Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12186 tópicos neste fórum
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Main Takeaways Tokenization picked up steam with Chainlink and UBS partnership. Tapzi’s skill-based gaming platform fits perfectly with the tokenization wave. Tapzi presale is over 53% complete. Tokenization is rapidly emerging as one of the most disruptive forces in global finance. It promises to transform traditional money, financial instruments, and even real-world assets into programmable, transferable tokens that can be transferred instantly across digital rails. For years, this seemed like a distant dream. However, thanks to pilots from major players such as Chainlink, UBS, and Swift, tokenization is no longer theoretical. As these financial giants redefine how …
Last reply by Ben Graham, -
Only one Canadian dollar trade was executed today using the Mean Reversion strategy, but even there, a strong reversal movement never materialized. I did not trade anything using the Momentum strategy. The demand for the euro and pound, which was observed at the end of last week, has not returned. The U.S. eased pressure on China, which increased the likelihood of reaching a compromise. This, in turn, supported the U.S. dollar. Traders shifted from fears of escalating trade tensions to a more optimistic scenario, which triggered a capital inflow into dollar-denominated assets. However, this positive move is not supported by solid macroeconomic data — with publications com…
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An analyst has revealed the key Bitcoin charts that could be to keep an eye on while Bitcoin is slowly making recovery from its latest crash. These Bitcoin Charts Could Be Ones To Watch In a shock to the market, Bitcoin ended last week with a steep crash, falling from above $122,000 to below $110,000. The coin managed to make some recovery on Sunday, and that rebound has held so far into Monday. However, while BTC appears to be rebuilding its structure, its direction remains unclear, as noted by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in an X thread. Maartunn has shared a few key charts that could determine whether the recovery will hold or fade. First, the analyst has…
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[Natural Gas] – [Tuesday, October 14, 2025] With technical conditions signaling a weakening in Natural Gas, such as the RSI being in the Neutral-Bearish zone and the EMA(50) & EMA(200) still forming a Death Cross, indicating that #NG has the potential to move lower today. Key Levels: 1. Resistance. 2 : 3.197 2. Resistance. 1 : 3.148 3. Pivot : 3.088 4. Support. 1 : 3.039 5. Support. 2 : 2.979 Tactical Scenario: Pressure Zone: If Natural Gas weakens and breaks through and closes below 3.039, it may continue its decline toward the 2.979 level. Momentum Extension Bias: If 2.979 is broken and closes below, there is a possibility for Natural Gas to t…
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The UK labor market report for August showed no indication that inflationary pressure is likely to ease. Average wages, including bonuses, rose by 5% year-over-year over the last three months, significantly higher than the previous reading of 4.7%. At the same time, unemployment increased, as did the number of jobless claims. Adjusted for inflation, the real annual growth in total wages increased by 1.2%, which is also higher than for the previous three-month period. On a broader scale, there has been no change in the inflation outlook. In September, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) published calculations from its own inflation forecas…
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Key takeaways The Hang Seng Index remains in a medium-term uptrend, despite a recent 9% pullback triggered by renewed US-China trade tensions.China’s core CPI rose to a 19-month high of 1% in September 2025, easing deflation fears and boosting market confidence.Technical indicators show bullish momentum, with key short-term support at 25,140 and upside resistance near 27,500.A sustained yuan appreciation continues to underpin Hong Kong’s equity market recovery. This is a follow-up analysis and an update of our prior publication, “Hang Seng Index Technical: Bullish consolidation above 26,200 on China housing recovery”, published on 15 September 2025. The price action…
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Bitcoin is holding up relatively well after the recent sell-off, although there are few willing buyers above the $116,000 level. Most market participants are waiting for a deeper correction toward the $106,000 area before making a move — and there are fair reasons for that. The market needs time to recover after losing nearly $20 billion in less than a week. This is reflected in the ongoing consolidation observed across many cryptocurrencies. Meanwhile, in Q3 of this year, a record number of companies increased their exposure by investing in Bitcoin. The number of public companies holding Bitcoin rose to 172, which is almost a 40% surge compared to three months earlier…
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AUD/USD As expected in the previous analysis on October 13, the Australian dollar managed to close the Monday gap and move toward the target support at 0.6450. Now, the price has returned to its initial position and faces the same dilemma: either continue rising toward the MACD line at 0.6555 or attempt to break below the 0.6450 level with firm settlement. At the moment, the overall trend remains bearish, but price and the oscillator are visually trying to break free from downward pressure. For this, support from correlated markets is needed—namely, a weakening of the U.S. dollar index and a rise in commodity prices. Oil, in particular, has remained in a range for four c…
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Trade Review and Advice on Trading the EuroThe price test at 1.1773 coincided with the MACD indicator moving far above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. Yesterday, the euro continued its rise, with weak U.S. data helping it break through to new monthly highs. This morning, business confidence indicators in the eurozone and Germany from the ZEW research center, the German current conditions index, and fresh eurozone industrial production figures will be released. These will serve as key markers of the region's economic health. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index will provide valuable information for assessing gr…
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Ecuador’s President Daniel Noboa has cast doubt on the future of DPM Metals (TSX: DPM) Loma Larga gold project, handing responsibility for its approval or rejection to authorities in the southern province of Azuay. The move follows a request from provincial leaders last week that Environment Minister María Luisa Cruz revoke the environmental permit granted to Dundee in June. On Tuesday, residents marched through Cuenca, the provincial capital, protesting the $419-million project. Demonstrators in the “March for Water” argued the mine would threaten the region’s water supply. Experts counter that while the concession lies within the El Cajas Massif Biosphere Reserv…
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The upcoming week will be packed with various events—including the release of important economic data, primarily from the U.S., speeches by influential central bank officials, and the Swiss National Bank's final monetary policy decision. This week promises to be eventful, featuring key economic reports—especially from the United States—alongside remarks from major central bank figures and the Swiss National Bank's monetary policy decision. Let's assess how these events may influence the markets. Let's begin with an assessment of key U.S. statistics, which, unsurprisingly, play a leading role in global markets, given the current geopolitical landscape and financial market …
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GBP/USD Against the backdrop of yesterday's 0.71% rise in the US dollar index, the British pound, which was already experiencing additional pressure from the policy divergence between the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve, lost 102 pips. On the weekly chart, the price has broken below the MACD line. The Marlin oscillator has also consolidated in the territory of a downward trend. The pound is likely to face a prolonged decline ahead. The nearest significant target is the embedded price channel line around the 1.3000 mark. On the daily chart, the price has broken below the nearest support at 1.3364. The next target at 1.3253 is now in play. The decline may continue…
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The US dollar continued its growth against a range of risk assets, indicating sustained demand and the prospect of more cautious action from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate cuts. Yesterday's upward revision of Q2 US GDP to a strong 3.8% was the trigger for dollar buying and a selloff in risk assets. Clearly, after contracting in Q1, the US economy is showing unexpected resilience despite the Fed's tight monetary policy. This, in turn, strengthens investors' confidence in the US economy's ability to withstand future challenges. Yesterday's sharp drop in jobless claims also points to a labor market that is once again showing strength, despite some signs of cooli…
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The EUR/USD currency pair once again traded calmly on the second trading day of the week. While there was a minor intraday upward bias on Monday, it remained weak, accompanied by low volatility. Now that it's October 1 — and there's a 95% chance the U.S. government will shut down along with all federal agencies — the dollar's reaction to negative news is surprisingly modest. In fact, we would say it isn't reacting at all. Is this justified? Of course not. Even without the shutdown threat, there are already plenty of solid reasons for the dollar to be falling. While the pair has undergone a correction over the last two weeks, the fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop has …
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In the early hours today, CZ Binance leveled sharp criticism at media giants like Reuters, accusing them of recycling identical FUD(Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt) narratives to damage his reputation. That move set the tone for a volatile session as XPL and Aster crypto both collapsed under pressure, with .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Plasma XPL $1.08 2.01% Plasma XPL Price $1.08 2.01% /24h V…
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Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has ignited a notable recovery in the broader cryptocurrency market, recording a 5% gain during Wednesday’s trading session to recover the $117,000 mark. This momentum has positively impacted major altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH), XRP, Solana (SOL), and Binance Coin (BNB), which have seen average increases of around 3% in what may signal the onset of a new altcoin season. Crypto Prices Surge Amidst US Government Shutdown The surge in crypto prices coincided with political developments as the US Senate’s failure to pass a temporary funding bill resulted in a government shutdown shortly after midnight on Wednesday. Such unc…
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According to economist Timothy Peterson, Bitcoin has a 50% chance of topping $140,000 before the month ends. He posted that likelihood on X and backed it with simulation work that uses a decade of price moves to map likely outcomes. Simulation Based On Historical Data Peterson said the model runs hundreds of simulations using daily Bitcoin prices going back to 2015. Based on those runs, he put the chance Bitcoin finishes the month above $140,000 at 50%. He also gave a 43% probability that the price will end the month below $136k. At the time he spoke, Bitcoin was trading at $121,200. That means a rise of about 11% would be needed to reach $140,000 from the current leve…
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Solana’s revenue generation is on its generational run. From memecoin mania to AI-powered dApps, Solana’s ecosystem is firing on all cylinders, attracting traders, builders and validators alike. If that doesn’t convince you, here’s a looker. A Swiss investment firm, 21Shares, released a report on 6 October 2025, according to which .cwp-coin-chart svg path { stroke-width: 0.65 !important; } Solana SOL $223.47 0.04% Solana SOL Price $223.47 0.04% /24h …
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On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has explained how there aren’t any signs of a Bitcoin price peak yet, based on this indicator. Bitcoin Net Realized Profit/Loss Is Still At Moderate Levels In a new post on X, CryptoQuant has shared the latest trend in the Bitcoin Net Realized Profit/Loss. This indicator tells us about whether the Bitcoin investors are selling their coins at a net profit or loss. The metric works by going through the transaction history of each token being spent to see what price it was moved at before this. If this previous selling price for any coin was less than the spot price it’s now being transacted at, then the token’s sale is assumed to be lea…
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Trade Analysis and EUR/USD Trading TipsA test of the 1.1595 level occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun rising from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the euro. As a result, the pair moved up toward the target level of 1.1619. News of declining inflation expectations in the U.S. exerted pressure on the dollar. Fresh data pointing to expected slower consumer price growth over the coming months led traders to revise their outlooks regarding the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy. The probability of a rate cut during the October FOMC meeting remains relatively high. A swift reaction also followed after Trump announced potential 100% tari…
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Trade Review and USD/JPY Trading TipsA test of the 152.52 level occurred when the MACD indicator began moving downward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for selling the dollar, which resulted in an 80-pip drop in the pair. The Japanese yen surged sharply, while the dollar declined after Donald Trump announced he is once again considering 100% tariffs on Chinese goods. This sudden spike in the yen—traditionally regarded as a "safe haven" currency—visibly reflected the fear that gripped global markets in response to the president's unexpected announcement. Investors, fearing another wave of global economic turbulence, rushed to seek safe refuge. The yen, du…
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US stock indexes closed the New York session on Friday with their biggest plunge in a year. The S&P 500 fell by 2.71%, while the Nasdaq 100 sank by 3.56%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.90%. During today's Asian trading session, futures on US stock indexes edged higher after President Donald Trump signaled readiness to strike a deal with China, which improved market sentiment following the shock from a sharp escalation in trade tensions. Futures on the S&P 500 rose by 1.3%, and Nasdaq 100 contracts gained 1.8% after the administration softened its rhetoric following Trump's threat to impose 100% tariffs on China in response to Chinese export control m…
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What to Know: Brian Q at Santiment highlights ‘crowd FUD’ as a major driver of bullish surges Crypto market is still largely fear- and emotion-driven Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) could be in a prime position to take advantage of any big $BTC move In 2025, ‘crowd FUD’ is driving the market. The mass panic, fear, uncertainty, and doubt among retail investors in response to political or macro news causes corrections and sharp pullbacks – but within a short time, FUD soon gives way to FOMO. Analysts are beginning to treat it as a potential contrarian indicator: when the crowd is at its most fearful, it may be a signal to buy – and Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is ready to take advant…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British Pound The price test of 1.3325 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had just begun moving down from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the pound and resulting in a drop of more than 60 points. A sharp increase in the number of unemployment benefit claims and in the unemployment rate in the U.K. led to a sell-off of the pound. Investors reacted instantly, alarmed by signs of a slowdown in economic growth. The data published by the Office for National Statistics caused some turbulence. In particular, the rise in jobless claims pointed to potential issues in the labor market, intensifying…
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Elon Musk waded back into the money-meets-energy debate on X today, endorsing Bitcoin and Dogecoin. The Tesla CEO replied to a viral ZeroHedge thread that framed artificial intelligence as a government-funded arms race that will turbocharge monetary debasement. “True. That is why Bitcoin is based on energy: you can issue fake fiat currency, and every government in history has done so, but it is impossible to fake energy,” Musk wrote, aligning BTC’s value proposition with physical power constraints. Minutes later, when community account Sir Doge of the Coin (@dogeofficialceo) added, “Dogecoin is also based on energy,” Musk replied with a simple “,” his first explicit nod…
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