Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12202 tópicos neste fórum
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroA test of the 1.1692 level occurred just as the MACD indicator began moving up from the zero line, confirming a good entry point for buying euros. As a result, the pair rose by more than 50 pips. The US Consumer Price Index increased, but the growth was relatively modest. The actual increase was 0.4% versus an expected 0.3%. This put moderate pressure on the dollar and boosted demand for the euro. Evidently, August's CPI rise in the US was minor, which could push the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates at its next meeting. The released figures suggest inflationary pressures are slowing, giving the Fed more flexibility. Econom…
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It is September, and it is the month when the crypto market usually flips the script. This September, memecoins are front and center, and Toshi crypto is leading the memecoin space. While the crypto sentiment shifts bullish following the Fed’s rate cut odds, retail money is pouring into Solana memecoin crypto plays like PENGU and Toshi, which just posted a massive 49% daily pump. (source – CME watch) Currently trading around $0.00088 with a market cap north of $366 million, Toshi crypto is crushing rivals like BRETT, while boosting confidence across the Solana memecoin sector. With daily volume on Toshi spiking past $363 million, fueled by a Korean Upbit listing, an…
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The much expected FOMC cut finally took place, and it is offering a lot of action throughout markets. The rate is now officially at 4.25% (Between 4% to 4.25%). An additional 50 bps is planned by the FED for the rest of the year. As expected Miran dissented for a 50 bps, the dot plot is a bit more dovish than expected. After the volatile past few days, particularly in FX markets and commodities, [...] took the seat of the most violent movements. You can access the official FOMC statement right here. Summary of Economic Projections can be found right here. Also do not forget to log in at 14:30 E.T. to Jerome Powell's Live Press conference through this link. Let's tak…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 17 Both the Bank of Canada (2.75% → 2.50%) and the Federal Reserve (4.50% → 4.25%) cut their rates today which helped to sustain some decent strength in the Canadian Dollar despite pretty negative talks on the Canadian Economy at the decision. The FED actually provided a fairly hawkish cut when looking at the speech from Powell. The Federal Reserve Chair emphasized the decision being centered around the labor market despite economic activity being more than decent. Jerome Powell did mention the resilience of the American consumer and the stable inflation expectation throughout his press conference – This…
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Changpeng “CZ” Zhao has stirred fresh talk that he may be stepping back into a bigger public role at Binance after a sudden change to his X profile and a string of developments around the exchange. Market moves and reports about talks with US law enforcement have fed the chatter, but legal limits remain a central part of the story. Profile Change Sparks Speculation Based on reports, CZ updated his X profile from “ex-@binance” back to “@binance,” a small public tweak that many traders and observers took as a hint he might reengage with the company he founded. The market reacted quickly. BNB, Binance’s native token, climbed and in some feeds was shown near $962.29 on Se…
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GBP/USD The British pound reached its target — the upper boundary of the global descending price channel — and even pierced it with its upper shadow (weekly chart). Now the price may well retreat from such strong resistance. If the outcome of today's Bank of England meeting aligns with this expected pullback, a medium-term decline could develop. Here, the key level to watch is the MACD line around 1.3395. On the daily chart, the price reversed downward at the 8th Fibonacci time line. The Marlin oscillator is pointing down from the upper boundary of its range, suggesting the price may attempt to work out the nearest support at 1.3525, which the MACD line has already touc…
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Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD pair traded on Wednesday fully in line with the fundamental background. For almost the entire day, market movements were ultra-weak, as traders awaited the results of the Fed meeting and Jerome Powell's press conference. All other events of the day were irrelevant, even though another set of weak U.S. reports was published — this time in the construction sector. After the Fed's decision was announced, "fireworks" began. As we warned, volatility increased, and the price moved in both directions. First, the dollar dropped 70 pips in 10 minutes, then strengthened by 100 pips over the next several hours. Today, it may…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday rose to the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3708, rebounded from it, and reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar, falling into the support zone of 1.3587–1.3620. Today, consolidation below this zone would allow for a continued decline toward the 76.4% corrective level at 1.3482. A rebound from the zone would work in favor of the pound and a return to growth toward 1.3708. The wave structure remains "bullish." The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the last upward wave easily broke the previous peak. The news background does not allow bears to go on the offensive. The market expects strong monetar…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair rebounded from the 127.2% corrective level at 1.1896, reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar, and fell into the support zone of 1.1789–1.1802. At the moment, it can be said that traders have fully priced in the Fed meeting and Powell's speech, so today and tomorrow we can expect more logical movements. Looking slightly ahead, I believe that the U.S. dollar's growth was not natural. A rebound from the 1.1789–1.1802 level would favor the euro and a return to growth toward 1.1896. A close below this zone would allow for a continuation of the decline toward the next corrective level of 76.4% at 1.1695. The wave structure on the hourly chart rema…
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The Federal Reserve is back in focus as today’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting could bring the first rate cut of 2025, and traders are closely watching what it could mean for the Bitcoin price. Markets are heavily leaning toward a rate cut at this week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Data from CME’s FedWatch tool shows a 96% probability that the Fed will reduce its benchmark rate by 25 basis points. There is also a small, 4% chance that policymakers could move more aggressively, opting for a 50-basis-point cut instead. (Source – CME Group) The Fed kept interest rates at 5.5% for more than a year, holding steady from July 2023 through A…
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For the first time this year, the United States Federal Reserve slashed interest rates to the +4% to +4.25% range. This decision was highly anticipated and came, to some degree, from political pressure. Yet, with falling fund rates, there are high expectations that decentralized money markets, including Aave crypto, will shine. For this reason, the focus has been on AAVE USD. According to Coingecko, the Aave price is up +126% year-to-date and firm in the past month, adding a decent +7%. Yet, despite the optimism around crypto, with analysts painting bullish projects, including posting solid Aave price prediction posts, AAVE USDT is stable in the last week of trading, ad…
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A surge in supply from the Congo, responsible for 80% of the world’s cobalt output, coupled with tepid demand from the electric vehicle market, saw cobalt prices sink to historic lows at the start of 2025. Copper production in the DRC, with a big chunk owned by Chinese companies, was rising fast – leading to a near 40% jump in the country’s co-product cobalt output in 2024, but in February the country announced a four month ban on exports, extending it again in June. The price of cobalt sulphate entering the EV battery supply chain in China duly responded and is now trading over 90% higher than at the start of the year averaging $6,947 a tonne in August (still no…
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An XRP/BTC long-term chart shared by pseudonymous market technician Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX) points to a delayed—but potentially explosive—upswing for XRP versus Bitcoin, with the analyst arguing that “the next monster leg up” cannot begin before early 2026 if key Ichimoku conditions are to be satisfied on the highest time frames. Posting a two-month (2M) XRP/BTC chart with Ichimoku overlays and date markers for September/October, November/December and January/February, Dr Cat framed the setup around the position of the Chikou Span (CS) relative to price candles and the Tenkan-sen. “Based on the 2M chart I expect the next monster leg up to start no earlier than 2026,” he wro…
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Crypto traders are back on the hunt for the next 100x crypto, and two familiar names are heating up: ENA and LINK. Both tokens are showing impressive growth, strong fundamentals, and bullish technical patterns, but can they really deliver the kind of returns traders dream about? With the Fed’s 25bps rate cut earlier this week boosting risk appetite across markets, altcoins like Ethena and Chainlink are positioned to run. Here’s why analysts are betting on these two tokens heading into Q4 2025. link on solPriceMarket CapLINK$30.73K24h7d1y DISCOVER: 15+ Upcoming Coinbase Listings to Watch in 2025 Could Crypto Ethena Hit $1 Soon and Achieve Next 100x? Ethena crypto has qu…
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Markets lit up when Binance founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao quietly dropped the “ex-@binance” tag from his social bio, a small change that unleashed big speculation: was the former CEO preparing for a Trump crypto pardon? Why? Because Cz is based. CZ is the god king of crypto. On Polymarket, pardon odds swung wildly, hitting 64% on Saturday before slipping to 45% by press time. The back-and-forth highlights how closely investors link Zhao’s fate to Binance’s prospects. (Source: Polymarket) Zhao said in May that his legal team had filed a pardon request. If granted, it could open the door for him to return to Binance leadership despite restrictions from his 2023 plea deal. …
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GBP/USDBy the end of Friday, the price consolidated below the 1.3525 level and below the Kijun line on the daily scale. The price now only needs to break through the balance line (the red moving average). The Marlin oscillator has settled in the territory of a downward trend, so breaking through the balance line appears to be only a matter of time. The target level at 1.3364 is now open, and the price is moving toward it. The support at 1.3364 is strong, so a correction is possible from there. On the four-hour chart, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator shows signs of developing consolidation. With such behavior from the oscillator, the price may continue its declin…
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EUR/USDThe euro exchange rate has approached the support of the daily Kijun line (1.1720). A consolidation below this level would signal that the EUR/USD pair is ready to continue its decline toward the target level of 1.1632 (the peak from June 12). However, the Marlin oscillator is still in positive territory, so it would be beneficial for the euro to slow down a bit and prepare for a downward breakout—possibly tomorrow, when there will be a showdown between the PMI indices of Europe and the United States. On the four-hour chart, conditions are forming in favor of the dollar winning the PMI battle, as the price has settled below both indicator lines, and the Marlin os…
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Technical analyst ALLINCRYPTO has reiterated a high-beta roadmap for XRP, arguing that chart structure and pattern symmetry could propel the token to roughly $19.20 within the next six months—while specifying a precise model target of $19.27. XRP Explosion Ahead? In a September 21 video address, he framed the move as a classic continuation sequence following a run at all-time highs and a corrective “falling wedge” that has now been retraced. “I think something like this is what you’re going to see once again… this actually could take you to that $19.27 mark,” he said, adding that his “price prediction remains the same.” The crux of the thesis is historical rhyme and pat…
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On Friday, the EUR/USD pair continued its decline after bouncing off the 1.1789–1.1802 zone. The decline in the euro may continue toward the 76.4% corrective level at 1.1695, but I believe that the euro's fall is a coincidence. I'll explain why below. A rebound from the 1.1695 level will work in favor of the euro and the restoration of the "bullish" trend. A consolidation above the resistance zone of 1.1789–1.1802 will increase the probability of continued growth toward 1.1896. The wave situation on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave broke the peak of the previous one, and the last downward wave did not break the previous low. Thu…
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Overview: After finishing last week with a bid tone, the US dollar's gains were initially extended against most G10 currencies before a mild bout of profit-taking emerged. It was extended in the European morning but may stall in North America. Several pairs have options near today's highs that expire at 10:00 AM ET. The US announcement that dramatically raises the prices of H-1B visas is a key talking point, with India seen particularly exposed. The US tariffs make it more expensive to import goods and now the administration will make it more difficult to import skilled labor. Meanwhile, Argentina's drama continues, and it is seeking a US loan on top of the IMF. Although…
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GBP/USD Brief Analysis: The price trend direction of the British pound has been set by an upward wave since the start of this year. In late June, quotes reached the potential reversal zone on the weekly timeframe. Before further growth, a correction needs to form in the wave structure. As of today, the correction is not yet complete. Weekly Outlook: The coming week is expected to bring the end of the pound's downward movement. A temporary decline to the lower boundary is possible early in the week. A trend shift and an upward movement may follow, with resistance aligned at the lower boundary of the weekly reversal zone. Potential Reversal Zones Resistance: 1.3670 / 1.3…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the 148.49 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved sharply above zero, limiting the pair's bullish potential. The second test of this level allowed for selling according to Scenario #2, but it ended with a stop-out as the pair failed to drop as expected. The sharp jump in US new home sales in August strengthened the dollar and sent the Japanese yen lower. This unexpected surge in real estate activity signaled the resilience of the US economy, which immediately impacted investor expectations for the Federal Reserve's future policy. The jump in sales exceeded analyst forecasts, reinforcing the b…
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Yesterday, Bitcoin stopped just shy of the $114,000 mark, and during today's Asian trading, it quickly dropped back to around $111,500. Apparently, this level is where it's currently most comfortable trading. Ethereum fell below $4,000, triggering $141 million in long liquidations. This sharp market move came as a surprise to many traders who had bet on continued growth for the second-largest cryptocurrency. The break below the psychologically important $4,000 mark triggered a chain reaction—exchanges began to close leveraged positions, which further intensified the downtrend automatically. Several factors contributed to this crash. First, general uncertainty in global f…
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Trend analysis (Fig. 1). On Thursday, from the 1.3442 level (yesterday's daily close), the market may continue moving downward toward 1.3383 – the 23.6% retracement level (blue dotted line). From this level, the price may rebound upward toward 1.3405 – a historical resistance level (light blue dotted line). Fig. 1 (daily chart). Comprehensive analysis: Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – downward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.3442 level (yesterday's daily close), the price may start moving do…
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Trade analysis and advice on trading the Japanese yen The designated test levels were not reached in the first half of the day. In the second half of the day, USD/JPY will be strongly influenced by data on initial jobless claims, Q2 GDP, and the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index. These macroeconomic indicators, like seismic waves, can trigger significant volatility in the currency market, determining the pair's next direction. Initial jobless claims serve as a barometer of labor market health. A sharp decline would signal resilience and likely be interpreted positively by the Federal Reserve. Conversely, an increase could point to deteriorating conditions…
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