Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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CryptoQuant’s research head has pointed out how demand to absorb Bitcoin at higher prices has been low recently, potentially explaining the asset’s decline. Bitcoin Apparent Demand Metric Has Turned Red Recently In a new post on X, Julio Moreno, head of research at on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant, has looked at recent BTC market dynamics from a different angle. “Instead of looking at Bitcoin long-term holder distribution/spending, I like to look at the other side of the trade,” noted Moreno. Long-term holders here refer to the BTC investors who have been holding onto their coins for a period longer than 155 days. This cohort is considered to include the high-convic…
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Ethereum is attempting to regain stability after the sharp selloff on Tuesday that sent its price plunging below $3,100. The drop triggered widespread liquidations across the crypto market, with ETH briefly touching multi-week lows before finding support. As of today, bulls are trying to reclaim the $3,350 level, a short-term resistance zone that could determine whether the asset stages a broader recovery or faces another leg down. Despite the volatility, on-chain data reveals a different story beneath the surface. Large investors — often referred to as whales — have continued to accumulate ETH, signaling long-term confidence in the network’s fundamentals. Their steady …
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The dollar fell sharply after ADP Research, quite unexpectedly, reported on Tuesday that American companies were, on average, cutting 11,250 jobs per week in October of this year. This indicates that the labor market in the second half of October returned to job losses compared to the beginning of the month. According to the latest monthly ADP report published last week, the number of private-sector jobs in October increased by 42,000 after declines in the previous two months. The new data came after several companies announced plans to reduce staff in recent weeks. According to a report from employment firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc., employers announced the …
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Cryptocurrencies are once again enduring a brutal selloff. With Bitcoin breaching its recent lows, currently below $87,000, we are witnessing a massive wave of profit-taking that is dragging the broader market down with it. Many altcoins have shed 50% to 70% of their value—or worse in the most volatile cases—with major names like Solana down roughly 48% from its highs. zoom_out_map Daily overview of the Crypto Market (15:39 ET), November 20, 2025 – Source: Fin…
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Bitcoin price started another decline below $88,000. BTC is now attempting to recover and might face hurdles near the $89,500 zone. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below $90,000 and $88,000. The price is trading below $89,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $89,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $85,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Attempts Recovery Bitcoin price failed to stay in a positive zone above the $90,000 level. BTC bears remained active below $88,000 and pushed the price lower. The bears gained strength and …
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Several entry points into the market were formed yesterday. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened. In my morning forecast, I highlighted the 1.3087 level and planned to make decisions based on it. The decline and formation of a false breakout around 1.3087 led to a buy entry for the pound, resulting in a 20-pip increase. In the afternoon, the situation around the level of 1.3087 repeated itself, leading to a recovery in the pair of more than 30 pips. To open long positions on GBP/USD: The lack of U.S. data negatively affected the dollar against the British pound. But now all eyes are on the UK's new budget, which will be presented tomorrow, so it is …
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Today, the price of the precious metal is holding near yesterday's closing high as traders assess the increased likelihood of a December interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve following dovish statements by policymakers. The latest surge in gold prices was driven by rising expectations of a rate cut, and U.S. economic data released with a delay on Tuesday further reinforced these expectations. New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said on Friday that he is confident rates can be lowered soon without jeopardizing the central bank's inflation target. In turn, Fed Governor Christopher Waller noted on Monday that labor market conditions are soft enough to justify…
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The GBP/JPY pair has attracted some intraday sellers after rising during the Asian session to resistance at 207.20 — a new high since July 2024. However, the decline does not look bearish: current prices remain above support at 206.40 and have been showing an upward trend for the third week in a row. This morning, Tokyo inflation data was released, showing that inflation remains high. This confirms that the Bank of Japan may raise rates in December. Moreover, investors should remain alert amid speculation that Japanese authorities are ready to intervene to stop the yen's decline. All of this supports the Japanese currency and restrains the growth of the GBP/JPY pair. On t…
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Since the panicked sell-off at the beginning of this week, where major cryptocurrencies saw massive declines, including Bitcoin (BTC) that slid from $91,000 to $85,000 in a few hours, today, the broader crypto market has stabilized and bounced back. During the early trading hours today, .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-graph-container.positive svg path:nth-of-type(2) { stroke: #008868 !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-trend.positive { color: #008868 !important; background-color: transparent !important; } .cwp-coin-widget-container .cwp-coin-popup-holder .cwp-coin-trend.positive…
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Cardano (ADA) edged higher to $0.70 (+2.2%) on Wednesday as on-chain data showed large holders buying the dip. Whale and mid-tier wallets snapped up roughly 200 million ADA over 48 hours, about $140 million at recent prices, after last week’s volatility knocked the market lower. The build-up comes as the project readies the Cardano Summit in Berlin (Nov. 12–13), adding a fresh narrative tailwind into Q4. Whales Scoop ADA as Selling Pressure Cools Analytics platforms tracking address cohorts report renewed accumulation, with 10–100million ADA and over 1 billion ADA wallets expanding balances. Similarly, network “spent coin” metrics declined by 51%, suggesting fewer c…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed mixed. The S&P 500 rose by 0.40%, and the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.46%. The industrial Dow Jones edged down by 0.04%. Asian indices advanced as investors shifted their attention back to technology sector plays following a week largely dominated by the threat of a US-China trade war. The MSCI regional index climbed by 1.1%, supported by solid gains in South Korea, Japan, and Australia. This was partly driven by renewed interest in tech stocks after Dutch chipmaker ASML Holding NV reported earnings on Wednesday. The report added optimism that the artificial intelligence boom can still have a lasting impact on corporate profitability. Gol…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair continued its upward movement on Wednesday and reached the new resistance level of 1.3425–1.3431. A rebound of quotes from this zone will favor the U.S. dollar and lead to a moderate decline toward the support level of 1.3357–1.3360. A firm breakout above 1.3425–1.3431 would increase the likelihood of further growth toward the next 50.0% retracement level at 1.3487. The wave structure turned "bullish" in almost a single day. The last completed downward wave broke the previous low, but the most recent upward wave broke the previous high. The news background in recent weeks has been negative for the U.S. dollar, yet bullish traders h…
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EUR/USD 5-Minute Chart Analysis On Thursday, the EUR/USD currency pair showed a volatility of about 40 pips. There were no movements throughout the day, offering nothing to trade. There were also no significant events in either the Eurozone or the U.S. As for Christine Lagarde's speeches, they no longer qualify as market-moving events. Over the last three weeks, Lagarde has spoken around ten times. Her message has been consistent: the European Central Bank sees no reason to change its monetary policy in the near future. Accordingly, traders had no reason to react, and no new impulses appeared. Still, the pair maintained its newly formed upward trend, did not retreat, …
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Investors rely on private data (ADP, ISM, Conference Board), but correlations with official figures are weak.Alternative indicators suggest slower hiring, not a collapse.The Fed is likely to stay cautious with future rate cuts. The third week of the partial shutdown of the U.S. federal government is increasingly disrupting access to official economic data. The suspension of key reports makes it more difficult for the Federal Reserve to assess the economic situation as it prepares for the upcoming FOMC meeting scheduled for October 28–29. In this environment, investors and analysts are attempting to replace government statistics with private-sector indicators — though t…
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A potential XRP supply squeeze may be brewing, and new insights from leading market watchers suggest that the impact on price could be significant. Crypto analyst Zach Rector has warned that the long-dismissed ”XRP supply shock” narrative is no longer just talk. As more XRP is locked, tokenized, and deployed in Decentralized Finance (DeFi) ecosystems, the available supply continues to tighten. XRP Supply Shock To Evolve From Meme To Market Reality Crypto analyst Zach Rector ignited discussions about XRP’s circulating supply this week after posting on X social media that the “XRP supply shock is not just a meme anymore.” Rector explained that while the concept once seeme…
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Bitcoin (BTC) continues to lose momentum, as the flagship cryptocurrency fell to $103,528 earlier today amid an increasingly uncertain global macroeconomic outlook. Fresh data from Binance suggests that BTC is currently undergoing a critical transition phase within its price cycle. Bitcoin Fall Continues – When Will Bloodbath End? According to a CryptoQuant QuickTake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin is currently undergoing an important transition phase within its market cycle. The Bitcoin Cycle Phase Score recently entered negative territory, in tandem with a decline in BTC’s price from $124,000 to around $107,000 within 24 hours. The Cycle Phase Score combines …
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Cardano (ADA) fell roughly 27% this week, slipping below the $0.66 support as risk-off flows hit crypto. Bitcoin’s slide toward $104,000 and softer altcoin liquidity magnified downside, and on-chain data shows large holders leaning defensive. Whale Flows Split as ADA Loses Support Santiment-tracked wallets holding 1–10 million ADA offloaded about 40 million ADA over seven days, while broader whale distribution reportedly reached 350 million ADA, pressuring price. other big wallets accumulated 140–200 million ADA, creating a split tape that’s fueling choppy consolidation between $0.65–$0.70. Derivatives add to the cautious tone. Cardano’s open interest slipped 2.12% to …
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Bitcoin price has continued to hover in the range of $106,000-$108,000 over the last 24 hours. The premier cryptocurrency is presently displaying some stability following another volatile trading week, which produced a 3.41% price loss. Notably, Bitcoin’s movement amid this corrective phase has triggered an interesting on-chain signal with bullish implications. Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Go Underwater, But Historical Data Reads Bullish Signs In an X post on October 18, popular market analyst, Ali Martinez, shares an important on-chain development. Amid the recent price decline, Martinez notes that Bitcoin slipped below its short-term holders’ (STH) realized price, crea…
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Friday Trade Review:1-Hour Chart of GBP/USD The GBP/USD pair showed a slight downward movement on Friday amidst easing tensions between China and the United States. It is also worth noting that over the weekend, the United States witnessed its third protest against Donald Trump's immigration and trade policies, with this one being the largest by far. Demonstrations took place in more than 2,600 cities across America, and not all of them were peaceful or orderly. As we can see, America is rebelling against Donald Trump, which is quite logical considering both his foreign and domestic policies. Consequently, we continue to believe that with Trump at the helm, America is…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the Japanese Yen The price test at 150.74 in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving upward from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for buying the dollar — but a significant rally never materialized. During the U.S. session, only the Leading Economic Index will be released, so we are unlikely to see any major shifts in the USD/JPY pair. Therefore, it's better to focus on new Trump statements regarding the resolution of the U.S.–China trade conflict. However, it's also important to remember that the Leading Economic Index is essentially a barometer of the U.S. economy. It aggregate…
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Bitcoin is staging a modest rebound after several days of intense selling pressure and fear across the market. The leading cryptocurrency has struggled to establish stable support, with volatile swings making it difficult for traders to navigate. Despite the uncertainty, some market participants continue to move strategically — and one of the most well-known whales has just made a big return. The trader known as BitcoinOG (1011short) — who gained fame for earning over $197 million during last week’s flash crash — is back in action. On-chain data shows that he has deposited $30 million in USDC to Hyperliquid and opened a 10x short position on 700 BTC, worth roughly $75.5…
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The USD/CAD pair has been trading within a clearly defined upward trend for five consecutive weeks. Key drivers include the dovish stance of the Bank of Canada, softness in the oil market, decelerating inflation, and a mixed labor market landscape in Canada. The start of the pair's current upward momentum can be traced back to the Bank of Canada's September meeting, where the central bank cut the interest rate by 25 basis points. Policymakers expressed concern over the slowing economy: GDP decreased by 1.6% year-over-year (vs. a forecasted 0.6% contraction). This marks the weakest reading in four years, since Q2 2021, when Canada's economy shrank by 3.2%. Multiple macr…
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The topic of a fresh round of confrontation between China and the United States has been discussed endlessly—yet there's simply no other issue commanding more attention in the market at the moment. As I've said numerous times before, the biggest problem is the lack of clarity. Market participants have no idea what kind of developments to expect. The "trade truce" between China and the U.S. is set to expire on November 10. I use quotation marks intentionally, because in reality, there is no truce. Journalists were quick to label the reciprocal reduction in tariffs a "ceasefire." But by late October, can anyone honestly speak of peace between Beijing and Washington? This tr…
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Throughout the day, the yen failed to meet expectations for intraday gains relative to a softer U.S. dollar, as market participants focused on Japan's evolving political landscape. According to the Kyodo news agency, the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Innovation Party (Ishin) are planning to form a coalition. As part of this new alliance, a parliamentary vote will be held on Tuesday to confirm Sanae Takaichi as Japan's first female prime minister. Takaichi supports the economic policies of her predecessor, Shinzo Abe, which include large-scale fiscal spending and monetary stimulus to support economic growth. She is expected to oppose further tightening by the Bank…
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Macroeconomic Report Overview: No macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Monday. As such, traders are once again left to monitor comments from Donald Trump. However, the market has recently been largely indifferent to the U.S. President's remarks. Even speeches by central bank officials are currently having little impact, as markets already have a clear understanding of what to expect from monetary policymakers in the near future. The only moderate area of uncertainty lies in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook, but even that remains relatively limited. Fundamental Event Overview: Very few fundamental events are scheduled for Tuesday, and nearly…
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