Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12379 tópicos neste fórum
-
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency has released new guidance that allows national banks to hold specific cryptocurrencies for the sole purpose of covering blockchain network fees. This decision, outlined in Interpretive Letter 1186 issued on November 18, 2025, confirms that banks can keep crypto assets on their books as part of their operational needs when acting as principal. Holding Crypto to Keep Transactions Moving According to the letter, banks can store native crypto assets like ETH when they know they’ll need to pay network fees in the near future. These gas fees are essential for using networks like Ethereum, which require payment in the native token t…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
OceanaGold (TSX: OGC) set a new all-time high on Thursday after the company turned in strong quarterly results that were marked by record revenue and profit. During the second quarter of 2025, the Vancouver-headquartered gold miner saw revenue jump to a record $432 million, compared with $359.9 million the previous quarter and $251.2 million the same period last year. Net profit also hit a record $117.6 million, up from $101.2 million in Q1 and just $34 million a year ago, as did adjusted earnings per share ($0.51), which beat analyst estimates. BMO Capital Markets had forecasted an adjusted EPS of $0.41. Shares of OceanaGold soared by double digits on the Q2 …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
A newly ratified treaty to safeguard life at sea is expected to intensify opposition to deep-sea mining at a United Nations climate summit this week in New York, United States, running alongside the leaders’ general assembly. The High Seas Treaty, officially known as the Biodiversity Beyond National Jurisdiction (BBNJ) agreement, will enter into force in January next year. This was made possible after Morocco became the 60th nation to ratify it on Friday, crossing the threshold required for UN treaties. Two decades in the making, the pact allows the creation of vast conservation zones in international waters, with the goal of protecting 30% of the ocean and halti…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
As soon as Wednesday, October 1, the U.S. government and all federal institutions may go on leave. No, this isn't the start of vacation season. This is Donald Trump, once again, failing to reach an agreement with the Democrats — and lacking the political leverage to bypass the opposition. This time, U.S. legislation stands in Trump's way: the law requires 60 votes in the Senate to pass the budget for the next fiscal year. Whether Trump forgot about this or anticipated it and prepared accordingly is unclear. Most likely, it's the latter. Either way, whether he forgot or not doesn't really matter. What matters is the shutdown, which could become the first in the past six ye…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Since everything Trump does is "Great," the shutdown will likely be Great as well — albeit with a negative side. This time, Trump has decided not to simply send federal workers home while he and his team attempt to negotiate with the Democrats. Instead, he's opted for a more dramatic move: to fire government employees — and blame the Democrats for it. It may look and sound absurd, but let's not forget that Trump is a gambler. And gamblers love to bluff. I believe this is just that — a bluff — and no one is actually going to be fired. However, Trump will play this card as a trump (no pun intended) in his standoff with the Democrats. Without a doubt, he will announce loudly…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
How will the dollar react to the shutdown? So far, the market isn't jumping the gun—it's not rushing ahead of the train. However, economists have reviewed historical price data and found that during the last three government shutdowns, the dollar has inevitably declined. The decline didn't start immediately—it kicked in over time and even continued after the shutdowns ended. In simpler terms, a shutdown is like a time-delayed landmine for the U.S. dollar. Take the previous shutdown, for example, which ironically happened under Trump's first term in 2018–2019. It was the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, lasting 35 days. During that time, the dollar lost about 2…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On October 10, the crypto market experienced its largest liquidation event in history, prompting experts like MartyParty to predict a surge in lawsuits and class action claims against what he describes as “market manipulators.” Expert Claims Manipulation Led To October 10 Crypto Crash The aftermath of this crash has seen Bitcoin (BTC) and other major cryptocurrencies continue their downward trend this week, with BTC recently falling below the critical $110,000 threshold. Ethereum (ETH), XRP, and Binance Coin (BNB), the largest altcoins, recorded losses of 10%, 17%, and 7%, respectively, in the weekly time frame. The events of October 10 led to total crypto liquidations…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
October brings a convergence of pivotal events on both the economic and geopolitical fronts, shaping a volatile global outlook. From looming tariff battles in Washington and monetary policy decisions in Frankfurt to military posturing in Eastern Europe and high-level political signaling in Beijing, this month may set the tone for the final stretch of 2025 and beyond. At the same time, in a repeat of a unique and macabre political dynamic, the risk of a partial US federal government closure due to the lack spending authorization as of October 1 is very high. Both parties think they have something to gain, or less to lose from a shutdown. In addition to the disruption and…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The U.S. Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control has added several Kyrgyzstan-based companies to its sanctions list over their involvement with a ruble-backed stablecoin called A7A5. Authorities accuse the firms, including A7 LLC, Old Vector, and subsidiaries like A7 Agent, of helping Russia sidestep economic restrictions tied to its war in Ukraine. These companies were part of a growing crypto network that operated under the radar until now. A7A5 Stablecoin at the Center of the Investigation A7A5 is pegged to the Russian ruble and has quietly moved billions in volume. It reportedly handled over 51 billion dollars across platforms linked to Russian markets, with dail…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The President Donald Trump meme coin is back from the dead and up 46% in a week and sitting at a $1.67 Bn market cap, per CoinGecko. The Solana-based token, left for dead during the last market dump and ostensible Trump rugpull, is ripping higher on what looks like a classic relief rally. With trade war tensions cooling and risk appetite returning, we might FINALLY see an altcoin rally. Or will we? The Trump Meme Coin Bounces Back from Its October Low Crypto Fear and Greed Chart All time 1y 1m 1w 24h The TRUMP token hit an all-…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, has identified a concerning trend in the Bitcoin (BTC) and broader cryptocurrency market that adds to the ongoing sentiment of bearishness among investors. Over 1 Million BTC Sold By OG Investors Since June In a recent post on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Edwards highlighted that “OG” Bitcoin whales are actively cashing out their holdings. Accompanying his remarks was a chart illustrating the extent of this phenomenon, showing on-chain spending from “OG” Bitcoin holders—those who have held their assets for over seven years. The chart prominently features two color-coded categories: orange for $100 …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
US Oil breaks out of its monthly range that had formed since the middle of May. A 5-month downtrend in Oil due to fears of slowed global trade and consecutive increased supply by OPEC+ has started to reverse. After touching lows of $55, levels not seen since mid-2021 post-covid recovery, Oil had been forming a consolidation range between $60.5 and $64. After multiple bounces, and a better global outlook with trade tensions abating (Particularly with US-China talks resuming), the outlook for petroleum prices is starting to look less bearish. Let's take a look at the charts to spot potential levels of interest as WTI just touched $65. Opinions are…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Oil took another pipeline lower as recent headlines reduced supply route concerns for one of its bigger producers. The initially secret discussions for a Ukraine-Russia peace plan, initiated by the US, have taken a much more serious shape. An original Russian-drafted 28-point plan—similar to the one proposed for Gaza—had earlier been publicized but was subject to fierce debate among European leaders, as the guarantees would not play in Ukraine's or the EU's favor, particularly clauses regarding the recognition of occupied Ukrainian territory like Crimea and Donetsk as Russian. …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Brent crude oil futures rose to $67.2 per barrel on Monday, continuing the upward trend that began on Friday due to concerns over Russian oil supply disruptions, caused by intensified Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure and difficulties in peace negotiations. This has increased the risk of further sanctions from the West. Overall, Brent remains in a broad sideways range, fluctuating between $65 and $67.4 per barrel. The current dynamics reflect the contradictions shaping the market. On the one hand, geopolitics: fires at Russian oil refineries, Trump's statements about potential serious sanctions against Russian oil, and pressure on India and China via the G7 form…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Oil is one of the most traditionally volatile commodity and tradable asset.. Since the Israel-Iran War, however, there haven't been many highlights in the geopolitical landscape that have warranted any substantial movement for the Black Gold, leading to an ongoing month-long consolidation. Since the war's end, the situation hasn’t changed much, even regarding the tariffs, where we haven’t seen any real progress in a while. However, global trade prospects have been progressively increasing as businesses have already taken the tariffs into account and tried to reroute their supply chains to limit future raise in costs. Oil prices are usually based on such prospects, and…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Asian markets start the week on a positive note Most Asian stock exchanges moved higher on Monday, while the US dollar weakened. Investors are closely watching developments in Washington, where a potential government shutdown could delay the release of September's employment report and other key economic data. Political talks in Washington President Donald Trump is set to meet congressional leaders from both parties on Monday in a bid to secure continued government funding. Without an agreement, a partial shutdown may begin midweek, coinciding with the introduction of new US tariffs on heavy trucks, pharmaceuticals, and other products. Seasonal momentum supports equitie…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
It was largely expected to arrive, and Market participants finally got it: The EU-US Trade Deal has finally (almost) been reached. For now, markets have only an outline of the actual Deal that needs to be finalized, but to the Market’s understanding, the Deal is done. You can read more about the Deal right here. The US Dollar is looking a bit stronger after the news, particularly against the Euro after forming what resembles a double-top – let’s see how the Markets play this one. Equities, on the other hand, are showing a mixed reaction, with the DAX selling off after the news, for example. The subject of today's piece is US Oil, which, although still trading in its …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The timing for this morning's piece was either fortunate or unfortunate. US President trump has posted a very cryptic Truth Social post saying: "What’s with Russia violating Poland’s airspace with drones? Here we go!" Anyways, I invite you to check our morning piece on US Oil to access to the trading levels of interest for the commodity. Link just below. Read More: Chaos in Eastern Europe – Oil (WTI) prices lagging the move? …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Oil prices have been trading erratically in recent weeks, following the onset of the Israel-Iran conflict which initially sent prices soaring from $64 to $76 in under a week. After consolidating near those highs, crude broke above the initial war-driven spike late last week—only to surpass that level again during an overnight gap-up to $78.43 as the US Army attacked Iranian nuclear facilities. However, the breakout was met with some selling, leading to a sharp intraday reversal. One trigger for this volatility came from Iran’s threat to disrupt shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint responsible for roughly 20% of global oil flow. While the announce…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
The energy commodity hasn't had its best performance this year. Oil got caught in the mix of many geopolitical headwinds between large supply from OPEC+ for internal reorganization (they want to force out some producing countries of the organization), Russia flooding the Market to pay for its war, downward revised global outlooks and tensions in the Middle East. Such volatile events are tough to predict and their effects are even tougher to predict – But one thing stands: Oil always found sellers during the first 8 months of this year. Now, Trump and Putin are supposed to meet in person ahead of a deadline that would impose gigantic tariffs on Russian exports as a mena…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Oil and Gold Surge as Israel Strikes Iran Oil prices surged after Israel launched a military strike on Iran, prompting investors to move to safe-haven assets like gold and the Swiss franc. WTI Oil Daily Chart, June 13, 2025 close Source: TradingView (click to enlarge) …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Investor focus on Wednesday was on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and the subsequent press conference. A 0.25% interest rate cut is already priced in. However, market participants remain on alert, awaiting new hints regarding the Federal Reserve's future actions. Meanwhile, oil market participants are assessing the data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) report, released on Wednesday. The EIA reported a reduction in US oil inventories of -1.812 million barrels in November, exceeding forecasts of -1.200 million barrels (after an increase of +0.574 million in October). However, this data did not have a positive impact on oil prices. Oil prices…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
PayPal has officially partnered with crypto exchange OKX to enable seamless crypto purchases and deposits across the European Economic Area (EEA). Announced on the 14th of July, this move signals a major step in streamlining regulated digital assets access in Europe. This integration allows EEA-based users to fund their crypto wallets through PayPal using familiar options such as PayPal Balance bank accounts, debit, and credit cards. The collaboration also supports OKX’s regulatory alignment under MiCA, positioning the exchange for European growth. BitcoinPriceMarket CapBTC$2.33T24h7d30d1yAll time Partnership and User Benefits On the 14th of July 2025, OKX announced a …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
OKX has rolled out a major update to its mobile app, allowing users to trade directly on decentralized exchanges within the same interface. This new feature supports trading across Base, Solana, and OKX’s own X Layer network. By introducing in-app access to self-custody DEX trades, OKX is removing a lot of the friction that normally comes with juggling different wallets or apps. What’s Included in the New Trading Feature When users activate the DEX trading option, the app creates a passkey-protected wallet automatically. From there, it connects to over 100 liquidity pools to ensure trades get routed through the best available prices. Everything happens inside the a…
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen three waves of major inflows from the veteran hands in this cycle so far. Bitcoin Coin Days Destroyed Shot Up Alongside Earlier ETF Net Inflows As explained by CryptoQuant author Maartunn in a new post on X, Bitcoin has been observing major reshuffles related to old tokens and the spot ETFs. The spot ETFs refer to investment vehicles that trade on traditional platforms and allow investors to gain exposure to an underlying asset like BTC without having to directly own the asset. The BTC spot ETFs launched in the US in January 2024. Since then, the funds have generally enjoyed growth, with a few p…
Last reply by Ben Graham,
