Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12206 tópicos neste fórum
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As Ethereum (ETH) trades in the mid $4,000 range, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) futures open interest (OI) for the digital asset continues to hit new highs. Against that backdrop, analysts are now predicting a new all-time high (ATH) for ETH later this year. Ethereum New ATH By End Of 2025? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor PelinayPA, Ethereum’s CME futures OI is steadily moving towards new highs. The analyst brought attention to past data about Ethereum futures OI to predict its next move. Back in 2021-2022, Ethereum futures OI remained relatively low, largely dominated by 1-2 month contracts. At the time, although ETH gained bullish mom…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
So, yesterday's ECB meeting, as expected, delivered no new information—except "wait and see." But the rise in US CPI for August triggered a flurry of paradoxical articles in the business media, along with increased bets on the Fed cutting rates three times by year-end. Core CPI stayed at 3.1% y/y, while headline CPI rose from 2.7% to 2.9% y/y. The main stir came from jobless claims, which jumped during the week from 235k to 263k. We believe market participants are headed for a rude awakening when the FOMC announces it expects not even two rate cuts, since they've already signaled just one, in September. In fact, the only scenario that could force the Fed to cut rates thre…
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On Thursday, the British pound broke above the MACD line resistance and consolidated above it. However, two factors prevent us from adopting a bullish outlook as the main scenario: the very weak growth of the Marlin oscillator and the proximity of the key event of the autumn—the upcoming Fed monetary policy decision next week. If the mass investor is wrong about the market expecting three rate cuts by year-end—and given that the September meeting is extended and features individual FOMC member rate projections—we could see GBP fall to the 1.3253 level (or even 1.3140) in the days immediately following the Fed meeting. For now, we wait. A rise toward 1.3700—the upper boun…
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Ethereum price started a fresh increase and climbed above $4,500. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears $4,550. Ethereum is now eyeing an upside break above the $4,550 zone. The price is trading above $4,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $4,470 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above $4,550 and $4,580. Ethereum Price Eyes More Gains Ethereum price started a recovery wave after it formed a base above the $4,320 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $4,350 and $4,440 resistance levels. …
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A China-based entertainment company has made a major move into crypto, buying 300 Bitcoin just as the market trades near $114,000. Pop Culture Group (NASDAQ: CPOP), headquartered in Xiamen, disclosed the $33M purchase in a press release. The company emphasized the beginning of its digital asset treasure and part of wider plans to connect its entertainment business with Web3. It shared its plan to invest in additional assets in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and BOT to establish a diversified crypto fund to finance blockchain-oriented entertainment initiatives. Bitcoin Price Analysis: How is Bitcoin Trading Post Purchase? Bitcoin is holding near $114,400, with intraday moves betwe…
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Bitcoin price is showing positive signs above $114,500. BTC is now consolidating and might rise further if it clears the $116,200 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $114,200 zone. The price is trading below $115,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $115,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $116,200 zone. Bitcoin Price Gains Traction Bitcoin price started a fresh recovery wave from the $111,200 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $112,500 and $113,500 resistance levels. The bulls were able to pus…
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Yesterday, the EUR/NZD pair broke below the daily-scale MACD line at its intersection with the balance line. This is a strong signal for a continued decline. The Marlin oscillator is also moving downward, already into the bearish zone. Downside targets are: 1.9519 (the August 8 low)1.9350 (the July 11 low)1.9188 (the price channel line, as a possible third target, though here the Marlin oscillator would be in oversold territory)We expect a correction from the 1.9350 support level. On the four-hour chart, price and the Marlin oscillator have formed a bullish divergence. However, since the price has passed the magnetic point on the daily chart, the correction is unlikely …
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Crypto markets are “on the edge” of a broad altcoin breakout, with XRP, Dogecoin, and Cardano positioned to lead, according to technical strategist CryptoInsightUK. In a video analysis released today, the analyst argues that structural signals across major charts—supported by improving macro conditions—tilt the risk-reward toward a decisive upside move, provided US inflation data doesn’t deliver a negative surprise. The setup begins with Bitcoin grinding higher into range highs while still sitting in what he calls “a position of potential reversal,” a juncture he links to today’s US CPI print after a softer-than-expected PPI reading. “If CPI comes in weak today, I think …
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BlackRock is exploring the idea of turning its exchange-traded fund shares into blockchain-based tokens. The goal is to build a stronger digital foundation for its asset offerings and make them easier to access and move around. This would link traditional financial products with the kind of tech that powers crypto. Builds on Earlier Tokenized Funds This isn’t their first step in the tokenization world. Back in March 2024, BlackRock launched a tokenized money market fund that brought in over two billion dollars. That project worked well enough to spark new ideas. Now, the focus is on expanding tokenization to include ETFs. What Tokenized ETFs Could Unlock By tokenizi…
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Coinbase is pushing back hard against the SEC. The company filed a motion in federal court, asking for sanctions and fast-tracked discovery after learning that text messages from former SEC Chair Gary Gensler had been deleted. These messages spanned almost a full year, covering a period packed with major crypto developments. Timeline of Missing Messages The missing texts stretch from October 18, 2022 to September 6, 2023. This includes key moments like the collapse of FTX and a series of high-profile enforcement actions. According to an internal report, the texts were wiped when Gensler’s government-issued phone was reset. The SEC had a policy in place to wipe inac…
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XRP crypto is heating up again with some strong price action, creeping right back toward its all-time highs. Ripple’s stablecoin plans, recent buyouts, and XRPL’s bank-friendly setup give it a legit foundation for long-term demand. But it’s not all smooth sailing. ETF approvals could drag, and ETH or Solana still own big chunks of the market. Even so, XRP is building more use cases and pulling in more capital, which sets it up to break fresh highs and keep traders locked in. Right now, the price is sitting close to its ATH, but the real game is in value creation. That’s why Ripple’s latest acquisition looks like a power move that could pay off heavy down the road. xrpP…
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A loose but growing push is under way in the XRP community to build what some people call an “XRP firewall” — a set of tools and checks meant to block scams on the XRPL. Vet, one of the dUNL validators on the XRP Ledger, has hinted at a big update that could change the fight against scams on XRPL. The feature, known as the XLS-86 Firewall, is still in development but is being described as a possible endgame for fraudsters. In a recent post, Vet said the amendment would act as a safeguard to stop losses of XRP, tokens, and NFTs when activated. If approved and rolled out, it could give users a much stronger line of defense against common traps that have cost the commun…
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded quite calmly again on Thursday, although when the US inflation data came out, the price began to swing sharply. The August consumer price index was 2.9% y/y, which overall is in line with forecasts. Core inflation remained at 3.1%, also as expected. So in general, US inflation didn't surprise anyone. However, in recent years, inflation has been mainly interesting to traders because of its massive influence on the Fed's monetary policy. With Donald Trump's arrival, the situation has changed dramatically, making the consumer price index just another ordinary report. Let's start with the fact that Trump's policy helps fuel consumer price incr…
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The EUR/USD currency pair traded very calmly during most of Thursday—at least, up until the US inflation report came out, which is now much more important than the ECB meeting. But more on that later. Let's remember that volatility has noticeably declined over the last one and a half to two months, which, perhaps not coincidentally, matches the period when there's been no trending movement in the market. So, the market has effectively taken a pause and seems in no hurry to end it. From our point of view, the US dollar still has plenty of fundamental reasons to keep falling—reasons we discuss constantly. Any strengthening of the dollar should be viewed as a normal correcti…
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GBP/USD 5-Minute Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair also posted quite strong growth on Thursday, even though it experienced a decline in the first half of the day. However, this drop allowed a second extremum to form on the hourly chart, which ultimately resulted in the development of an ascending trendline. So, as the saying goes, "all's well that ends well." The British pound is growing again—because, at this stage, it has no other realistic option. The US inflation report could theoretically have supported the greenback, since inflation increased in August, which may prompt the Fed to cut rates a bit more slowly. However, we were warning that inflation is not curre…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Analysis The EUR/USD currency pair demonstrated quite strong growth on Thursday, which fully matched our expectations. On Thursday, only two events could have triggered volatility: the ECB meeting and the US inflation report. The ECB ultimately left all rates unchanged, as expected. In the final statement, the most noteworthy point was the upward revision of inflation forecasts for 2025-2026. However, this revision was minimal and does not significantly exceed the ECB's target level. Thus, at this time the ECB does not see a threat of uncontrolled price growth. But it was the US inflation report that caused the dollar to fall, even though it didn't ha…
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Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading around $0.249, pressing against the upper end of a six-week range between $0.22 and $0.25. Technical indicators now hint at a potential rally, with the meme coin attracting renewed attention from investors. The 20-day EMA near $0.225, alongside the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages clustered below $0.220, highlight a strong support zone. With the RSI at 60–61, DOGE shows steady buying momentum without being overbought. Similarly, the MACD histogram has turned positive, signaling a resurgence in bullish sentiment following muted August trading. Resistance at $0.25 Could Unlock Higher Targets Dogecoin’s short-term trajectory hinges on whet…
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A Dogecoin exchange-traded fund with the ticker DOJE is set to start trading in the US on September 11, 2025. According to reports, the fund is being launched by REX-Osprey and will provide US investors a regulated way to gain exposure to DOGE without holding the coin directly. Eric Balchunas, a senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, told market watchers that the fund will hold an asset with “no utility on purpose,” and he publicly challenged supporters to point to clear real-world uses for Dogecoin beyond community interest and trading. Analyst Asks Supporters To Show Practical Uses According to Balchunas, DOJE will be the first US ETF that openly holds an asset whose backe…
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Lundin Gold (TSX: LUG) (Nasdaq: LUG) said on Thursday its CEO Ron Hochstein will step down after ten years of leadership, to be replaced by Jamie Beck, former CEO and Director of Filo Corp., effective November 7, 2025. Beck brings a proven track record of creating shareholder value within the Lundin Group, the company said. Under his six-year leadership at Filo, the exploration program delivered the discovery of one of the largest copper, gold and silver deposits in the world, culminating in the C$4.5 billion acquisition of Filo by BHP and Lundin Mining in January 2025. During Beck’s tenure as CEO, Filo delivered an approximate 1,700% return for its shareholder…
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Meanwhile, serious concerns are brewing in Congress over Trump's actions aimed at forming a new FOMC lineup. Most lawmakers are openly speaking about Donald Trump pressuring the central bank. Without a doubt, this comes mainly from Democrats—who are in the minority in both chambers—but I suspect Republicans also fully understand Trump's true motives. According to Democrats, the Fed could lose its independence, threatening the trust of businesses and consumers in the central bank. In this case, the public may stop believing in the Fed's ability to contain inflation, which could spark even higher price growth. A chain reaction could begin, with businesses raising prices sim…
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GBPUSD rallied after US CPI data all but confirmed a rate cut next week. At least that is the view of market participants who actually priced in as much as 75 bps of cuts through December 2025, according to futures pricing. For more on the US CPI release, please read A hesistant FX Market after the as-expected September CPI release – Technical levels US data had been the talking point heading into the week, and now with CPI and PPI behind us focus may begin to turn to UK GDP data due out tomorrow. …
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Mantle (MNT) has emerged as the top gainer in the crypto market, soaring to a new all-time high of $1.65 on September 11. The token is up 18% in 24 hours, 46% over the past week, and an impressive 65% in the last month. With a market cap of $5.3 billion and fully diluted valuation at $10.1 billion, Mantle’s surge is being fueled by its deepening partnership with Bybit. The initiative, branded as “MNT x Bybit 2.0,” introduced 21 new trading pairs against top assets like ETH, SOL, ADA, and SUI. Bybit also launched a “HODL & Earn” campaign, rewarding Mantle holders with a share of a 60,000 XUSD pool. This has led to a sharp spike in activity, with spot volume climbin…
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On Thursday, gold was trying to maintain its optimism. On Wednesday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced that the Producer Price Index (PPI) in the US annually fell to 2.6% in August compared to 3.3% a month earlier. Other indicators showed that the core PPI—excluding food and energy—rose 2.8% year-on-year, down from 3.7% in July. The absence of inflationary pressure from producers, despite the imposed import tariffs, signals weakening domestic demand amid instability in the labor market. Even though the released Consumer Price Index exceeded forecasts, this dynamic supports market expectations of an upcoming interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at next…
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On Monday, Steven Mirran may officially become one of the members of the Fed's Board of Governors. Recall that in August, Adriana Kugler decided to leave her post under rather strange circumstances, six months before the end of her term. In my opinion, this did not happen without Donald Trump's influence. And since Kugler had only a few months left at the Fed, she chose not to start a legal battle with the President of the United States—unlike Lisa Cook, who is only just beginning her story at the Fed. Thus, as of Monday, there will be three known "doves" on the FOMC. The first two are Christopher Waller, who remains one of the candidates for the role of Chair after Powel…
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The inflation growth reports published this week in the US didn't help the greenback. The US dollar fell on all fronts, and the EUR/USD pair again attempted to approach the resistance level at 1.1750 (the upper line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the daily chart). The latest inflation data showed mixed results: the Producer Price Index (PPI) unexpectedly slowed, while the Consumer Price Index (CPI) accelerated as expected. Despite this contradiction, market participants interpreted the overall result quite unambiguously—not in favor of the dollar. Why? This outcome allows the Fed to consider a rate cut of 50 basis points by the end of this year. That would be 25…
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