platform X, popular on-chain analyst Burak Kesmeci shared an insight into the prevalent structural bias among Bitcoin’s long-term holders. Kesmeci’s analysis hinges on the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change metric, which tracks the net buying or selling behavior of Bitcoin’s long-term investors over a period of 30 days. Related Reading: Bitcoin At A ‘Do-Or-Die’ Level As Cycle Faces First Real Test: Analyst A positive reading is usually inter…
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Teck Resources (TSX: TECK.A, TECK.B)(NYSE: TECK) said on Monday its Quebrada Blanca (QB) mine in Chile is showing signs of recovery, following months of underperformance that raised questions about the mine’s viability and future role in the company’s $53 billion merger with Anglo American (LON: AAL). The Canadian miner noted that mill throughput and copper recoveries at QB are now tracking in line with expectations, thanks to an action plan launched in August. The improvement follows a broader operational review begun in September, aimed at stabilizing the ramp-up of its flagship copper expansion project. The “QB Action Plan” included upgrades to tailings infrast…
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Today, the EUR/USD pair paused its decline around the key psychological level of 1.1500, after falling throughout last week due to the strengthening of the U.S. dollar. Last week, during the press conference following the Federal Reserve meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the likelihood of another rate cut in December is extremely low. He also noted that policymakers may need to take a wait-and-see approach until official reports resume. According to CME FedWatch Tool data, traders in federal funds futures now price in a 65% probability of a December rate cut — significantly lower than the 94% probability a week earlier. However, the U.S. dollar may face cha…
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Chile’s state-owned copper giant Codelco, the world’s largest producer of the metal, expects 2025 and 2026 production to slightly surpass last year’s output, signalling resilience in the face of a deadly collapse at its El Teniente mine. The company’s outlook offers a modest boost to an increasingly tight global copper market. “We’ll slightly exceed 2024 copper production,” chairman Máximo Pacheco told Bloomberg on Monday ahed of Codelco’s third quarter results. The executive added that this year’s output is also expected to edge higher. The miner produced 1.4 million tonnes of copper in 2024. In early October, the miner estimated that the July 31 accident at …
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[Silver] – [Wednesday, November 05, 2025] With the RSI positioned in the Neutral-Bearish zone and both EMAs firmly in a Death Cross configuration, Silver is likely to continue its weakness in the near term. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 48.707 2. Resistance. 1 : 47.908 3. Pivot : 47.377 4. Support. 1 : 46.578 5. Support. 2 : 46.047 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 47.377, it could move toward 46.578. Momentum Extension Bias: If 46.578 is breached, Silver will target the level at 46.047. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The downside bias is contained if the price of Silver strengthens and breaks above 48.707. …
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From a technical perspective, the breakout of the resistance level at 153.25–153.30 last week and the subsequent move above the key round level of 154.00 were viewed as a major bullish signal. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart remain firmly in positive territory and are far from overbought levels. This, in turn, reinforces the likelihood of a move beyond the next resistance level at 154.50–154.75, paving the way toward the psychological level of 155.00. On the other hand, any corrective pullback is expected to find some support near the 154.00 round level, followed by additional support at 153.65. Below that lies the 153.30–153.25 support level, which previously ac…
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The question dominating crypto desks this week is whether the cycle is intact, and when the bull run will return. Two widely followed macro commentators sketched the same causal chain from public-sector cash management to crypto asset beta, arguing that the current drawdown is a liquidity story first and a sentiment story second—and that its reversal hinges on the mechanics of the US Treasury General Account (TGA), Federal Reserve balance-sheet policy, and the timing of Washington’s reopening. Crypto Market Awaits US Government Shutdown Resolution Macro analyst @plur_daddy on X summarizes the current state bluntly: “We are seeing the contraction in liquidity flowing thro…
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XRP is holding firm on the weekly time frame despite the latest market-wide drawdown, according to an Elliott Wave roadmap shared by crypto technician Hov (@HovWaves). On Hov’s Bitstamp-based 1W chart, the current candle sits near $2.22 with three days and several hours left to close, and the structure remains nested inside a higher-time-frame impulse that he counts as wave iii completed, wave iv in progress, and a prospective wave v aiming materially higher. Is The XRP Bottom In? The key reference band for pullbacks is defined by Fibonacci retracements measured from the latest vertical advance. Hov plots the 0.236 retracement at $2.094, the 0.382 at $1.548, the 0.5 at …
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[XAU/USD] With both EMAs forming a Golden Cross, although the RSI is still in the Neutral-Bearish level, it seems that the strengthening momentum continues to dominate in XAU/USD. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 4175.64 2. Resistance. 1 : 4150.99 3. Pivot : 4123.81 4. Support. 1 : 4099.16 5. Support. 2 : 4071.98 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of XAU/USD breaks above 4123.81, there is potential to continue to 4150.99. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4150.99 is breached and closed above, XAU/USD will continue strengthening up to 4175.64. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of Gold declines an…
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It seemed that everyone had already come to terms with the idea that the UK budget would partly rely on new taxes imposed on the population, when yesterday, UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves stated that she is considering abandoning plans to raise basic income tax rates and several other levies. This raises questions about how she intends to compensate for the existing budget deficit. According to media reports, Reeves may decide not to increase either the basic or higher income tax rate after widespread concerns emerged within the party about breaking the Labor Party's campaign promise not to do so. Reeves' statement, which came unexpectedly, caused a strong …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Thursday, the market may begin moving upward from the 1.3055 level (yesterday's daily candle close), targeting 1.3077 — the 176.4% target level (red dotted line). From this level, the price may possibly pull back downward, aiming for 1.3057 — the 185.4% target level (red dotted line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolumes – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.3055 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may continue moving downward, …
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Today, the price of the precious metal is holding near yesterday's closing high as traders assess the increased likelihood of a December interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve following dovish statements by policymakers. The latest surge in gold prices was driven by rising expectations of a rate cut, and U.S. economic data released with a delay on Tuesday further reinforced these expectations. New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said on Friday that he is confident rates can be lowered soon without jeopardizing the central bank's inflation target. In turn, Fed Governor Christopher Waller noted on Monday that labor market conditions are soft enough to justify…
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German officials thought they had wrapped up one of the biggest crypto cases in the country’s history when they seized and sold nearly 50,000 Bitcoin tied to the piracy platform Movie2K. But a new investigation is raising eyebrows. It turns out there might be another massive stash that was completely overlooked. There Might Be More Where That Came From In early 2024, German police took control of Bitcoin surrendered by Movie2K’s operators. Those coins were auctioned off for nearly $3 billion. At the time, it seemed like a done deal. Now, with Bitcoin’s price way up, those coins would be worth far more. And according to blockchain firm Arkham, that original stash might no…
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Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The test of 1.3527 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. The absence of U.K. statistics predictably put pressure on the pound in the first half of the day, but it did not lead to a larger correction of the pair. Investors remain in a wait-and-see mode, assessing the prospects of further moves by the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve on interest rates. Expectations regarding a possible rate cut at the upcoming meeting remain fairly muted, which supports the British currency. Technical analysis shows that GBP/USD cont…
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The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to point to the formation of a bullish impulsive wave structure. The wave picture is almost identical to that of EUR/USD, since the only "culprit" remains the dollar. Demand for the dollar is falling across the market (in the medium term), which is why many instruments show almost the same dynamics. At this stage, wave 4 is likely complete. If so, the rise of the instrument will continue within the framework of impulsive wave 5. Wave 4 could take on a five-wave form, but this is not the most likely scenario. It should be remembered that much on the currency market now depends on Donald Trump's policies—not only trade-related ones. Fr…
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Gold, after reaching a low around $3,613, made a strong technical rebound and is now trading around $3,652. It is likely to continue rising until the price reaches the R_2 daily resistance around $3,667. The metal could eventually reach its high around $3,673. Conversely, if gold retraces below the 61.8% Fibonacci level around $3,650, we could expect the bearish cycle to resume, and it could fall to the 21SMA located at $3,630 and even return to price levels around the 6/8 Murray level located at $3,593. The Eagle indicator on the H1 chart has been showing a positive signal since September 11, so any pullback in the gold price in the coming days will be seen as a buy sign…
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