Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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The recent technical picture for Bitcoin presents a tug-of-war between short-term momentum and macro necessity. While the bulls are aggressively defending support and pushing toward the $117,000 resistance area, the yet-to-be-filled CME gap hangs over the market. This historical pattern suggests that although the price action is bullish, a mandatory downside move may be required to reset the chart before the target can truly be breached. Gap-Filling Before The Next Big Rally Ezy Bitcoin, in a recent short-term market outlook shared on X, explained that Bitcoin may need to close an existing gap before it can build momentum for its next major rally. However, such a move sh…
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Gold prices soared to a new record on Wednesday, lifted by safe-haven demand amid a US government shutdown, while softer jobs data reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut this month. Spot gold rose as much as 1% to $3,895.13 an ounce, surpassing its previous all-time high of $3,871.45 set just a day ago. US gold futures surged to as high as $3,922.70 per ounce, also a new high. Click on chart for live prices. Driving the rally was the economic uncertainty of a US government shutdown — the first in seven years — which drove investors towards the safety of gold and assets like Bitcoin. The US dollar, meanwhile, continued to weaken, further bolsterin…
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Andrew Bailey, the Bank of England (BoE) Governor has dramatically softened his stance on stabelcoins. Talking to the Financial Times on 1 October 2025, Bailey said that it would be “wrong to be against stablecoins as a matter of principle.” Stablecoins are digital tokens designed to maintain a stable value by being pegged to traditional currencies like the British Pound at a one-to-one ratio. And unlike Bitcoin, stabelcoins can offer stability while offering benefits of digital transactions. Hence, Bailey’s latest comments could finally indicate UK’s acceptance of stablecoins. Especially since industry analysts at Citigroup predict this market could explode to $4 tri…
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According to Arkham, a wallet labeled “Tether: Bitcoin Reserves” received 8,889 Bitcoin in a single transfer from Bitfinex. The move added roughly $1 billion to Tether’s holdings and pushed the firm’s Bitcoin stash to about $9.8 billion based on the market price. It was one of the biggest single top-ups to its BTC balance this year. Quarter-End Buying Pattern Based on reports, the timing of the buy was not random. Blockchain records show Tether has made similar quarter-end additions in September 2024, December 2024, and March 2025. Analysts say the pattern points to a deliberate effort to bolster reserves ahead of public attestations. Tether’s second-quarter attestati…
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Drilling at DPM Metals’ (TSX, ASX: DPM) Loma Larga project in Ecuador has been put on hold following widespread protests, the Canadian miner said as it released a new study that showed higher capital costs and smaller potential returns. A 23,000-metre drilling program, which had previously been expected to start in the second half, has been “paused,” DPM said late Tuesday without providing a timeframe. The company said it will “continue to engage with stakeholders to address their concerns, and work with the government to understand its expectations for resuming DPM’s planned activities.” Ecuador’s President Daniel Noboa last month requested further information on…
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The US government shutdown officially took effect at midnight, immediately clouding the economic calendar with uncertainty. You can track the latest headlines on the shutdown right here. Key releases, including the all-important Non-Farm Payrolls and weekly Jobless Claims, are set to be delayed — leaving markets grasping for alternative signals on the labor picture. That made today’s ADP private employment report all the more critical, and it disappointed: a sharp miss at –32K versus +52K expected, coupled with yet another downward revision for August (-3K vs +54K announced). This should at least keep rate cuts hope high with a 25 bps cut still 99% priced in. On the m…
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Hooked on Headlines: Why Financial Markets Are Addicted to News Financial Decisions and Headlines Financial markets today are hooked on news, so much so that it often feels like an addiction. Headline news is the primary mechanism by which uncertainty is reduced and expectations are formed. At the same time, news can create new uncertainty, especially when it delivers a surprise. That uncertainty can spark volatility. While investors often dislike volatility, traders thrive on it, as it creates opportunities for quick gains. In this article, we break down why news matters to financial markets and why traders can’t escape the pull of the next headline. Financial D…
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The global gold sector was jolted this week by a cascade of major developments not seen in decades. It began with the sudden departure of Mark Bristow from Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX) (NYSE: B). The long-time executive, who had pledged in May to stay until 2028 to oversee projects such as the $9-billion Reko Diq copper and gold mine in Pakistan, stepped down abruptly. Barrick quickly named Mark Hill as interim chief while it searches for a permanent replacement. Bristow, a South African known for his blunt style and penchant for risk-taking, took the helm of Barrick in 2019 after orchestrating its merger with Randgold, where he had generated a 4,000% return. But hi…
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Trend Analysis In October, from the level of 1.1732 (closing of the September monthly candle), the price may continue moving upward with the target at 1.1918 – the upper fractal (yellow dashed line). From this level, a corrective move downward is possible with the target at 1.1664 – the 14.6% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Fig. 1 (monthly chart). Indicator Analysis: Indicator analysis – upward;Fibonacci levels – upward;Volumes – upward;Candlestick analysis – upward;Trend analysis – upward;Bollinger Bands – upward.Comprehensive analysis conclusion: an upward trend is possible. Overall outcome for the EUR/USD monthly candle calculation: the price will most likel…
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The wave structure on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has not changed for several months, but in recent days it has taken on a rather complex form. It is still too early to conclude that the upward section of the trend is canceled, though a more complicated wave structure in the near term is quite possible. The formation of the upward trend section continues, and the news background largely supports not the dollar but the euro. The trade war initiated by Donald Trump continues. The confrontation with the Fed continues. The market's "dovish" expectations regarding Fed rates are growing. The market holds a very low opinion of Trump's first 6–7 months in office, despite nearly …
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the Japanese Yen The test of 147.23 in the first half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far below the zero line, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar. The second test of 147.23 coincided with MACD being in the oversold area, which triggered scenario #2 for buying the dollar, but the pair did not actually manage to grow afterward. For further downward movement in USD/JPY later in the day, the key drivers will be the U.S. ADP employment change report and the ISM Manufacturing Index. Investors will carefully analyze the incoming data to assess the state of the …
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the British Pound The test of 1.3472 occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the pound. The second test of 1.3472 coincided with MACD being in the overbought area, which triggered scenario #2 for selling. The UK Manufacturing PMI released today confirmed analysts' forecasts, providing no momentum for further GBP/USD growth. The data matched expectations, indicating no unexpected changes in the country's manufacturing activity. This anticipated outcome nullified previous attempts of the pound to strengthen against the U.S. dolla…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the Euro The test of 1.1770 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of 1.1770, with MACD in the overbought area, triggered scenario #2 for selling, resulting in a 30-point decline in the pair. Revised upward data on the eurozone manufacturing PMI still showed a decline compared to the previous month, which negatively affected the euro in the first half of the trading day. Inflation figures fully matched economists' forecasts, which also failed to spark renewed demand for risk assets. D…
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Crypto analyst Trader Mayne is cautioning that Bitcoin may be setting up for a sharper drawdown before resuming its broader uptrend into year-end, arguing that a “$98,000 weekly liquidity level” sits uncollected below price and could be targeted early in October. Two Price Scenarios For Bitcoin In a video analysis posted on September 30 titled “Did Bitcoin Just Top? The Signal Everyone’s Ignoring…,”Mayne outlined a two-track playbook: a tactical long on a lower-timeframe liquidity sweep that could precede a deeper correction, and, if that setup fails, a decisive flush that takes out $98,000 before a fourth-quarter continuation higher. “TLDR — I think we are due for a l…
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Nova Minerals (NASDAQ, ASX: NVA) has been awarded $43.4 million by the US Department of War (DoW) to support the production of antimony trisulfide at its Estelle project in Alaska. Shares of the Australian miner skyrocketed on the news. The DoW funding, provided under Defense Production Act Title III, will go towards Nova’s US-based subsidiary Alaska Range Resources, which holds an 85% interest in the Estelle project. Located 150 km northwest of Anchorage, Estelle is a district-scale project that spans a 35-km mineralized corridor and hosts 20 identified gold prospects, including four large, near-surface gold deposits. Together, these deposits hold nearly 10 mill…
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We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week.Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp market fluctu…
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This year is providing one of the craziest markets seen since the 2000s, with the Trump Administration constantly fueling the volatility fire. With government spending at crisis levels, central banks cutting, and an ever-erratic US President Trump, Market participants are looking to diversify from the assets acquired throughout the first two decades of this century. Gold is not reaching record levels on its own: cryptocurrencies also see a massive attraction with regulators opening the way for many investors who want to gain exposure to the most recent asset class. …
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Bitcoin has reclaimed the $115,000 level, restoring momentum after weeks of uncertainty and signaling that bulls are regaining strength. The move comes as traders push back against selling pressure, with renewed optimism spreading across the market. For many, the rebound highlights Bitcoin’s resilience and its ability to bounce after testing key support levels. Yet, not everyone feels convinced. Several analysts warn that despite the recent upside, Bitcoin may still face the risk of a deeper correction. The recovery looks promising, but the broader structure remains fragile, and cautious voices continue to dominate discussions. A failure to hold above $115,000 could onc…
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Bitcoin is back above $116K, Ethereum is trading near $4.3K, and Tapzi is ready to take off. As macro tailwinds buoy the broader market, Tapzi’s presale is accelerating. Early supporters who join the presale now could lock in 185% gains by the time the token hits exchanges. While many new coins struggle to articulate real value, Tapzi doubles down on structure, scarcity, and use case. In a market where hype often reigns supreme, this disciplined approach is capturing attention. Market Rebound Adds Fuel to Presale Sentiment This week witnessed a striking rebound across major cryptos. Bitcoin clawed back into the $116K range after earlier sliding near $109K. Ethereum fo…
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Bitcoin climbed sharply at the end of September 2025 after a run of heavy selling left the market tense. Based on reports, the rebound followed a series of events that together eased selling pressure and drew fresh money into the crypto market. The move touched off debate among traders about whether this is a short-term bounce or the start of a stronger leg up into Q4 2025. Bitcoin’s strong rebound in late September 2025 was no accident, according to a recent analysis by XWIN Research Japan. It came from overlapping forces — a weaker dollar, record-breaking gold, steady inflows into large funds, and signs of renewed accumulation — that gave the rally a strong foundatio…
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A shutdown has begun in the United States: Congress failed to reach a budget agreement, resulting in the first federal government closure in seven years. The political deadlock over healthcare spending. A shutdown has begun in the United States: Congress failed to reach a budget agreement, causing the federal government to begin winding down operations for the first time in seven years. The political impasse over healthcare spending and other priorities has triggered the suspension of several government services and preparations for mass furloughs and layoffs, alarming both businesses and markets. This article provides an analysis of the economic fallout, as well as exper…
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Pavel Durov, the founder and CEO of Telegram, used a wide-ranging conversation on the Lex Fridman Podcast to make one of his clearest long-term calls on Bitcoin yet: “I believe it will come to a point when Bitcoin is worth $1 million.” The remarks appear on Fridman’s newly released episode with Durov. Why Bitcoin Will Reach $1 Million: Pavel Durov Pressed by Fridman on why he kept accumulating Bitcoin and whether he sees further upside, Durov traced his conviction to the asset’s earliest days and to its monetary design. “I was a big believer in Bitcoin since more or less the start of it,” he said, recalling that he bought “my first few thousand of Bitcoin in 2013,” aroun…
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Against all expectations, September 2025 proved surprisingly kind to crypto. While BTC USD ticked higher in the first few weeks of the month, the sharp plunge in the final week failed to erase those gains. Instead, a mix of bullish Bitcoin news and resilient buyers provided strong support, establishing a solid foundation for BTC USDT to push above $125,000 in Q4 2025. Presently, the Bitcoin price is steady above $116,000. The digital gold has successfully reversed its losses from September 25. That said, this leg up is on relatively low trading volume but has nonetheless pumped some of the best cryptos to buy. From a technical standpoint, a close above $118,000 could ign…
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What’s the best crypto to buy today? Volatility is back on the radar as Mantra (OM) readies a wave of token unlocks and IOTA (MIOTA) struggles near multi-year lows. Both markets face selling pressure, and the arrival of new supply in Q4 could decide whether the floor holds or the slide deepens. (Source: DropsTab) Best Crypto to Buy Today? Mantra Faces Daily Unlocks and Bearish Momentum Mantra was once a rising modular blockchain play, but now appears to be cornered. Trading at $0.165, OM has shed 86% of its value over the past year, according to CoinGecko data. The token’s market cap sits at $179 Mn with $20.7 Mn in 24-hour volume; it has decent liquidity, but not enoug…
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Bitcoin today quickly reached the $116,500 mark, and Ethereum updated its level at $4,323, indicating the market still has strong upward prospects for cryptocurrencies.. If you think major players have left the market, you are mistaken. The Asian "MicroStrategy" — the company Metaplanet — has proven this by purchasing another 5,268 BTC for its balance sheet. The total amount on its balance sheet has grown to 30,823 BTC. This step not only demonstrates the company's confidence in Bitcoin's long-term potential but also its willingness to invest actively in the cryptocurrency sector despite existing volatility. Such actions by big players have a significant impact on the …
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