Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12343 tópicos neste fórum
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Log in to today’s North American session Recap for June 16. The G7 meeting is advancing and the Iran-Israel conflict is still making headlines. There has been news of advanced US-Canada and US-UK trade talks as the G7 leaders are discussing, we will get some headlines soon. The latest development has seen launches of the largest salve of ballistic missiles by Iran towards Israel and Netanyahu saying that killing Iran's leader Ali Khameini wouldn't "escalate the conflict, it's going to end the conflict". Nevertheless, markets have been in a surprisingly ecstatic mood with Equity indices rallying all around the world – a proof that market expectations for the conflict had…
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Log in to today’s North American session Recap for June 17. Today's session has seen a major reversal in sentiment, with headlines about the US potentially entering the conflict between Israel and Iran. US Presient Trump left the ongoing G7 meeting and went back to Washington. Oil rallied by $3.5 as markets are re-taking what they gave yesterday. The energy commodity is trading around $75 – ~$1 from levels attained as the war headlines hit the markets on Thursday evening. The VIX is higher by 10% and Equity Indices down shy of 0.5% on the session and the S&P 500 is back below the 6,000 Key mark. Gold is also a surprise performer today as it finishes close to uncha…
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Log in to today’s North American session Recap for June 18 Today's session was filled with headlines surrounding the ongoing Iran-Israel conflict, but markets have shown limited reaction—at least for now. One potential trigger for broader risk-off sentiment remains the possibility of direct U.S. involvement, which appears increasingly likely. President Trump, true to form, has remained characteristically vague on the matter. On the sidenote, markets have been cut short from their volatility despite a well-anticipated FED Meeting and the release of the Summary of Economic Projections. Only cryptocurrencies have corrected amid some continuation of profit-taking. Oil pri…
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Log in to today’s North American session Recap for June 19 Today's session was once again filled with headlines about the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict and despite US markets were closed, US Oil broke its week-old highs shortly before retracting – The energy commodity is still up close to 1%. Today's flows have been particular with subdued volume in the North-American session, as sentiment continued to degrade. The White House stated in their ongoing Press Briefing that President Trump would take a decision about the US Involvement in the conflict within the next two weeks. European markets saw 2 Rate Decisions: The first for the Swiss National Bank, who cut their main…
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Overview: The market has taken the US threat of 30% tariffs on the EU and Mexico in stride. Both currencies wobbled a little but are little changed as the North American session is about to start. Participants seem to recognize the threat as a tactic meant to increase the pressure to negotiate (i.e., make new concessions). Market participants also do not seem to give much credence to claims that cost overruns at a remodeling the Federal Reserve headquarters will give President Trump the justification he has been looking for to fire Chair Powell. The dollar is narrowly mixed against the G10 currencies. The Dollar Index has marginally extended its gains. It has not posted a…
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Overview: Neither the US nor China have backed away from the brink approached before the weekend, but the many market participants have concluded that this is an "escalation to de-escalate". The foreign exchange market has unwound some of the pre-weekend price action. The dollar-bloc currencies and Norwegian krone, which suffered before the weekend, are firmer, while the euro, sterling, and the yen has seen last Friday's gains pared. Emerging market currencies are mixed, with the Taiwanese dollar and South Korean won joining most central European currencies are the bottom of the emerging market currency complex today. Of note, the PBOC set the dollar's reference rate at i…
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Overview: The dollar's impressive recovery from the pre-weekend sell-off spurred by comments from Federal Reserve Chair Powell at Jackson Hole was challenged earlier today on news that President Trump was carrying out his threat to fire Federal Reserve Governor Cook. Cook will reportedly challenge the president's authority. The dispute revolves around whether there is "cause", which is usually understood as job-performance related. Now, as the North American session is about to start, the greenback is narrowly mixed against the G10 currencies, with the euro, yen, and sterling leading the way. The Scandis are underperforming. Emerging market currencies are mixed, with the …
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No matter how many warning signs emerge, people always seem to find new ways to believe that the good times can last forever. Right now, the rules of the game in the US stock market are as clear as day: the S&P 500 is hitting record highs, boosted by a rally that has added $16 trillion in market cap since the start of 2025. Oil prices are near four-year lows, while risk is abundant everywhere — from equities to crypto. Expected volatility is at a one-year low. Investors keep buying at the top, and it's almost impossible to tell which high will actually be the last. In the 1990s, it was the Internet that propelled American stocks. In 2021, it was zero interest rates. …
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PayPal has officially rolled out its “Pay with Crypto” feature, allowing U.S.-based merchants to accept payments in over 100 cryptocurrencies. From Bitcoin and Ethereum to stablecoins like USDT, USDC, and XRP, the platform aims to streamline international commerce with lower fees and faster settlements. Merchants can now accept crypto payments from wallets like MetaMask, Coinbase, Kraken, and Binance, with all transactions instantly converted to either U.S. dollars or PayPal’s own stablecoin, PYUSD. This means businesses no longer need to manage wallets or worry about crypto price volatility. With a competitive transaction fee of just 0.99%, PayPal is in line to be a m…
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The S&P 500 started strong but ended weak. After a 1.9% surge at the beginning of the trading session, driven by the positive results from NVIDIA for the third quarter, the broad stock index quickly reversed direction and closed in the red, down 1.6%. The reasons behind such a dramatic rollercoaster remain unclear. Dynamics of US Stock Indices NVIDIA's revenue and profits are indeed impressive, but one company alone cannot carry the weight. Even this largest company in the world is supported by other players in the tech sector spending colossal amounts on artificial intelligence, yet their results leave much to be desired. The bubble of tech giants is the main conc…
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Anyone planning to bet against the S&P 500 should consider the strength of the American economy and the ongoing enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence. The US has proven to be more resilient to tariffs than previously thought. The OECD has raised its GDP forecasts by 0.2 percentage points to 2% for 2025 and 1.7% for 2026. Enormous investments in artificial intelligence are boosting gross domestic product as well as stock price growth. Americans are becoming wealthier and continue to spend. OECD Forecasts for US Economy and Other Countries According to 22V Research, increased consumer spending and investments in AI technologies will support productivity and …
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Bitcoin continues to struggle below the $90,000 level, failing to reclaim key resistance as bulls attempt to defend current demand zones. Price action reflects a market under pressure, with momentum fading after a prolonged correction. From its all-time high, Bitcoin has now retraced roughly 30%, placing the asset firmly in a corrective phase where uncertainty and caution dominate trading behavior. According to a report from Axel Adler, on-chain data confirms that market stress is no longer limited to price alone. Two key indicators—the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR) and the P/L Block—are signaling broad loss realization among participants and a …
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Solana’s (SOL) market structure is entering a tense phase, shaped by thinning liquidity, elevated leverage, and conflicting signals across institutional flows and derivatives markets. Related Reading: The Current Bitcoin Price Pump Will End In A Crash – Here’s When To Start Selling While price movements remain within familiar ranges, the underlying conditions paint a more complex picture, one that traders are watching closely for signs of either exhaustion or a sharp reversal. Recent sessions have seen Solana drift between $128 and $145, with brief rebounds lifting it toward the upper end of this range. However, liquidity indicators suggest a deeper reset is taking sha…
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Overview: Capital market activity is subdued. The US dollar and the dollar-bloc currencies ae mostly a little softer, while the other G10 currencies are around 0.1-0.2% firmer. Emerging market currencies are mixed with central European currencies mostly firmer, though the Russian ruble is the notable exception, off about 1%. European bond yields are slightly softer, though ahead of Sweden's Riksbank meeting tomorrow, its 10-year bonds yield is up a basis point, while the krona is the strongest of the G10 currencies, though no change is expected in the 2% policy rate. News of a rapprochement between India and China, one of the consequences of US foreign economic policy, h…
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Bitcoin continues to consolidate just below the $120,000 mark, exhibiting restrained momentum despite previous rallies that pushed it to all-time highs above $123,000. Over the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency has fluctuated between a low of $117,422 and a high of $119,197, ultimately trading at $118,578 at the time of writing. While price movement has remained relatively stable, on-chain indicators suggest that broader market sentiment is still in a transitional phase, with neither excessive enthusiasm nor panic selling present among investors. Bitcoin Market Signals Suggest Ongoing Expansion Phase A recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Gaah highlights a key d…
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Log in to today’s North American session Recap for July 1, 2025 Today marked a second consecutive session of subdued volumes and muted market moves in North America, as Canadian markets were closed for Canada Day. Expect similar conditions tomorrow, but volatility is likely to return on Thursday with the release of the highly anticipated Non-Farm Payrolls report at 8:30 A.M. ET (expected at 110K). The session took a slightly upbeat turn following a surprise beat in U.S. economic data. The S&P ISM Manufacturing PMI printed at 49.0 vs. a 48.8 consensus, and a better-than-expected JOLTS report helped lift sentiment after a positive overnight session. This triggered a…
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Log in to today’s North American session Recap for July 2, 2025 Today's session wasn't as quiet as yesterday – Between a major Miss in ADP which initially sent markets lower (-33K vs 95K expected) and another turmoil in UK Politics sending GBPUSD down close to 1%, markets got some action. The Dow was leading in the pre-morning session as the private employment report released this morning at 8:15 sent markets lower, however sentiment got lifted from the announcements of more US Trade deals – Since, the Nasdaq took back the lead on the session and left the US 30 lagging behind. By the way, the S&P just hit new All-time highs towards the end of the session. The Russe…
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Log in to today’s North American session Recap for July 3, 2025 Today’s market action was driven by consecutive upside surprises in US Non-Farm Payrolls (147K vs 110K exp) and ISM Services PMI data (50.8 vs 50.5 exp), fueling another wave of positive sentiment and pushing US equities into yet another frenzied rally. The reaction to the data was progressive but consistent, taking Safe-Havens like Gold and US Treasuries down, also dragging down the safer JPY and CHF. In contrast, the risk-on session pushed upward risk assets, like Consumption Commodities – known in Finance as Softs, with Orange Juice and Sugar rallying above 6% and Cryptos additionally enjoying from the …
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Log in to today’s North American session Recap for June 23, 2025 Markets saw intense swings in sentiment and price action during today’s session. The Sunday evening open brought sharp gaps across multiple asset classes, including oil, equity indices, and major forex pairs. The most significant development came again from the Middle East, as Iran launched a ballistic missile strike targeting the Al-Udeid U.S. military base in Qatar—the largest American base in the region. All missiles were reportedly intercepted by Qatari air defenses. Markets interpreted the move as a largely symbolic gesture rather than a serious escalation. Initially, the attack triggered classic ris…
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Log in to today’s North American session Recap for June 24, 2025 Today was a heavily risk-on session with Equity indices on top of the board, with the Nasdaq notably attaining new all-time highs (currently trading right around the ATH). All currencies are leading against the US Dollar, which got sold off aggressively as markets are now moving away suddenly from the conflict that lasted about 12 days – Too much for a market that seems to only go upwards since April. One particular dynamic of today's session is the top performers in Forex that are seen as the typical safe-haven currencies – The Japanese Yen and the Swiss Franc are both finishing the day up around 1% agai…
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Log in to today’s North American session Recap for June 26, 2025 Today was once again about broad US Dollar weakness, with all majors and indexes profiting from the flash sale. US Indices are loving this with the S&P 500 coming real closing at its record highs! The Dollar index broke new lows and pretty much all asset classes except for cryptocurrencies had a positive day – Cryptos seem to still be consolidating, waiting for news to breakout on any side. The fact that Bitcoin is staying above the $100,000 mark still shows strength in the market, however crypto aficionados are still waiting for an ETH and altcoin rally. In commodities, even despite de positive moo…
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Log in to today’s North American session Recap for June 30, 2025 Month-end flows notably influenced the session, leading to another instance of US Dollar underperformance. Equity markets, while ending the month on a positive note, experienced significant volatility into the close, as major participants leveraged the typically higher liquidity around monthly settlement prices for portfolio rebalancing. Global indices are now closing above their early 2025 highs, completing what has been a volatile yet ultimately successful month of June. Commodities observed a mixed performance today. Oil and other energy products saw declines, while Gold staged a notable rally throug…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 14 Market sentiment has been yo-yoing since Friday’s turmoil, with investors struggling to find stable footing after the week’s chaotic end. While equities appear to have found an intermediate bottom, the price action remains uncertain, reflecting caution and the price action in risk-assets is now much more open compared to the prior up-only trend. Every US-China headline is being closely dissected, the latest being this Axios update, which reignited some anxiety over the increasingly fragile trade relationship between the two global leaders. The overall ambiance is one of hesitation — a fitting tone for…
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Baseline: +74k NFP; unemployment rising to 4.3% from 4.2%.July: +73k with -258k net downward revisions; mounting political pressure on the BLS.Labour demand is cooling: Atlanta Fed Job-Switchers wage growth 4.3% y/y; NFIB shows vacancies easier to fill.Implications: tilts toward a 17 Sep Fed cut; risks from upside surprises and data-quality uncertainty. The August employment report is likely to confirm a cooling in labour demand and reinforce a dovish signal for the Federal Reserve. We expect nonfarm payrolls to rise by about 74k, with the unemployment rate increasing from 4.2% to 4.3%. …
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 26 As said in our Tuesday Market Wrap, The tides turn fast in Markets! The narrative quickly came from the end of the World as we know it to an ecstatic mood. US Stock Indexes have now recovered close to 75% of their mid-October to mid-November correction, and even the bloodshed Cryptocurrencies are rallying back. The Thanksgiving week is known to be positive for risk-assets, but the up-and-down reminds Traders of one thing: Volatility is here and it's here to stay – At least until the Fed actually takes a decisive route to the neutral rate. FX Markets have also seen some strong movement, particularly wi…
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