Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11724 tópicos neste fórum
-
On Wednesday during the North American session, the GBP/USD pair rose sharply, breaking above the 1.3300 level. This growth was driven by market expectations of a more "dovish" Federal Reserve policy amid intensifying rumors that Kevin Hassett, a White House economic adviser, could be appointed as the new Fed Chair in place of Jerome Powell. The British pound strengthened significantly as the U.S. dollar weakened, pressured by speculation surrounding the potential new Fed leadership and weak U.S. labor market data. The dollar also continues to decline following the release of today's disappointing U.S. economic data. Specifically, the U.S. ISM Services PMI for November an…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The Australian dollar continues its intraday rise against the weakening U.S. dollar, reaching new highs not seen since late October and approaching the 0.6600 level. The market's initial reaction to weak Australian economic growth data proved short-lived, as expectations of further monetary easing by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) have diminished. This factor remains a key driver supporting the Australian dollar. In addition, positive sentiment in equity markets helps offset a subdued report on China's services PMI and contributes to the Australian dollar's relative outperformance. Today, the Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Michele Bullock, spoke before a …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Today, on Wednesday, the GBP/JPY pair is rising for the second consecutive day, having surpassed the round level of 207.00 within the day. At the current moment, the pair is pulling back, as the presence of conflicting factors requires traders to exercise caution. The British pound is supported by the resolution of uncertainty surrounding the UK's fiscal policy, as well as by the weakening of the U.S. dollar. These are considered key drivers behind the upward movement of the GBP/JPY pair. However, expectations of an interest rate cut by the Bank of England as early as the end of this month—triggered by easing inflation and a cooling labor market—are discouraging pound bul…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum has reclaimed the $3,000 level after a strong market reaction to improving macro conditions, offering investors a much-needed shift in momentum. The move comes just days after the Federal Reserve officially ended Quantitative Tightening (QT), a policy shift that immediately boosted liquidity expectations across all risk assets. With markets now pricing in an imminent interest rate cut, confidence has begun to return, and ETH is one of the first major assets to respond. This rebound reflects more than just macro relief. According to data from Arkham, shared by Lookonchain, Bitmine continues to accumulate Ethereum at current prices, reinforcing bullish sentiment …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has changed, but overall it remains quite understandable. There is no talk of canceling the upward trend segment that began in January 2025, but the wave structure since July 1 has become significantly more complex and extended. In my view, the pair has completed the formation of corrective wave 4, which took on a very unconventional form. Inside this wave we observe exclusively corrective structures, so there is no doubt about the corrective nature of the decline. In my opinion, the formation of the upward trend segment is not finished, and its targets extend up to the 1.25 level. The series of waves a-b-c-d-e looks comple…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For GBP/USD, the wave pattern continues to indicate the construction of an upward trend segment (bottom chart), but over the past few weeks it has taken on a complex and extended form (top chart). The trend segment that began on July 1 can be considered wave 4—or any global corrective wave—since it has a corrective rather than impulsive internal wave structure. The same applies to its internal subwaves. Therefore, despite the prolonged decline of the pound, I believe that the upward trend remains intact. The downward wave structure that began on September 17 has formed a five-wave pattern a-b-c-d-e and should now be completed. If this is really the case, then the pair is …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Appian Capital Advisory said on Wednesday it has provided a $150 million financing package to support the Atlantic Group’s buyout of a major gold mine from Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX, NYSE: B). In October, Atlantic Group — one of Africa’s leading private diversified holding companies — announced that it would acquire Barrick’s interest in the Tongon mine in Côte d’Ivoire in a deal worth up to $305 million. The transaction closed earlier this week, with Barrick receiving a $192 million cash payment, plus potentially another $113 million in cash payments tied to the price of gold and resource milestones. Appian said its funding package will include a commitment to a s…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The XRP price is rebounding sharply as the broader crypto market slowly recovers from a months-long downtrend. Although XRP is still more than 43% below its all-time high, a market analyst has outlined what needs to happen before the cryptocurrency can rally again. The analyst has shared a rather blunt assessment of XRP’s recent performance, highlighting its vulnerability and weakened price action. XRP Price Rally Hinges On Bitcoin’s Recovery A crypto market expert identified as ‘Guy on Earth’ has issued a fresh warning on X, highlighting that the XRP price is currently sitting at precarious levels and “hanging on for its dear life.” His outlook was cautious as he state…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Stock Markets opened mixed after a mildly positive overnight session in Futures and Global Indexes trading. But after the ADP Miss confirming further next week's rate cuts and pricing in higher chances of another January cut (currently at 27% pricing), the fresh Services PMI beat sent conflicting signs to traders. The headline number came in at 52.6 (beating the 52.1 forecast), but the internals provided the real story. zoom_out_map US Data from this morning …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
(Click to image to expand) November Global Mining Power Rankings have landed, and this month’s results spotlight the companies defining performance, momentum and leadership across the global mining sector. Market sentiment appeared to play a larger role this month, with support likely influenced by steady execution, improving balance sheets and firmer commodity prices across key regions. Powered by rigorous data analysis and strong participation from investors, analysts and industry insiders, the rankings serve as a real-time gauge of industry sentiment, revealing which companies the market believes are executing, outperforming and building meaningful strategic mom…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The crypto market may have added $160Bn onto its market cap overnight as Bitcoin surged back above $92,000. However, trouble is on the horizon for Celestia (TIA) as a key protocol built on its network was shuttered following an $18M raise back in 2024. TIA price predictions are leaning bearish following the news, even though the token has surged by +10% over the past 24 hours. Astria launched in 2023 after raising $5.5M in a seed round led by Maven 11, followed by a $12.5M strategic fundraise in 2024 led by DBA and Placeholder VC. The shutdown of the Astria network is seen as sudden, given that the mainnet only went live a little over a year ago. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ivanhoe Mines (TSX: IVN) said copper output next year at its Kamoa-Kakula complex in the Democratic Republic of Congo should lag 2024 levels even as efforts to rehabilitate the site gather pace following seismic-induced flooding. Contained copper production will probably range between 380,000 and 420,000 tonnes in 2026, before increasing about 30% to 500,000-540,000 tonnes in 2027, Ivanhoe said Wednesday in a statement. The company also maintained its medium-term goal of producing about 550,000 tonnes annually. “The revised guidance provides the market with long overdue clarity on the near- to medium-term outlook for the company,” Scotia Capital mining analyst Ore…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Copper prices soared to a new record in London following a spike in orders to withdraw the metal from London Metal Exchange warehouses amid concerns of a global supply squeeze. Futures on the LME jumped as much as 2.6% to more than $11,400 per tonne during Wednesday’s morning trading, surpassing the previous peak set two sessions ago. It has since retreated to around the $11,100 level. Click on chart for live prices. The copper rally has been building momentum in recent weeks as a growing chorus of traders and analysts warned of global inventories reaching critically low levels, while huge volumes of metal are being shipped to the US in anticipation of tariffs. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Market Insights Podcast (03/12/2025): In the most recent episode, TraderNick and Jonny discuss the demand for semiconductors following the AI stock rally, softening US labour data and the likely successor of Fed Chair Jerome Powell, with current betting odds suggesting Kevin Hassett, a long-term Republican and Trump supporter, is the most likely to replace Powell in May. Join Nick Syiek (TraderNick) and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin is staging a sharp rebound from a key technical level that one analyst has flagged as the potential low of its current correction. Is The Dogecoin Bottom In? On X, crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) highlighted the $0.138 region as the decisive line. Posting a weekly DOGE chart, he wrote: “$0.138 still holding strong on Dogecoin. If DOGE can hold this level (Macro .382 + 200W SMA) and BTC + USDT hold their respective support and resistance levels then $0.138 will be the lows for this corrective period. Still got work to do. Main focus is still BTC and USDT D.” His chart shows Dogecoin trading on the 1-week timeframe, with the price recently wicking down in…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Read More: GBP/USD reaches 1.33, on top as ADP Employment Miss sends the dollar in a limbo Gold prices are currently on a bullish rally having experienced a significant pullback and support test on Tuesday. The precious metal appears to have regained its shine as bulls returned to the party pushing prices to a high of $4240/oz in the early part of the US session. The Federal Reserve The current rally and supporting Gold’s valuation is the aggressive market expectation of impending monetary policy easing by the US Federal Reserve. Current forecasts indicate an 88% probability of a US interest rate cut in December, with broader market consensus pricing in approximately 9…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP’s price pullback deepened this week, but a high-timeframe technical view keeps some traders hopeful. Based on reports from analyst Egrag Crypto, the monthly chart remains above the key 21-EMA, and that is being treated as the main guide for the coin’s long-term direction. Monthly Chart Holds The Stronger Signal According to Egrag’s multi-timeframe review, seven key charts were checked and six trade below the 21-day Exponential Moving Average. The weaker frames include the four-hour, one-day, three-day, five-day, one-week, and two-week charts. XRP is trading at $2.18, up 8.5% over the last 24 hours, but shed a measly 0.8% on the weekly frame. That short-term fall ex…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The week had started slowly in FX markets, characterized by mean-reverting, small up-and-down movements across all currencies as traders got back from their Thanksgiving break and awaited fresh data. The US Dollar was holding its range calmly, bouncing yesterday, but the landscape shifted dramatically today. The fresh monthly ADP Private Employment data delivered a shocker to the Market showing a contraction of -32,000 jobs (vs +10,000 gain exp). This reading only anchors the rate cut expectations for next Wednesday's FOMC meeting (December 10th), effectively locking in the decision. With US Yields diving lower on the news, traders are now starting to aggressively price…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Crypto analyst Tony Severino has revealed a historical bearish pattern that could send the Bitcoin price to as low as $42,000. This bearish outlook for BTC comes amid a rebound for the flagship crypto, with a recent surge above the psychological $90,000 level. Bitcoin Price Risks 50% Drop To $42,000 Based On This Pattern In an X post, Severino stated that the Bitcoin price likes to retrace to subwave 3/4 of wave 3/4 of its impulse. Based on this, the analyst indicated that BTC could crash to as low as $42,000 on wave C of this move to the downside. His accompanying chart showed that this decline could happen sometime at the start of next year. This bearish Bitcoin pr…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
American Bitcoin Corp, the Trump-family backed mining firm, co-founded by Eric trump, saw its shares fall a whopping 40% to $1.80 on 2 December 2025. So, what triggered this plummet? The expiration of a lockup period on pre-merger private placement shares caused this fall. The stocks dropped intraday to $1.80 from a prior close of $3.58. What does this mean for investors? The fall has triggered multiple trading halts amid heavy volume, even as Bitcoin itself rallied over 7% to $91653. Market Cap 24h 7d 30d 1y All Time While Hut 8 owns 80% of the company, …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
What to Know: Even as Bitcoin holds around $93K, Bitcoin’s base layer remains secure but slow, with high fees and no native smart contract environment, limiting real on-chain activity for everyday users. As demand for scalable on-chain applications grows, the lack of a high-speed execution layer around Bitcoin creates a structural gap for DeFi, gaming, and payments. Bitcoin Hyper introduces the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with SVM integration, targeting faster-than-Solana performance while leveraging Bitcoin as the settlement backbone. By delivering extremely low-latency execution, fast smart contracts, and Rust-based tooling, Bitcoin Hyper aims to make wrapped $BTC usable ac…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Rumors about a shadow chairman of the Federal Reserve, a seasonally weak December for the US dollar, and expectations of an overnight rate hike by the Bank of Japan at its upcoming meeting have allowed the euro to take the bull by the horns. EUR/USD quotes surged to their highest levels since late October. Positive statistics from France added fuel to the rally. The composite business activity index of the second-largest economy in the eurozone entered the expansion zone for the first time since the summer of 2024, when Paris hosted the Olympic Games. Business activity in France Despite US tariffs and political turbulence with frequent changes in prime ministers, Franc…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
What to Know: Vanguard’s embrace of spot Bitcoin ETFs adds another giant gatekeeper to the BTC on-ramp, channeling retirement and retail capital into the asset. As Bitcoin becomes an ETF-friendly macro asset, traders seeking more upside are rotating toward higher-risk ecosystem plays and infrastructure tokens. Bitcoin Hyper targets Bitcoin’s limitations on speed, fees, and programmability by integrating SVM on a modular Layer 2 anchored to $BTC settlement. The Bitcoin Layer 2 race is intensifying as projects compete to capture DeFi, gaming, and payments flows that the base Bitcoin network cannot natively support. For years, Vanguard stood out as the big asset manager …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin’s recent price action has taken an unexpected turn as on-chain data shows whale transactions collapsing to levels not seen in two months. This lack of activity from whale addresses has seen the meme coin falling to an important support area, and it raises the question about whether big players are stepping back from the meme coin. Dogecoin Whale Activity Falls To Its Lowest Level In 60 Days Data from on-chain analytics platform Santiment reveals that large transactions on the Dogecoin blockchain recently fell to as low as just 4 in a single day, marking a two-month low in whale participation. Santiment classifies whale transaction count as transactions with a va…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
USDX: Considering the current situation and investor expectations, the US dollar will continue to trade under pressure in the near term. A breakout below the round level of 99.00 will confirm the resumption of the downtrend. Futures on the US dollar index were trading at 99.00 in the first half of today's European trading session, as investors were assessing macroeconomic data and the Fed's next policy moves. According to data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut at the Fed's December meeting has changed from 85.6% to 89.2%. Drivers of market sentiment Macroeconomic indicators The latest economic data shows a sl…
Last reply by Ben Graham,