Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
11887 tópicos neste fórum
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Ethereum is demonstrating notable relative strength after reclaiming the $3,150 level and attempting to push higher, offering a refreshing shift in sentiment following weeks of intense selling pressure, fear, and market-wide uncertainty. As the broader crypto landscape begins to stabilize, ETH stands out as one of the assets showing early signs of recovery, drawing renewed attention from traders and long-term investors alike. A key factor supporting this shift is the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) reading for Ethereum on Binance, which is currently sitting around 0.22 while price trades near $3,100. This level reflects a delicate equilibrium between fear and optimis…
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Euro Dollar – U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) Euro Dollar The U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) may not be the most actively traded instrument in the forex world, but it remains one of the most valuable indicators for currency traders. Even if you never place a trade directly on the index, understanding how it works and how its movements correlate with major currency pairs—can give you a powerful edge. Think of it as a missing puzzle piece that helps you make clearer, more confident trading decisions. What Is the U.S. Dollar Index (USDX)? The U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a specific basket of foreign currencies. Originally introduced by the Fede…
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Wednesday was notable not only for the ADP, ISM, and industrial production reports but also for another speech by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde. It is worth recalling that the ECB intends to keep interest rates unchanged in the near future, as there is no need for either an increase or a decrease. Inflation in the European Union remains stable and close to the central bank's target. Lagarde has previously stated that the ECB is satisfied with the current rate of price growth in the Eurozone. Concerns are raised primarily by the pace of economic growth, which remains relatively weak despite interest rates being lowered to a "neutral range." On average, …
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On Wednesday, the ADP report was released in the U.S., which I consider critically important for the American currency. At the beginning of the week, there was significant uncertainty about U.S. economic data. Even on Monday, market participants did not know exactly when the next Nonfarm Payrolls report, crucial to the Federal Reserve, would be released. There were also contradictions in the inflation report, which has the second-strongest impact on the FOMC. Initially, the inflation report was scheduled for December 10—the day of the last Fed meeting of the year. However, closer to mid-week, a new date appeared in the calendars: December 18. At the same time, the next No…
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The oil market has once again taken center stage: prices are rising, but this growth does not resemble the onset of a new commodities rally. Brent is consolidating around $63 per barrel, and WTI is near $59, with prices holding in a relatively narrow range. Meanwhile, the backdrop remains tense: on one hand, geopolitical risks are escalating, and concerns about supply disruptions are mounting; on the other hand, the fundamental picture indicates comfortable stock levels, high supply, and weak demand. As a result, the market is living in a state of constant balance: short-term news adds a "risk premium" to the price, while structural factors immediately counteract it. Anal…
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On Wednesday, the pound surged by more than 150 pips against the dollar amid a general weakening of the greenback. Looking at the weekly GBP/USD chart, we can see that the pair is actively rising for the second week in a row, currently approaching the resistance level of 1.3370, which corresponds to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands indicator on the weekly timeframe. In comparison, just a few weeks ago—in November—the pair was trading at the bottom of the 30 range under background pressure. However, the fundamental picture for GBP/USD has changed. The growth driver this time is the greenback, which again fell from grace amid rising "dovish" expectations for the Feder…
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When the economy lacks arguments to hold back the bullish momentum of EUR/USD, politics steps in. The split within the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) has dealt a blow to the euro. About 18 party representatives do not support the pension project of the CDU and the Social Democrats. To pass it in the Bundestag, a majority is needed, and they are short by six votes. Chancellor Friedrich Merz's position has weakened, unsettling the main currency pair. Politics and geopolitics have long impeded EUR/USD's progress. France has changed prime ministers as often as changing gloves, the armed conflict in Ukraine has lasted almost four years, and now Germany faces its own challeng…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for December 4 Markets traded in chaotic fashion today as the latest Jobless Claims report sent confusion waves to the market. The headline number came at 191K vs 220K, the lowest since September 2022 (!) A stark divergence is emerging between private labor data (looking at Tuesday's ADP report) and public data. Some analysts have noted bad seasonal adjustments from the Bureau of Labor Statistics – Could there have been some reshuffling? This morning's Challenger Report paradoxically confirms another rise, of a lesser extent, in US Layoffs. You can access the interesting report right here. Markets unfortunately wo…
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Ethereum (ETH) is topping talks once again as its Fusaka upgrade goes live and the ETH price returns firmly above the $3,200 mark. After weeks of choppy trading and lingering fear across the broader crypto market, the combination of a major technical overhaul and rising on-chain activity is giving traders a fresh narrative to follow. Related Reading: Eric Trump Says Bitcoin Could Hit $500,000, Stands By ABTC Strategy In the last 24 hours, ETH has climbed around 4–5%, outperforming most large-cap cryptos and reclaiming a key psychological zone near $3,200. Market data shows rising volumes and a noticeable pickup in accumulation from larger holders, even as sentiment indi…
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Dogecoin has spent the majority of the past 30 days drifting lower, falling into a tight and almost predictable rhythm of lower highs and lower lows. The movement has been sluggish, but technical analysis shows that something important may now be forming. A new analysis shared by crypto commentator Clifton Fx suggests that Dogecoin is approaching the end of this decline, and the chart he posted highlights a falling wedge pattern that could become the basis for a 96% rally if buyers finally step in with conviction. A Falling Wedge That Has Started Attracting Attention Technical analysis of Dogecoin’s price action on the 12-hour chart shows two downward-sloping trendline…
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Despite a rough monthly open, the US Dollar is currently trading within a key technical range, a factor that holds FX Markets firmly in balance despite some individual breakouts seen in pairs like NZD/USD or GBP/USD. As is often the case ahead of pivotal events like the FOMC, the Dollar may test relative extremes, but it rarely poses definitive breakout situations. The best example of this was ahead of the September Fed Meeting, where the Dollar rushed to make new lows but was inevitably constrained by the bounds of its previous yearly support zones. The catalyst for the current downside came from NY Fed President John Williams' speech on November 21, which fundamental…
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The British pound is showing gains against the U.S. dollar during the North American session and has moved into a consolidation phase, despite U.S. labor market data indicating stability, while expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut remain high. As markets digest the positive U.S. employment figures and maintain expectations of a December Fed rate cut, the British pound is holding firm. Recent U.S. economic data showed that the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits came in below experts' forecasts for the week ending November 29. Initial jobless claims totaled 191,000, below the forecast of 220,000 and even below last week's upwardly revised figure of 2…
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The wave structure on the 4-hour EUR/USD chart has shifted but remains quite understandable overall. There is no talk of canceling the upward trend that began in January 2025, but the wave structure has become significantly more complex and extended since July 1. In my view, the instrument has completed the formation of corrective wave 4, which took on a very unconventional form. Within this wave we observe exclusively corrective patterns, so there is no doubt about the corrective nature of the decline. In my opinion, the formation of the upward trend segment is not yet complete, and its targets extend all the way up to the 1.25 level. The a-b-c-d-e series appears complet…
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Larvotto Resources (ASX: LRV) has expanded the technical capabilities at its flagship Hillgrove antimony-gold project with the acquisition of a core scanning system to support both exploration and metallurgical development activities. The ECORE system — developed by Elemission Inc. — is an advanced, automated drill core scanner that uses laser ablation and atomic emission spectroscopy to provide detailed quantitative mineralogy in near real time. Following the acquisition, Hillgrove becomes the only mine site in Australia equipped with these capabilities, highlighting its commitment to using the latest technology to produce the best production results, Larvotto sa…
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XRP has reclaimed the $2.10 level after a strong rebound across the broader crypto market, signaling renewed confidence following several days of fear, volatility, and sharp pullbacks. Analysts now see the potential for a sustained recovery as momentum returns and buyers show signs of stepping back in. The reclaim of this key level comes at a crucial moment, with traders closely watching whether XRP can build enough strength to challenge higher resistances in the coming sessions. Adding to the renewed optimism, a new report from CryptoOnchain on CryptoQuant highlights a major spike in XRP Ledger Velocity, marking one of the strongest on-chain signals of 2025. On Decembe…
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The recent unsuccessful attempt to find support above the $4,250 level and the subsequent decline favor the bears. However, positive technical oscillators on the daily chart indicate that any downturn will find strong support near the weekly low set on Tuesday around $4,160. But further selling below this level will push prices toward the round level of $4,100 on the way to $4,075. This level is close to the 50-day SMA, which may become a base in the near future. On the other hand, since gold has already surpassed the round $4,200 level today, resistance at $4,250 may still serve as a strong barrier before $4,270, above which the precious metal will attempt to reclaim the…
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The Dogecoin (DOGE) price movement is entering a phase that traders often watch closely, a stretch of tightening action that usually precedes a decisive move. After several days of elevated activity, shifting ETF flows, and a rare alignment of technical indicators, the memecoin is now sitting at a point where sentiment and structure appear to be converging. The conversation around Dogecoin is beginning to shift from short-term speculation to whether the asset is preparing for a larger breakout as the year closes. Recent trading sessions have highlighted a steady rise in activity, driven initially by an 8% price jump that pushed DOGE to the $0.15 region. The move came …
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A crypto market analyst has compared XRP to NVIDIA, an American technology company with one of the biggest tech success stories in history. The analyst implied that buying XRP today could mirror the opportunity investors had when purchasing NVIDIA shares in 2000 at just $0.35. The comparison emphasizes the long-term potential of the XRP price and highlights the importance of HODLing. XRP Today Shows Growth Potential Like NVIDIA In 2000 A leading market expert, Egrag Crypto, has drawn a striking parallel between the current XRP price and the early days of NVIDIA. He suggested that buying XRP now could be akin to purchasing NVIDIA shares at just $0.35, as recorded in 2000…
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Today's session is one of the most muted trading seen in Stock Markets in a long while, reflecting ongoing caution after the volatility of November. Pretty logic considering Markets are still awaiting next Wednesday's FOMC rate decision Confusion reigns regarding the Labor picture: this morning's Jobless Claims came in sharply lower at 191K (lowest since September 2022!), a number that fundamentally diverges from yesterday's ADP private payroll -32K Miss. With next week's Fed Cut well anchored around 85-90% and traders awaiting the pivotal Core PCE release, the immediate theme is not one of volatility, but rather uncertainty. We will instead analyze the Stocks which ha…
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Recent bullish predictions for the XRP price have emerged, hinting at a potential for new all-time highs (ATHs) by March 2026 for one of the market’s leading altcoins. XRP Price Projected To Reach New ATH By Q1 2026 According to projections from ChatGPT, XRP could reach approximately $4.40 by the first quarter of 2026, a notable increase of 120% from current levels around $2. In contrast to the AI forecast, some analysts believe that the XRP price has the potential for a stronger rally. They suggest that structural changes could allow XRP to exceed $5 and potentially approach $6 by 2026. Several factors support their optimistic view. For instance, key aspects of the U…
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Anglo Asian Mining (LON: AAZ) has begun copper concentrate sales from its new Demirli mine as part of a recently signed agreement with commodities trading group Trafigura. On Nov. 3, the London-listed miner, which operates mines in Azerbaijan, contracted to sell copper concentrates produced at Demirli in Karabakh to Trafigura, with the latter agreeing to a $25 million prepayment. In the second half of November, Anglo Asian made its first sale to Trafigura — totalling 2,055 wet tonnes of copper concentrate containing 351 tonnes of metal. This is expected to generate a revenue (before the government of Azerbaijan’s share) of $3.6 million, it said. To facilitate …
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Bitcoin and XRP have become central to a bold corporate shift in Japan, with AltPlus announcing that both digital assets will be formally incorporated into its long-term treasury strategy. The publicly listed company disclosed the move in its recent shareholder filing, outlining a multi-layered plan that positions cryptocurrencies as foundational components of its future financial and operational framework. Bitcoin And XRP Lead Treasury According to a post by “BankXRP” on X (formerly Twitter), AltPlus is expected to purchase and hold Bitcoin and XRP through a newly established cryptocurrency purchase and management division. The company frames this step as part of a long…
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Mining veteran Jake Klein says Australia missed a huge opportunity to become a leader in the rare earths space. Best known as the founder and chairman of gold producer Evolution Mining (ASX: EVN), Klein also sat on the board of Lynas Rare Earths (ASX: LYC) for many years when it was trying to establish itself as a producer. Speaking at the Melbourne Mining Club on Wednesday, Klein pointed to China’s successful multi-decade strategy to secure raw materials. “When I reflect on Australia’s success over the last 30 years, it was largely founded on the back of some very bold reform in the ‘90s, which laid the groundwork for our economic success, which has been phen…
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Today, Thursday, the pair attracted buyer interest as it attempted to recover yesterday's losses; however, the attempt was unsuccessful, and the pair remained at the same price level. Current prices show no confidence in growth, hovering just above the 200-day SMA. The U.S. dollar index made attempts to recover today, which provided important support for USD/CAD.Nonetheless, significant dollar strengthening should not be expected, as most market participants anticipate that the Federal Reserve will cut rates next week in December. These expectations were reinforced by the weak ADP employment report, which showed that private-sector employers unexpectedly cut 32,000 jobs i…
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