Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11712 tópicos neste fórum
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According to the latest report, the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC) is no longer opposed to cryptocurrencies and other digital assets, which were previously considered a threat to national security. The cryptocurrency sector has been removed from the annual list of financial risks for the US system compiled by FSOC. Established in the aftermath of the 2008 mortgage crisis that devastated the global economy, FSOC was created as an early warning tool, allowing regulatory leaders to collectively identify emerging hazards. For years, the digital asset industry appeared on this list. It was previously believed that products such as stablecoins and cryptocurrenc…
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The XRP price could be on the verge of a massive crash, as a crypto analyst has identified a key technical pattern in the cryptocurrency’s structure that signals a potentially severe downturn. According to the analyst, this formation has appeared only twice in XRP’s history, and each time has preceded a devastating loss. If the pattern were to repeat, the cryptocurrency could be headed for more pain. The analyst warns traders and investors to stop buying XRP at this time, citing heightened risk. Analyst Advices Against Buying XRP As Price Crash Looms An urgent warning from market analyst Steph is Crypto has spread across the community, as he advises traders and investor…
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Ecuador-focused miner SolGold (LON: SOLG) has opened the door to a takeover from China’s Jiangxi Copper (JCC), which returned with a higher all-cash proposal valuing the company at about £842 million ($1.13 billion). JCC, already SolGold’s largest shareholder with 12.2%, first approached the company in November 23 with a non-binding proposal that was rejected. On November 28, it came back with a 26-pence offer that the board also rebuffed. The latest 28-pence bid marks JCC’s third attempt and lifts the price by 7.7%. SolGold said it would recommend shareholders accept the fresh bid if JCC tables it as a firm offer on those terms. Earlier interest from BHP (A…
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei 1.4% Up, Asian Shares Higher Most Read: The Fed cuts rates by 25 bps to 3.75% – Market Reactions The Nikkei rose on Friday, marking its third consecutive weekly gain. This positive performance was driven by the optimistic mood on Wall Street, which is benefiting from the period between two major central bank meetings. The Nikkei 225 index closed 1.4% higher at 50,836.55, achieving 0.7% gain for the week. The broader Topix index climbed even more, rising 2% to reach a record closing high of 3,423.83.However, the technology sector did not fully participate in the rally. Despite a recent surge due to excitement over artificial intelligence, these…
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Crypto pundit NoLimit has explained why the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices have been dumping recently. He specifically raised claims of manipulation, with these crypto prices recording gains and then fully retracing those gains. In an X post, No Limit stated that the Bitcoin price is dumping because Binance is buying and that Coinbase is dumping a large amount of BTC. The Bitcoin decline has also sparked declines for the Ethereum and Dogecoin prices, which are known to mirror the flagship crypto. Meanwhile, the crypto pundit raised claims of BTC being manipulated. Pundit Explains What Is Happening With The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Prices NoLimit pointed…
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While the Fed continues lowering interest rates, the Bank of Japan will likely resume cutting its own rates — something the regulator's chairman, Kazuo Ueda, hinted at quite explicitly. Previously, the Japanese central bank had taken measures aimed at gradually tightening monetary policy. But with the arrival of the new Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, the tightening process essentially halted, as she expressed the opposite view — that monetary policy should be eased. This led to a weakening of the yen against the dollar, despite the fact that the Fed resumed rate cuts this year. Now, given the current situation in both the global and national (Japanese) economies and the …
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On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement and consolidated above the 38.2% corrective level at 1.1718. Thus, the rise of the European currency may continue today toward the next Fibonacci level at 23.6% — 1.1795. A consolidation of the price below 1.1718 will work in favor of the U.S. dollar and trigger a decline toward the support level of 1.1645–1.1656. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The most recent completed downward wave did not break the low of the previous wave, while the most recent upward wave (still forming) broke the previous high. Therefore, the trend has officially turned "bullish." It can hardly be called…
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Do Kwon, the South Korean co-founder of Terraform Labs, was sentenced to 15 years in prison on December 11, 2025 in a Manhattan federal court after pleading guilty to fraud tied to the collapse of the TerraUSD stablecoin and its sister token, Luna. According to court documents and news reports, the judge described the scheme as a massive fraud that left thousands of investors facing heavy losses. Sentence And Court Ruling Judge Paul A. Engelmayer handed down the 15-year term after prosecutors urged for a sentence of up to 12 years and the defense asked for a much lighter term. Do Kwon pleaded guilty in August 2025 to conspiracy to defraud and wire fraud, and as part o…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Thursday rebounded from the support level of 1.3352–1.3362, turned in favor of the pound, and rose to the 1.3425 level. A rebound from this level worked in favor of the U.S. dollar, resulting in a slight decline. Today, another rebound from the 1.3352–1.3362 level will again allow us to expect growth toward 1.3425, while a close below this zone will increase the likelihood of continued decline toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.3294. The wave structure shifted into a "bullish" configuration two weeks ago. The most recent completed upward wave broke the previous high, and the latest downward wave failed to break the previous lo…
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Bitcoin continues to demonstrate stability, bouncing back excellently from the $90,000 level and returning to the vicinity of $93,000. Ethereum also remains above $3,000, maintaining fairly positive upward prospects. Meanwhile, a positive development for the market has come from SEC Chairman Gary Gensler, who announced that US financial markets are actively transitioning to on-chain systems. Against this backdrop, the regulator is prioritizing innovation and the implementation of new technologies to ensure an on-chain future. This statement is undoubtedly seen as a sign of support from the regulator, which could attract more institutional investors who were previously …
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Anthony Scaramucci showed up to Solana Breakpoint in Abu Dhabi wearing a tie — a small act of rebellion in a sea of hoodies — and then proceeded to make a much bigger one on stage: Solana is going to “flip” Ethereum. Scaramucci’s Solana Prediction Not in the Twitter-war, zero-sum, “ETH is dead” kind of way. More like: same league, different growth curve, and Solana ends up with the bigger market cap. “I think it will flip Ethereum, but that doesn’t mean Ethereum’s going down or anything like that. I think there’s going to be market share for Ethereum. I think they could both grow, but I think from a market capitalization perspective, I think Solana will end up growing fa…
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Friday, from the 1.3383 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may continue moving upward with a target of 1.3451 — the 61.8% retracement level (blue dashed line). When this level is tested, a corrective downward move is possible with a target of 1.3437 — the upper fractal (daily candle from December 11, 2025). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolume – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario: From the 1.3383 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the …
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The crypto market started the day with three stories dominating the headlines: Do Kwon 15 years sentence, the new YouTube PayPal stablecoin payout option, and the bullish Bitcoin price after a depressing few weeks. These tidings intersect more than people think. Sentiment, regulation, and tech adoption all move markets. Do Kwon’s confirmed 15 years sentence closes a long chapter that began with the 2022 Terra Luna collapse, a $40 billion meltdown many still consider the black swan event of that cycle. His punishment is somehow lighter than Sam Bankman-Fried’s 25-year term, and there are reasons for it. This follows Google Cloud’s earlier acceptance of PYUSD, a good …
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Trend Analysis (Fig. 1) On Friday, from the 1.1737 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the market may begin moving downward toward the target of 1.1719 — the 14.6% retracement level (red dashed line). When this level is tested, a corrective upward move may occur with a target of 1.1762 — the upper fractal (red dashed line). Fig. 1 (Daily Chart) Comprehensive Analysis: Indicator analysis – upwardFibonacci levels – upwardVolume – upwardCandlestick analysis – upwardTrend analysis – upwardBollinger Bands – upwardWeekly chart – upwardOverall conclusion: upward trend. Alternative scenario:Today, from the 1.1737 level (yesterday's daily candle close), the price may begin …
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According to the data, in September of this year, the U.S. trade deficit unexpectedly fell to its lowest level since mid-2020. This happened thanks to a sharp increase in exports. The Commerce Department report states that the trade deficit in goods and services shrank by nearly 11% compared to the previous month, reaching $52.8 billion. Economists' average estimate had projected a deficit of $63.1 billion. U.S. exports rose by 3%, reaching the second-highest level on record, driven by shipments of gold and pharmaceuticals. Imports increased more modestly—by 0.6%. Taking into account the data for all three months, net exports likely made a fairly strong contribution to G…
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Yesterday, stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.21%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.25%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged by 1.34%. Global stock indices reached new records as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut this week and its optimistic assessment of the US economy boosted investor sentiment. The MSCI All Country World Index, one of the broadest indicators of the stock market, increased by 0.2% after closing at a historic high in the previous session. The S&P 500 also hit a new weekly peak, while the volatility index (VIX) declined to a three-month low. The MSCI Asian stock index surged by 1.3%, nearing its highest level in a month. …
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In finance, there's a saying that a sacred place is never empty. The rotation of securities in investment portfolios is leading to mixed dynamics in stock indices. The Nasdaq Composite is declining, the S&P 500 is inching towards record highs, while the Dow Jones is exhibiting its best performance relative to the S&P 500 since January. Interest in yesterday's leaders is rapidly dwindling, and laggards are transforming from ugly ducklings into beautiful swans. While women are fighting, it's best not to get involved in the brawl. This is also true for technology companies. In November, Google announced its powerful AI model, Gemini 3, which outperformed the latest …
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Meanwhile, the European currency is rising, and more economists are predicting that the next move in the eurozone will indeed be an interest rate increase by the European Central Bank. This aligns with the views of influential board member Isabel Schnabel. According to a survey, over 60% of respondents believe that officials are more likely to raise borrowing costs rather than lower them. However, they do not expect this to happen anytime soon; it is projected that the deposit rate will remain at 2% for the next two years. On the one hand, rising rates may help contain inflation—which the ECB currently seems to have under control—but on the other hand, they pose risks of…
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Bitcoin faced some challenges around $89,000 yesterday but recovered well to the $93,000 level, around which trading is currently taking place. Ethereum also showed growth in the afternoon, firmly establishing itself above the $3,200 mark. At the same time, according to CoinGecko data, publicly traded companies that are actively buying Bitcoin now hold over 5% of its total supply on their balance sheets. Notably, the company Strategy holds a full 3%. This trend, gaining momentum over the past few years, indicates increasing recognition of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class and a means of storing value. The significant increase in the share of Bitcoin controlled by publi…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese YenThe test of the price level at 155.74 coincided with the MACD indicator moving significantly below the zero mark, limiting the pair's downside potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar and missed out on all the downward movement. The Japanese yen strengthened against the US dollar yesterday after data showed that the weekly number of initial jobless claims in the United States exceeded economists' forecasts. The released data caused the dollar to weaken, as investors interpreted this as yet another signal of cooling in the US labor market. This, in turn, may affect the Federal Reserve's future interest rate d…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the British PoundThe test of the price level at 1.3385 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, limiting the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound and missed out on all the upward movement. News that the weekly number of initial jobless claims in the United States was higher than expected led to a decline in the dollar and a rise in the British pound in the afternoon. The US labor market continues to show signs of cooling, which increases investors' expectations regarding further easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. This factor puts pressure on the dollar, mak…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Euro CurrencyThe test of the price level at 1.1715 occurred when the MACD indicator had moved significantly above the zero mark, limiting the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. Contrary to analysts' expectations, the number of new jobless claims in the United States exceeded forecasted figures. This situation led to a decline in the value of the US currency and a strengthening of the euro's position. Today, market participants will focus on the consumer price index reports from leading Eurozone countries. Special attention will be paid to the German inflation data release. Unexpected deviations from fo…
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The dollar continues to face issues. As statistics indicate, the number of initial jobless claims in the US has sharply increased, exceeding economists' forecasts, leading to another decline of the dollar against several risk assets. Although this news was not particularly new to the Federal Reserve or market participants, who are well aware of the challenges currently facing the US labor market, it has negatively impacted those betting on a short-term rise in the dollar. Economists link the increase in unemployment benefit claims to a slowdown in the American economy's growth rate, which, in turn, puts pressure on the Fed. Conversely, Europe is experiencing relative stab…
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On Thursday, Bitcoin (BTC) once again fell below the critical $90,000 mark, even after what many had anticipated to be a bullish event stemming from the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) decision to cut rates by a quarter point. Analysts from Bull Theory note several factors contributing to this unexpected downturn. Bitcoin Sell-Off Amid Market Unease The analysts pointed out that the rate cut itself was largely anticipated by investors weeks prior, with a 95% probability already priced into the market. Ahead of the announcement, they identified that many positioned themselves in expectation of some form of liquidity support from the Fed, leading to a rally in Bitcoin prices.…
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[Litecoin] The EMA(50) which positioned below the EMA(200) forming a Death Cross, along with the appearance of a Bearish Divergence on the RSI(14), confirms that today Litecoin has the potential to continue its bearish bias. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 88.05 2. Resistance. 1 : 85.64 3. Pivot : 82.97 4. Support. 1 : 80.56 5. Support. 2 : 77.89 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of Litecoin breaks down below 80.56, it has the potential to test the 77.89 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 77.89 is broken, there is potential for it to move to 75.48. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is contained if the price of Litecoin …
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