Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12195 tópicos neste fórum
-
The main candidate for the position of Federal Reserve Chair next year, Governor Christopher Waller, has sharply changed his stance — a move that has inevitably impacted the currency market. Waller, who is on the administration's short list for the Fed chairmanship, may have felt pressured to act similarly to Stephen Miran, a close ally of President Donald Trump, who is advocating for a radical interest rate cut. By doing so, Waller is effectively building a solid foundation for potential support from the White House administration. However, such a maneuver carries certain risks. On one hand, loyalty to the White House could strengthen his chances of securing the coveted…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
What to Know: $XRP has been in limbo lately due to a market-wide downturn as a result of US President Donald Trump’s China tariff threats. We asked Google’s Gemini AI Assistant what the future holds for the $XRP token, and the response was bullish. Depending on factors, such as the approval of $XRP ETFs, positive news could push the coin’s price to $3 initially, with a new ATH at $4 or beyond also a possibility. The Best Wallet Token is pumping hard and bullish for the coming year. To date, it has raised over $16.6M in its presale. It’s been a tough several weeks for XRP ($XRP), as Ledger’s native token slid sharply after US President Donald Trump’s threat of a fresh …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Dogecoin is back in a familiar posture on multiple timeframes, according to crypto analyst Osemka (@Osemka8), who argues that price action is tracking the “OTHERS” index almost one-for-one and is now deep inside a textbook Wyckoff accumulation. His latest charts—one a decade-long view, the other a daily structure map—frame the current chop as the classic test phase that tends to exhaust both sides before trend continuation. Dogecoin’s Perfect Wyckoff Trap On the long-horizon chart, Dogecoin’s history resolves into a sequence of rounded basing formations that preceded its two vertical advances. The first arc matured from 2014 into 2017 before the initial markup; the secon…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The EUR/USD currency pair remained in a downward trend throughout Thursday. It feels as though the pair has an anchor tied to its leg, slowly pulling it down. There are no compelling reasons for the U.S. dollar to rise, nor for the euro to fall—yet the pair has been declining for a third consecutive week. October started on the wrong foot for the dollar. On October 1, the United States entered another government shutdown, famously tied to Donald Trump's policies. It goes without saying that nothing positive comes out of such an event for either the U.S. economy or the U.S. currency. Today, October 24, the shutdown is still ongoing. In just a few more days, it could break …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Most Read: WTI Oil: Crude rallies above $60 on fresh US sanctions and US million-barrel purchase The annual inflation rate in the US rose slightly to 3.0% in September, the highest since January, but was still lower than the 3.1% forecast. What Went Up: The biggest push came from Energy prices, which jumped 2.8% due to higher costs for fuel oil and a smaller drop in gasoline prices compared to August. Prices for new cars also rose slightly faster. What Slowed Down: The rate of price increases slowed for food, used cars/trucks, and transportation services. Shelter costs (rent/housing) stayed steady at 3.6%. The key point for the market was that the annual Core Inflation ra…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Cooling inflation boosts rate-cut hopes: U.S. CPI and core CPI both came in below expectations in September, fueling market bets that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates as early as its next meeting, with another possible move in December.Markets rally on dovish expectations: Softer inflation data triggered gains across major U.S. stock indices, a drop in 10-year Treasury yields below 4%, and a weaker dollar against the euro.Risks and uncertainty remain: Despite easing price pressures, new tariffs, weak consumer sentiment, and potential data disruptions pose challenges for the Fed as it weighs balancing inflation control with supporting growth. The September c…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
After breaching a significant resistance level around $116,400, Bitcoin retraced to $114,000, with further upside potential. Ethereum also corrected, but it remained above $4,000, which is quite favorable. While the cryptocurrency market surges ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates, a Swiss legislator announced that the country is working to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. This unexpected development signals a growing recognition of digital assets not just as speculative tools but also as potential elements of national financial security. Switzerland, traditionally known for its conservative financial policy, has always been cautious abou…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
In the next 48 hours or so, there will be two major market-moving events. The Federal Reserve and Jerome Powell will announce new interest rates tomorrow, and US President Donald Trump will meet with Premier Xi Jinping the day after. Regardless of the outcome, the BTC USD price will move. So far, there are hints of strength. Even though Bitcoin bulls should build on the series of higher highs posted over the weekend, what’s crucial for structure traders is whether the digital gold will float above $110,000. Presently, the BTC USD price is hovering around $114,000 and $115,000, up +6% in the past week. Although stable, the sharp recovery from October 23 could be the fou…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The NZD/USD pair continues its recovery from the monthly low. At the moment, spot prices are fluctuating within a familiar range and appear ready for further growth amid a favorable fundamental backdrop. A key factor is the easing of trade tensions between the United States and China — the world's two largest economies — which continues to support the Antipodean currencies, including the New Zealand dollar. In addition, on Sunday, senior officials from both countries agreed on the framework of a potential trade deal that will be discussed during the upcoming meeting between Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping later this week. This maintains a positive risk senti…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On Tuesday, bulls for the Japanese yen maintain control. The price failure near the monthly high around 153.25, followed by the subsequent drop, requires caution for bulls in the USD/JPY pair. However, positive oscillators on the daily chart indicate the emergence of buyers at the dip near the round figure of 152.00, from the 151.75 level. A confident breakthrough of the latter would negate the positive outlook, opening the way for deeper losses towards the zone of 151.15–151.00, with intermediate support around 151.50–151.45. On the other hand, the range of 152.83–153.00 now serves as the nearest resistance before the target zone near the monthly high around 153.25–153.3…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Western Union is stepping into the stablecoin space with plans to launch a US dollar–backed token called USDPT on Solana. The token will be issued by Anchorage Digital Bank and is expected to go live sometime in the first half of 2026. It’s a big move for a company that has spent decades operating in the traditional finance world. Fast, Cheap Transfers Are the Main Goal At the core of this decision is a simple goal: make cross-border money transfers faster and cheaper. Instead of waiting days for transactions to settle through old banking networks, Western Union wants to offer near-instant transfers using blockchain. Solana’s low fees and fast speeds are part of what mak…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
XRP price started a fresh increase above $2.550. The price is now facing hurdles above $2.650 and at risk of another decline in the near term. XRP price gained pace for a move above $2.60 and $2.620 before the bears appeared. The price is now trading below $2.60 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $2.6350 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above $2.50. XRP Price Retreats Lower XRP price started a fresh increase after it settled above $2.50, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price surpassed the $2.550 and $2.60 resistance leve…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Good news is abundant, while bad news is virtually nonexistent. Against this backdrop, how can the S&P 500 not rise? The broad stock index reached another record high amid new optimism over trade, rising NVIDIA stock prices, and strong macroeconomic data. However, toward the end of the trading session, investors preferred to play it safe and close some long positions ahead of important reports from the Magnificent Seven companies and the announcements following the FOMC meeting. As a result, the stock market pulled back. The Wall Street Journal insider reports that the White House intends to reduce tariffs on imports related to fentanyl products from 20% to 10%. As a …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Nearly 70% of S&P 500 companies beat sales forecasts in Q3 2025 — the highest share in four years.Strong results highlight the resilience of U.S. firms despite inflation and higher borrowing costs.The trend marks a clear rebound after weaker years following the post-pandemic boom.Investors focus on upcoming Magnificent Seven earnings, likely to move markets more than the Fed’s decision. After the third quarter of 2025, American corporations listed on the S&P 500 index have reported some of their strongest sales results in recent years. According to data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence, nearly 70 percent of companies exceeded analysts’ revenue expectations — …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A coin born of dust, distance, and scarcity In the late summer of 1849, the Great Salt Lake Valley was hungry for a medium of exchange that wasn’t barked bargains or paper promissories. Mormon Battalion veterans and prospectors had brought home glitter from California, merchants and tithing offices had bins of raw dust, but not much coined money. So church leaders set up a tiny mint in an adobe building on South Temple Street, part of it a dentist’s office, where John Kay and others began turning frontier dust into frontier dollars. The shop’s early output included the small but mighty $2.50 piece, practical for daily trade and stamped with a message the community carrie…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
First Quantum Minerals (TSX: FM) said it has made progress in Panama during the third quarter as it advanced the government-approved preservation and safe management program at its suspended Cobre Panama copper mine. Commenting quarterly results, chief executive officer Tristan Pascall said the company, which is preparing for a potential operations restart, finished shipping all remaining copper concentrate, supplies and equipment from the site. The Canadian miner also began pre-commissioning work at the mine’s power plant, where the first 150MW unit is expected to be fired and synchronized with the grid in November. The power will support on-site preservation act…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Immediately after the FOMC meeting, Donald Trump commented on the central bank's decision. The American leader once again demanded a more significant reduction in interest rates to support the economy, but recently, the occupant of the White House has somewhat eased his pressure on the Federal Reserve. This is easily explained. Throughout October, Trump was preoccupied with threats towards India and China. First, he demanded that the two countries cease purchasing Russian energy resources. Then he shifted from words to action, beginning to raise tariffs. New negotiations commenced, during which Trump managed to achieve a reduction in Russia's oil purchases by India—inform…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The environmental legacy impacts of World War II era Project Manhatten – a US-led World War II program to develop nuclear energy capabilities before foreign adversaries could – are still felt across the United States. For decades, thousands of sites associated with abandoned uranium mine waste have remained contaminated — hundreds on or near Navajo and tribal lands — with no clear regulatory pathway for cleanup. On September 30, the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issued a license to Wyoming-based DISA Technologies, authorizing the company to clean up abandoned uranium mine sites across the West and recycle the uranium for domestic energy use — the first …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The American currency remains a main paradox in the currency market. Whereas its movements from January to June raised no questions, given the news background, many questions have arisen in September and October. First, the corrective structure, which was supposed to be simple and clear, unexpectedly began to complicate and take on a very elongated appearance without any clear reason. Second, the demand for the US dollar is rising (as we examined in the previous two reviews), for which there is no basis at all. As a result, the wave analysis is becoming more complex, and many market participants do not understand what is happening. There will be several important events i…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $3,850. ETH is moving lower below $3,800 and might decline further if it trades below $3,680. Ethereum started another bearish wave after it failed to clear $3,920. The price is trading below $3,800 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a rising channel with support at $3,840 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it trades below $3,680. Ethereum Price Dips Again Ethereum price failed to stay in a positive zone and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below $3,880 and $3,850 to enter a bearish zone. There was a clear mov…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[XPD/USD] – [Monday, November 03, 2025] Although both EMAs are still in a Golden Cross formation, the price of XPD/USD is already below both EMAs, and the RSI is in the Neutral-Bearish zone, so that it has the potential to weken today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 1514.12 2. Resistance. 1 : 1478.06 3. Pivot : 1457.78 4. Support. 1 : 1421.72 5. Support. 2 : 1401.44 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 1421.72, XPD/USD could test the 1401.44 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 1401.44 is breached, Palladium may continue to weaken against the USD, potentially reaching 1365.38. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: Th…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
For the 34th day in a row, the "shutdown" in America continues, which was "supposed to be resolved in 2 weeks." Democrats and Republicans continue to hold formal votes in the Senate, where no one seems willing to concede. Therefore, each new meeting may take place in a friendly atmosphere over coffee and pastries, with the outcome known in advance. Donald Trump does not seem concerned about the pause in government and state operations, and the lack of significant economic reports appears to work in his favor. At least for the dollar, which, despite the "shutdown," saw demand increase throughout October. For President Trump, the "shutdown" might only be advantageous if the…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The US dollar experienced slight pressure after the data; however, this did not lead to significant changes in the positioning of pairs with risk assets. Weak data from the US ISM manufacturing index pressured the dollar yesterday. The index remained below 50 points, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity and raising concerns about the US economy's prospects. Traders perceived this as a signal of a potential slowdown in economic growth, which further pressured the dollar. Many fear that deteriorating conditions in the manufacturing sector could negatively impact overall economic growth. Today, in the first half of the day, there will be a speech by European Ce…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Canada’s Liberal government plans to form a C$2 billion ($1.4bn) sovereign fund for critical minerals, earmark hundreds of millions in mining industry spending and widen exploration tax credits to a dozen other minerals, according to the federal budget presented on Tuesday. The spending document, which forecasts a C$78.3 billion deficit for the fiscal year to March 31, includes plans to replace the industrial emissions cap. It also proposes incentives that may reduce the tax on capital spending — such as buildings for a critical minerals’ processor — to 0.4%, according to an analysis by CBC. “Budget 2025 confirms the federal government’s unwavering commitment to t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Yesterday, amid a crash in risk assets, gold seized the opportunity to gain some weight. It is evident that gold has recovered as traders sought safe assets following a drop in the stock market amid concerns about inflated valuations. Spot gold prices rose to $4,000 per ounce after falling nearly 2% in the previous session. Global stock indices fell on Wednesday, marking the sharpest decline in almost a month. Treasury bonds gained on the back of demand for safe-haven assets. The fall in gold on Tuesday followed three members of the U.S. Federal Reserve who did not support further rate cuts in December, weighing the associated risks of inflation and a weakening labor mar…
Last reply by Ben Graham,