Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12197 tópicos neste fórum
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With Bitcoin trading around $85,000, Jeff Park, Partner and CIO at ProCap BTC, used his Nov. 20 conversation with Anthony Pompliano to argue that the drop may be valuable for reasons that have little to do with short-term “dip buying” and everything to do with narrative regime change. His central claim is that the classic halving-anchored rhythm is losing its foundation. Why The Bitcoin Crash Is Necessary “The four year cycle is almost definitively over,” Park said, because what it was “based off of historically, which is the halving, is just irrelevant from the additional marginal demand that comes from other channels that have opened up.” In his framing, the market is …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
MicroStrategy is still the biggest corporate holder of Bitcoin, sitting on roughly 649,870 BTC as of mid-November 2025. They bought all of this for around 48.37 billion dollars total, which puts their average cost at about 74,433 dollars per Bitcoin. With Bitcoin dipping under 80k, things are starting to look uncomfortable for Michael Saylor and MicroStrategy. There is also a real risk that the company could be removed from the Nasdaq-100 Index, which is what QQQ and many tech-focused ETFs track. Why? Because MSCI, one of the biggest index providers in the world, opened a consultation on whether companies whose digital assets (like Bitcoin) make up more than roughly h…
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Week Ahead: 24-28th November 2025 Highlights include US Retail Sales, RBNZ, UK Budget, Australian CPI, Tokyo CPI UK Budget MON: Bank of Israel Announcement; German Ifo (Nov), US National Activity Index (Oct), Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov) TUE: PBoC MLF; US Consumer Confidence (Nov), Richmond Fed (Nov), US Retail Sales (Oct) WED: RBNZ Announcement, UK Autumn Budget; Australian CPI (Oct), US Dallas Fed (Oct) THU: US Thanksgiving, ECB Minutes (Oct), BoK Announcement; Chinese Industrial Profit (Oct), German GfK (Dec), EZ M3 (Oct), Consumer Confidence Final (Nov), Japanese Tokyo CPI (Nov), Industrial Profit (Oct), Retail Sales (Oct) FRI: German Import Prices (Oct),…
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Bitcoin is trading in a fragile state after slipping below $90,000 and now in the mid-$80,000s. This price action has caused some analysts to grapple with the possibility that the next major rally may be further away than many expect. A recent technical outlook from prominent crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino adds weight to this concern. His analysis focuses on the 6-week LMACD momentum indicator, which has just crossed bearish for the first time in years. Momentum Turns Against Bitcoin On The 6-Week LMACD The technical outlook highlights a strong warning from Severino, who argues that Bitcoin is nowhere close to staging the kind of explosive recovery many are wa…
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The Labour government is set to release a crucial budget plan on November 26. Instead of announcing new spending, the main goal is to prove that the government is being careful with money to keep financial markets stable. Chancellor Rachel Reeves faces a tough challenge as she tries to stick to the strict financial rules she created for herself. Her plan focuses on three main priorities: reducing the time people wait for healthcare (NHS), paying down the country's debt, and lowering the cost of living for everyone. Read More: Gold Price Forecast: Bullion rallies to $4,118 key level as markets increase Fed rate cut bets The Immediate Fiscal Challenge and the OBR Downgrade …
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Bitcoin dominance is currently sitting around the mid-50% range, and although it has not shown any dramatic breakdown yet, some traders are beginning to watch for signs of rotation. Data from platforms that track market share show Bitcoin dominance slowly pushing to the mid-fifties, but projections suggesting a future decline are forming the basis of new discussions in the XRP community. One such projection comes from an XRP enthusiast known as DROP, who shared a chart illustrating a steep fall in Bitcoin dominance that he believes will unlock XRP’s next major rally to double digits. Bitcoin Dominance Projection Shows A Breakdown Zone The chart shared by DROP outlines a…
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Worrying signals from the ECB and IMF have tempered the enthusiasm of "bulls" for EUR/USD. The European Central Bank warned that pension reform in the Netherlands could bring turbulence to the European bond market. Approximately €1.9 trillion is managed by Dutch pension funds. The portfolio adjustments made by these financial institutions will affect bond yields. The International Monetary Fund raised its GDP growth forecast for Germany to 1% in 2026 and to 1.5% in 2027, but warned that without reforms, fiscal stimuli would be ineffective. Dynamics and Forecasts for German GDP The path upwards for EUR/USD will be bumpy. According to Deutsche Bank, the major currency pair …
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On Thursday, the GBP/JPY pair showed a sharp downward reversal while continuing to trade near the record high reached on Wednesday — the highest level since July 2024. Current spot quotes are below the 207.00 level, with a daily decline of 0.10%, although short-term trends still favor market participants expecting further price increases. Market players remain cautious due to the potential intervention by Japanese authorities to support the national currency. This, along with renewed expectations of a Bank of Japan interest rate hike in December, contributes to moderate strengthening of the Japanese yen and triggers intraday selling in the GBP/JPY pair. Bank of Japan Boar…
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While the euro is trying to gather strength for a new upward move against the US dollar, Chief Economist Philip Lane believes that the European Central Bank (ECB) will be able to keep inflation at the target level due to falling prices for non-energy goods. The Irish official remarked at an event in Paris that in order to maintain inflation at 2%, further slowing of non-energy inflation is necessary. He expressed confidence that this would happen, as all observed indicators suggest a continued slowdown in wage growth. Many economists expect that the ECB will keep borrowing rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive meeting. Most officials are assured that inflation wil…
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Meanwhile, Bitcoin has returned to the $92,000 area and has even surpassed this level, making it the perfect time to continue the conversation about Solana and its dominance in the market for tokenized stocks. This morning, I discussed how Solana currently dominates the market for the offering and trading of tokenized stocks, holding more than a 95% market share for the past four months. In October of this year, that share even reached as high as 99%. Leading crypto enthusiasts have picked up on this subject. In an interview, American entrepreneur and co-founder and former CEO of the cryptocurrency exchange BitMEX, Arthur Hayes, stated that by the end of 2026, the pr…
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Bitcoin (BTC) is retesting a crucial support area after its price slid 5% from the recent highs and fell below the $90,000 barrier. Some analysts have suggested that the cryptocurrency’s structure remains intact, but warned that it must bounce quickly or risk retesting the November lows. Bitcoin Retests $88,000 After Rejection On Friday, Bitcoin lost the recently reclaimed $90,000 level, falling to a key support area before stabilizing. The flagship crypto has been attempting to recover from the November market correction, which sent its price to a seven-month low of $80,600. Since reaching its local lows two weeks ago, the cryptocurrency has traded within a macro re-a…
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Bitcoin price is still showing bearish signs below $112,000. BTC is now attempting to recover and might face hurdles near the $110,500 level. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $112,000 zone. The price is trading below $110,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a short-term contracting triangle with resistance at $108,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline if it stays below the $110,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Starts Consolidation Bitcoin price attempted a fresh recovery wave from the $107,350 zone. BTC was able to climb above the $108,200 and $108,400 resistance level…
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Austin Hilton, a well-known crypto analyst, has issued a fresh warning to XRP investors, urging them not to “get caught” amid the cryptocurrency’s latest market movement. With XRP showing signs of volatility and uncertainty surrounding its next major price direction, the analyst’s cautionary message serves as a reminder for traders to stay vigilant and patient. The Trap XRP Investors Need To Avoid Hilton recently shared a video report on X social media, cautioning XRP holders about a common trap that they often fall into during extended consolidation phases. He explained that XRP has been trading sideways within a narrow range of $2.80 and $3.30 for roughly 48 days now.…
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The New Zealand dollar has renewed its upward move after a pause on Tuesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5957, up 0.52% on the day. Earlier, NZD/USD rose as high as 0.5964, a two-month high. Will Hawkesbury hint at another rate cut? The markets will be keeping a close eye on Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Christian Hawkesby, who will discuss the RBNZ's August Monetary Statement at an event in Auckland on Thursday. At the August meeting, the Reserve Bank cut rates by a quarter-point to 3.0%, its lowest level since August 2022. The central bank hinted at further rate cuts due to expectations of lower growth both domestically and globally.…
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The GBP/USD pair once again traded quite calmly on Wednesday, which is not surprising given that only one report—the US Producer Price Index—was published during the day. Although this report triggered a strong market reaction a month ago, we warned in advance that the reaction would depend entirely on actual versus forecast data. Still, while in recent weeks both major currency pairs have not delighted traders with trending moves, that doesn't mean there's a lack of news. Most headlines, of course, are tied to Donald Trump. For example, Trump is still trying to "put out" the Ukraine–Russia conflict, but knows no method other than tariffs and sanctions to achieve his goal…
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Gold is trading around 3,671, below the 7/8 Murray level and above the 21SMA, with a bullish bias and within an uptrend channel formed since September 11. Gold is facing a barrier around 3,657. This level could offer strong resistance for gold. If the price consolidates below this area, it could be seen as a signal for a technical correction. A consolidation above 3,660 could lead to a gold price reaching 7/8 Murray around 3,671, and possibly even surpassing its high around 3,673. A price drop below 3,644 could signal the start of a trend reversal. Thus, the price could reach the 200 EMA around $3,600, or even reach 6/8 Murray around 3,593. The Eagle indicator is showing …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3573 occurred when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move upward from the zero line, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose toward the target level of 1.3608. The absence of U.K. statistics had a positive effect on the pound. Without fresh data to assess the state of the British economy, investors tend to rely on existing trends and the overall perception of risk. In the second half of the day, the Empire Manufacturing Index will be released, and only strong data could help the dollar rise against the pound. However, even with positive results, it wo…
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The Shiba Inu community is on high alert after a major compromise of the Shibarium bridge over the weekend. What began as reports from blockchain security firm PeckShield quickly escalated into a confirmed attack involving validator key leaks, flash loans, and malicious state changes. Developers have scrambled to contain the breach by freezing 4.6 million BONE tokens, but the situation has revealed vulnerabilities in the security of Shiba Inu’s infrastructure and has had an impact on Shiba Inu’s short-term price action. Developer Confirms Attack Details Taking to the social media platform X, Shiba Inu developer Kaal Dhairya revealed that the incident was probably planned…
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei, Topix Hit Fresh Highs Global stocks are at an all-time high, and gold prices have reached a new record. This is happening as markets ramp up rate cut bets ahead of the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. The MSCI All Country World Index, a measure of global stocks, has risen for 10 straight days—its longest winning streak in over four years. On the Japanese stock market, the two main indexes, the Nikkei 225 and the Topix, both reached all-time highs. Meanwhile, in Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index saw a small gain of 0.08%. In mainland China, the CSI 300 index, which tracks top companies, experienced a slight decline of 0.38%. In two separate events …
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[AUD/JPY] – Wednesday, September 17, 2025 The appearance of a Hidden Bearish Divergence between the RSI and AUD/JPY price movement indicates a near-term potential for weakening. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 98.63 2. Resistance. 1 : 98.25 3. Pivot : 97.59 4. Support. 1 : 97.57 5. Support. 2 : 97.27 Tactical Scenario Pressure Zone: If AUD/JPY breaks down and closes below 97.57, it may test the 97.27 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 97.27 is broken and closed below, AUD/JPY will likely head towards the 96.89 level.Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Downside bias is contained if AUD/JPY appreciates upward and breaks to close above the 98.63 level. Technic…
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Latest Crypto News Today, September 16: BTC USD in A Strong Price Zone at 117K, ETH Back Above 4.5K as XRP, BNB, SOL Follow. Crypto market is walking at a steady pace as September rise continues. BTC price holds firm above 117K USD . Meanwhile, ETH is back over 4,500, XRP stays strong at 3.04, and SOL moves up near 238 against USD. bitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.33T24h7d1y All four major coins have posted healthy gains in the past 24 hours, and the current momentum suggests there’s more upside ahead. Add to that BNB with a 2.9% bump to $956, blasting all-time high after all-time high. bnbPriceMarket CapBNB$142.17B24h7d1y According to DeFiLlama, DeFi TVL remains stable at…
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Gold, following the release of the Fed's interest rate decision, made a strong upward move, reaching a new ATH around $3,707. From this level, gold began a technical correction and subsequently bounced within the downtrend channel. The technical correction is likely to continue in the coming days, pushing the price down to the 200 EMA around $3,634. As long as the gold price consolidates below $3,671, it will be seen as an opportunity for short positions, as the 7/8 Murray is located in this area, now acting as resistance. We could expect the price to reach $3,652, and possibly even reach the $3,640 level. Gold could find good support around $3,630. This level represents …
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Wednesday Trade Review:1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD pair traded on Wednesday fully in line with the fundamental background. For almost the entire day, market movements were ultra-weak, as traders awaited the results of the Fed meeting and Jerome Powell's press conference. All other events of the day were irrelevant, even though another set of weak U.S. reports was published — this time in the construction sector. After the Fed's decision was announced, "fireworks" began. As we warned, volatility increased, and the price moved in both directions. First, the dollar dropped 70 pips in 10 minutes, then strengthened by 100 pips over the next several hours. Today, it may…
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On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair on Wednesday rose to the 127.2% Fibonacci level at 1.3708, rebounded from it, and reversed in favor of the U.S. dollar, falling into the support zone of 1.3587–1.3620. Today, consolidation below this zone would allow for a continued decline toward the 76.4% corrective level at 1.3482. A rebound from the zone would work in favor of the pound and a return to growth toward 1.3708. The wave structure remains "bullish." The last completed downward wave did not break the previous low, while the last upward wave easily broke the previous peak. The news background does not allow bears to go on the offensive. The market expects strong monetar…
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