Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12192 tópicos neste fórum
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Assume you want to buy $1M worth of a top trending meme coin on Solana or Ethereum. Technically, you can. There’s nothing preventing you from buying any moonshot token. All you have to do is smash buy, say on Uniswap or Raydium, and there you go. If you don’t really care about how much you will receive, then no problem. The only guarantee when you click “buy” and invest $1M scooping up that 1000X meme coin is this: you will likely receive one of the worst fills in the world. And there is no one to blame. Be it on Solana or Ethereum. With meme coin trading exploding, bot activity extracting every last drop of value from large block transactions, as above, has been gettin…
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Bitcoin is sitting on its first true make-or-break support of the cycle, and the market is now in what crypto analyst Dom (@traderview2) calls a “fork in the road.” His message is direct: if Bitcoin cannot stabilize and reclaim key levels quickly, the structure that has defined this entire run breaks for the first time — and he’s positioning for downside. “This is the last chance for Bitcoin to hold this level and to push higher,” he said in a live analysis stream on October 29. “If Bitcoin does not see its footing here over the next week or two, I think that this is going to break down. And I think that we’re going to see the mid to low $90,000s again.” Final Stand For…
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Ethereum is once again testing the strength of its key support band around the $3,700 zone, a level that has acted as a crucial lifeline for bulls in recent months. With momentum fading after repeated rejections near resistance, speculations are whether buyers can step in to spark a renewed push upward or if a deeper correction is on the horizon. ETH Pulls Back After Golden Pocket Rejection In his latest market update, Luca shared insights on Ethereum’s current technical setup, noting that the asset recently faced rejection at the high-timeframe resistance zone he had highlighted in earlier analyses. This rejection aligns with the golden pocket between the 0.5 and 0.618 …
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While Bitcoin’s price action points to a relative scarcity of spot activity, recent on-chain data reveals an increasingly dynamic atmosphere within its futures market, especially on the Binance network. Binance Dominates Futures Market As Trader Sentiment Sees Structural Shift In a recent post on the CryptoQuant platform, crypto education institution XWIN Research Japan shares insights into developments in the Bitcoin futures market, with their key focus being the Binance network. According to the research institution, the world’s leading crypto exchange is maintaining its reputation after reaching its record high of $1.88 trillion in trading volume. At the same tim…
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The EUR/USD pair closed Friday's trading at 1.1538. For the three previous weeks, the pair oscillated within the range of 1.1560-1.1730, and last week was no exception – until Wednesday, the price showed an upward trend, reaching 1.1670, but then the initiative was seized by sellers. Against the backdrop of the overall strengthening of the dollar, USD bears returned to the 15th figure area and, at the end of the American trading session, managed to push through the support level of 1.1560 (the lower line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the D1 timeframe). Traders' attention was focused on three major events of the week. First, the FOMC meeting; second, the European…
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The EUR/USD currency pair continued to trade lower throughout Friday. Did this surprise anyone? Among the interesting events on the last trading day of the previous week, only the Eurozone's first October inflation estimate, which unexpectedly came in at 2.1%, is noteworthy. The previous month recorded a value of 2.2%, and most traders expected a year-on-year decline to 2.1%. Thus, this was precisely one of those cases where expectations completely aligned with reality. Consequently, there was nothing for traders to react to. However, after this report, the European currency once again plummeted, even though this report changes absolutely nothing. It should be understood …
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Balancer, one of the most established decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols with more than $700 million in total value locked (TVL), appears to have suffered a serious exploit, adding fresh stress to an industry still grappling with security concerns. Early on-chain evidence indicates that attackers drained assets across multiple chains, with losses now exceeding $98 million, making this one of the largest DeFi breaches of 2025 so far. The attack appears to have targeted Balancer liquidity pools, siphoning high-value assets including wrapped ETH and liquid-staking derivatives through coordinated cross-chain movements. Initial wallet traces show funds rapidly routed thr…
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Cardano (ADA) continued its downward slide on Monday, falling over 5% to trade around $0.57, extending last week’s 10% decline. Related Reading: XRP’s Next Earthquake: Billions Set To Flow In, ‘Supply Shock’ Coming—Analyst Market data from CoinGlass shows trader sentiment turning increasingly bearish, with ADA’s long-to-short ratio at 0.75, the lowest this month. The metric indicates that more traders are betting on further declines. On-chain data mirrors this negative outlook. According to Santiment, daily active addresses on the Cardano network dropped from 32,115 in mid-October to 24,280 on November 3, signaling reduced demand and declining engagement. Technical in…
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Understanding Forex Options Defense Paper Trading Options – a good start as any In the world of forex trading, not all market moves are driven by economic data or central bank policy. Sometimes, the real action happens around key options strike levels, where large institutional traders defend or attack prices to protect massive positions. Understanding how this process works can offer valuable insight and potential trading opportunities for those who know what to look for. The Role of Traditional Currency Options in the Spot Market While many new retail traders think of “options” as binary bets, traditional currency options, not binaries, are the ones that influence the…
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Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports: There are no macroeconomic reports scheduled for Tuesday, and on Monday, even significant reports did not provoke any market reaction, let alone the expected movements. Both currency pairs remain "at the bottom" but show no desire to move upward, even within the framework of a correction. Therefore, today, with an effectively absent macroeconomic backdrop, strong trending movements are unlikely—unless Donald Trump throws in another "information bomb." Analysis of Fundamental Events: There are several fundamental events scheduled for Tuesday, but they do not generate much interest. In the morning, Christine Lagarde, the Presi…
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Copper extended its decline on Tuesday amid fresh uncertainty surrounding the US monetary policy and eased concerns over global supply. Prices dropped as much as 2.4% amid a broader decline in base metals. By 1 p.m. ET, three-month copper traded at roughly $10,855 per tonne on the London Metal Exchange, while those on the COMEX were priced at $5.013 per lb. (about $11,050/t). Click on chart for live prices. With a cooldown in global trade tensions, investor focus has now shifted to the US Federal Reserve policy and the outlook for China’s wavering economy. A series of remarks from Fed officials has offered contrasting views on what’s next for US rates, after…
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The International Council on Mining and Metals (ICMM) has published its Tailings Progress Report, detailing member companies’ progress in implementing the Global Industry Standard on Tailings Management (GISTM). Tailings are a by-product of mining, consisting of processed rock or soil, often containing residual chemicals, left over from the separation of the commodities of value from the material within which they occur. Globally, an estimated 13 billion square tonnes of tailings are generated at mine sites each year, ICMM noted in the report. They are typically stored in engineered containment structures (tailings facilities), which often resemble dams or emba…
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The GBP/JPY pair has been unable to hold above the key psychological level of 201.00. Prices have retreated to 200.75 ahead of the Bank of England's monetary policy announcement. The overall trend of declining inflationary pressure, fiscal challenges, as well as slower wage growth and rising unemployment, provide the Bank of England with room for potential monetary policy easing. Moreover, investors are pricing in roughly a 33% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut today, while the chances of a rate reduction by year-end are estimated at around 70%. The Bank of England's decision will play a crucial role in determining the pound's direction and could give momentum to t…
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Sweden’s parliament on Wednesday voted to repeal a 2018 moratorium on uranium mining, clearing the way for exploration and mining from Jan. 1 2026. The move by Sweden’s unicameral national parliament, the Riksdag, re-enables full bedrock exploration and the ability to apply for permits and mining concessions for uranium under Sweden’s existing Minerals Act framework. The Nordic state hosts an estimated 27% of Europe’s known uranium within its bedrock, according to the Geological Survey of Sweden. “It is very positive that the Riksdag is now backing the government’s proposal,” Swedish Mining Association (Svemin) CEO Maria Sunér said Wednesday in a release. “There a…
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ZEC has entered a sharp correction phase after a 1,500% rally that pushed the Zcash price to a seven-year high of nearly $744. The coin, which became the top-performing privacy asset in 2025, is now down over 25% from its all-time high as traders question whether its parabolic uptrend has finally peaked. According to data from TradingView, ZEC began its meteoric rise in early September, breaking through long-term resistance levels at $400. However, analysts now warn that the asset may have reached its cyclical top. Popular trader Altcoin Sherpa cautioned that such steep, prolonged rallies often “end with a sharp and painful collapse.” Similarly, technical indicators sh…
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On-chain data shows Bitcoin long-term holders have been ramping up their selling recently, a potential reason behind BTC’s fall under $100,000. Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Have Been Booking Profits In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about the latest trend in the supply of the Bitcoin long-term holders (LTHs). These are referred to as the investors holding their coins for a period longer than 155 days, without selling or involving them in a transaction on the blockchain. Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they become to sell them in the future. As such, the LTHs with their long holding times are u…
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Yesterday, US stock indices closed with losses. The S&P 500 fell by 1.66%, while the Nasdaq 100 dropped by 2.22%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 1.55%. The stock indices declined after four consecutive days of growth amid uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate reduction and the overvaluation of technology companies, negatively impacting market sentiment. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell by 1.4%, with significant losses in technology companies such as SK Hynix Inc., following comments from Fed officials that weakened expectations for monetary policy easing in December. This drop concluded a week of stock gains on optimism that the end…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for November 14 A bloody overnight and early morning session quickly got met with a V-shape reversal in US indices today. This sharp volatility saw Gold and other metals suffer large outflows, with gold declining sharply and experiencing significant selling pressure. Today's and this week's all-market action strongly resembled a global portfolio rewiring, similar to what often happens at the beginning of new quarters (even though Q4 is still far from finished). The Nasdaq led the decline overnight, with futures trading seeing sharp drops, before dip-buyers corrected the entire move. This rapid V-shape recovery wasn't…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair turned in favor of the U.S. dollar after rebounding from the 61.8% corrective level at 1.1594. After that, the pair fell to the 76.4% corrective level at 1.1517. A rebound from this level today will work in favor of the euro and lead to some growth toward 1.1594. A consolidation of the pair below 1.1517 will increase the likelihood of a continued decline toward the next corrective level of 100.0% at 1.1392. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last upward wave failed to break the peak of the previous wave, while the last completed downward wave broke the previous low. Thus, the trend remains bearish at this…
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Trade analysis and recommendations for the euro The test of the 1.1527 price level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already risen significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. As a result of German economic statistics, the euro received a positive impulse, which allowed the pair to stabilize and even strengthen slightly against the dollar. However, it is too early to speak of a full recovery of the European currency after yesterday's sell-off. Everything will depend on the new data. In the second half of the day, U.S. labor market data for September will be released. Particular attent…
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Today, gold is attempting to rise for the third consecutive day as the minutes of the FOMC meeting held on October 28–29, published on Wednesday, showed that most participants supported lowering the target range for the federal funds rate, although some remained opposed. The document also noted that further rate cuts could lead to entrenched inflation. This "hawkish" tone prompted investors to further reduce their expectations for a December rate cut, pushing the U.S. dollar to its highest level since late May and putting pressure on gold. Also this week, U.S. President Donald Trump approved a 28-point peace plan between Russia and Ukraine. According to preliminary inform…
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On Thursday, the long-awaited report was released, and market participants had high hopes for it while also understanding that it would have a minimal impact on the Federal Reserve's decision in December. Data on unemployment and the labor market have their own "expiration dates." No one will take the September report seriously in December. Even with the Bureau of Labor Statistics not publishing October reports, the relevance of the September data remains questionable. As a result, we observed a very weak reaction to Thursday's reports. First, the reports contradicted each other; second, the data is outdated. However, we can still draw some conclusions. If the labor marke…
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The US Defense Department will reissue an updated tender for up to $500m of cobalt by end-November 2025, with an award expected in early February 2026. The Defense Logistics Agency first sought offers in mid-August for up to 7,500 tons of cobalt over the next five years, but in mid October cancelled the tender due to “outstanding issues with the Statement of Work” after interested parties missed several deadlines. The DLA was seeking offers for alloy-grade cobalt from three producers: units of Vale SA in Canada, Sumitomo Metal Mining Co. in Japan and Glencore Plc’s Nikkelverk plant in Norway. It asked suppliers to propose fixed prices for the supplies over five y…
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Aerodrome Finance, the largest DEX on Base, has warned users to stay away from its website after a suspected DNS hijack turned its front end into a phishing trap. But what does it mean for AERO crypto price? The team said on November 22, that it is investigating a “front-end compromise” linked to a DNS takeover that targeted its centralized web domains. “Please do not access the site through any URL until we confirm everything is safe. All smart contracts appear secure,” the team said. At first, Aerodrome directed users to alternative access routes, but it later expanded the alert and asked the community to stay off all links until the investigation is complete. …
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The relentless crypto bloodbath appears to have finally stalled, and signs suggest the market may have already posted a definitive bottom. Bearish acceleration had driven prices to stark troughs, with Bitcoin grazing the $80,000 level and altcoins suffering even steeper declines. XRP plunged below $2.00, Ethereum tested levels near $2,800, and Solana dropped to trade near $125. Read More: Altcoins make new lows, Total Market Cap falls below the 2021 record However, as key technical areas and Fibonacci retracements triggered interest from both opportunistic investors and algorithms, dip-buying has brought the Crypto Market higher to start the week. Bitcoin is now test…
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