Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12379 tópicos neste fórum
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NVDA Buy the Dip by investingLive.com (*at your own risk) NVIDIA (NVDA) is back on everyone’s radar this week, trading around $169.76 after a big earnings-driven run and pullback. For context, we recently warned traders and investors not to get carried away with over-enthusiasm around earnings — and that call aged well. If you missed it, check the analysis here: NVDA Earnings Analysis – This Shows Trader Over-Enthusiasm. That’s the point of these updates: not hype, not “to the moon” charts, but structured trade plans that give you clear entry points, stops, and targets. You can use them as a roadmap, do your own research, and trade at your own risk. The bigger picture on …
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Artificial intelligence (AI) juggernaut Nvidia will report its second-quarter earnings after the close of the US session on Wednesday, 27 August. Its ex-post share price actions, earnings results, and guidance are likely to trigger a significant feedback loop back into the broader US stock market and globally as well. The medium- to long-term bullish momentum in global stock markets has been sustained largely by optimism surrounding the transformative potential of emerging AI technologies. Investors anticipate that these innovations could deliver significant productivity gains across industries, even though such benefits have yet to be fully realized or empirically pr…
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Key takeaways Nvidia’s 16% pullback ahead of earnings has become the deepest correction in its medium-term uptrend, driven by valuation concerns, AI bubble fears, and notable investor exits (SoftBank and Peter Thiel’s Thiel Macro LLC).The sell-off has amplified downside pressure across U.S. equities, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 falling 5% and 7% respectively, underscoring Nvidia’s outsized influence as the largest weight in both indices and a central pillar of the AI-driven market rally.Despite the correction, Nvidia’s medium-term uptrend remains intact above the 183.30/177.70 support zone, and a break above 198.70 could reignite bullish momentum toward its all…
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What to Know: Nvidia’s $54.8B earnings report, Fed Minutes, and a muted 50K jobs print could collectively reset risk sentiment in favor of crypto. Bitcoin’s drop toward seven-month lows looks sentiment-driven, and a dovish macro trifecta may trigger a sharp relief rally in majors. Best Wallet Token powers a multi-chain, security-first wallet that bundles fee discounts, staking, launchpad access, and future card rewards into one token. If roadmap execution and market conditions align, $BEST offers a leveraged play on multi-chain adoption rather than a single-narrative altcoin bet. Markets are walking a tightrope this week. Nvidia is set to report $54B+ in Q3 revenue, …
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Wall Street’s biggest exchange owner is betting $2Bn that prediction markets are going mainstream. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, announced on Tuesday that it will invest up to $2Bn in crypto prediction platform Polymarket. The deal makes ICE a global distributor of Polymarket’s event-driven data and opens the door for future tokenization projects between the two firms. The investment values Polymarket at about $8Bn before the deal and $9Bn after, according to company statements. ICE shares rose in pre-market trading following the announcement. DISCOVER: 9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in October…
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NZD was the strongest G10 currency last week, supported by USD weakness, improved global risk sentiment, and stronger-than-expected Chinese PMI dataMarkets expect the RBNZ to cut rates by 25 bp on October 8, though some investors are pricing in a deeper 50 bp move after weak Q2 GDP (-0.9%) and declining PMI readingsNZD/USD rebounded to 0.582–0.584 after a weak Q3 This week, the New Zealand dollar was the strongest currency among the G10 against the US dollar. This move was not accidental – NZD benefited from the broad weakness of the USD, improved investor sentiment on global markets, and positive signals from both the domestic economy and China, New Zealand’s key trad…
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New Zealand’s central bank (RBNZ) cut its Official Cash Rate (OCR) as expected by 25 basis points (bps) to a three-year low of 3% today. The major surprise was the RBNZ’s monetary policy guidance that skewed towards a more dovish stance than expected. Its latest forward guidance shows that the average OCR is projected to fall to 2.71% by the end of 2025, lower than the earlier projection of 2.92% made in May. Two more potential interest rate cuts by the RBNZ Also, it forecasts the OCR to drop further to a low of 2.55% in early 2026, versus 2.85% projected in May. Hence, based on this set of latest dovish projections, the RBNZ has indicated that it is likely not done wi…
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Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Rate Decision Traders are closely monitoring the RBNZ meeting scheduled for Tuesday, May 27, 2025. Market consensus, based on Bloomberg analyst surveys, strongly anticipates a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut, bringing the official cash rate to 3.25%. This follows a previous 25 bps cut in April. Further RBNZ rate cuts are possible in 2025 due to global trade uncertainties and potential economic slowdowns. The recent New Zealand Employment Change Q/Q showed a 0.1% increase, as expected, though the previous quarter's data was revised downward. The New Zealand Unemployment Rate remained steady at 5.1%, better than the 5.3% forecast. …
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While US Markets are away for the Thanksgiving holiday, leaving the broader session fairly calm, the FX markets remain open and active, with all eyes turning to the Kiwi Dollar (NZD), posting yet another strong session. zoom_out_map 1-Day FX Performance – NZD demarks itself in the calm Thanksgiving Session – Source: Finviz The Antipodean currency has faced its share of struggles this year, weighed down by a slowing New…
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The NZD/USD pair is confidently holding above the round 0.5800 level, having surpassed the weekly high set the day before. Furthermore, the current fundamental factors create favorable conditions for bullish sentiments, indicating that the path of least resistance for spot prices is upward. The U.S. dollar plummeted after the Federal Reserve made a moderate decision to lower interest rates and fell further after Thursday's release of negative news in the country. This step is seen as a key factor supporting the NZD/USD pair. The Fed lowered rates as expected, noting that the easing cycle will likely conclude in January. Additionally, it is projected that rates will decrea…
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The New Zealand dollar recently hit a six-month low against the U.S. dollar, sliding to 0.5731. The intraday decline was triggered by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) October monetary policy decision to cut the official cash rate by 50 basis points — a much more aggressive move than the widely anticipated 25-basis-point cut. So the actual result surprised market participants. Moreover, the central bank has made it clear that it is open to further steps to ease monetary policy. This "ultra-dovish" move took the market by surprise and reminded traders that the RBNZ is not afraid to act boldly when needed. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand really does know how to s…
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The NZD/USD pair has encountered resistance at the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), around the 0.5845 level. The U.S. dollar is showing positive momentum for the second consecutive day, supported by broad weakness in the Japanese yen. Additionally, cautious sentiment regarding U.S. equity futures strengthens the dollar's role as a safe-haven currency and is seen as a key factor exerting some downside pressure on the risk-sensitive New Zealand dollar. However, dollar strength does not appear overly optimistic against the backdrop of expectations for a dovish Federal Reserve policy, which in turn could lend support to the NZD/USD pair. According to the CME FedWatch Tool…
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For the second consecutive day, the NZD/USD pair has shown strong buying interest, setting a new monthly high. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested that the new Federal Reserve Chair may abandon the "dot plot" strategy—an approach that signals gradual interest rate cuts. He also highlighted the possibility of changes to inflation policy and the Fed's communication framework. This comes amid expectations that the incoming Fed leadership will adopt a very dovish monetary policy stance and cut interest rates regardless of current economic data. Such expectations are limiting the U.S. dollar's upside, despite its recent rebound from the lowest levels since early Oc…
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At the start of the new week, NZD/USD is trading in a narrow range near the November high recorded on Friday, consolidating the recent strong rally. Spot prices are holding steady below the 0.5750 level and show little reaction to the disappointing news from China. Specifically, the Manufacturing PMI in China from RatingDog unexpectedly fell to 49.9 in November from 50.6 in October. This followed official PMI data released over the weekend, showing declining activity in China's manufacturing sector for the eighth consecutive month, while the services sector is experiencing a contraction for the first time in nearly three years, dropping to its lowest level since December …
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The NZD/USD pair is struggling to extend its recent two-day rally that set a new monthly high. Sellers are now appearing near the psychological level of 0.6000, but the decline remains limited as traders await the key decision of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Fed is expected to announce at least a 25-basis-point rate cut. Market focus is on updated economic projections and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference, which should provide guidance on the future rate path. These signals will have a direct impact on the short-term dynamics of the U.S. dollar and may set a new impulse for the NZD/USD pair. Ahead of this important event, position adjustments ar…
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Today, the NZD/USD pair is attracting new buyers. The U.S. dollar attempted to extend its rebound from the weekly low reached the day before, which became the main factor limiting the pair's upside. However, the rebound attempt was unsuccessful. In addition, growing expectations of an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) are restraining traders from actively buying the New Zealand dollar. In this context, it is worth exercising caution before relying on a continued recovery of the pair, which began from the 0.5750 level — the September low, also seen back in April.That said, significant strengthening of the U.S. dollar now seems unlikely due to fore…
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The NZD/USD pair continues its recovery from the monthly low. At the moment, spot prices are fluctuating within a familiar range and appear ready for further growth amid a favorable fundamental backdrop. A key factor is the easing of trade tensions between the United States and China — the world's two largest economies — which continues to support the Antipodean currencies, including the New Zealand dollar. In addition, on Sunday, senior officials from both countries agreed on the framework of a potential trade deal that will be discussed during the upcoming meeting between Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping later this week. This maintains a positive risk senti…
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Today, on Wednesday, the pair marked a new three-week high, but prices remain below the key psychological level of 0.5800. The fundamental backdrop favors the bulls, confirming the likelihood of a continued positive recovery from the monthly low. The U.S. dollar is showing modest strength as market participants choose to scale back bearish expectations ahead of the Federal Reserve's key rate decision, expected later today. This event is the main factor limiting NZD/USD's upward movement. However, a sharp and sustained strengthening of the dollar in the near term appears unlikely, given the Fed's dovish outlook and ongoing concerns about U.S. economic risks caused by the p…
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For the third consecutive day, the NZD/USD pair has been trading in negative territory. Following the release of rather uninspiring official Chinese Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data, spot prices have been moving slightly, adding to losses against the backdrop of the U.S. dollar's bullish tone. At its two-day meeting on Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve lowered the overnight lending rate to a range of 3.75–4.00% and announced its intention to end balance sheet reduction as early as December, marking the conclusion of its quantitative tightening program. However, the hawkish tone was reinforced by comments from Chair Jerome Powell at the post-meeting press conference…
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Today, Wednesday, the NZD/USD pair attracted some buying interest. Prices are trading around 0.5650. Yesterday, the pair broke above the 100-hour SMA, indicating that the bulls attempted to stage a recovery. However, it encountered resistance at the 200-hour simple moving average (SMA) and has not yet managed to break through it, which supports the likelihood of a bearish outlook. Consequently, further weakness toward the intermediate support level of 0.5625 on the way to the round level of 0.5600 — a level last seen in April — appears likely. A sustained move below the latter level would make the NZD/USD pair vulnerable to an accelerated decline toward 0.5550, before pot…
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As of publication on Wednesday, the NZD/USD pair was trading around 0.5600, down 1.10% for the day. The currency reached an eight-month low amid disappointing New Zealand data and a general deterioration in market sentiment amid heightened risks. The New Zealand dollar remains under pressure following the release of weak producer price index data. According to official statistics, purchase prices rose only 0.2% in the third quarter, significantly lower than the previous 0.6% and well below the expected 0.9%. The increase in finished goods prices was only 0.6%, falling short of expectations. These publications follow recent statements from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (…
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On Wednesday, October 8, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will hold its next monetary policy meeting — the second-to-last meeting of the year. The central bank is widely expected to cut the official cash rate by 25 basis points. This base-case scenario has already been priced into the market, meaning the decision itself is unlikely to cause meaningful volatility in NZD/USD. Instead, attention will shift to the bank's guidance on future policy steps. Back in August, during its previous meeting, there were widespread rumours that the RBNZ might be ready to end its rate-cut cycle following an acceleration in inflation during the second quarter. Analysts were divide…
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APAC currencies have struggled over the past month, with NZD among the laggards amid a strong US Dollar comeback. The FOMC kept rates unchanged at its latest meeting yesterday, and FX Markets are now preparing for the upcoming RBNZ decision, slated for August 14. NZDUSD has been relatively rangebound within a 2-handle zone since May, following a sharp April down-move sparked by volatility around Trump's infamous Liberation Day. Before attacking the multi-timeframe technical analysis of NZDUSD, here is a small reminder that this morning, the reports for the Core PCE—which came slightly above expectations (2.8% y/y vs 2.7% estimate)—and an as-expected Canadian GDP (-0.1%…
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The Kiwi’s slide has been one that hasn't been seen in a while, with NZDUSD dropping 2% in just two sessions. The pair had initially climbed ahead of the FOMC, driven by dovish concerns around the Fed and sudden Dollar-hedging that briefly pressured the DXY (sending the US Dollar down, hence the pair shooting upwards). However, Powell’s balanced tone quickly flipped that narrative, erasing the priced-in dovishness observed in the SEP, dot plot, and FOMC statement. “You can think of this, in a way, as a risk management cut,” Powell noted, striking a cautious stance around future cuts that steadied the USD. There are still 25 bps of cuts priced at each of the two meet…
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Longtime mining industry executive W. R. “Bob” Dengler, an engineer who built Canadian startup Dynatec into one of the country’s biggest mine contractors and operators, has died. He was 84. Dengler passed away peacefully on May 15 in Aurora, Ontario, his family said in an emailed statement. No cause of death was disclosed. “Bob Dengler is undoubtedly a mining legend,” former Iamgold CEO Stephen Letwin wrote in a 2018 letter of recommendation for an award. “He stands out for his entrepreneurial mindset, the strategic vision he has brought to the industry and the lasting value his efforts have generated for Canada’s economy.” Early mining exposure Born in the…
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