Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12337 tópicos neste fórum
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Leo Lithium has launched the sale of its Trailing Product Sales Fee (TPSF), rejecting demands from major shareholder Firefinch Limited to overhaul its board and fast-track the process. The struggling Australian lithium developer said on Friday the TPSF sale would be “orderly and timely,” with completion expected no earlier than in the first quarter of 2026. An independent adviser will be appointed to oversee the transaction. The TPSF is tied to production at the Goulamina lithium project in Mali, which Leo Lithium operated in a joint venture with China’s Ganfeng Lithium until last year. Firefinch, which spun off Leo in 2022 and remains its largest shareholder…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In the 1870’s in Colorado, the discovery of huge amounts of silver ore in the mountains triggered a massive silver boom. Silver mining expanded significantly in the state over the next decade, and Leadville became known as the “Silver Capital of America.” Colorado mountain towns saw explosive population growth and prosperity driven by mining. However, the silver boom period slid into a bust. Changes to the global international monetary systems relating to precious metals triggered a collapse in the price of silver, which directly impacted the Colorado silver mining towns. In the 1870s, many countries, including Holland, France, Belgium, Italy, Switzerland, and Greece, s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In the 1870’s in Colorado, the discovery of huge amounts of silver ore in the mountains triggered a massive silver boom. Silver mining expanded significantly in the state over the next decade, and Leadville became known as the “Silver Capital of America.” Colorado mountain towns saw explosive population growth and prosperity driven by mining. However, the silver boom period slid into a bust. Changes to the global international monetary systems relating to precious metals triggered a collapse in the price of silver, which directly impacted the Colorado silver mining towns. In the 1870s, many countries, including Holland, France, Belgium, Italy, Switzerland, and Greece, s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The euro and the British pound today followed a Mean Reversion scenario, but there were no major or reverse movements. Using Momentum, I traded the Japanese yen, where it was possible to capture a decent move. A sharp rise in German industrial production helped the euro maintain its positions against the U.S. dollar during the first half of the day, but it did not lead to fundamental changes in the market balance. The published data exceeded even the most optimistic forecasts, restoring investors' confidence in the stability of the German economy. A 1.8% rise in Germany's manufacturing sector traditionally has a significant impact on the euro's dynamics. Increased orders,…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The British pound, euro, and Australian dollar were traded today using the Momentum strategy. I did not trade anything using Mean Reversion. Given the current pressure on risk assets, it is not surprising that the dollar continues its winning growth streak. This is especially evident in pairs with the euro, pound, and Japanese yen. Even positive data on Germany's trade surplus failed to help the euro rise. The European currency remains under the influence of a number of negative factors, including concerns over slowing eurozone economic growth, uncertainty regarding the European Central Bank's future monetary policy, as well as political tensions in the region. Considerin…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Given the very small spike in volatility in the first half of the day, no valid entry points were formed for the Mean Reversion strategy. Using the Momentum strategy, I traded only the Japanese yen. The euro and the pound rose in the first half of the day, continuing yesterday's bullish market following the Fed's decision to cut interest rates. However, after the initial spike caused by news from Washington, momentum weakened, and the single currency stabilized near 1.1700 against the U.S. dollar. Since the market had already largely priced in the expected rate cut, new catalysts are needed for further euro appreciation. Nonetheless, despite some consolidation, the overal…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, the British pound, Australian dollar, and Canadian dollar were traded using the Mean Reversion strategy. I traded only the Japanese yen using the Momentum strategy. Inflation data from the eurozone matched economists' forecasts, which kept volatility in the EUR/USD pair at a low level. However, despite stable macroeconomic indicators, market sentiment remains on the side of euro buyers. The British pound did not face major difficulties after the release of weak UK GDP data for October of this year. During the U.S. trading session, there will be no economic statistics from the U.S. at all, so attention will shift to the speeches by FOMC members Beth M. Hammack and …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Due to very low volatility, suitable entry points using the Mean Reversion strategy never materialized. Using the Momentum strategy, I traded only the Japanese yen. Eurozone industrial production data showed growth of 0.8%, while economists had expected an increase of just 0.1%. But who needs October data when it is already mid-December? As a result, the euro did not react to them at all. However, clear certainty regarding the future policy of the European Central Bank gives the euro an advantage against the U.S. dollar. Later today, U.S. figures for the Empire Manufacturing Index and the NAHB Housing Market Index are expected. A speech by FOMC member John Williams will a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, only the Canadian dollar was traded using the Mean Reversion strategy. I traded the British pound and the Japanese yen using the Momentum strategy. The euro and the pound edged lower ahead of the European Central Bank's and the Bank of England's interest rate decisions. Investors are holding their breath, waiting for signals regarding future monetary policy. The ECB is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but particular attention will be paid to Christine Lagarde's press conference. The Bank of England, however, is preparing to cut interest rates, which could extend the decline of the British pound. In addition, the economic calendar is set to be quite busy,…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, only the Australian dollar and the euro were traded using the Mean Reversion strategy. I traded the Japanese yen using the Momentum strategy. As the data showed, German producer prices were unchanged compared with the previous month, which put slight pressure on the EUR/USD pair in the first half of the day. The impact of this factor on the currency market was limited, as traders continue to bet on a slowdown in price pressures in the region. The lack of growth in German producer prices may indicate easing inflation in the eurozone, which in turn could influence ECB decisions. The pound also reacted with only a slight decline to weak UK retail sales data, which kee…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Only the euro was traded today using the Mean Reversion scenario, although even there no strong reversal movement occurred. I did not trade anything using the Momentum approach. Inflation data in the eurozone for November matched economists' forecasts, which resulted in very low market volatility in EUR/USD. However, the unemployment rate came in slightly above expectations. This confirms that the European Central Bank still has no strong reasons to change its accommodative monetary policy. Consumer prices in the eurozone rose by 2.1% year-on-year, in line with expectations and not significantly deviating from the ECB's target. The British pound showed a small spike in v…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Only the British pound did I try to trade today using the Mean Reversion strategy, but even there I did not wait for a strong downward reversal. Using the Momentum strategy, I traded the Japanese yen, which rose sharply against the U.S. dollar. According to the report, Germany's GDP in the third quarter of this year remained unchanged compared to the second quarter. Although zero growth has increased the chances of a technical recession, the sense of industrial stagnation is causing more serious concern. Economists warn that without significant changes in policy and external factors, Germany may face a prolonged period of economic decline. The impact of this downturn may …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Due to a sharp drop in market volatility during the first half of the day, I did not trade at all through the Mean Reversion scenario. On the other hand, using the Momentum strategy, one could have worked well with the Japanese yen, which fell sharply against the US dollar. In the absence of economic data from the Eurozone and the UK, the euro and the British pound slightly declined against the US dollar, losing bullish momentum. Investors adopted a wait-and-see approach, assessing the prospects for further policy actions by the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, while also awaiting the release of the UK budget for the next year. During the US session, key dat…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The British pound, Australian dollar, and Canadian dollar were traded today using the Mean Reversion strategy. I did not trade anything through Momentum. As expected, in the absence of important statistics from the eurozone and the UK, the euro and the pound showed a slight recovery in the first half of the day. This pause in the continuous pressure that has haunted these currencies in recent weeks allowed some of the market nervousness to calm down. Traders cautiously welcomed the absence of negative news, which in turn pushed the euro and other currencies slightly higher against the US dollar. However, it should not be forgotten that this is only a temporary reprieve. G…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Only one Canadian dollar trade was executed today using the Mean Reversion strategy, but even there, a strong reversal movement never materialized. I did not trade anything using the Momentum strategy. The demand for the euro and pound, which was observed at the end of last week, has not returned. The U.S. eased pressure on China, which increased the likelihood of reaching a compromise. This, in turn, supported the U.S. dollar. Traders shifted from fears of escalating trade tensions to a more optimistic scenario, which triggered a capital inflow into dollar-denominated assets. However, this positive move is not supported by solid macroeconomic data — with publications com…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Only the Australian dollar could be traded today using the Mean Reversion strategy. The Japanese yen once again performed well with trades through Momentum. The PMI activity data from the Eurozone and the U.K. came in slightly below economists' forecasts, but this had little impact on the FX market and traders. Moreover, although inflationary pressure has eased somewhat in recent months, it still remains a source of uncertainty. The European Central Bank continues to pursue a wait-and-see policy, which supports the euro. The Bank of England is acting in a similar way, hoping to bring inflation fully under control in the coming quarters. In the second half of the day, the …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today the British pound, the euro, and the Australian dollar were successfully traded using the Momentum strategy. I did not trade anything using Mean Reversion. Weak data on German factory orders put pressure on the euro in the first half of the day. Traders took this as a signal of a possible slowdown in economic growth in the eurozone's largest economy and, consequently, in the region as a whole. Concerns were reinforced by the escalation of the political crisis in France, which in recent days has weighed heavily on risk assets. Against this backdrop, the U.S. dollar showed steady growth. As for the second half of the day, much will depend on trade balance data and con…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Only the British pound was traded today through the Mean Reversion strategy, but even there no major reversal occurred. I did not use the Momentum strategy for any trades. A sharp drop in German industrial production led to a steep fall in the euro, but the bearish market failed to gain further traction. The pound also slightly recovered against the dollar, indicating traders' rather cautious approach toward buying the U.S. dollar. In the second half of the day, a fairly large number of interviews and speeches from Federal Reserve representatives are expected. Special attention should be paid to statements by FOMC members Michael S. Barr, Neel Kashkari, and Austan D. Gool…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Only the euro was traded today using the Mean Reversion strategy. I did not trade anything with Momentum. Italian industrial data provided some encouragement, allowing euro buyers to maintain a leading position. This positive impulse from Italy somewhat eased concerns about difficulties in the industrial sector. However, one should not forget that Italy's economic problems have not disappeared. Success in the manufacturing sector is a good sign, but it is not enough on its own to fundamentally change the situation. In the second half of the day, data is expected on the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for August, the core Producer Price Index excluding food and energy pric…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The euro was well executed today through the Mean Reversion strategy. Due to low market volatility, there was no opportunity to trade via Momentum. The decline in the eurozone trade balance surplus pressured the euro, but buyers took advantage of the moment to increase long positions. Overall, the U.S. dollar will continue to weaken against risk assets. It is clear that the dollar is under pressure from the relatively dovish policy expected from the Federal Reserve in the near future. In the second half of the day, the Empire Manufacturing Index will be released, but it is unlikely to shift market sentiment in favor of the dollar. The market appears to have already priced…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The euro and the pound continued their active rise today, making the Momentum strategy work very well. I did not trade using the Mean Reversion strategy. A sharp increase in euro area business sentiment led to another strengthening of the euro against the U.S. dollar, followed by gains in the British pound. Investors welcomed the data, which indicated a recovery in industrial production and the services sector, easing fears of a possible recession in the region. Confidence in the European economy is also supported by other factors. In particular, inflation is slowing, albeit at a slower pace than previously expected. The European Central Bank continues to maintain a loose…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, the pound and the Australian dollar were traded using the Mean Reversion strategy. I tried to trade the yen through Momentum, but the result was mediocre. The released data showing a decline in the Consumer Price Index in the eurozone put pressure on the euro. However, falling inflation is not an unconditional signal for policy easing. Observers note that the slowdown in consumer price growth may be driven not only by the ECB's effective measures but also by weaker economic growth in the region and external factors such as lower energy prices. In this context, a premature rate cut could lead to undesirable consequences, something some ECB representatives have recen…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The pound and the euro worked perfectly today through the Mean Reversion strategy. I tried trading the yen using Momentum, but the outcome was not great. Today's calm in the Eurozone economic calendar allowed the euro to take a breather after recent turbulence. The absence of fresh data that could shake traders' confidence played into the hands of those who see further growth potential in the single currency. Yesterday's Fed decision, which confirmed its commitment to a dovish monetary policy, continues to support risk assets, including the euro. In the second half of the day, we expect figures on U.S. initial jobless claims, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index, and …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, I tried trading the euro and the Australian dollar using the Mean Reversion strategy. With Momentum, I traded only the British pound, for which important data was released. News that producer prices in Germany fell more than expected put pressure on the euro. The Producer Price Index declined by 0.5% month-on-month, exceeding analysts' forecasts. This was the most significant drop. The euro reacted to the news by falling against the US dollar and other major currencies. Investors fear that the drop in producer prices may lead the European Central Bank to adopt a more dovish stance, since there is no point in waiting—the economy needs stimulus. The fall in German pr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, trading the euro and pound through the Mean Reversion strategy was difficult. Using Momentum, I only traded the Japanese yen, which rose sharply against the U.S. dollar. Strong data on German industrial production supported the euro in the first half of the day. The pound also attempted to rise, but these moves were not very successful. It seems traders preferred to lock in profits after the initial optimism caused by expectations of Fed rate cuts, offsetting the positive impact of individual macroeconomic indicators. Technically, the EUR/USD pair is consolidating in a narrow range, not yet showing a clear direction. A breakout of the upper boundary could open the …
Last reply by Ben Graham,
