Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12349 tópicos neste fórum
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Markets are back on edge this morning thanks in part to rising tension between the US-Iran. Safe havens are once again experiencing inflows with Gold hitting an Asian session high around $3377/oz. For more, read Asia mid-session: Safe haven resurgence with Gold resuming bullish move close Source: TradingView.com (click to enlarge) …
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks Advance Most Read: EUR/JPY Forecast: Support at 175.00 Holds the Key to Immediate Bullish Continuation Stock markets were mostly up across Asia on Thursday, driven by a strong rebound in the chip sector and a good start to the US earnings season. Japan’s Nikkei index climbed 1.2%, heavily boosted by chip and Artificial Intelligence (AI) related stocks. This momentum increased after Taiwanese chip giant TSMC announced record earnings, and also because political developments raised the chances that pro-stimulus lawmaker Sanae Takaichi would become Japan's next Prime Minister. Even though the announcement came after its market closed, Taiwa…
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Asia Market Wrap - Tech Stocks Drag Indexes Lower Most Read: Gold (XAU/USD) Hovers at $3350/oz, Russia-Ukraine Developments in Focus Global stocks took a break after a record run, as a big drop in major tech companies pulled markets down. Futures suggest more losses ahead. The MSCI Asia-Pacific index (excluding Japan) fell over 1%, Japan's Nikkei dropped 1.7%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Tech Index lost 1.3%. Big names like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing and SoftBank were among the biggest losers. Market participants pulled back from tech stocks, which have been leading the market, worried that the rally since April has gone too far, too fast. RBNZ Deliver Dovish Rat…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Shares Take a Breath After Record Rally Most Read: Fed (FOMC) Meeting Preview: 25 bps Cut Appears Baked In, Forward Guidance Is Key. Implications for the DXY, Dow Jones and S&P 500 Asian stocks had a mixed day, moving between small gains and losses. This happened as investors waited for the US Federal Reserve's policy decision, with many expecting the central bank to cut interest rates for the first time this year. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index initially fell but then recovered to gain 0.1%. In Hong Kong, Chinese technology stocks soared to their highest level in four years, driven by growing excitement and demand related to artificial intell…
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Asia Market Wrap - Nikkei Extends Gains, President Trump Signs Executive Order on Japan Deal Most Read: GBP/USD Forecast: Cable Recovers but the Outlook Remains Murky. WIll NFP Data Serve as a Catalyst? On Friday morning, the positive feeling from a strong day on Wall Street carried over to Asian stock markets. This happened because new information continues to show that the U.S. job market is slowing down, which makes investors more confident that the U.S. central bank will cut interest rates this month. As a result, Asian stocks rose by 0.7%, and stock markets in mainland China also bounced back after they had dropped on Thursday. Japan's Nikkei .N225 rose 0.9% a…
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Asia Market Wrap - Positive Sentiment Wanes A seven-day global stock rally slowed down in Asia as uncertainty about the Federal Reserve’s plans for interest rate cuts made investors more cautious. The MSCI All Country World Index dropped 0.2% as Asian stocks ended their longest winning streak since January. Hong Kong shares fell 1.1%, and Japan’s Topix index slipped 0.8% after hitting a record high on Thursday. Strong US jobs data on Thursday weakened the argument for Fed rate cuts. While no rate cut is expected at next week’s Fed meeting, expectations for further cuts this year have dropped to less than two after jobless claims fell for the sixth week in a row. Fi…
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Asia Market Wrap - Tech Stocks Falter as China Eyes Rare Earth Curbs Again Most Read: Why the end of the US shutdown sparks a huge rally in Stocks The positive momentum in global stock markets, which had been boosted by the hopeful news of a deal to end the US government shutdown, fizzled out in Asian trading. This change was caused by reports that China plans to restrict its exports of rare earth minerals to the US, which brought back worries about trade tensions. The main index for Asia-Pacific stocks (MSCI) first went up but then reversed its direction, dropping by 0.3%, with Chinese markets falling the most. China's main stock benchmark dropped 0.9%. Japan's Nikkei…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Shares Cautious Most Read: USD/JPY Price Outlook: Key Levels, BoJ, and Political Risks Asian stock markets showed mixed results on Tuesday, ultimately struggling to gain ground as optimism about potential US-China trade talks was offset by doubts about whether the two nations could reach a lasting agreement. Initially, broader Asian indexes saw some gains, but those quickly faded to trade flat. A new front in the trade war opened as the US and China began imposing port fees on shipping firms. Consequently, markets like Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index dropped 0.4%, and mainland Chinese blue-chip stocks slipped 0.1%. However, some markets were booste…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks on Course for Solid Week Most Read: AUD/USD Forecast: Are Fresh Highs Incoming After RBA Rate Hold? Asian stock markets were heading for solid weekly gains on Friday, largely because of growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut US interest rates soon. This positive outlook helped calm market nerves surrounding the US government shutdown, which has simultaneously pushed gold prices to record highs and caused the US dollar to weaken. Investors have mostly ignored the shutdown, which is the 15th since 1981, even though it has resulted in the suspension of financial oversight and delayed the release of crucial economic data, inc…
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Asia Market Wrap - Asian Stocks Advance Most Read: USD/JPY Price Outlook: Key Levels, BoJ, and Political Risks Asian stocks advanced as tech stocks continue to drive the rally. It seems the deal between Advanced Micro Devices and OpenAI gave investors a boost. The MSCI Asian‑Pacific Index was up about 0.3 percent, touching a record level. Japanese shares kept climbing, while worldwide markets also nudged toward peaks. Yet worries about a US government shutdown and turmoil in France seemed to push some people toward safe assets. Gold and Bitcoin both hit fresh highs. A sign that concerns still linger? Tech firms still anchor the global rise. The AMD‑OpenAI partnership c…
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Asia Market Wrap - Tech Shares Lead the Way, SoftBank Up 9% Most Read: US CPI Preview: Implications for the DXY & Federal Reserve Major benchmarks for Japan, South Korea, and mainland China increased, while those for Australia and Hong Kong decreased. MSCI’s Asia-Pacific index was unchanged following five straight days of increases. Japan's Nikkei .N225 gained 1.2% to hit a record as tech, energy and utilities firms jumped. South Korean shares .KS11 rose 0.6%. Asian technology stocks had a strong day, thanks to a huge surge in Oracle's stock. This boosted stock markets in Japan, Taiwan, and South Korea to new record highs, even though the session was expected t…
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Friday's ecstatic trading brought all risk-assets including Equity indices, cryptocurrencies and FX currencies higher. But Participants, having time to digest the switch of tone from Powell's Jackson Hole speech over the week-end, have backed up on their euphoric pricing. Nonetheless, US Indices have made quite a move, particularly the Dow Jones making new all-time highs. The Nasdaq is trying to re-enter its longer-run upward channel, the S&P 500 retests its record highs and the US 30 made a break-retest pattern which could potentially lead to a further technical rebound. For other news, US President Trump fired FED's Cook yesterday amid mortgage fraud allegation…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for August 29 Today's session brought some extra volatility to complement a fairly dull trading week – Forex Markets had no idea of where to go, with all major pairs rangebound since the weekly open. Some month-end flows brought Silver and Gold to their highs, and since the end of the London session, Equities have sold off. Month-end profit-taking is nothing to be afraid off particularly amid ever-growing stock indices, but after a few months of (relative) calm in geopolitics, it seems that tensions are on the rise again. European powerhouses (France, Germany and the UK) are mad at Iran for not respecting atomic dea…
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Week in review: Fed Delivers Hawkish Surprise The week draws to a close on a positive note after starting out with a host of risks to consider. However, one by one those risks were navigated and a positive outlook has emerged, for now. US-China have agreed on some key points of a potential trade deal averting what markets feared may spiral into a new cold war of sorts. The meeting between Trump-Xi Jinping did deliver an outcome and one which was cheered by market participants. The question now is, will the deal hold and be built upon or will we get another flare up in a few weeks/months? Next up we had the Federal Reserve meeting which caught market participants by sur…
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Week in review Wall Street's main indexes surged on Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted at a possible interest rate cut during his speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium. The Dow Jones rose 887.83 points (1.99%) to a record high of 45,680.14. The S&P 500 gained 102.14 points (1.61%) to 6,472.31, and the Nasdaq climbed 421.85 points (2.00%) to 21,520.79. Ten of the 11 S&P 500 sectors were up, with consumer discretionary stocks jumping nearly 3% and communication services rising 2.3%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index soared 3.3%, while major growth stocks also saw gains, led by Tesla, which rose 5.7%. The Russell 2000 Index, which is sensiti…
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Week in review: Markets Buoyed Ahead of FOMC Meeting The week draws to a close with risk assets largely buoyed by the prospect of an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve. On Friday, the main US stock market indexes all moved slightly higher. The Dow Jones gained 236.46 points (a 0.49% rise), the S&P 500 increased by 31.44 points (a 0.46% gain), and the Nasdaq rose by 131.27 points (a 0.56% increase). Read More: US Dollar Index (DXY) Slips as Rate Cut Bets Remain Unchanged Post US PCE and University of Michigan Data Looking ahead to next week, Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to have a significant debate: should they lower interest rates, or keep them s…
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Week in review: Sentiment jumps around between positive CPI & PPI reports and major geopolitical turmoil The week began quietly across most asset classes, except for cryptocurrencies—Bitcoin surged to the $110,000 level before pulling back. Forex markets remained subdued as participants awaited key US inflation data, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) released on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. One recurring theme was the underwhelming progress in US-China talks, which yielded few concrete outcomes beyond commitments to continue discussions. We got two consecutive Inflation reports that were welcomed news for markets wi…
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Week in review US stocks finished the week strong on Friday, recovering from a rocky start earlier in the week. The rise was driven mostly by technology companies, which performed well enough to outweigh heavy losses in consumer stocks like Nike. Big tech companies continued to gain value, following a surge of optimism sparked on Thursday when chipmaker Micron Technology released a very positive financial forecast. This renewed investor confidence in Artificial Intelligence (AI) stocks, which had recently been struggling due to worries that they were becoming too expensive. Several specific companies saw major gains. Micron shares hit an all-time high, while Nvidia sto…
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Week in review: Tariff Uncertainty Drags On Read More: S&P 500, Dow Jones Q3 Outlook: Tariffs, Tech, and Small Cap Concerns The July 9 tariff deadline has come and gone and market participants are still left with a lot of questions. Trade deals have begun to filter through but the majority of countries are still locked in negotiations with the US as the tariff implementation date of August 1 beckons. close Source:TradingView.Com (click to enlarge) …
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Week in review: Israel-Iran Ceasefire and upbeat market sentiment (but?) Markets had been enjoying from renewed positive sentiment after the US intervened in the Israel-Iran conflict which led to the reaching of a ceasefire agreement. The news sent Equities booming higher after a choppy past two weeks. The Nasdaq reached new all-time highs on Wednesday and the S&P 500 joined its tech-focused brother just yesterday – Both indices had been pursuing their bullish impulses before this early afternoon's change in mood. Donald Trump just announced that he is cancelling trade talks with Canada and the resumption of trade sanctions on Iran, sending stock markets b…
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Week in review A week that seemed like it might be a busy one from a data perspective did not deliver. Markets were braced for US jobs numbers and the NFP report which never arrived after the US congress failed to agree on funding. This led to a Government shutdown, something which occurred during the first Trump administration as well. Since the official government jobs report was delayed, some people turned to the ADP employment estimate instead, a report that measures only private-sector jobs. This report, which is sometimes unreliable compared to the official data, was quite negative this week. It showed that the US private sector lost 32,000 jobs in September. …
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Week in review - Fed Delivers Cut but Keeps Markets in Check A busy week that was still dominated by the highly anticipated Federal Reserve Meeting. I have to say, hats off to Fed Chair Powell who kept markets in check whether you think he is right or wrong in his decision. Believe me there is support in both camps. Fed Chair Powell in particular has been under pressure from the political sphere while labor data and mixed economic signals put the Fed Chair in the firing line. The Fed board itself faced a key decision as markets have turned extremely dovish in expectations ahead of the meeting. The message from the Fed balanced market expectations while not giving too m…
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Week in review: Strictly risk-on Markets, Non-Farm Payrolls beat & US Deals This week was heavily focused around the US with Indices hitting almost daily all-time highs in a stringent euphoric mood, with markets turning from War fears back to "TACO" trades, bullish on global economic outlook. One thing to note is that asset managers are increasingly more bullish on stocks and market mood maybe a bit too euphoric, which may pull positioning too far on one side and lead to higher volatility in case of bad news – with some catalysts coming with the July 9th Trump deadline. In terms of data, markets saw ECB inflation rates consolidating around 2% with some pol…
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Week in Review - Equities with Fresh All-Time Highs Another inflation print from the US and focus still remains on the labor market where unemployment claims saw a significant spike this week. This leaves the Fed in a position where anything but a rate cut next week could send markets spinning. Inflation data this week did flash some warning signs. Looking at the data, tariff driven price pressure leaks through the economy, though it looks different across categories. Food prices seem to climb a bit, while many non‑essential items are easing. Yet the worry for a typical Fed watcher is not the direct cost of imported goods. It is more about the rise in service costs tha…
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Week in review Another week has passed by and the US government shutdown continues. Despite this the week was still full of volatility as markets grappled with the ongoing US-China stalemate as well as concerns around the US banking sector later in the week. As a result safe havens continued to thrive with Gold prices soaring to near $4400/oz before falling around 2.7% on Friday. The drop in Gold came about as President Trump provided a sliver of hope on US-China relations saying "not sustainable" and that he would meet with Xi Jinping in South Korea in a few weeks. US equities enjoyed a mixed week and struggled on Thursday weighed down by Banking Stocks. US banks borr…
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