Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12202 tópicos neste fórum
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The euro is trading around 1.1706, below the 8/8 Murray and below the 200 EMA, and within the downtrend channel formed on September 12. Over the past few days, the euro has failed to break out of the downtrend channel on several attempts. However, we see on the chart that the euro left a gap at the close of Friday's session, so during a technical rebound, EUR/USD is likely to reach 1.1735 in the coming days. If bearish pressure prevails, we can expect the euro to reach the 7/8 Murray around 1.1596 or even reach the bottom of the downtrend channel around 1.1560. If the euro breaks sharply above the trend channel and consolidates around 1.1740, we could expect it to continu…
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The euro has weakened significantly. Recently, more and more policymakers from the ECB have been advocating for a more cautious approach when making decisions on interest rate cuts, but Governing Council member of the European Central Bank Olli Rehn is not among them. Yesterday, the policymaker warned that there is a risk consumer price growth could slow to below the 2% target. "We have roughly achieved the goal — in that sense the situation is good right now," said the head of the Bank of Finland. "However, in the next couple of years, we can expect inflation to slow, partly due to the strengthening of the euro and the stabilization of wages and service prices." Now, af…
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Natural Gas (NG) Over the past two weeks, the price of natural gas has made two unsuccessful attempts to break above the weekly balance and MACD indicator lines. As of today, the price has returned below the key support level of 3.333. The Marlin oscillator has also failed to enter positive territory and is now indicating a potential downward reversal. The nearest target at 3.086 is open. With a high degree of probability, the decline could extend well below this initial target — toward 2.643. On the daily chart, the price held above the 3.333 level for six consecutive sessions, but all attempts to build upward momentum were thwarted by technical resistance from higher …
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Key takeaways The Japanese yen has weakened sharply, losing 3.7% against the USD as markets priced in pro-stimulus expectations from new LDP leader Sanae Takaichi, fuelling the “Takaichi Trade.”Despite short-term JPY weakness, Japan’s consumer confidence continues to improve, supporting the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) gradual rate hike stance.The BoJ’s policy rate curve remains upward trending, signalling gradual monetary tightening into 2026.The US–Japan 10-year yield spread has broken (intraday) below key support at 2.47%, a potential signal for medium-term USD/JPY weakness ahead. In the past three sessions since Monday, 6 October 2025, the Japanese yen has weakened sig…
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Trade Breakdown and Strategy for the British PoundA test of the 1.3436 level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. A second test of the same level while the MACD was in the overbought zone triggered Sell Scenario No. 2 and resulted in a sharp GBP sell-off of more than 50 pips. U.S. economic data continues to point to a slowdown in growth while inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target. Despite this, the Federal Reserve appears committed to supporting the economy, as noted in yesterday's FOMC meeting minutes. This outlook pressured the dollar, giving the pound a small opportunity t…
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Binance Japan has teamed up with PayPay to make it easier for people in the country to use crypto for everyday cashless payments. The partnership was announced on 9 October 2025 and aims to build new services that connect digital assets with PayPay’s payment network, offering users a smoother payment experience. “By integrating cashless payments and cryptocurrency, we will deliver a seamless financial experience to everyone in Japan.” For those who don’t know, PayPay is a joint venture between SoftBank Group and Yahoo Japan. It offers QR code and barcode-based payment services through a smartphone app, allowing users to link their bank accounts or credit cards and make…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Monday, from the level of 1.1621 (the closing price of Friday's daily candle), the market may begin moving downward toward 1.1593 — the 61.8% retracement level (blue dashed line). Upon reaching this level, the price may move upward toward 1.1608 — the historical resistance level (light blue dashed line). Figure 1: Daily Chart Comprehensive Analysis Indicator analysis – downward;Fibonacci levels – downward;Volumes – downward;Candlestick analysis – downward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – downward;Weekly chart – downward.Overall conclusion: downward trend. Alternative Scenario From the level of 1.1621 (closing price of Friday's daily …
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"Bull" markets don't die of old age. They die of fear. Stock markets fear recession more than anything—and the combination of a reignited U.S.–China trade war and cooling labor market is a clear path toward economic decline in the United States. It's no surprise, then, that we've just seen the worst S&P 500 sell-off since America's Liberation Day back in April. Donald Trump threatened to cancel his meeting with Xi Jinping and retaliate against China's tightening of export controls on rare earth minerals, triggering a sharp drop in the broad equity index. Even after trading closed, the U.S. president announced an increase in tariffs to 100%. Although Trump historically…
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House of Doge, the trading arm of the Dogecoin Foundation, has announced a significant merger agreement with Brag House Holdings (TBH), a platform focused on engaging Gen Z at the crossroads of gaming, to list on the Nasdaq. This reverse takeover transaction will see Brag House acquire House of Doge, a move that has received unanimous approval from both companies’ Boards of Directors, also expected to propel Dogecoin’s mainstream adoption. House Of Doge Shares Now Available With this latest move announced on Monday, Dogecoin is now accessible not only to institutional investors but also to retail investors, allowing them to engage in Dogecoin’s projects and future deve…
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The XRP market has witnessed an unexpected shakeup over the past few days, with Open Interest (OI) plunging over 50% in just one weekend. According to data from Coinglass, XRP’s futures open interest dropped to approximately $4.22 billion as of October 14. This sharp decline signals a negative shift in market sentiment, raising the question about whether XRP’s recent price recovery can hold amid shrinking derivatives activity. XRP Open Interest On Exchanges Crashes 50% The data from Coinglass paints a clear picture of massive deleveraging across the XRP futures market. From September until October 10, XRP’s open interest consistently fluctuated between $7 billion and $9…
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First Quantum Minerals (TSX: FM) has pushed back against claims that its La Granja copper project in northern Peru is stalled due to public opposition, calling the allegations outdated and misleading. The comments come in response to a study by GEM Mining Consulting, which suggests the project remains “blocked by public distrust.” First Quantum responded this week, stating La Granja is progressing “decisively and transparently” under strict environmental, social, and governance (ESG) standards. The company noted that GEM’s study relies on community opposition sources that are nearly two decades old and no longer reflect the current state of the project or its rela…
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Solana Price has been ranging for a year and a half, while .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive { border: 1px solid #008868; border-radius: 3px; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive::before { border-bottom: 4px solid #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-price-holder .cwp-coin-…
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The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which reflects the value of the dollar relative to a basket of major world currencies, continued its decline for a second consecutive day, falling below the key 99.00 level. This suggests a possible preparation for further losses in the near term. The weakening of the dollar is primarily due to growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least twice this year — once in October and again in December. An additional factor putting pressure on the currency is the concern that an extended government shutdown may have a negative impact on the broader U.S. economy. On Tuesday, the stopgap funding bill proposed by Republic…
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Ethereum (ETH) is back in the spotlight after Fidelity clients purchased roughly 36,460 ETH ($154.6 million), signaling renewed institutional demand even as spot ETH ETFs logged heavy redemptions. Before stabilizing around $4,100, the second-largest cryptocurrency briefly dipped below $4,000 this week, but several analysts argue the pullback places ETH in a key “buy zone” ahead of a potential push toward new highs. Fidelity Steps In as ETFs See Redemptions Fidelity’s reported buy spotlights a growing trend as traditional finance is steadily increasing exposure to Ethereum’s smart-contract ecosystem, staking yields, and tokenization upside. The move contrasts wi…
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We are assisting at a very mixed picture across different asset classes – Equities are down after the long weekend, the US Dollar is up but correcting from its highs since the ISM Manufacturing PMI report, and Cryptocurrencies are sluggish, but showing signs of rebound. After sending worrying signs throughout the past week of price action, with Bitcoin correcting for the whole past week and Ethereum marking a new record in a weak-looking price action, cryptos are finding a floor with traders bracing for the upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls. Bitcoin has for example marked an intermediate low at around $107,000 at the extreme of its previous ATH support area and rebounding sinc…
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JPMorgan’s US trading desk is cautioning clients that a widely expected Federal Reserve rate cut on September 17 could mark a near-term peak for risk assets rather than a new leg higher—an outcome that would not spare crypto. In a note flagged by desk head Andrew Tyler, the bank writes: “We have concerns that the September 17 Fed meeting which delivers a 25bp cut could turn into a ‘Sell the News’ event as investors pullback to consider macro data, Fed’s reaction function, potentially stretched positioning, a weaker corporate buyback bid, and waning participation from the Retail investor.” The timing matters. The Fed’s next policy meeting runs September 16–17, with a sta…
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German officials thought they had wrapped up one of the biggest crypto cases in the country’s history when they seized and sold nearly 50,000 Bitcoin tied to the piracy platform Movie2K. But a new investigation is raising eyebrows. It turns out there might be another massive stash that was completely overlooked. There Might Be More Where That Came From In early 2024, German police took control of Bitcoin surrendered by Movie2K’s operators. Those coins were auctioned off for nearly $3 billion. At the time, it seemed like a done deal. Now, with Bitcoin’s price way up, those coins would be worth far more. And according to blockchain firm Arkham, that original stash might no…
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[Crude Oil] – [Wednesday, September 10, 2025] With the EMA(50) and EMA(200) forming a Golden Cross and the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish area, this could support a bullish bias for #CL throughout the day. Key Levels Resistance 2: 64.18 Resistance 1: 63.47 Pivot: 62.92 Support 1: 62.21 Support 2: 61.66Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Crude Oil breaks and closes above 63.47, it has the potential to continue strengthening to 64.18. Momentum Extension Bias: If 64.18 is broken and closed above, #CL could further extend gains to 64.73. Level Invalidation / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if #CL weakens, breaks, and closes below 61.66…
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XRP Exchange reserves have surged by 1.2 billion in just a day, presenting a bearish outlook for the XRP price. This development comes as the token looks to hold above the psychological $3 level. XRP Exchange Reserves Increase By 1.2 Billion In Just A Day A CryptoQuant analysis by CryptoOnchain revealed that XRP Exchange reserves jumped by 1.2 billion in a day across four crypto exchanges, with Binance leading the surge. Bithumb, Bybit, and OKX also experienced a major increase in their reserves, a development which CryptoOnchain noted shifted the volume of XRP’s reserves in an unprecedented manner. Binance saw its reserve holdings increase from around 2.928 billion …
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On Friday, the EUR/USD pair consolidated ahead of a new and important week. Quotes remained throughout the day above the 76.4% retracement level at 1.1695, which preserves the prospects of growth toward the resistance zone at 1.1789–1.1802. Thus, on Monday and Tuesday, in the absence of new signals, I expect the uptrend to continue. Likely weak growth, as the news background during these days will be light. A close below 1.1695 would favor the U.S. currency and a decline toward the support zone at 1.1637–1.1645. The wave picture on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave broke the peak of the previous wave, while the last downward wave…
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Gold set a new record this week as traders and investors anticipate more dovish actions from the Federal Reserve, including further rate cuts in the coming months. On Tuesday, the price of gold surpassed Monday's all-time high of about $3,685 per ounce, also supported by the US dollar dropping to its lowest level in over seven weeks. While this week's rate cut is already priced in, the Fed will also release its quarterly economic and rate projections—known as the "dot plot"—and Fed Chair Jerome Powell will hold a press conference after the decision. The latest surge in the precious metal indicates growing uncertainty about global economic stability and rising inflation e…
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Bitcoin price is moving higher above $116,200. BTC is now consolidating and might gain bullish momentum if it clears the $116,850 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $116,000 zone. The price is trading below $116,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a contracting triangle with resistance at $115,750 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $116,850 zone. Bitcoin Price Hits Resistance Bitcoin price started a fresh upward wave above the $114,500 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $115,000 and $115,500 resistance levels. The bulls were…
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Tuesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement. The hourly timeframe clearly shows the formation of a new bullish trend, and on the daily timeframe, the trend of 2025 is officially back in force. There's no point even searching for new reasons behind the dollar's latest fall. None of the four somewhat important reports yesterday had anything to do with the euro's growth. US retail sales and industrial production both exceeded forecasts, which should have caused the pair to fall. However, the global fundamental backdrop continues to exert powerful pressure on the US dollar. From time to time, the dollar does correct,…
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Tuesday Trade Review:1H Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair also traded higher, but in a much calmer and more familiar fashion. The trendline remains relevant, so only further growth of the British pound should be expected, both in the short and long term. Yesterday's UK reports were bland and were clearly not the reason for the pound's rise. US figures beat forecasts, but the market simply ignored them. Today, an important UK inflation report is scheduled for release in about an hour and a half. The Fed meeting is later in the evening, and the Bank of England meets tomorrow. Therefore, volatility over the next 24 hours could be elevated, and we might see a lot of sharp…
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The Dogecoin price recorded one of the most notable recoveries over the weekend, rising by more than 15% to reach the $0.3 target once again. The meme coin has since hit a roadblock with the market correction and continues to decline with the anticipation of the Fed rate cuts coming later in the week. But this has not eroded the bullish sentiment that continues to surround the meme coin and has, in fact, brought about more expectations that the Dogecoin price will soon cross $1. Dogecoin Price Eyes Next Surge To Reach $3.5 Back in 2021, Dogecoin ushered in a new age of cryptocurrency with its meme coin run, allowing room for others like Shiba Inu to shine. After rallying…
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