Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12200 tópicos neste fórum
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On Monday, the deputies of the lower house of the French parliament (the National Assembly) are set to support a vote of no confidence in the government of Prime Minister Francois Bayrou. There is little doubt about this, judging by prior statements from key political parties. The incumbent (for now) head of government needs either the support or at least the abstention of the far-right or left-wing members. Together, they have a total of 353 votes, while the pro-government factions have 210. A simple majority is enough for the vote, so if either the right or the left supports Bayrou, he stays as prime minister. But even before the vote, it is already clear this will …
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The closer the vote of no confidence, the higher the EUR/USD rises. Investors have stopped fearing the resignation of the Francois Barnier government. He made an act of self-immolation by demanding either to be dismissed or to accept a plan to reduce France's budget deficit from 5.4% to 4.6% of GDP. This involves raising taxes and cutting government spending. Neither the left nor the right parties want to go along with this. Yet the euro is rising, looking at Japan as an example. Dynamics of French and German Debt While Barnier's resignation had been talked about for some time, the resignation of Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba came as a surprise. The yen reacted w…
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In the latest “The Weekly Insight,” analyst @CryptoinsightUK places XRP at the center of the next market advance—mapping a five-wave structure that targets Wave 3 ≈ $6.50, Wave 4 holding > $5, and Wave 5 ≈ $9.69. The call is anchored in XRP’s relative strength and a broader macro setup that he describes bluntly: “I’m bullish. I’m bullish. I’m bullish.” Near term, he concedes Bitcoin can still “dip in the short term and reclaim some of the liquidity sitting below us,” but he argues that any shakeout precedes an aggressive upswing that should favor leaders like XRP. The author’s relative-strength case is explicit: “XRP has been leading the way this cycle,” adding it “…
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As Ethereum (ETH) trades slightly above $4,300, some crypto analysts opine that the cryptocurrency’s current trend shows enough structural health. However, they also caution that a lack of funding rates across exchanges means low demand for ETH, which may limit its breakout momentum. Ethereum’s Latest Rally Shows Structural Strength According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor ShayanMarkets, Ethereum’s funding rates across exchanges are relatively muted when compared to the digital asset’s last three major highs. For instance, during the first major high in early 2024, ETH funding rates across crypto exchanges had surged to 0.8, suggesting excessive long po…
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Bitcoin’s price has spent the past week hovering within a tight band and bouncing between $108,000 and $112,000 without any clear direction yet. There have been multiple rejections at the $112,000 price level and technical analysis shows pressure around the 200-day moving averages on the four-hour chart. Notably, a technical analysis shared by crypto analyst Daan Crypto shows Bitcoin is at risk of a breakdown below $100,000, but bulls still have a chance to stage a recovery rally in the weeks ahead. Analyst Warns About Sweep Of Monthly Lows In his latest post on the social media platform X, Daan Crypto Trades noted that Bitcoin is currently indecisive, and its price ac…
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Marimaca Copper (TSX: MARI) (ASX: MC2) has secured approximately A$80 million ($53 million) in funding commitment from investors outside of Canada for its projects in Chile’s Antofagasta region. Under the brokered placement announced last week, Marimaca plans to sell approximately 8.25 million CHESS Depositary Interests (CDI) on the Australian market at A$9.70 per CDI. New institutional investors as well as existing shareholders are expected to participate, with demand significantly exceeding the targeted quantum, the company said. The Vancouver-based copper developer currently has a diverse shareholder register that includes Greenstone, Assore International and M…
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Canadian miner Vizsla Silver (TSX, NYSE: VZLA) hired Australia’s Macquarie Bank as lead arranger of a $220 million maximum financing package for the construction and development of the Panuco silver-gold project in Mexico. Macquarie is to act as sole underwriter of the project finance facility, keeping a 70% interest and syndicating the rest, according to a Vizsla statement released Friday. Macquarie will be responsible for coordinating the syndication process and ongoing project monitoring. Combined with about $200 million of cash on the company’s balance sheet following an equity financing in June, “Vizsla is well positioned to fully fund the $224 million capex …
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For GBP/USD, the wave pattern continues to indicate the formation of a bullish impulse structure. The wave picture is almost identical to EUR/USD, since the only "culprit" remains the dollar. Demand for it is declining across the market in the medium term, so many instruments are showing nearly the same dynamics. At present, wave 4 is presumably complete. If this is correct, the instrument will continue rising within impulse wave 5. Wave 4 could take on a five-wave form, but this is not the most likely scenario. It should be remembered that much in the currency market now depends on Donald Trump's policies, and not only in trade. From time to time, positive news emerges f…
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The crypto market slipped into a risk-off mood over the weekend as the Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell to 44, moving from Neutral into Fear. Traders Shift Toward Large Caps Santiment said a heavy focus on large-caps can signal more cautious behavior among traders. Based on reports, that pattern was visible on Saturday when market activity narrowed and attention tightened around the biggest tokens. According to data firm Santiment, traders are pulling money out of obscure altcoins and putting it back into major names like Bitcoin, Ether, and XRP. Bitfinex analysts added that a broader return of momentum to smaller coins may wait until more spot crypto ETFs launch la…
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Most Read: WTI Oil Rallies 1.8% as Russian Supply Concerns Outweigh Modest OPEC + Output Hike Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has been moving higher at a grind since the beginning of September and is up nearly 2% over the last two days. Friday saw a significant spike for Bitcoin in a similar manner to Gold and other US Dollar denominated assets, but in the case of Bitcoin, the gains were surrendered before the end of the day. Whales are Offloading Coins at the Fastest Pace Since 2022 According to @caueconomy on X and on-chain data, in the last thirty days, whale reserves have fallen by more than 100,000 BTC, signaling intense risk aversion among large investors. This selling pressur…
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All eyes are laying on one asset class in Markets: Precious Metals The usual suspect: Gold, A.K.A. The Bullion (or just "bully" for people who are caught short). Gold has always been a very complex asset. It does not have a face value yet it serves as store of value for many Central Banks. It cannot be eaten yet people always starve for it. And these days, it not-only is at the center of the 2025 Trump-Administration deglobalization theme but also a good edge against every potential catalyst against positive sentiment this year: Rate cuts? Wars? Fiscal catastrophes? Political instability (France, Japan, US, UK, ...) Bonds haven't seen much demand since the end of the …
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Solana (SOL) is once again back in the spotlight as bullish momentum returns to the crypto market. After briefly touching $212 last week, the altcoin retraced to around $209 but has held strong, sparking renewed optimism among traders. Analysts now see a potential rally toward the $250 level, supported by growing institutional flows and speculation around a Solana spot ETF. Bitget Wallet’s CMO Jamie Elkaleh noted that “ETF conversations around SOL are further amplifying interest,” pointing to the more favorable regulatory tone emerging in the U.S. Market watchers believe a Solana ETF could drive adoption at scale, positioning SOL as one of the strongest altcoins to bu…
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Benefitting from a weak nonfarm payrolls report last week, recent demand for precious metals has secured a fresh yearly high for silver, trading at around $41.2708 at the time of writing. Silver trades +0.68% higher in today's session. Silver (XAG/USD): Key takeaways from today’s session With last week’s price action representing silver’s best weekly performance since early June, US labour data significantly missing expectations has further increased rate cut bets, benefitting non-yielding precious metalsOtherwise, persistent inflation, spiralling US debt, and generalised lack of economic confidence are offering a significant tailwind to silver pricingSilver (XAG/USD):…
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Despite recent volatility and price swings, XRP has remained firm above critical support levels, with technical indicators suggesting a possible breakout. Crypto analysts who closely monitor momentum on the daily time frame, particularly the Relative Strength Index (RSI), indicate that XRP bulls are regaining strength, paving the way for a potential move above the $ 3.60 mark. RSI Turns Bullish As XRP Eyes Higher Levels In his latest analysis on X social media, crypto market expert Dark Defender noted that XRP’s price structure is holding steady above essential support zones, with the $2.85 level emerging as a pivotal point in the current cycle. Previously identified as…
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How do retirement account withdrawals affect my Social Security taxes? Quick take: This guide explains how retirement withdrawals affect Social Security taxes via provisional income thresholds, timing, and account type—plus tactics to legally reduce the tax bite. Key takeaways Provisional income determines if up to 50%–85% of benefits become taxable. Traditional IRA/401(k) withdrawals raise AGI and can trigger taxation of benefits. Roth IRA withdrawals (qualified) are not included in AGI and don’t raise provisional income. Timing matters: spreading withdrawals and coordinating with RMDs can lower taxes. Plan ahead with conversions, QCDs, and drawdown sequencing to manag…
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Canadian pension fund La Caisse, together with Australia’s Clean Energy Finance Corp. (CEFC), is investing A$250 million in the launch of a diversified agricultural platform designed to generate Australian carbon credit units (ACCUs). The platform — named Meldora — will combine sustainable agricultural production with large-scale environmental plantings under the ACCU scheme, a joint statement said on Monday. Underpinning the investment is a commitment by global miner Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO) to serve as a “foundational offtaker” for the carbon credits generated by Meldora. The firm’s aim is to halve its scope 1 and 2 emissions by 2030 from 2018 levels, and the credit…
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Trade review and tips for trading the Japanese yen The price test of 147.98 occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving downward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair declined toward the target level of 147.43. During the U.S. session, consumer credit data may once again push USD/JPY higher. This is because an increase in consumer credit reflects growing consumer confidence and, consequently, strengthening of the U.S. economy. A strong U.S. economy traditionally supports the dollar. However, it is important to remember that the forex market is influenced by many factors, and while credit statistics …
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Trade review and tips for trading the British pound The price test of 1.3511 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. The absence of U.K. statistics held back the pound's upward momentum. Technical analysis also points to the possibility of a correction. Overbought signals and divergence on daily charts warn of weakening bullish momentum. A break of key support levels could trigger sellers' activity and strengthen the downtrend. In the second half of the day, traders will focus on U.S. consumer credit data, where overly strong figures could lead to a decline in GBP/USD. This is because robust c…
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Trade review and tips for trading the euro The price test of 1.1735 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved well above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. In the first half of the day, the euro received some support from positive data on German industrial production growth. However, unlike the reaction to Friday's U.S. labor market data, there was no significant continuation of the upward move. In the second half of the day, the economic calendar does not contain events likely to cause major market swings. While the release of U.S. consumer credit data is of some interest, it is unlikely to be a dec…
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Today, trading the euro and pound through the Mean Reversion strategy was difficult. Using Momentum, I only traded the Japanese yen, which rose sharply against the U.S. dollar. Strong data on German industrial production supported the euro in the first half of the day. The pound also attempted to rise, but these moves were not very successful. It seems traders preferred to lock in profits after the initial optimism caused by expectations of Fed rate cuts, offsetting the positive impact of individual macroeconomic indicators. Technically, the EUR/USD pair is consolidating in a narrow range, not yet showing a clear direction. A breakout of the upper boundary could open the …
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Centerra Gold (TSX: CG, NYSE: CGAU) agreed to buy 9.9% of Liberty Gold (TSX: LGD) for about C$28 million to add a stake in a junior miner that’s focused on developing its Black Pine open-pit project in Idaho. The deal disclosed Monday calls for Centerra to acquire just over 50 million Liberty Gold common shares at C$0.56 apiece. This represents a 10% premium to the stock’s five-day volume-weighted average price on the Toronto Stock Exchange and a 5.7% premium to Friday’s close. Centerra gains the right to appoint one board member and maintain its ownership stake in the future, according to a Liberty Gold statement. “We have recently observed a resurgence in in…
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The Non-Farm Payrolls released on Friday provided a wide range of reactions, between the initial increased-rate cuts pricing boost to rising fears of an economic downturn in the world's largest economy. Uncertainty in the US continues as participants await Wednesday's PPI release (last month was a surprise, renewing tariff-led inflations fears) and more importantly, Thursday's CPI data. Friday's US Labor release have only confirmed one round of the multiple headwinds coming up for Markets – The US Dollar is stalling its descent against majors as a potential beat on inflation expectations would disallow a 50 bps cut in the 17th of September FOMC Meeting. In the meantime…
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Dogecoin (DOGE) is leading the altcoin market higher as speculation surrounding a potential Rex-Osprey Dogecoin ETF intensifies. The memecoin surged 7% in the past 24 hours, climbing to $0.231, with daily trading volume spiking 123% to $2.6 billion. According to prediction market Polymarket, the odds of DOGE ETF approval this week stand at 94%. Experts suggest such an approval could mark a turning point for Dogecoin, potentially placing it alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum in the regulated ETF landscape. Nate Geraci, President of NovaDius Wealth Management, noted on X that the “first Dogecoin ETF appears likely to launch this week,” fueling excitement across the crypto co…
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Kinross Gold (TSX: K, NYSE: KGC) has reduced its holding in Asante Gold (CSE: ASE) by nearly half following the sale of 29.85 million shares at C$1.55 per share for total proceeds of C$46.3 million. The shares sold by Kinross represent approximately 44.7% of its holding in Asante, and 4.2% of Asante’s outstanding share capital. The sale price is a discount over the stock’s market open price of C$1.62 on Monday. By midday, Asante’s shares traded at C$1.65 apiece, down 4.1% for the session, with a market capitalization of C$813 million. Meanwhile, Kinross traded 2% higher at $31.24 per share, capitalizing it at C$37.6 billion. Following the sale, Kinross still h…
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Chile’s state-owned copper miner Codelco and SQM (NYSE: SQM), the world’s second-largest lithium producer, are close to finalizing a landmark partnership to jointly extract lithium from the Atacama salt flats. The deal first signed in December 2023, stems from President Gabriel Boric’s national lithium strategy, which placed Codelco at the helm of all operations in strategic salt flats. Under the agreement, SQM will hand over a majority stake in its Atacama operations to Codelco in exchange for extending its production rights until 2060. The pact is expected to be concluded within weeks, though it still requires antitrust approvals, including from regulators in C…
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