Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
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Highlights include US NFP, ISM PMIs, EZ Flash CPI, UK Retail Sales, and Canada Jobs Newsquawk Week Ahead: Highlights1st – 5th September 2025 MON: US Labor Day, South Korean Trade Balance Prelim (Aug), Chinese Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Final), EZ, UK, US Manufacturing PMI (Final), New Zealand Terms of Trade (Q2) TUE: South Korean CPI (Aug), EZ Flash HICP (Aug), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug) WED: NBP Announcement, Australia Real GDP (Q2), US ADP National Employment (Aug), Chinese Caixin Services PMI (Final), mEZ, UK, US Services PMI (Final), US Durable Goods R (Jul) THU: Swedish CPIF (Aug), US ISM Services PMI (Aug) FRI: UK Retail Sales (Aug), EZ GDP R (Q2), US Job…
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Copper prices rose on Friday, putting the metal on track for a fourth straight weekly gain, as upbeat economic signals from the U.S. and China buoyed demand expectations. The benchmark three-month copper contract on the London Metal Exchange (LME) rose as much as 0.8% to $9,898 per metric ton, hovering near its highest level in a month. Futures on the COMEX also gained, with the most-active contract climbing 1% to $4.5880 per pound ($10,093/t). Economic tailwinds from the US and China In the US, revised government data showed the economy expanded at a 3.3% annualized pace in Q2, stronger than the previously reported 3% growth. The revision was driven by a picku…
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Crypto analyst XForce has set a $20 target for the XRP price. The analyst also highlighted two scenarios that could play out from here for the altcoin to reach this price target. XRP Price Eyes Rally To $20 In This Market Cycle In an X post, XForce declared that $20 remains the primary cycle target for the XRP price. He noted that the altcoin still faces strong resistance at the $4 level, but this does not alter the overall bullish outlook on the macro level. The analyst then went on to mention a strong impulse continuation and Wave 1-2 Flat continuation as the two scenarios that could play out for the altcoin. In another analysis, XForce provided an update on the ma…
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Nevada-focused Scorpio Gold (TSXV: SGN) says it has received an C$8 million ($5.8m) investment from Canadian mining entrepreneurs Ross Beaty and Eric Sprott to advance its flagship Manhattan property. The investment comprises the issuance of 32 million common shares priced at a discount of C$0.25 apiece. Beaty, who founded Pan American Silver (TSX: PAAS) in 1994 and is the current chairman of Equinox Gold (TSX: EQX), bought 20 million shares, while billionaire investor Sprott placed an order for 12 million. Scorpio Gold rose by nearly 15% following the announcement. By 10:30 ET, the stock traded at C$0.38 a share — its highest in over two years — with a market cap…
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China is moving closer to exploring stablecoins, a change that could reshape global payments and help push the yuan onto the world stage. Reports say the State Council is reviewing a roadmap that would set targets for using a yuan-backed stablecoin, assign roles to domestic regulators, and lay out rules to manage risks. Senior leaders are expected to meet this month to discuss yuan internationalisation and stablecoin policy — a notable shift from the 2021 ban on crypto trading and mining, and a development closely watched by projects like Conflux crypto, which position themselves as regulatory-compliant blockchains in China. If energy majors like PetroChina begin set…
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We are concluding a fairly muted trading week, with participants usually taking the final trading week of August to reload their batteries before entering the volatile final four months of the year. As a matter of fact, the session close will be essential to watch as month end flows tend to move markets quite largely. Indecisive trading, Ukraine-Russia talks take a step back Markets decided to consolidate on relative low-volume trading. Action in Forex markets was almost nonexistent, with low-volatility and volumes ranges, while equities went higher step by step. The S&P 500 still reached some new all-time highs and the Dow Jones is holding above its previous re…
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Burkina Faso is accelerating its drive to nationalize natural resources, requesting this week to acquire another 35% of West African Resources’ (ASX: WAF) Kiaka gold mine — a move that forced the miner into a trading halt on Thursday. The company said the government wants to raise its stake in Kiaka, which poured first gold in June, “for valuable paid consideration,” adding that trading should resume Monday. WAF has grown from a struggling explorer into one of West Africa’s biggest success stories, producing about 500,000 ounces of gold a year at low cost. The company says it has already paid hundreds of millions of dollars in taxes and royalties to Burkina Faso, …
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Bitcoin has entered a consolidation phase after reaching $124,500 earlier this month and retracing below the $115,000 mark. The sharp move higher followed by weeks of sideways action has left the market in a state of uncertainty, with traders watching closely for the next decisive move. For many analysts, this consolidation is not a sign of weakness but rather a natural pause before the next leg higher. A push above the all-time high would be the clearest confirmation that the next wave of growth has begun. Momentum, however, remains dependent on whether buyers can reclaim lost ground and sustain pressure against resistance levels. Despite short-term caution, onchain si…
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American Bitcoin, partially owned by Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr, targets a September public debut on the Nasdaq, according to Hut 8 CEO, Asher Genoot. The announcement came from an interview with Reuters during the Bitcoin Asia conference in Hong Kong, with Genoot stating that Hut 8, Eric, and his brother Donald will own 98% of the entity. The new company will retain the name of American Bitcoin and trade with the ticker ABTC. According to Genoot, the Trump brothers found it more advantageous to create and list the company, rather than go for a public IPO, which would give it access to multiple financial avenues anyway. A September listing for American Bitcoin woul…
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Gold prices have continued to advance this week on a combination of a weak US Dollar and renewed haven demand, setting the stage for a potential retest of all-time-highs at $3500/oz next week. The return of haven demand may be attributed to the ongoing Russia/Ukraine discussions, Fed independence concerns (which are also having an effect on the Dollar) and a potential surge in tension between Iran, the US and the E3 (Germany, France and England). Rising Geopolitical Risks Just as it seemed market participants may be getting a prolonged reprieve from a heightened geopolitical risk environment which has continued throughout 2025, it appears these hopes are faltering. The…
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A crypto expert set off a fresh debate by arguing that Chainlink — not XRP — should wear the “banking coin” label. His short tweet on Wednesday got people talking and digging into the numbers behind both projects. Analyst Claims Chainlink Is Banking Coin According to Quinten, a top analyst and host at Coin Compass, Chainlink is better suited to work with banks than XRP. Quinten also admitted that XRP is 10 times larger than Chainlink, a gap he says could narrow if LINK wins more institutional deals. Based on tracker figures, XRP currently trades around $3 with a market cap of a little over $178 billion, while Chainlink trades near $24 and sits at over $16 billion. XR…
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Ethereum has been testing key demand levels after slipping below the $4,600 mark, a breakdown that has intensified selling pressure across the market. Bulls, who recently drove ETH to new highs, are now losing control as momentum fades, and fear is beginning to creep back into sentiment. Traders are closely watching whether Ethereum can hold support zones or if a deeper retrace is on the horizon. Yet, beneath this volatility, on-chain data tells a different story. Top analyst Darkfost shared fresh insights showing that Binance’s Ethereum reserves have dropped by more than 10% in less than a week. The exchange balance fell from nearly 5 million ETH to just under 4.5 mill…
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The most traded FX pair wasn't exempt of a huge decrease in trading volumes in this final week of August. Without much change to fundamentals, traders have been looking for volatility in the impatient waiting of next Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls report. However, yesterday, Markets received the news of the Zelenskyy-Putin meeting not moving forward (It could have been expected with no advances since the past two weeks). The implications for the Euro are still to be clarified, but what is sure is that as long as this conflict keeps going, EU nations are going to keep spending on defense. The fundamental background could be negative for the Euro, but national spending of t…
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The euro is slightly lower on Friday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1657, down 0.21% on the day. German CPI accelerates to 2.1% Germany has released the preliminary inflation report for July, with a hotter-than expected reading. Annually, EU-harmonised CPI rose to 2.1%, up from 1.8% in June and above the market estimate of 2.0%. The figure was the highest level since March, driven by higher food prices. Monthly, inflation eased to 0.1%, below the June reading of 0.4% and just above the market estimate of 0%. Headline inflation in Germany, the eurozone's biggest economy, is largely in check but the battle against inflation is not over. Ser…
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Raoul Pal says two of crypto’s most-watched legacy altcoins—XRP and Dogecoin—are coiling for their next act. In a new X thread framed as “the Crypto Waiting Room,” the Real Vision and GMI co-founder argues that a broad swath of the market is consolidating before another leg higher, with capital already “full ported” into Ethereum and rotation risk building for assets lower down the stack. XRP And Dogecoin Are In The ‘Waiting Room’ “Let’s talk about the Crypto Waiting Room… many key parts of the crypto ecosystem are in the waiting room ready to launch,” Pal wrote, opening a chart-dense series that he says draws on Global Macro Investor’s probabilistic framework. He placed…
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The Canadian dollar has posted three consecutive winning days against the US dollar. Earlier, the Canadian dollar strengthened to 1.3738, its highest level since August 8. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.3748, up 0.05% on the day. Canada's GDP projected to show marginal expansion Canada releases GDP for June later today, with a market estimate of 0.1%. This follows two straight readings of -0.1%, and if the estimate for June is confirmed, it would point to a weak second quarter with no growth. The US tariffs have taken a toll on Canada's economy, although many analysts expected that the US-Canada trade war would be far more damaging to the Canadian econom…
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Charles Hoskinson, a founder of Ethereum and the driving force behind Cardano, laid out a sweeping forecast for crypto markets and payments this week. He predicted Bitcoin could reach $250,000 in the current market cycle and said the token’s total market value might hit $10 trillion in the next five years. Reports have disclosed that he links that outlook to new US stablecoin rules and what he calls clearer market structure. Bitcoin’s Role And Limits In an interview on the David Lin Report, Hoskinson argued that Bitcoin’s design made it strong as a store of value but limited as a global payments rail. He pointed to the old “big block” debates that pushed the network …
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Crypto markets kicked off with a bang today with the US government data hitting blockchains for the first time. Pyth Network and Chainlink teamed up with the Commerce Department to push GDP figures onto crypto chains like Solana and Ethereum. Following it, Pyth crypto price action went wild, while TON and LINK holders cleaning up their bruises. Pyth stole the crypto show, skyrocketing by 70% hours after the announcement. Money is flowing in as the oracle’s role in real-time data delivery is validated by Uncle Sam. Meanwhile, Solana is still surfing its wave, with its ecosystem metrics hitting a new high. (PYTH/USD, source – TradingView) TON, on the other hand, hit ro…
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Canada’s Luca Mining (TSX-V: LUCA) has acquired the Humaya 3 mining concession in Durango, Mexico, from Minera Mexicana La Ciénega, a unit of Fresnillo (LON: FRES), the country’s largest silver producer. The Humaya 3 mining concession surrounds Luca’s Tahuehueto mine in Durango, covering 2,507 hectares and with no underlying net smelter return royalties. The $400,000 cash deal increases Luca’s Tahuehueto land package by more than 25%, bringing its total holdings to about 10,000 hectares. said the acquisition strengthens the company’s near-term exploration strategy. “With this acquisition we have significantly increased both the size and exploration potential o…
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Asia Market Wrap - China Stocks Continue to Rally, Goldman Increases CSI300 forecast to 4900 Most Read: Sterling Outlook Softens amid Sticky Inflation, Slowing Growth and Fiscal Strains Asian stocks went up a little on Friday, following a good day for tech companies on Wall Street. Markets in Asia also had a good day, with the main Asia-Pacific stock index (excluding Japan) going up by 0.26%. In China, the tech-focused STAR 50 Index dropped by 3% after a big jump of more than 7% the day before. Shares of the Chinese chip company Cambricon Technologies fell by more than 7% because the company had warned investors on Thursday that its stock price had risen too quickly si…
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USD/JPY has extended its gradual decline from the 28 July 2025 high of 150.92, losing -2.6% to reach an intraday low of 147.00 at the time of writing. Today’s Tokyo inflation data and August consumer confidence figures reinforce expectations of a potential 25-basis-point rate hike by the Bank of Japan in October, as it continues along its path of monetary policy normalization. Tokyo inflation and Japan consumer confidence support another BoJ rate hike …
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Overview: Ahead of the long holiday weekend in North America, the US dollar is trading with a slightly firmer bias in narrow trading ranges. The drama around the Fed has intensified with FHFA Director Pulte sending a new criminal referral against Governor Cook regarding a third mortgage, while Governor Waller reiterated his dissent from last month's meeting. He supports a September rate cut in the face of the deterioration of the labor market while advocating looking through the tariff-related price pressures. China again lowered the dollar's reference rate to a new low for the year, and after the Thai baht, the yuan is the second-strongest emerging market currency this w…
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JPMorgan has thrown fresh fuel on the most durable comparison in digital assets, arguing in a new research note that Bitcoin now screens “too cheap” versus gold as its volatility collapses to historic lows. How Undervalued Is Bitcoin? The bank’s cross-asset team says six-month BTC volatility has fallen from nearly 60% at the start of 2025 to roughly 30%—a series low—and that Bitcoin is now only about twice as volatile as gold, the narrowest gap on record. On the bank’s volatility-adjusted framework, that compression implies Bitcoin’s market value would need to rise about 13%—translating to roughly $126,000 per coin—to align with the roughly $5 trillion private investment…
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Helium HNT Mobile is one of the crypto companies that keeps on building. Its base is continually growing in the background as the team pushes out new developments. The new tokenomics model redirects 100% of Helium Mobile’s monthly subscriber revenue to burn HNT crypto, thus creating scarcity and, in theory, increasing value. HNT is burned to create Data Credits, which are used to pay for all network activity, including data transfer on IoT and the 5G networks. Put simply: More users -> more network activity -> more HNT burned. As a growing DePIN project backed by investors such as Andreessen Horowitz, GV (formerly Google Ventures), Pantera Capital, Deutsche T…
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Ask any homebuyer these days about how their home search is going, and you are likely to hear a whole lot of frustration. The summer of 2025 turned out to be challenging not only for homebuyers, but home sellers and homebuilders. Call it a perfect storm for the U.S. housing market, and that in turn helped to boost gold. In July, new home sales skidded 0.6% to a seasonally adjusted rate of 652,000, the Commerce Department said. Economists had forecast new home sales to climb. Gold climbed to a 3-week high, boosted by the weaker housing news, concerns over Federal Reserve independence, and ongoing safe-haven buying amid geopolitical and economic uncertainty. So, wh…
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