Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Join OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong and podcast host Jonny Hart as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities, and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. Opinions are the authors'; not necessarily that of OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. The provided publication is for informational and educational p…
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Key takeaways Nikkei 225 rallies 34% from April lows to June highs, driven partly by post-tariff optimism despite Japan being targeted by US trade measures.Nikkei 225 outperforms globally, gaining 28% since 7 April, trailing only South Korea’s KOSPI and ahead of the Hang Seng and S&P 500.Rising 30-year JGB yields (+45 bps) spark a -4.2% Nikkei 225 pullback due to fiscal concerns ahead of Japan’s 20 July election.Strong economic & earnings data: Citigroup Surprise Index and Earnings Revisions Index support bullish fundamentals for Japanese stocks.Bullish technical breakout from flag pattern signals potential for Nikkei 225 to challenge resistance at 40,620 and 42,5…
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The price actions of the Japan 225 CFD Index (a proxy for the Nikkei 225 futures) have staged a recent decline of -5.5% from its intraday high of 42,084 on 24 July 2025 (around 1% away from its all-time high of 42,513, printed in July 2024) to hit a low of 39,980 on 1 August 2025. Right now, we will examine whether the Japan 225 CFD has hit an inflection point or will the corrective decline from the 24 July high will extend further to the downside from a macro and technical analysis perspective. Rising Japanese wages should boost consumer confidence …
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This is a follow-up analysis and update of our prior report, Nikkei 225 Update: Bullish impulsive sequence intact, new resistance levels to watch after new all-time high, published on 12 August 2025. The Japan 225 CFD Index (a proxy of the Nikkei 225 futures) rallied as expected and hit the first resistance level of 43,560 as mentioned in our previous report. It printed a fresh intraday record high of 43,943 on Monday, 18 August. Thereafter, it staged a decline of -4% to record an intraday low of 42,330 on Friday, 22 August, before it recovered to an intraday level of 42,570 at the time of writing. Several technical elements and a fundamental factor suggest that the o…
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This is a follow-up analysis and update of our prior report, “Nikkei 225 Technical: A potential bullish reversal looms after a 4% decline as market breadth improves with earnings upgrade”, published on 22 August 2025. The price actions of the Japan 225 CFD Index (a proxy of the Nikkei 225 futures) have staged the expected bullish reversal after the test on the 41,760 key short-term pivotal support on 2 September 2025 (printed an intraday low of 41,688) and rallied by 3.6% to hit 43,203 on last Friday. 5 September. In today’s Asia session, it gapped up and added 1.7% to print a current intraday high of 43,850, just a whisker away from the recent all-time high of 43,942…
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This is a follow-up analysis and update of our prior report, Nikkei 225 Technical: Start of new bullish impulsive up move as Japan’s wages tick higher, published on 6 August 2025. The Japan 225 CFD Index (a proxy of the Nikkei 225 futures) has staged the expected bullish move and rallied by 5.5% since our last publication on 6 August, cleared above its prior all-time high of 42,513 printed in July last year, and hit a fresh record high of 43,009 in today’s Asia session led by banking stocks. …
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Key takeaways BoJ policy supportive for equities: The BoJ’s expected 25bp hike to 0.75% and guidance for a gradual, data-dependent tightening path into 2026 signal policy normalization without destabilising financial conditions, reducing downside risks for Japanese equities. Stronger JPY no longer a headwind: Domestic-oriented Nikkei 225 stocks are outperforming export-heavy names, indicating that modest JPY strength and improving consumer confidence can coexist with a sustained equity uptrend. Technical backdrop constructive: The Nikkei 225 is showing signs of a minor bullish reversal after a shallow pullback, with momentum indicators improving and key supports holdin…
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This is a follow-up analysis and timely update of our prior report, “Nikkei 225 Technical: Bullish trend remains intact despite Japan’s PM resignation”, published on 8 September 2025. The Japan 225 CFD Index (a proxy of the Nikkei 225 futures) has continued to remain in a bullish trend as expected and rallied by 5.3% to hit a fresh all-time high of 45,956 on last Thursday, 18 September 2025, ex-post FOMC. Thereafter, the Japan 225 CFD Index staged a minor corrective pull-back of -3.2% to print an intraday low of 44,485 on Friday, 19 September 2025, on the onset of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announcement to start unwinding its massive hoard of around 79.5 trillion yen of …
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Key takeaways Japan 225 CFD Index rally: The Japan 225 CFD Index (Nikkei 225 proxy) reached an all-time high of 49,970 on optimism over PM Takaichi’s more than ¥13.9 trillion expansionary stimulus plan.Market pullback: The index declined 3.4% from its peak, suggesting investors had already priced in expectations of aggressive fiscal measures.Earnings momentum: Forward 12-month EPS growth for Nikkei 225 stocks rose to 9.3% in October from 7% in September, signaling an improving corporate outlook.Foreign inflows strengthen: Net foreign purchases of Japanese equities surged sharply, reinforcing continued medium-term bullish momentum for Japan’s equity market. This is a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Key takeaways Nikkei 225 remains supported by macro tailwinds, including aggressive fiscal stimulus under PM Takaichi and a renewed steepening in Japan’s government bond yield curves, both historically correlated with upside in the index.A weakening Japanese yen is attracting stronger foreign inflows, with USD/JPY at a 10-month high and foreign net purchases of Japanese equities trending higher, reinforcing bullish pressure on the Nikkei 225.Short-term technicals lean positive, with the Japan 225 CFD Index holding above key moving averages and momentum indicators strengthening; a break above 50,730 could unlock the next leg higher towards 51,530 and 52,775/52,830. T…
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Key takeaways Nikkei 225 correction: The index fell 6.6% from its record high of 52,664, testing a key support zone at 49,370/48,450 that may trigger a short-term bullish reversal.Macro resilience: Japan’s Citigroup Economic Surprise Index rose to 16.8, indicating continued economic outperformance and reinforcing long-term bullish fundamentals.Technical setup: Oversold RSI and a bullish hammer candlestick near the 20-day moving average signal potential bullish momentum. This is a follow-up analysis and timely update of our prior report, “Nikkei 225: Bullish trend remains intact for another potential all-time high of 50,860/51,030”, published on 24 October 2025. The …
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Key takeaways Nikkei 225 hits new record high, rising 6.5% since 23 September 2025 amid optimism over Japan’s incoming Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi.Expansionary fiscal policy expected, with higher government spending and increased JGB issuance to boost wages and corporate profits.Steepening JGB yield curves continue to correlate positively with the Nikkei 225’s bullish momentum.Medium-term bullish bias remains intact, with key support at 45,930 and potential targets between 50,090 and 51,220. This is a follow-up analysis and timely update of our prior report, “Nikkei 225: Bullish reversal above 45,000, no negative impact from BoJ’s ETF unwind”, published on 23 Sep…
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NioCorp Developments (NASDAQ: NB) has taken another step in its application for an US$800 million loan from the Export-Import Bank of the US (EXIM) as it looks to begin an independent review of its flagship project. The company, which is developing the shovel-ready Elk Creek critical minerals property in southeast Nebraska, announced it has engaged SLR Consulting to conduct the project’s environmental and social (E&S) review, a key part of EXIM’s due diligence process. SLR is the same company that the bank is using to conduct its own technical review of the project. “The SLR team is an outstanding selection and they are very familiar with our project, given th…
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Rendering from Niron Magnetics. Niron Magnetics broke ground Friday on a new 1,500-ton-per-year permanent magnet manufacturing facility in Sartell, Minnesota. After nearly a decade of research and development in partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and the University of Minnesota, Niron Magnetics said it has successfully created one of the first commercially viable new magnet materials in decades, capable of producing superior permanent magnets. Niron Magnetics said its product does not contain any rare-earth elements, and is made from abundant elements such as iron and nitrogen. The company said it is able to scale manufacturing of permane…
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Bitcoin climbed sharply at the end of September 2025 after a run of heavy selling left the market tense. Based on reports, the rebound followed a series of events that together eased selling pressure and drew fresh money into the crypto market. The move touched off debate among traders about whether this is a short-term bounce or the start of a stronger leg up into Q4 2025. Bitcoin’s strong rebound in late September 2025 was no accident, according to a recent analysis by XWIN Research Japan. It came from overlapping forces — a weaker dollar, record-breaking gold, steady inflows into large funds, and signs of renewed accumulation — that gave the rally a strong foundatio…
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Solana has pulled well ahead of other networks on a key measure: revenue. That gap is large enough to change how traders and builders talk about where money flows in crypto. Solana Tops Blockchain Revenue Charts According to data shared by crypto media outlets, Solana has generated $1.25 billion in revenue year-to-date. That is about two and a half times the revenue of Ethereum, which sits at $523 million so far this year. Only two other chains have cleared the $100 million mark: BNB Smart Chain at $148 million and Bitcoin at $135 million. Base, Coinbase’s layer-2, records $54 million and leads the L2 group, while Arbitrum, Polygon and Optimism report revenues between…
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Roll call -No Confidence Vote in France: How It Works and Why September 8 Could Be Historic A vote of no confidence in France is one of the most powerful tools the National Assembly has to bring down a sitting government. While such motions are filed regularly, it is rare for them to succeed, as they require a broad coalition of opposition parties to gather at least 289 votes out of 577 deputies. On September 8, however, France could face one of those historic turning points. For once, parties from both the left and the far-right are expected to unite, making the fall of the government a real possibility. (scroll below for a full preview) How Does a Vote of No Confide…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for August 25. August trading is coming to its concluding week with FX Markets mostly mean-reverting July moves, Equities and Cryptos still pushing higher (but showing some signs of hesitancy) and US treasury yields not knowing where to go after contradicting economic signs and no further direction from FED Speakers. Hence, the past week saw even further indecisive price action as all participants waited for Fed Chairman Powell to fold under dovish pressure after persistent threats from the Trump Administration. The US Dollar suffered greatly on Friday as Participants overestimated his comments, but looking back (and…
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As the crypto market continues to struggle, Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to hold a crucial zone as support to resume its bullish rally. However, some analysts suggest that the cryptocurrency will see another choppy September before the long-awaited Q4 run. Ethereum Party To Be Delayed? Amid the recent market correction, Ethereum closed August around the $4,390 area, recording its highest monthly close since November 2021. The end-of-month market pullback sent the King of Altcoins’ price to the $4,250 area before bouncing, a 14% drop from its recent all-time high (ATH) of $4,956. The cryptocurrency began the new month attempting to reclaim the $4,500 level as support fo…
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According to pseudonymous Bitcoin analyst PlanC, the road to $1,000,000 per coin might look a lot less pronounced than many expect. PlanC floated the idea that, instead of sharp parabolic runs, Bitcoin could “slow-grind” higher — inching upward over the next seven years and quietly reaching $1 million by 2032. Slow Grind, Fewer Flashy Moves PlanC argues that long stretches of sideways trading tend to fool people into thinking the cycle has ended and that crashes of up to 80% are coming. He suggested those deep wipeouts haven’t played out every time prices pause. Instead, he envisions recurring, drawn-out consolidations and corrections of roughly 10–30% — messy but m…
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Reports have disclosed that XRP community commentator Versan Aljarrah says XRP could gain a link to gold without actually holding bullion. According to Aljarrah, XRP would simply move gold-backed stablecoins across the XRP Ledger. The commentator argues that this role would give XRP a “synthetic connection” to tokenized assets like gold and oil, even though XRP itself would not carry any gold reserves. How XRP Bridges Gold Token According to Aljarrah, XRP only needs to power the on-chain movement of gold-pegged coins. Based on reports, each gold token on the XRPL would represent one gram of real gold. Custodians such as MKS Pamp and Imperial Vaults would hold the physi…
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As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to post new all-time highs (ATH), reaching as much as $118,869 on Binance, market indicators show little sign of overheating. The lack of retail-driven hype amid BTC’s record-breaking run suggests there may still be room for further growth in the flagship cryptocurrency. Bitcoin ATH Sees Absence Of Hype According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor burakkemeci, Bitcoin’s current rally is notably characterized by the absence of retail investors. The contributor argues that this lack of retail participation implies BTC may still have significant upside potential. The analysis centers on the Spot Retail Activity Through Trading…
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Bitcoin prices dipped by 0.93% in the last day after the premier cryptocurrency suffered another price rejection in the $110,000 range. This latest price pullback forces Bitcoin to maintain a consolidatory movement that has dominated the majority of last month drawing speculations about a potential market top. Interestingly, prominent market analyst Ted Pillows has weighed in on this discourse stating that historical data shows that Bitcoin is yet to achieve a peak price for the current market cycle. Bitcoin’s Consolidation: A Preparation For Final Bull Leg In an X post on July 4, Ted Pillows shares a bullish market insight following another Bitcoin price dip. Notably,…
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Strategy (previously MicroStrategy), the Bitcoin proxy firm co-founded by Bitcoin bull Michael Saylor, has made headlines once again on Monday, but not for its usual Bitcoin acquisitions, but for its notable absence of purchases during the week of June 30 to July 6. This marks the first time since late March that the largest corporate holder of BTC has not added to its impressive treasury, which currently stands at 597,325 Bitcoin, valued at approximately $64.71 billion. Strategy Bitcoin Investment Hits A Pause The lack of activity in Bitcoin acquisitions is surprising, especially given Strategy’s aggressive purchases over the past few months. These purchases have brou…
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Log in to today's North American session Market wrap for October 3rd Today marked the continuation of the US Government shutdown, with the Senate rejecting a Democrat attempt to end it. It seems that the two parties are not agreeing to the financing terms and will require more than a few days of negotiation. The Trump administration had expected the shutdown which, would help the President to reduce drastically the number of federal workers, at least according to his Truth Social Post. …
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