Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12358 tópicos neste fórum
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US Indices are rising but in an unassertive fashion, and the same has happened throughout the whole week. The dovish interpretation from last Friday's Powell speech definitely helped to sustain bullish momentum, with the S&P 500 timidly breaking new highs in yesterday's session and the Dow Jones breaking through its previous record (Current all-time highs at 45,757). However, it seems that Markets are awaiting for the most influential piece of data, releasing on the 5th of September – The infamous Non-Farm Payrolls report. This week's undecisive trading is typical of a last week of August due to many participants being off their screens and not much key data to kee…
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The euphoric mood in markets has not failed to surprise any players as we approach the upcoming G7 meeting. Index futures complete their contango transition from the June to the September contracts. For a quick reminder, a contango happens when futures pricing is above spot pricing, the more typical pricing for futures, as markets always price a time premium. This is considered positive, as markets have been trending upwards in the past 18 years. However, the roll of futures contracts is far from the only component allowing Equities to rise: Iran's freshly announced demands for a ceasefire with Israel are taken as a optimistic development to what could have been a much m…
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US Indices continued their recovery throughout May with another decent start to the trading week. The Nasdaq 100 is up 2.15% since Friday’s close. They are up through broadly unchanged on the day. Sentiment for this trading week has been broadly positive throughout the globe. Even as US cash markets were closed on Monday for Memorial Day, Equity Futures posted a rise without much retracement. A swift move up was made in the index after Nvidia beat high expectations on its earnings after the session close with an EPS coming at $0.96 vs $0.93 expected. Revenues came in at $44.1B vs $43.3B expected. More news came in with the "Taco Trump" headlines, as President Trump's i…
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US indices post another fantastic week in ever-ecstastic trading. Participants have been looking away from a now-priced-in slowing Labor market in the US that is still at historically great levels, as inflation came back to grab the most-watched seat. The consecutive CPI and PPI releases have boosted bullish spirits, pushing all indices to new all-time highs in yesterday's session. The Dow Jones saw the heaviest inflows, concluding the session up a staggering 1.38% compared to the 0.63% and 0.82% rises for the Nasdaq and S&P 500, respectively. Nasdaq is taking back its throne in today's action, breaking new records yet again. Some analysts mention that odds for a 5…
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Global equity indices are rallying over 1% on the session following news that a US-brokered ceasefire between Israel and Iran is now in effect, bringing a temporary end to nearly two weeks of military conflict. To recap, the Israel-Iran escalation began on Thursday, June 13, after the breakdown of US-Iran nuclear negotiations. In response, Israel launched preemptive strikes targeting Iranian nuclear infrastructure, aiming to prevent further development of a potential nuclear weapon. The US subsequently stepped in to contain the situation, and Iran’s retaliation was largely symbolic—paving the way for the current ceasefire agreement. Despite elevated geopolitical tensio…
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The narrative of an "AI investment winter" coming to an end has been a terrifying prospect for stock aficionados, casting a long shadow over the beginning of the month. After the data-blackout from the US Government, markets were increasingly jittery, spooked by a a lack of public information, not-so-great private reports and gloomy foreshadowing from industry titans like the Nvidia CEO and OpenAI CFO. But Nvidia (NVDA) flipped the script entirely, and the market is loving it: Talk about a beat on earnings: the numbers were stellar, but the forward communications were even more ecstatic with some $500 Billion of AI-Chip investment expected next year from the Semiconduct…
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Cardano’s ADA has joined the Nasdaq Crypto Index, moving from the sidelines into the institutional spotlight. According to Nasdaq filings, this shift brings ADA alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum in one of the main benchmarks watched by big investors. It’s a sign that regulators and asset managers see Cardano as more than just another blockchain token. Index Broadens To Nine Assets Based on reports from TapTools and Nasdaq’s Form 8-K, the index grew from five to nine assets. It now lists Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Chainlink, Uniswap, and adds Cardano (ADA), Solana (SOL), Ripple (XRP), and Stellar (XLM). The change gives these newcomers a seat at the table. It also means…
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Trading around the earnings season is always a particular task as all participants have to incorporate expectations, past results, and options into a single data release (especially as most earnings are reported out of the trading hours). This morning's open saw a huge correction in the Nasdaq particularly, showing down 1.02% in the first 30m Candle and some dip buyers are currently stepping in. The Tech-focused index had marked another all-time high record in yesterday's morning session at 23,288 (CFD price – actual index ATH at 23,264) before retracting in the afternoon. Equity traders are eyeing Earnings reports from SAP after the close today, but more importantly p…
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Crypto treasury stocks slid Thursday after The Information reported that Nasdaq is tightening oversight on companies raising capital to stockpile crypto. We suspect that the main gamble on the “treasury company” LARPing was the hope that we’d see “strategic crypto reserves” by relevant nation states by now. Could you imagine Vietnam hodling XRP, or Ghana Bitcoin? This, of course, hasn’t materialized yet and might not materialize any time soon. Meanwhile, Nasdaq is making it harder on crypto treasury companies, telling certain listed firms that shareholder approval may be required before issuing new shares to buy digital assets. According to filings and people famil…
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Log in to today's North American session recap for the July 14, 2025. Today's flows have been a bit erratic, between a slow start in Forex that turned into another US Dollar rally, Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin hitting new highs before retracting decently and Commodities taking a hit. About the latter, it seems that some geopolitics are into play with Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin concluding another round of talks after the US President announced the conclusion of a major NATO deal promising new rounds of weapons for Ukraine to defend itself. The G20 meeting is also ongoing in Johannesburg, SA. There has been some increased tensions in the Kursk Region around the headline…
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Natural Gas (NG) Over the past two weeks, the price of natural gas has made two unsuccessful attempts to break above the weekly balance and MACD indicator lines. As of today, the price has returned below the key support level of 3.333. The Marlin oscillator has also failed to enter positive territory and is now indicating a potential downward reversal. The nearest target at 3.086 is open. With a high degree of probability, the decline could extend well below this initial target — toward 2.643. On the daily chart, the price held above the 3.333 level for six consecutive sessions, but all attempts to build upward momentum were thwarted by technical resistance from higher …
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Natural Gas (NG) Natural gas quotes are hovering around the 2.847 level (the April 28 low), with some risk of an upward move, as yesterday's daily candle closed above this level. However, this is just one sign of potential growth—and a weak one—since the candle body is small. This consolidation could turn out to be a false breakout. Stronger downward pressure on price comes from its development below the MACD line and the continued position of the Marlin oscillator in negative territory. A return and close below 2.847 will pave the way for a target support level at 2.643. Below that, price could head for the 2.145–2.223 range (the October 2024 low). On the four-hour cha…
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[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, November 11, 2025] With all technical conditions supporting the strengthening of Natural Gas, such as the RSI in the Neutral-Bullish zone and both EMAs forming a Golden Cross, then the opportunities for #NG to strengthen Today are quite favorable. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 4.626 2. Resistance. 1 : 4.499 3. Pivot : 4.382 4. Support. 1 : 4.255 5. Support. 2 : 4.138 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of #NG rises above 4.382, there is potential to test the 4.499 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4.499 is exceeded, Natural Gas has the potential to continue its strengthening up to 4.626. Invalidation Leve…
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[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, September 16, 2025] Although the EMA has not yet formed a Golden Cross, the RSI is in the Neutral Bullish area, so Natural Gas has the potential to strengthen today. Key Levels 1. Resistance 2: 3.135 2. Resistance 1: 3.089 3. Pivot: 3.002 4. Support 1: 2.956 5. Support 2: 2.869 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the #NG price successfully breaks through and closes above 3.089, it will potentially lead to #NG strengthening all the way to 3.135. Momentum Extension Bias: If the 3.135 level is successfully broken through and closes above it, 3.222 has the potential to be the next level to be tested. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision Upside…
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[Natural Gas] With technical indicators condition indicating a weakening trend, Natural Gas has the potential to decline today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 5.325 2. Resistance. 1 : 5.091 3. Pivot : 4.971 4. Support. 1 : 4.737 5. Support. 2 : 4.617 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price breaks down below 4.737, #NG will test 4.617. Momentum Extension Bias: If 4.617 is also broken, Natural Gas could continue its decline down to 4.383. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is held if the price of Natural Gas unexpectedly strengthens and breaks above 5.325. Technical Summary: EMA(50) : 4.968 EMA(200): 4.996 RSI(14) : 30.05 Ec…
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[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, October 14, 2025] With technical conditions signaling a weakening in Natural Gas, such as the RSI being in the Neutral-Bearish zone and the EMA(50) & EMA(200) still forming a Death Cross, indicating that #NG has the potential to move lower today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.197 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.148 3. Pivot : 3.088 4. Support. 1 : 3.039 5. Support. 2 : 2.979 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If Natural Gas weakens and breaks through and closes below 3.039, it may continue its decline toward the 2.979 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 2.979 is broken and closes below, there is a possibility for Natural Gas to t…
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[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, September 30, 2025] With all technical indicators in strengthening conditions, seems like Natural Gas has the potential to continue its upward movement today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.400 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.338 3. Pivot : 3.235 4. Support. 1 : 3.173 5. Support. 2 : 3.070 Tactical Scenario Positive Reaction Zone: If the price breaks and closes above 3.338, it could bring #NG up to the 3.400 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3.400 is broken and closes above it, #NG has the potential to continue strengthening up to 3.503. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision The upside bias weakens if Natural Gas declines and breaks below …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Natural Gas] Although the RSI(14) is in the Neutral-Bullish level, but with the the Death Cross condition between EMA(50) and EMA(200) indicates that Natural Gas has the potential to weaken toward its nearest support level today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 4.318 2. Resistance. 1 : 4.156 3. Pivot : 3.977 4. Support. 1 : 3.815 5. Support. 2 : 3.636 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of #NG breaks down below 3.815, it may continue to weaken down to 3.636. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3.636 is broken, there is a potential for Natural Gas to test 3.474. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The downside bias is restrained if the price of Na…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Natural Gas] With the RSI(14) positioned in the Neutral-Bullish area and both of EMAs forming a Golden Cross, Natural Gas has the opportunity to strengthen today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 5.049 2. Resistance. 1 : 4.938 3. Pivot : 4.871 4. Support. 1 : 4.760 5. Support. 2 : 4.693 Tactical Scenario: Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of #NG breaks out and closes above 4.871, it has the potential to test the 4.938 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If #NG successfully breaks above 4.938, then it may continue its strength up to 5.049. Invalidation Level / Bias Revision: The upside bias weakens if the price of Natural Gas declines and breaks down be…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
[Natural Gas] With all technical conditions supporting the weakness in #NG, starting from the Death Cross condition between EMA(50) and EMA(200) along with the RSI(14) positioned in the Neutral-Bearish zone, the downward trend in Natural Gas seems to dominate today. Key Levels 1. Resistance. 2 : 4.305 2. Resistance. 1 : 4.170 3. Pivot : 4.081 4. Support. 1 : 3.946 5. Support. 2 : 3.857 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If the price of Natural Gas breaks down below 3.946, it could move toward 3.857. Momentum Extension Bias: If 3.857 is broken, there is a high probability that Natural Gas will continue its decline down to 3.722. Invalidation Level / …
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Navoi Mining and Metallurgical Company (NMMC) has received a credit rating upgrade by S&P Global to reflect its status as one of the world’s biggest gold producers. On Tuesday, S&P upgraded the Uzbekistani miner’s long-term credit rating to ‘BB’, with a ‘Stable’ outlook, citing the Central Asian nation’s improved sovereign. The upgrade reflects “the company’s solid financial position and the resilience of its operational performance,” the firm said in a statement. The agency expects NMMC to maintain a balanced financial approach, enabling the company to continue making a significant contribution to the national economy, it added. S&P’s rating also …
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Navoi Mining & Metallurgical Company (NMMC) has reported gold production of nearly 1.54 million oz. for the first six months of 2025, a slight increase on the 1.52 million oz. from a year ago. Its first-half production value, however, doubled over the comparable six-month period to around $4.7 billion, owing to the increase in gold prices over the past year. The Uzbek gold miner currently operates a dozen mines across the Navoi, Samarkand and Jizzakh regions. Its portfolio is headlined by Muruntau, the largest open-pit gold deposit with a resource base of over 100 milllion oz. To improve the efficiency at its mines, NMMC has been implementing multiple capi…
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The crypto market has been rocked by a wave of liquidations totaling nearly $808 million in the past 24 hours, with Bitcoin (BTC) dipping below the critical $110,000 threshold. This mass sell-off erased nearly all gains sparked by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish comments at Jackson Hole just days earlier, leaving investors questioning whether the dip signals opportunity, or danger. Bitcoin Flash Crash Triggers Massive Liquidations Data from CoinGlass shows that long positions accounted for $696 million of the $112 million liquidated, underscoring how overleveraged bullish traders were caught off guard. Bitcoin alone saw $272 million liquidated, while Ethe…
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Data shows cryptocurrency short investors have suffered large liquidations during the past day as Bitcoin and altcoins have made a recovery. Bitcoin, Ethereum Have Surged In The Last 24 Hours Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have witnessed a rally during the past day, breaking away from the slump the market had earlier fallen into. At the height of this surge, Bitcoin broke past $116,000, while Ethereum touched $4,250. The assets have since seen a small retracement. The chart below shows how BTC’s latest trajectory has looked. At its current price of $115,400, Bitcoin is up about 4% on the weekly timeframe. Similarly, Ethereum at $4,160 is in a profit of 3.4%. Most…
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Bitcoin is now holding ground around the $90K level as the market transitions into a new and uncertain phase. Sentiment is sharply divided: some analysts argue that the breakdown below $100K marks the beginning of a new bear market, while others believe Bitcoin is setting the stage to break its traditional four-year cycle and rally harder than ever in the months ahead. This tension reflects a market struggling to price in fear, macro pressure, and structural shifts in liquidity. According to new data shared by top analyst Darkfost, more than 6.96 million BTC accumulated by investors are now sitting at an unrealized loss. This marks the highest level of unrealized loss s…
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