Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12214 tópicos neste fórum
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Ripple has once again caught headlines after quietly transferring 15 million XRP tokens just hours after securing a legal win against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The transaction, recorded on Ledger #98,741,614, carried a negligible fee of 0.000015 XRP, showcasing the network’s efficiency. While Ripple has not provided an official statement, analysts suggest the move could be tied to liquidity preparation for exchanges, settlement mechanisms, or the expansion of Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) corridors. The timing, so close to its courtroom victory, has fueled speculation that Ripple is positioning itself for a new phase of institutional adop…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In addition to financial losses, the U.S. has already suffered reputational damage either way. What happens with trade agreements worth hundreds of billions of dollars that have been signed? After all, these also involve specific tariffs. What about retaliatory tariffs? Donald Trump "stirred the pot," but how to "clean up the mess" remains entirely unclear. In the 1974 Act (IEEPA), there really are no references to the president having the authority to enact trade measures unilaterally. However, it is essential to recognize that America, like many countries worldwide, faces issues that cannot always be resolved legally or fairly. For example, some economists have noted th…
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The American tariff drama continues and is only gaining momentum. To recap: several months ago, twelve Democratic governors filed a lawsuit in the International Trade Court against Donald Trump, arguing that the U.S. president does not have the right to impose trade tariffs against entire industries or specific countries. The Trade Court upheld the Democrats' claim, declared Trump's actions illegal, but left the tariffs in place, shifting responsibility for lifting them to the Court of Appeals — where Trump immediately filed an appeal. Some time later, the Appeals Court delivered a similar verdict: Trump's tariffs (with some exceptions) are illegal, and the 1974 Emergency…
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On September 11th – that is, on Thursday – the next meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB) will take place, and the central bank is widely expected to leave all monetary policy settings unchanged. This is the base case and the most anticipated scenario, so its realization won't trigger volatility in the EUR/USD pair. Still, this doesn't mean the September meeting is just a formality. The real intrigue concerns the ECB's future actions: Will the central bank consider its easing cycle complete, or are further rate cuts still on the table? Let's first analyze the general macroeconomic picture in the Eurozone. In short, we are seeing weak but still positive economic gr…
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There's no defense against a crowbar—except another crowbar. The return of financial markets to a world ruled by raw power has pushed EUR/USD below 1.17. Geopolitical risks continue to plague the Eurozone economy. They create uncertainty, and rising oil prices are particularly unwelcome for a region that imports most of its "black gold." Add to this the threat of snap elections in France, and the drop in the main currency pair ahead of US inflation data seemed logical. However, the US PPI data dampened the mood for the US dollar. If Moscow is not prepared to sit down at the negotiation table with Kyiv, Washington is ready for economic war. For this, it needs the support o…
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Toncoin and Quant are two altcoins that have witnessed a surge in whale transactions recently, something that could foreshadow volatility for their prices. Toncoin & Quant Have Seen A Spike In Whale Transaction Count In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the Whale Transaction Count for two altcoins: Toncoin (TON) and Quant (QNT). This indicator measures the total amount of transfers occurring on a given network that are carrying a value of more than $100,000. Generally, only the big-money investors or “whales” are capable of making transfers this large, so the metric’s value is considered to correspond to the acti…
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Beaver Creek, Colorado – The single biggest driver of returns now isn’t what’s in the rock, it’s what’s on the books, a panel heard on Tuesday at the Precious Metals Summit in Beaver Creek, Colorado. Permitting timelines, disclosure discipline and where the world’s metals are refined are set to be the gatekeepers to industry success. Moderator Anthony Vaccaro, president of The Northern Miner Group, framed the discussion against a backdrop of record bullion, fragile geopolitics and a scramble for “strategic” metals. The panel featuring hedge fund manager Warren Irwin, Bear Creek Mining (TSXV: BCM) chair Catherine McLeod-Seltzer, and CEO Jonathan Goodman of financier Du…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for September 10 Tensions around the world keep increasing, with Russia sending 19 drones overnight to attack Poland from Belarus. A consequent diplomatic shower followed with the usual condemnations. However, what attracted attention was the "Here we go" post from US President Trump, awakening Markets, particularly in the precedingly dormant US Oil. A popular American conservative activist, Charlie Kirk, was also tragically shot at a rally in another round of political madness. Between a revolution in Nepal and France going through gigantic protests against French President Macron, economic uncertainty and a flood …
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Gold prices are holding in and around the $3650/oz handle. The precious metal is benefitting from the perfect combination of political uncertainty, geopolitical risk and of course Fed rate cut bets. Russia Conflict Sees Nato Trigger Article 4... What Next? On Wednesday, Poland, with help from its NATO allies, shot down what they believed to be Russian drones that had entered Polish airspace. This is the first time a NATO country has fired shots during the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Poland's Prime Minister, Donald Tusk, told parliament that this was "the closest we have been to open conflict since World War Two." However, he also added that he doesn't beli…
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Avalanche (AVAX) has been riding a wave of optimism as bulls push for a breakout above the crucial $27–$28 resistance zone. Currently, AVAX trades just above $26.5, marking its fourth consecutive day of gains. The move comes as Ava Labs strengthens its ecosystem with two high-profile partnerships: an MoU with Korean firm WeBlock to expand real-world asset (RWA) tokenization and a collaboration with Toyota Blockchain Lab on mobility infrastructure. Strategic Partnerships Drive Real-World Adoption for Avalanche The WeBlock deal is set to introduce regulation-compliant tokenized products and a new stablecoin pilot in South Korea. Meanwhile, the Toyota partnership aims…
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XRP has entered a shocking new phase of development, with reports confirming its ledger’s use in debt tokenization. This development comes when the United States (US) faces a multitrillion-dollar debt problem, drawing attention to the XRP Ledger’s (XRPL) potential role in modernizing how debt is managed and settled on a larger scale. As adoption for XRPL accelerates, its integration into debt-related infrastructure highlights how blockchain technology is beginning to intersect with the world’s largest financial challenges. XRP Ledger: A Potential National Debt Solution Crypto analyst SMQKE has alerted the crypto community to a shocking World Economic Forum (WEF) report,…
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Log in to our mid-week North American Markets overview, where we examine the current themes in North America and provide an overview of indices and currency performances. This week, some data dampened the economic outlook for both the US and Canada. The past four months didn't show much in that aspect, and participants started to believe that tariffs wouldn't influence activity that much. However, it seems that the markets were too optimistic for North America. August gave a first warning sign, with the US Non-Farm Payrolls showing the first crack in the labor market, which was confirmed by last Friday's report. Canada is also struggling with a regressing GDP in the se…
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A Bitcoin farm in Missouri is cooking up a rare stew: ranching, Bitcoin, and a freedom-driven community. At the center of it is Ryan Cooper — a rancher, libertarian political candidate, and community builder who has become one of the key figures driving the orange signal forward in St. Francois County. I had the chance to sit down with Ryan for a full-length conversation, which turned into an hour-long YouTube interview. In it, he opens up about his path to Bitcoin, his faith, his family, and the vision he has for the ranch. It’s well worth a listen for anyone curious how grassroots sovereignty really works in practice. link to youtube From Politics to Pastures Ryan …
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The PPI report time for August 2025 is scheduled to be released on Wednesday, September 10, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. Cassandra’s curse. Analysts expect CPI and PPI to be hot, and institutions could unload their bags onto retail in the aftermath. It will be a brief but brutal drop that will shake off a lot of weak hands. Here’s what to know: DISCOVER: 20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025 PPI Report Time: Will Inflation Be a Dealbreaker for Fed Cuts? The most impactful releases this week will be the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Wednesday and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Thursday. Both reports will test whether Trump’s tariffs are pressuring the Fed to cut…
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Ethereum has recently come under selling pressure, pausing the relentless bullish momentum that earlier this year pushed ETH to fresh all-time highs. After an aggressive impulse that began in April, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is now showing signs of fatigue, with analysts debating whether this is simply a healthy correction or the early stages of a deeper pullback. For some, the cooldown is a natural breather after months of parabolic growth, giving the market a chance to reset before its next leg higher. However, the risks of an extended correction are mounting, especially as investors reassess valuations across the broader crypto landsca…
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What’s the Difference Between Pre-Tax and Post-Tax Retirement Withdrawals? Executive Summary: The main divide in pre-tax vs post-tax retirement withdrawals comes down to when you pay taxes. Pre-tax accounts delay taxes until you withdraw money in retirement, often forcing taxable distributions at age 73. Post-tax accounts, like Roth IRAs, tax your contributions upfront, but qualified withdrawals can be tax-free for life. Choosing between them—or better yet, balancing both—shapes how much income you keep after taxes, how you manage Medicare and Social Security, and how much you leave to heirs. Why This Question Matters Retirement savings are not just about how much you …
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Ariana Resources (AIM: AAU) (ASX: AA2) officially entered the Australian capital markets on Wednesday with an A$11 million ($7.3m) capital raise. About 39.2 million Chess Depositary Interests, each representing 10 underlying shares of the company, were sold in its ASX debut a price of A$0.28 per CDI. The dual-listing, the London-based gold miner says, would help raise the profile of the company, in particular its 100%-owned Dokwe project in Zimbabwe, with the benefit of an extended shareholder base and enhanced liquidity. “Gold companies listed on the ASX have attracted significant investor interest of late. As such, we believe that the listing will help enable th…
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The wave pattern for GBP/USD continues to point to the formation of a bullish impulsive wave structure. The wave picture is almost identical to that of EUR/USD, since the only "culprit" remains the dollar. Demand for the dollar is falling across the market (in the medium term), which is why many instruments show almost the same dynamics. At this stage, wave 4 is likely complete. If so, the rise of the instrument will continue within the framework of impulsive wave 5. Wave 4 could take on a five-wave form, but this is not the most likely scenario. It should be remembered that much on the currency market now depends on Donald Trump's policies—not only trade-related ones. Fr…
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The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has remained unchanged for several months, which is encouraging. Even when corrective waves form, the overall structure is preserved. This allows for accurate forecasts. It should be noted that the wave pattern does not always look textbook-like. At present, however, it looks very clear. The formation of the upward trend segment continues, while the news background continues to support mostly not the dollar. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. Market "dovish" expectations are growing. Trump's "One Big Law" will add 3 trillion dollars to the U.S. national debt, and the…
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The USD/CHF pair is struggling to maintain its recovery momentum after bouncing from 0.7915 — the lowest level since July 23 — balancing between moderate gains and minor losses. Prices remain below the psychological level of 0.8000, as market participants exercise caution ahead of key U.S. inflation data that could provide a notable impulse for the pair. During the North American session today, U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data will be released, followed by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) tomorrow. Since the market has already priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve at its upcoming meeting, these indicators will significantly shape expectations regard…
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Today, Wednesday, the GBP/JPY pair halted its pullback from 200.35, showing a solid intraday recovery from the weekly low recorded on Tuesday. The British pound continues to demonstrate relative strength against the Japanese yen, supported by the declining likelihood of an immediate rate cut by the Bank of England. At the same time, the yen is under pressure, as domestic political uncertainty in Japan temporarily complicates the normalization of the Bank of Japan's monetary policy. A generally positive market risk sentiment is also fueling growth in the GBP/JPY rate. However, persistent geopolitical risks and trade-related uncertainty may limit deeper weakening of the yen…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade review and tips for trading the Japanese yen The levels I indicated were not tested during the first half of the day. Low market volatility ahead of key data discouraged traders from acting more actively. This afternoon, August U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data will be released, including both the headline index and the version excluding volatile categories such as food and energy. A report on changes in wholesale inventories will also be published. These reports will serve as key indicators of inflationary trends in the U.S. economy and will strongly influence the Federal Reserve's next steps in monetary policy. Particular attention is paid to the core PPI, as i…
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Gold, after reaching its high around 3,674 and its low at 3,619, made a technical correction to 61.8%, around 3,657. On the H4 chart, we see that gold is resuming its bearish cycle. However, we should expect the price to consolidate below 3,340, then we could see a continuation of the bearish movement that could reach the 8/8 Murray at 3,593. On the other hand, if the gold price consolidates below 3,660 and above 3,640, there will be an opportunity to buy and sell in this range. With a breakout of consolidation above 3,660, we could see the price return to the 3,671 level. It could even reach the key level of $3,700. The H1 chart is showing signs of oversold status, so th…
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Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The test of 1.3527 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved well below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. The absence of U.K. statistics predictably put pressure on the pound in the first half of the day, but it did not lead to a larger correction of the pair. Investors remain in a wait-and-see mode, assessing the prospects of further moves by the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve on interest rates. Expectations regarding a possible rate cut at the upcoming meeting remain fairly muted, which supports the British currency. Technical analysis shows that GBP/USD cont…
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The euro is trading around 1.1727, below the 21SMA, and within the uptrend channel formed on August 25. The euro has encountered strong resistance around the +1/8 Murray level at 1.1775, and from that level, we are seeing a technical correction. EUR/USD is likely to continue falling in the coming days if the price consolidates below the 200 EMA at 1.1657. On the other hand, if the euro consolidates above 1.1730, the instrument could resume the bullish cycle and reach 1.1779 or even +2/8 Murray at 1.1840. A sharp break of the uptrend channel and a decline below 7/8 Murray could signal a bearish acceleration. Hence, a short-term decline to 4/8 Murray at 1.1474 is expected. …
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