Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12211 tópicos neste fórum
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Crypto markets head into what could be a regime-setting macro week as “this week could reshape everything for the Fed and markets,” warned the @_Investinq account in a weekend thread that laid out a dense sequence of US macro catalysts landing between Tuesday and Friday. While the posts weren’t about crypto per se, the chain of events they describe—labor‐market revisions, wholesale and consumer inflation, jobless claims, energy inventories, and consumer expectations—map almost one-for-one onto the key drivers of the US dollar and Treasury yields. Those, in turn, are the two macro levers that most reliably move digital assets, with bitcoin historically trading inversely t…
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The EURUSD is seeing a modest bounce from Friday’s closing levels. Recall that the pair surged sharply on Friday but gave back some of those gains into the close. That late-session correction dipped to the top of a key swing area between 1.16920 and 1.17028, where buyers stepped in. In early trading today, the low once again held against that support before rotating higher. On the hourly chart, the European morning rally extended toward another important resistance zone—defined by swing highs from August between 1.1730 and 1.17419. Sellers leaned against the upper edge of that area, with the session high stalling at 1.17421. The pair is now trading back within the zone ne…
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Pan American Silver (NYSE, TSX: PAAS) reported major drill results from its La Colorada mine in Zacatecas, Mexico, pointing to new high-grade silver veins that could expand mineral resources, extend mine life and improve economics. The company’s shares rose 3.6% to $35.80 in pre-market trading in New York following the news. Pan American, with a market capitalization of $15.1 billion, called the results a key success of its ongoing exploration program targeting the eastern zone of La Colorada, its largest silver-producing mine. Senior vice-president of exploration and geology, Christopher Emerson, said drilling identified high-grade intercepts both below and along…
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Xinhua is reporting China PM Xi speaking and says: Should adhere to openness and win-win cooperationMaintain the international economic and economic trade orderHe adds that: Certain countries severely impact world economy with a trade war.U.S.–China trade tensions remain high, with recent data showing China’s exports slowing to their weakest pace in six months and shipments to the U.S. plunging by over 30%, underscoring the weight of tariffs on both sides. Recall that the Trump administration extended its tariff truce with Beijing through November 10, keeping average duties around 30% but avoiding fresh hikes for now. This article was writt…
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Markets had been desperately awaiting the Non-Farm Payrolls report before making their next move. Yet even after the release, uncertainty remains. Non-Farm Payrolls and their impact on the upcoming weeks Markets had been waiting for today for a while. This Friday brought us the all-important Non-Farm Payrolls report for August, and the numbers were certainly a surprise. The consequential miss—with just 22K new jobs vs 75K exp, and further downward revisions—paints a degrading picture for the labor market. While this would have spurred an immediate risk-off reaction, stocks opened slightly higher, but the reaction quickly shifted when the US equity markets opened, and…
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The USD is mostly lower to start the US trading day/week (the exception is the vs the JPY after Prime Minister Ishiba's resignation) after the August 2025 U.S. jobs report which showed a sharp slowdown in hiring, with nonfarm payrolls rising just 22,000, well below expectations, while the unemployment rate climbed to 4.3%, its highest since 2021. Job losses were seen in manufacturing, construction, and government, offset only by modest gains in healthcare, retail, and leisure. The prior months were revised downward, reinforcing the trend of weakening labor demand. The three-month average of U.S. nonfarm payrolls is currently about 29,000 jobs per month, well below the 12-…
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Fidelity introduced the Fidelity Digital Interest Token (FDIT), an Ethereum-based tokenized share of the U.S. Treasury securities and cash equivalents, on August 4, 2025. This marks Fidelity’s official entry into the landscape of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs). Earlier this month, the funds have spiraled to over $200M in assets. However, there has been minimal investor participation so far. Records show that only two holders have been identified so far — one holds almost $1M in tokens, and the other manages the rest. While Fidelity hasn’t made any official announcement yet, the Institution’s earlier SEC filing may have laid the groundwork for this launch. Nonethe…
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Ethereum is currently trading at a critical price level after several days of tight consolidation. Just two weeks ago, ETH reached a new all-time high, marking a local top that could signal a pause in its strong rally. Since then, price action has narrowed into a range, reflecting both profit-taking and caution from traders. Still, the underlying fundamentals remain supportive of Ethereum’s long-term outlook. Whale accumulation continues to play a vital role, as large investors steadily add ETH to their holdings, signaling confidence in further upside. In addition, supply on exchanges has been trending lower, reducing immediate selling pressure and creating a favorable …
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Headlines: Gold powers through $3,600 as the upside breakout continues to runGold remains supported amid dovish Fed bets and weaker US dataUSD/JPY looks to close the opening gap as the session gets underwayEURUSD is threatening a breakout of the month-long rangeHow have interest rates expectations changed after the NFP report?Eurozone September Sentix investor confidence -9.2 vs -2.0 expectedGermany July trade balance €14.7 billion vs €15.3 billion expectedGermany July industrial production +1.3% vs +1.0% m/m expectedSNB chairman Schlegel: There is a high bar to negative ratesHeads up: French prime minister Bayrou set to face confidence vote laterJapan's ruling LDP party …
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Most Read: Markets Today: Japan PM Resigns, Gold Above $3600/oz, China Exports Miss Forecasts, FTSE 100 Holds at Support Oil prices have risen as much as 1.8% at the start of the week as Oil pares last week's losses. The rally this morning has come as a surprise to some quarters after eight OPEC + members agreed to lift output by 137,000 bpd from October. However, the move by OPEC + was seen as more modest than expected and thus saw market participants shrug off the potential consequences. On top of that, markets are focused on the possibility of more sanctions on Russian crude.after Russia hit Ukraine with its biggest air attack since the start of the war. For now, conce…
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Most Read: Markets Today: Japan PM Resigns, Gold Above $3600/oz, China Exports Miss Forecasts, FTSE 100 Holds at Support Oil prices have risen as much as 1.8% at the start of the week as Oil pares last week's losses. The rally this morning has come as a surprise to some quarters after eight OPEC + members agreed to lift output by 137,000 bpd from October. However, the move by OPEC + was seen as more modest than expected and thus saw market participants shrug off the potential consequences. On top of that, markets are focused on the possibility of more sanctions on Russian crude.after Russia hit Ukraine with its biggest air attack since the start of the war. For now, conce…
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Fundamental Overview Crude oil looked set for a rally into the 70.00 level last week after some key technical breakouts but eventually dropped all the way back to the most recent low around the 61.45 level. The catalysts were the Reuters report saying that OPEC+ was set to hike output at the Sunday’s meeting again, and then the soft US data that threw in some economic slowdown fears. The market positioned bearish into the weekend in a classic “buy the rumour” move. Over the weekend, OPEC+ hiked output by 137K bpd per month and said that adding the remainder of the 1.66 million barrels of cuts will be contingent on “evolving market conditions” and increases could even be …
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Polkadot crypto might be out of the top 30, slipping below Toncoin (TON crypto) and Cronos (CRO) in the market cap ranking. However, this does not mean DOT USD is not being watched. DOT USD is firm at spot rates, and the candlestick arrangement suggests that the Polkadot price is primed for major gains that could propel it to new H2 2025 highs in the coming sessions. Coingecko data shows that Polkadot crypto has been stable in the past day and week, adding roughly +5%. At this pace, DOT USD is shaking off the weakness seen from mid-August 2025, finding a solid footing for possible gains. Still, DOT crypto has not completely reversed losses of the past year, and is down…
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The token behind MYX Finance, a decentralized exchange for perpetual derivatives, surged more than +173% in a single day. Let’s dive into what’s driving this surge. The spike pushed its fully diluted valuation close to $3Bn, but market watchers say the move may not be entirely organic. MYX Finance runs a non-custodial exchange that uses a “Matching Pool Mechanism” to reduce slippage by pooling liquidity. It also allows trades across multiple blockchains, positioning itself as a leaner alternative to centralized futures markets. The platform highlights capital efficiency as a key feature. How Did MYX Price Jump Over +173%? MyohoPriceMarket CapMYX$0.0024h7d30d1yAll time …
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Nvidia has struck a $1.5 billion agreement with cloud startup Lambda to lease 18,000 of its own GPU servers from Lambda over four years. In this article, we will unpack why Nvidia took this step, what forecasts and risks lie ahead for the company, and how traders might capitalize on the situation. Once again, Nvidia has demonstrated its ability to set the pace in the era of artificial intelligence. The company has inked a $1.5 billion deal with Lambda, a player in cloud computing. Under the agreement, Nvidia will rent 18,000 GPU servers from Lambda over the next four years—the very same units Nvidia originally supplied. This circular flow of GPUs is not just visually st…
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Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO) may be forced to make expensive downstream investments in Guinea as the military-led government pushes for local refining tied to the giant Simandou iron ore project. Authorities in the West African nation, which seized power in 2021, have demanded that miners present firm plans to build domestic processing facilities. Officials argue that smelters and refineries are essential for Guinea to capture more value from its resources and to drive broader economic development. The policy echoes a broader resource-nationalism trend across Africa, where governments are pressing companies to process minerals locally. In Guinea, the world’s second-larges…
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Weak jobs report sparks market sell-offThe stock market reacted to the US employment report, which triggered a sell-off in the S&P 500 index. Weak labor data increased the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts, but investors are concerned about declining corporate earnings. Analysts note that uncertainty in forecasts may heighten volatility in the coming weeks. Follow the link for more details. US indices close lower amid rate cut expectationsUS stock indices ended in negative territory, with the S&P 500 down 0.32%. Expectations of Fed rate cuts strengthened following the weak jobs report, supporting gains in Asian indices. Investors continue to closely m…
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European markets open higher amid a turbulent political week European stock exchanges edged up on Monday, setting the tone for what promises to be a tense and eventful week. The spotlight is on France, where political instability looms once again: the country may soon be searching for its fifth prime minister in just three years. France under pressure: no-confidence vote and credit rating risks Prime Minister Francois Bayrou is expected to face a no-confidence vote later today, a move that could cost him his post. At the same time, the eurozone's second-largest economy is grappling with mounting public debt, while investors brace for the first in a series of sovereign cr…
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The confidence vote is set to take place later this afternoon with the results expected with the results likely to come in around 1500 GMT or after that. Incumbent French prime minister Bayrou is set to be ousted but are markets underestimating the political turmoil that could follow? Well, let's take a look. For the most part, the euro currency has shrugged off the risks associated with the situation in the region's second largest economy. So, that's one clear spot to look at in terms of potential negative reactions from markets. That at least is what Societe Generale is arguing. The firm outlines that the most probable outcomes are either Bayrou loses the vote and a car…
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Wall Street’s appetite for companies holding Bitcoin on their balance sheets is cooling, and investors are starting to show it, according to the New York Digital Investment Group. Greg Cipolaro, the firm’s global head of research, said the disparity between share prices and net asset value (NAV) for major buyers is narrowing even as Bitcoin reached highs earlier this year. He pointed to several forces pushing those premiums down, from looming supply unlocks to increased share issuance. Premiums On The Slide Investor worry over future token unlocks is weighing on prices. Cipolaro listed other drivers: shifting corporate aims among digital-asset treasuries, fresh share …
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Overview: The dollar is mostly consolidating with a softer bias after the disappointing employment report before the weekend. The derivatives market is pricing in about a 10% chance of a 50 bp Fed cut next week, which still seems exaggerated given the likely uptick in headline CPI this week. The Japanese yen is the only G10 currency that is weaker on heels of the resignation of Prime Minister Ishida who saw the surveys that showed a majority of his party wanted a leadership contest this year as a vote of no-confidence. The policy uncertainty weighed on the long-end of the Japanese interest rate, though the 10-year yield slipped and equities rose. Most emerging market curr…
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CryptoQuant analyst ‘caueconomy’ found that Bitcoin whales have dumped roughly $12.7B worth of $BTC over the past month. Shockingly, this marks the largest whale sell-offs since July 2022. These $BTC liquidations are anticipated to keep the #1 crypto’s price under pressure for longer – especially if they’re ongoing. Don’t want to sit in the dip while waiting for the market to perk back up? Then why not check out the best crypto presales? Bitcoin Whale Reserves Down 10K+ $BTC in One Month In a blog post on Friday, ‘caueconomy’ highlighted that holders are offloading $BTC more aggressively. So much so that the #1 crypto has reached its highest distribution levels this yea…
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The USD/CHF pair is trying to rebound from the 0.7950 level but so far without success. The U.S. dollar has been attempting to find support from buyers since the start of the new week, partly offsetting losses after the disappointing U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report, which came in weaker than expected and pushed the currency to its lowest level in more than a month. In addition, the generally optimistic risk sentiment in markets typically reduces demand for the Swiss franc as a safe-haven currency, creating favorable conditions for USD/CHF growth. However, the dollar's strengthening potential is limited by expectations of more decisive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve.…
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Fundamental Overview The USD sold off across the board on Friday following another soft NFP report. The dovish bets on the Fed increased as a result and the market is now expecting three rate cuts by year-end (70 bps). Moreover, we have also an 8% probability of a 50 bps cut in September but that will likely happen only if we get a soft CPI report on Thursday. In that case, the greenback will likely weaken further into the FOMC meeting. Overall, if one zooms out, the US dollar continues to range although the dovish bets on the Fed keep weighing on the currency. Part of that could be the fact that the bearish positioning on the dollar could be overstretched and we might be…
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The Canadian dollar is showing little movement at the start of the week. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3820, down 0.06% on the day. Canada's employment sinks Canada's labor market is deteriorating quickly. In August, employment slipped by 65.5 thousand, the sharpest decline since January 2022. This was well off the market estimate of a 7.5 thousand gain and following the July reading of -40.8 thousand. That's the loss of over 100 thousand jobs in just two months. The massive loss of jobs has been driven by the US-Canada trade war, as many Canadian products have been slapped with 35% tariffs. There was more bad news, as the unemployment rate jumped…
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