Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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In a warning to the UK government, former Finance Minister George Osborne said that Britain may be “left behind” in the global crypto race. According to a Financial Times report published on 4 August 2025, Osborne said, “Britain missed the first crypto wave. We can’t miss the second.” “We became the world’s financial center because we weren’t afraid of change,” said Osborne. “On crypto and stablecoins, as on too many other things, the hard truth is this: we’re being completely left behind. It’s time to catch up.” Osborne drew parallels to the transformative “Big Bank” of the 1980’s. He urged for immediate and decisive action to prevent the UK from missing out on what he…
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On-chain analytics platform Arkham Intelligence recently uncovered the biggest crypto hack ever. The hack involved stolen Bitcoin worth $3.5 billion at the time, now worth $14 billion, which is larger than the $1.5 billion Bybit hack this year. Arkham Intelligence Unveils $14 Billion Hack on Chinese Mining Pool LuBian In an X post, Arkham revealed that it had uncovered a $3.5 billion Bitcoin heist, the largest ever. This hack was on LuBian, which was a Chinese mining pool with facilities in China and Iran. The analytics platform stated that 127,426 BTC appears to have been stolen from LuBian in December 2020. These coins, which were worth $3.5 billion at the time, are n…
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Bitcoin is currently trading at critical levels after a sharp decline to the $112,000 zone, sparking panic among investors who fear this could mark the beginning of a broader bear market. After weeks of tight consolidation, the sudden drop has triggered concerns of a deeper correction, especially as short-term holders (STH) are forced to either realize losses or hold underwater positions. However, not all analysts are sounding the alarm. Top analyst Axel Adler argues that while the market is experiencing typical late-stage bull cycle behavior, the broader uptrend remains intact. Adler points out that as bull markets mature, investor risk appetite naturally decreases, le…
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The Australian dollar has extended its gains on Monday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6483 up 0.22% on the day. The US dollar made inroads last week against all the major currencies except the yen and gained 1.5% against the Australian dollar. Australian MI inflation gauge jumps 0.9% Australia's Melbourne Institute inflation guage soared 0.9% m/m in July, up sharply from 0.1% in June and marking the highest rise since Dec. 2023. The MI gauge, which provides a monthly guide to consumer inflation (official CPI is published quarterly), will no doubt raise concerns at the Reserve Bank of Australia, which has been cautious about cutting rates due t…
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Markets are still rattling about the crazy Friday trading, post-Non-Farm Payrolls. Equities were trading in paradise territory after a streak of positive US Data (that caught Markets off-guard, Participants were expecting worse data due to tariffs). But the picture quickly reversed, and markets were starting to trade mostly risk-on in many of the sessions prior to Friday, taking Stocks to Greed territory (on the Fear-Greed Index). Risk-assets took a beating after the miss (and particularly from the downward revisions for the past few months of data, taking the three-month average for NFP at 35K! There is some ongoing-mean reversion to Friday's huge selloffs in risk-as…
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Japanese investment firm Metaplanet has deepened its Bitcoin bet. On 4 August 2025, the company announced its latest purchase of 463 BTC in an acquisition valued at approximately $54 million. Metaplanet’s total BTC holdings is at 17,595 now. CEO Simon Gerovich took to X to announce that Metaplanet has achieved a BTC yield of 459.% YTD 2025. Asia’s Strategy (previously known as MicroStrategy) executed the purchase at an average price of $115,895 per coin. This purchase also marks the first significant Bitcoin buy of August. Just last week, Metaplanet announced its intention to raise $3.7 billion through the issuance of perpetual preferred shares. “The Company has …
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The Swiss franc gained 1% against the US dollar last week and has extended its gains on Monday. In the North American session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.8079, up 0.48% on the day. Swiss inflation flat in July Switzerland's inflation rate was unchanged in July, above the market estimate of -0.2% but below the June reading of 0.2%. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy rose from 0.8% in July, up from 0.6%, in June and its highest level in four months. The Swiss National Bank has cut rates aggressively as inflation as eased. The central bank has lowered rates for six consecutive meetings and cut the cash rate to zero in June. SNB President Martin Schlegel has said that …
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Bitcoin is walking a fine line again. After sliding for six straight trading sessions, the world’s largest cryptocurrency bounced back from a key support level around $114,432. That small rebound is catching attention, but it’s not enough to suggest a strong rally is around the corner. Labor Data Fuels Fed Speculation Recent economic data in the US isn’t helping much. Reports showed that job growth came in weaker than expected, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.2%. Average hourly wages only went up by 0.3%, pointing to a cooling labor market. These numbers are adding weight to the idea that the Federal Reserve might soon hit pause on interest rate hikes—or even lo…
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Today's session is seeing some recovery flows form the catastrophic Equity performance after Friday's NFP miss. The session is empty of any major economic release and for now, the lack of geopolitical influences and continuation from Friday's risk-off moves has helped mean-reverters to bring some buying in Equities. Our analysis from Friday pointed towards prices touching the lower bound of the upward channel in Nasdaq for example and the index is actually leading its US peers (currently up +1.40%) as tech shines again in today's session, led by Microsoft and Nvidia. The Dow Jones is also up above 1% as we speak but testing some key levels. Let's take a look at these …
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How Much Do Gold Coins Weigh? Weights by Purity, Size, and Mint Specs Here is the clear answer in plain English: when a gold coin says “1 oz,” it refers to one troy ounce of pure gold content, not always the coin’s total weight on a scale. Pure (24 karat) one-ounce coins usually weigh close to 31.103 grams total. Alloyed (22 karat) one-ounce coins still contain a full troy ounce of gold, but they add a small amount of copper and/or silver for durability, so their total weight is higher. Understanding this difference removes confusion and helps you verify your coins with confidence. Quick Answer: Troy Ounces vs. Regular Ounces Gold is measured in troy ounces, not the ever…
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Most Read: Markets Weekly Outlook – US Services PMI, Bank of England rate decision and Canadian/NZ Employment Oil prices continued their slide from the back end of last week as the rumors about an OPEC + output hike were confirmed on the weekend. WTI Oil hit a daily low around the 65.44 handle before bouncing to trade at 66.68 at the time of writing. Is the OPEC + Production Hike a Strategy Play? OPEC + have for the best part of the last 4 years since the Covid pandemic stuck to the line of ‘price stability’. However since the election of US President Donald Trump who pledged lower Oil prices and urged American companies to drill even more, they appear to have pivoted …
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Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has advised XRP investors not to panic as they make their next move in the market. This came as he revealed levels to watch out for as the altcoin retraces alongside the broader crypto market. Analyst Advises XRP Investors Amid Market Correction In an X post, Egrag Crypto told XRP investors, especially the newbies, that they should not let fear dictate their next moves. The analyst also commented on the current price action, stating that investors will see where the market settles by the end of the day. In line with this, he revealed levels that investors should keep an eye on. The crypto analyst stated that if the XRP price maintains clos…
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China is limiting its flow of critical minerals to Western defense manufacturers, leading to significant production delays and sharp price spikes, the Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday. Beijing controls over 90% of the world’s supply of rare earth elements used a myriad of military technologies, including jet-fighter magnets, infrared sensors, drone motors and precision munitions. According to the WSJ, citing sources, the Chinese government is now refusing or delaying exports of minerals designated for such applications, and has introduced measures to enforce its control by requiring exporters to submit documentation — such as product or production-line photo…
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Hedera Hashgraph has just taken a decisive step that could redefine its market positioning and the performance of HBAR price action: the network has officially joined the ERC3643 standard, a framework designed to unify on-chain identity, compliance, and tokenized asset issuance. This surprise move ties Hedera into the T-REX Protocol ecosystem, which already underpins billions of dollars in compliant security tokens across Ethereum and EVM-compatible chains – a significant step for HBAR’s sustained institutional adoption. For context, ERC3643 is not just another token standard. Unlike ERC20 or ERC721, it was explicitly built for regulated securities markets with embedded…
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Bitcoin is trading just above the $112,000 level after breaking down from a consolidation range that held for over two weeks. The sharp decline sparked concerns among investors, particularly among Short-Term Holders (STH), who now face the difficult choice of realizing losses or holding underwater positions. However, top analyst Darkfost shared key insights suggesting that Bitcoin’s underlying demand remains robust, despite the price volatility. According to Darkfost, the Apparent Demand metric—comparing new BTC issuance to over one-year inactive supply—indicates that the market is still absorbing supply effectively. The ratio has stayed in positive territory, signaling…
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Gold extended its rally on Monday after last week’s economic data fueled expectations of monetary easing by the US Federal Reserve. Spot gold rose 0.3% to $3,372.48 per ounce as of 1:20 p.m. ET, near its highest in two weeks. US gold futures climbed 0.7% to $3,425.90 per ounce in New York. Click on chart for Live Prices The yellow metal has now risen for three straight sessions, as new US economic data signalled that a Fed rate cut may be on the cards next month, which bodes well for the non-yielding bullion. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders now see an 86% chance of a September rate cut, up from just over 63% a week ago. “The odds are stronger…
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Ethereum (ETH) is capturing market attention with signals of a potential breakout reminiscent of Bitcoin’s historic 2021 bull run. Analysts cite a combination of strong technical indicators, increasing ETF inflows, and intensified whale accumulation as key reasons Ethereum could soon outperform Bitcoin. ETH recently broke out of a classic falling wedge pattern, a technical setup often linked to trend reversals. This bullish formation, combined with multiple Relative Strength Index (RSI) taps, suggests Ethereum may be poised for a significant upward move. The RSI behavior mirrors Bitcoin’s movements in early 2021, before it surged to record highs. Adding to the bullish …
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The Hidden Danger of Complacency in Trading Staying Sharp: Avoiding the Trap of Trader Complacency When it comes to yrafng, whether in forex, commodities, or equitie. one of the most dangerous traits a trader can develop is complacency. The moment you let your guard down, markets often have a way of springing to life, usually at your expense.I learned this the hard way during my time running a forex dealing room for a commodities company. It became an inside joke that every time I stepped away from the desk, be it for lunch, a meeting, or a quick break, the market would suddenly wake up with unexpected volatility. A Familiar Pattern: Markets Move When You Least Expec…
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The Metals Company (Nasdaq: TMC), released Monday a Technical Report Summary (TRS) of the Pre-Feasibility Study (PFS) for its proposed NORI-D Polymetallic Nodule Project in the Clarion Clipperton Zone of the Pacific Ocean. The report was prepared in accordance with SEC Regulation S-K (SK-1300) and The PFS marks a world-first declaration of Probable Mineral Reserves for deep-sea polymetallic nodules. The Canadian miner, which has exclusive access to the Nori Clarion-Clipperton Zone, in March formally initiated a process under the US Department of Commerce to apply for exploration licenses and permits to extract minerals from the ocean floor. Mining internat…
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Trading in the region of $37.35700 in today’s session, Silver looks to continue bullish momentum shown in Friday’s session, rallying from monthly lows. Silver (XAG/USD): Key takeaways from today’s session Writing after Friday’s weak job report, Silver has found support on a weakened dollar and as traders adjust expectations for Fed monetary policyLatest developments on trade tariffs are also boosting safe-haven inflows, benefiting silver pricingSilver (XAG/USD): Weak US labor data bodes well for precious metals Having recently succumbed to short-term selling pressure from all-time highs made in late July, recent US jobs data has helped bolster precious metal pricing…
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The session is risk-on as market participants already seem to be moving on from the consequent miss and downwards revisions to the NFP data – and this was just Friday. Some questions remain on the current state of affairs as safe-havens have also appreciated on the session, but the rally is still way more consequent in risk-assets. Cryptos haven't rejected the positive mood around markets as most digital assets are green today, and by a decent margin. They were leading on the way down after starting to correct last Wednesday and most coins are now aiming to catch up to their recent highs. Bitcoin wicked on its support zone at 112,000 and now trades around the $115,000…
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Earlier last week, the Ethereum price was retracing severely, giving up a fraction of the gains garnered from the previous bull rally. Despite this brief show of weakness, a crypto pundit forecasts that the leading altcoin may be on the brink of an explosive rally toward a new all-time high of $9,000. This bullish projection is based on the completion of a Broadening Wedge formation and an ongoing retest of the pattern’s upper boundary, which may now act as support. Ethereum Price Chart Signals Major Breakout According to the new technical analysis released by crypto market expert Gert van Lagen on X social media, Ethereum could be gearing up for a major breakout move, …
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Europe’s top central bank is firm on one thing: banknotes aren’t going anywhere. On Monday, ECB Executive Board member Piero Cipollone vowed that euro coins and bills will remain at the heart of payments, even as Brussels moves ahead with plans for a state-backed digital euro. He warned that without a public digital option, privately issued stablecoins could gain too much ground—especially in cross-border transfers. ECB’s Cash And Digital Push According to a blog post by Cipollone, the digital euro will sit alongside physical money, not replace it. He wrote that cash and digital euros, both with full legal tender status, will give consumers more choice. Reports have d…
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Log in to today's North American session recap for August 4, 2025. After a brutal Friday session for risk-assets, some heavy dip-buying has been ongoing in today's session bringing the move upwards to start the week. Days like today tend to be tricky in terms of price action due to some caution as bad numbers tend to see some follow through as profit-taking occurs, but it seems that Thursday's selloff had been pre-emptive and allowed value-seekers to find what they wanted. The Market is finding some ease in the strong pricing for a September cut amid political pressure form the Trump Administration and some FED Members starting to show concerns about the Economy. For…
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Bitcoin (BTC) is down 3.6% over the past week, falling from around $119,800 to the $114,500 range at the time of writing. This weakening price action is also reflected in spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), most notably in BlackRock’s IBIT Bitcoin ETF, which saw over $2.6 billion in outflows on August 1. IBIT Bitcoin ETF Sees Massive Outflows According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake by contributor Amr Taha, BlackRock’s IBIT ETF recorded more than $2.6 billion in outflows on August 1 – the highest figure in the past two months across all listed Bitcoin ETFs. Taha highlighted that the sharp reversal in institutional demand for Bitcoin ETFs comes after several w…
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