Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Yesterday, the cryptocurrency market experienced another significant sell-off, driving key crypto assets down to psychologically important levels. Bitcoin dropped to $100,000, while Ethereum fell to around $3,000, from which it was quickly bought back. However, the bullish structure of the cryptocurrency market remains intact. While the panic selling continues and traders are locking in losses, it is essential to understand that the market correction is occurring for two primary reasons: the shutdown in the US, which is set to become the longest in history and is expected to inflict some damage on the economy, along with the probability of a delayed interest rate cut by…
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The crypto market faced a violent downturn, with Ethereum breaking below the $3,100 level while Bitcoin lost the critical $100,000 mark, triggering widespread liquidation and fear-driven selling. Panic quickly rippled across the market, and sentiment flipped sharply bearish as traders rushed to reduce exposure, price targets vanished from social media, and risk assets saw a cascade of exits. In moments like these, emotions often outweigh fundamentals — and this week was a clear reminder of that dynamic. However, even in periods of sharp fear, not all market participants behave the same. Some notable players have begun shifting their stance, hinting that strategic positi…
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The International Council on Mining and Metals (ICMM) has published its Tailings Progress Report, detailing member companies’ progress in implementing the Global Industry Standard on Tailings Management (GISTM). Tailings are a by-product of mining, consisting of processed rock or soil, often containing residual chemicals, left over from the separation of the commodities of value from the material within which they occur. Globally, an estimated 13 billion square tonnes of tailings are generated at mine sites each year, ICMM noted in the report. They are typically stored in engineered containment structures (tailings facilities), which often resemble dams or emba…
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Gold demand just hit a new record high for the third quarter at 1,313 metric tons, the highest quarterly number on record, the World Gold Council said. Demand for gold is rising just as the U.S. paper money supply reaches a new record high. Total investment demand for gold climbed 47%, demand for gold bars and coins surged 17% totaling 315.5 tons, and central bank buying jumped 10% to 219.9 tons in the third quarter. So, who’s buying up all this gold? It turns out it’s a mix of investors—from central banks beefing up their reserves to institutional investors looking to protect their portfolios, and everyday Americans buying gold as a haven against rising inflation, cu…
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The fish rots from the head down. The Magnificent Seven stocks led the S&P 500 rally and were the first to dive during the sell-off. NVIDIA experienced its worst day since the January stock market rout due to the emergence of Chinese competitor DeepSeek. The company's market capitalization shrank by a staggering $440 billion. Only 18 of the 500 issuers have a market value greater than this figure. Is it any surprise that the tech giants caught in the sell-off dragged the entire broad stock index down with them? Magnificent Seven Stocks Dynamics Everything comes to an end, both good and bad. The earnings season for July to September served the S&P 500 faithfully…
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Bitcoin pushed sharply higher in early European trade on Monday, November 10, 2025, briefly reclaiming the $106,000 handle after a volatile weekend. The move arrives as a cluster of macro-liquidity signals and policy headlines flips risk appetite at the margins. Why Is Bitcoin Price Up Today? Under the surface, traders point to three interlocking drivers: an abrupt shift in Federal Reserve balance-sheet guidance, rising odds that Washington’s shutdown saga could be resolved imminently with a subsequent Treasury General Account (TGA) drawdown, and a fresh wave of policy chatter—from 50-year mortgages to potential relief checks—that revives the “liquidity impulse” debate. …
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The cryptosphere is keeping a close eye on Ethereum (ETH), as the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap demonstrates resilience amid market shakes. While spot ETF outflows are causing concern in some quarters, underlying network fundamentals and technical charts are painting a cautiously optimistic picture, with analysts pointing to a potential move toward the $4,400 mark. Ethereum ETF Outflows and Institutional Sentiment Despite ETH’s recent price recovery, institutional sentiment appears to be on firmer ground even as exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tied to Ethereum record sizeable outflows. Data show that Ethereum spot ETFs suffered a net outflow of approximatel…
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The correction is postponed. The market is once again buying the dips. History demonstrates that since 1981, a month after the end of government shutdowns, the S&P 500 has averaged a 2.3% increase. This suggests that by mid-December, the broad stock index could reach the 7,000 mark. Moreover, the end of the year is typically a favorable period for the US stock market. From Veterans Day onward, the market usually rises by an average of 2.3% to 2.5%. The US government shutdown will soon be a thing of the past. This shutdown turned out to be the longest on record, yet during it, the S&P 500 gained 2.2%. Despite the Congressional Budget Office's warnings that the gov…
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Yesterday, gold prices rose, preparing for the best week in the last month as traders grappled with uncertainty surrounding the resumption of the U.S. government after a six-week hiatus and the risk of a pause in the rate-cutting cycle. The precious metal traded above $4,200 per ounce, reflecting a weekly increase of about 5% and recovering losses from the previous session. Expectations of another rate cut in the U.S., driven by weak economic outlooks, continue to provide tailwinds for the precious metal, which yields no interest. The five-day growth in silver exceeded 10%, approaching last month's record levels. The rise in gold prices reflects the classic market respon…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed with losses. The S&P 500 fell by 1.66%, while the Nasdaq 100 dropped by 2.22%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 1.55%. The stock indices declined after four consecutive days of growth amid uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate reduction and the overvaluation of technology companies, negatively impacting market sentiment. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell by 1.4%, with significant losses in technology companies such as SK Hynix Inc., following comments from Fed officials that weakened expectations for monetary policy easing in December. This drop concluded a week of stock gains on optimism that the end…
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The U.S. dollar has emerged as a leader in growth against the euro, pound, yen, and other risk assets. According to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee meeting held on October 28–29, many Federal Reserve officials stated that it would likely be appropriate to keep interest rates unchanged until the end of 2025. "Many participants noted that, based on their economic outlook, it would likely be appropriate to leave the target range unchanged through the end of the year," the minutes said. This decision is expected to support the U.S. currency, making it a more attractive asset for investors seeking stability and predictability amid global eco…
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Trade analysis and recommendations for trading the Japanese yen The test of the 157.76 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already risen significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar. Ahead of us are figures on U.S. non-farm payrolls, the unemployment rate, average hourly earnings, and the change in private-sector employment. These indicators, like a finely tuned musical score, can orchestrate sentiment in the financial markets, determining directional movements in currency pairs—especially those involving the U.S. dollar. Changes in non-farm payrolls act as a barometer of economic acti…
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Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan has predicted an ‘ETF Festival’ in 2026, pushing back against bear market fears. Speaking to CNBC on 19 November 2025, Hougan said that with the US government reopening and related legislation advancing, the crypto market could see an “ETF Palooza.” He expects over 100 new crypto ETFs/ETPs to launch, with index-based crypto ETPs set to become the most significant growth segment next year. Furthermore, Hougan said that the new wave of investors prefers to “buy a basket of crypto assets for long-term holding” rather than betting on a single blockchain. Moreover, Harvard University’s endowment increased its Bitcoin exposu…
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Bitcoin has rebounded to $92,000, while Ethereum has managed to hold above $3,000. This has occurred against the backdrop of news that US exchange-traded Bitcoin ETF funds returned to a net inflow of funds on Wednesday, ending a five-day streak of outflows. According to data from SoSoValue, Bitcoin funds reported a net inflow of $75.47 million yesterday, of which $60.61 million went to the IBIT BlackRock fund, and $53.84 million to the Grayscale Mini Bitcoin Trust. The inflow into IBIT followed a record net outflow of $523 million on Tuesday, marking the largest daily outflow since its launch. This positive signal has breathed new life into the crypto market followin…
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A sharp reversal wiped out the ecstatic momentum from the open, bringing worrying signs back into the markets. Traders are starting to fade Nvidia’s earnings reaction after Nasdaq hits the top of the Daily Pivot zone highlighted in our Morning in-depth analysis. Most Read: Nasdaq rebounds: Nvidia (NVDA) earnings beat ends AI winter fears With no major headlines driving the shift, the market seems increasingly concerned about renewed hawkish repricing from the Fed. Now the question is whether rangebound action takes over or if new highs or lows trigger further sharp continuation. Confusion is definitely in the air. Here’s a look at a few US index intraday charts…
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The Australian wage index in the third quarter remained stable at 3.4% year-on-year, continuing to outpace inflation. Real annual wages have grown for eight consecutive quarters, representing a clear pro-inflationary factor as purchasing power increases. Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, Hauser, made hawkish comments on Monday that essentially confirmed the RBA's position expressed at the November meeting. He stated that the data reflecting the forecasts for the November RBA meeting may not necessarily be sufficient for further easing, noting that "financial conditions are clearly closer to neutral than we thought some time ago," and that high capac…
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On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has revealed how selling from US Bitcoin investors has dominated during the recent market downturn. Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Points To US Selloff In a new thread on X, CryptoQuant has talked about some key pieces of data related to the US-dominated Bitcoin selloff. The first indicator that CryptoQuant has shared is the “Coinbase Premium Gap,” which keeps track of the difference between the BTC price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair). As the below chart shows, the 30-hour moving average (MA) value of this metric has plummeted into the red territory recently. A negative value on the Coinbase Premium Ga…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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Ivanhoe Mines’ (TSX: IVN) has entered into a memorandum of understanding (MoU) the Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund to further advance the company’s exploration efforts in Africa. The MoU, signed on Friday, sets out a framework for collaboration to find, develop and sustainably supply the critical minerals essential to the global energy transition, the company said in a statement. The MoU signing coincided with this week’s visit by the Amir of Qatar, Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al-Thani, to the Democratic Republic of the Congo, where he met with President Félix Tshisekedi to discuss bilateral relations between the two countries. Ivanhoe currently operates the Kamoa-Ka…
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Bitcoin is struggling to find support after losing the $85,000 level and plunging to $81,000, marking its weakest point since early spring. Bulls have clearly lost control of the trend, and fear now dominates the market, with sentiment rapidly shifting from caution to outright panic. Many traders are calling for a confirmed bear market, while others argue the move is an orchestrated shakeout designed to flush out weak hands before the next macro leg. Amid the chaos, top analyst Axel Adler shared new insights that highlight a structural shift beneath the surface. Until just yesterday, short-term holders (STHs) appeared relatively stable despite the correction. However, t…
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Glassnode co-founders Jan Happel and Yann Allemann, who publish under the @Negentropic handle on X, argue that the current crypto crash is being driven not by a broad narrative turn, but by a single, systematic source of sell pressure whose footprint is most visible in Bitcoin and is spilling into the wider complex. Their core assertion is categorical: “What’s happening in Bitcoin right now isn’t a narrative shift: it’s a mechanical unwind.” In that framing, the tape is reflecting the forced exit of one participant rather than an organic repricing of crypto risk. Why Is The Crypto Market Crashing? Negentropic’s thesis starts with momentum indicators behaving in ways they…
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Bitcoin has tumbled more than 30% from its all-time high of $126k and is trading around $85,500 after briefly falling to $82K, according to market reports. Traders warn that recent moves by long-term holders are changing how the market reacts to stress. Liquidity has thinned, and that makes price swings larger than usual. Schiff Issues A Stark Warning According to gold investor Peter Schiff, Bitcoin is “finally having its IPO moment.” He said that when veteran holders turn into sellers, supply at the top of the market rises and future selloffs can become deeper. “This much Bitcoin moving from strong to weak hands not only increases the float, but also means future sell…
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Barrick Mining (NYSE: B) (TSX: ABX) says it has reached an agreement with Mali’s government to end their dispute, removing uncertainty surrounding the operation of its Loulo-Gounkoto complex in the African nation. Its stock surged. In a press release Monday, the Toronto-based gold miner confirmed that the Malian state has dropped all charges against the company and its affiliates and return operational control of Loulo-Gounkoto to Barrick. Additionally, the government will arrange for the release of four Barrick employees that has been detained for a year. In exchange, Barrick said it will withdraw its arbitration case against Mali, which it brought to the World B…
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The S&P 500 recorded its best daily rally in the past six weeks, while the Nasdaq 100 experienced its strongest performance since May, as expectations for a December monetary policy easing by the Fed rose to 81%. The futures market fluctuates between extremes, alternating between disbelief in a federal funds rate cut and complete conviction in such an event. As a result, a safety cushion once again emerges for the broad stock index. Dynamics of US Stock Indices FOMC member Christopher Waller insists on continuing the monetary expansion cycle by the end of the year. In his view, inflation is not a major concern, but rising unemployment could escalate exponentially. …
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On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has pointed out how the current Bitcoin market is reminiscent to the structure from the first quarter of 2022. Bitcoin Dynamics Are Currently Looking Similar To Early 2022 Bear Market In its latest weekly report, Glassnode has discussed about how the broader Bitcoin market structure is starting to resemble Q1 2022. First, the analytics firm has shared the data of its Supply Quantiles Cost Basis Model, highlighting price levels that correspond to a certain degree of investor profitability. In the chart, three supply quantiles are listed: 0.75, 0.85, and 0.95. If Bitcoin trades at the first of these levels, 75% of the supply will be in p…
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