Radar do Mercado
Resumo diário completo com análise técnica e fundamental dos mercados globais, incluindo movimentos em Forex, ações, metais e decisões macroeconômicas relevantes.
12185 tópicos neste fórum
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At the time of writing, gold trades at $4077 per troy ounce, having erased gains made prior to the months-delayed September US Nonfarm Payrolls release. Relatively unchanged at -0.02% in today’s session, gold currently trades approximately 7.00% shy of all-time highs made in October, and remains on pace to secure a remarkable yearly gain of over 50% in 2025. What’s next for gold? Gold (XAU/USD): Key takeaways 20/11/2025 Picking up in volatility in recent weeks, precious metal markets remain highly active as markets readjust expectations for the Federal Reserve’s December 10th decision With yesterday’s FOMC minutes revealing “strongly differing views” in the most recen…
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Zcash (ZEC) is back in the spotlight after a dramatic rebound. Following Monday’s steep fall to roughly $548, the privacy coin has bounced sharply, gaining 12% in the last 24 hours and reclaiming the $670 level. After surging more than 1,500% year-to-date and rallying 175% in the past month, the privacy-focused cryptocurrency is now testing a major bullish breakout pattern, leaving traders wondering what comes next and whether ZEC can truly sustain this momentum. Institutional Accumulation Fuels a Powerful Upswing A major catalyst behind Zcash’s meteoric rise has been aggressive accumulation from high-profile institutional players. The newly rebranded Cypherpunk Te…
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XRP price started a fresh decline below $2.050. The price is now struggling and faces resistance near the $2.050 pivot level. XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.050 zone. The price is now trading below $2.050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.080 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it settles below $2.00. XRP Price Dips Further XRP price attempted a recovery wave above $2.120 but failed to continue higher, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price started a fresh decline below $2.050 and $2.020. There was a move below the $2…
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The S&P 500 started strong but ended weak. After a 1.9% surge at the beginning of the trading session, driven by the positive results from NVIDIA for the third quarter, the broad stock index quickly reversed direction and closed in the red, down 1.6%. The reasons behind such a dramatic rollercoaster remain unclear. Dynamics of US Stock Indices NVIDIA's revenue and profits are indeed impressive, but one company alone cannot carry the weight. Even this largest company in the world is supported by other players in the tech sector spending colossal amounts on artificial intelligence, yet their results leave much to be desired. The bubble of tech giants is the main conc…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the Euro The test of the 1.1547 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already risen significantly above the zero mark, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The negative dynamics of the Eurozone manufacturing PMI triggered a wave of concerns about a slowdown in economic growth in the region. Investors fear that the European Central Bank may face the need to revise its monetary policy, which had previously been aimed at keeping interest rates unchanged. Now, against the backdrop of worsening economic indicators, pressure on the ECB will shift toward a more accommodative policy aimed a…
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Trade Analysis and Recommendations for the British Pound The test of the 1.3084 price occurred when the MACD indicator had just started moving down from the zero line, which confirmed the correct entry point for selling the pound. As a result, the pair fell by more than 35 points. The pound collapsed after a weak UK Services PMI, which dropped to 50.5 points. The decline in the Services PMI is certainly an alarming signal. A reading above 50 indicates expansion of the sector, while a reading below 50 indicates contraction. The 50.5 reading suggests that growth has nearly stalled, and the outlook for the near future appears highly uncertain. Experts cite high inflation—whi…
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In what could soon be recognized as the worst-performing week since November 2022, the market’s leading crypto, Bitcoin (BTC), experienced a significant downturn on Friday, plummeting to an eight-month low of $80,000. Market analysts suggest that this downturn began in earnest on October 10, when the market first exhibited signs of a downward trajectory. That day was marked by a brutal liquidation event, erasing nearly $21 billion within minutes and triggering a series of flash crashes that have since perpetuated fears throughout the industry. Digital Asset Treasuries At Risk? Ran Neuner, the founder of Crypto Banter, believes he has uncovered the reasons behind the cr…
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The price of Bitcoin has continued to struggle in the final quarter of the year, recently slipping beneath the 2025 starting point. According to the latest on-chain data, investors are currently sitting on deep unrealized losses, which suggests more pain for the market. STHs Sit On Heavy Losses Through Market Crash In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, online crypto pundit Crazzyblockk revealed that specific classes of Bitcoin investors are holding through worrying amounts of losses. This evaluation is based on the Age-Band Unrealized PnL Distribution metric, which shows the amount of profit or loss different classes of Bitcoin holders (sorted by age of coins …
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According to the latest on-chain data, investors have been excessively betting on the Bitcoin price in recent weeks, leading to its overall struggles. Longs Vs Shorts Imbalance — How This Induced Price Crash In a November 22 post on social media platform X, Alphractal CEO and founder Joao Wedson revealed the underlying dynamics behind Bitcoin’s recent unchecked fall. In deciphering this downward trend, the crypto pundit evaluated the Estimated Long/Short Positions metric, which estimates how much of the Open Interest across exchanges is dedicated to long positions relative to short positions. Wedson reported that, across 19 exchanges, there are about 71,000 BTC positio…
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The GBP/USD currency pair traded predominantly sideways on Friday, despite a barrage of macroeconomic data. We will discuss these reports in more detail, but overall, the technical and fundamental picture for the pound aligns 80-90% with that of the euro. The difference lies in the fact that the British currency has seen slightly more justification for its decline in recent months than the euro. Recall that the euro had almost no grounds for a decline. In the UK, a significant portion of important statistics has faltered, and the Bank of England may lower its key interest rate at its last meeting of the year, unlike the European Central Bank, which has already completed i…
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The US stock market is driven by two parallel narratives: monetary policy history and the monetization of artificial intelligence. Within the market, there are both skeptics and optimists. The former discuss inflated fundamental valuations and the billions of dollars wasted on AI technologies. The latter view the current decline in the S&P 500 as a healthy correction and an opportunity to establish and increase long positions. For them, the Magnificent Seven is a sacred cow that has generated and will continue to generate money. Unfortunately, nothing lasts forever under the moon. During the dot-com boom in the 1990s, the market also seemed too perfect. In 2000, then…
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EUR/USD Analysis:The direction of the euro's price movement in its main pair has been set by a downward wave since July of this year. On the daily chart, this section serves as a correction of the previous upward trend. The wave structure is not yet complete. Since September 16, the final part (C) of this wave structure has been developing. Forecast:At the beginning of the upcoming week, a flat sideways movement is expected. A downward vector is possible. Increased volatility, a reversal, and the start of a price rise toward resistance zones may be expected in the second half of the week. Nearby counter zones will limit the weekly movement of the pair. Potential Revers…
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South Korea is serious about its anti-money laundering laws, and as such, the Korean Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) is all set to sanction crypto exchanges that are not following the protocols to the T. According to the regulatory body, not clamping down on companies that don’t follow protocols hurts the integrity of the country’s growing crypto market, which has gained political momentum in recent times. As of this moment, the FIU has already taken action against Dunamu, the parent company behind Upbit, Korea’s largest crypto exchange, recently acquired by Naver. Furthermore, it has inspected other big names, including Bithumb, Coinone, Korbit, and GOPAX, to see if …
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European Central BankAnalysis of Macroeconomic Reports: Several macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Tuesday, but they are not generating much interest at the moment. The market continues to show minimal volatility and no clear direction. The U.S. dollar continues to weaken very little, without sufficient grounds for it. However, the market is still not in a hurry to sell the U.S. currency. Today in Germany, the third estimate of GDP for the third quarter will be released, and in the U.S., the weekly ADP employment report, the Producer Price Index, and retail sales data will be released. These are interesting reports, but the market is expecting others. Traders ar…
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The recent downturn in the crypto market, which saw total valuations plummet from an all-time high of nearly $4.3 trillion to below the $3 trillion mark, has severely impacted many investors. Among those affected is the Trump family, whose wealth reportedly decreased by $1 billion over the past month, according to Bloomberg. Their current net worth now stands at approximately $6.7 billion, down from $7.7 billion in September. Trump Family’s Crypto Portfolio Takes Major Hits The family’s crypto portfolio has suffered significant losses as a result of recent market conditions, including President Trump’s official memecoin, TRUMP, Eric Trump’s Bitcoin (BTC) mining firm, A…
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Only the British pound did I try to trade today using the Mean Reversion strategy, but even there I did not wait for a strong downward reversal. Using the Momentum strategy, I traded the Japanese yen, which rose sharply against the U.S. dollar. According to the report, Germany's GDP in the third quarter of this year remained unchanged compared to the second quarter. Although zero growth has increased the chances of a technical recession, the sense of industrial stagnation is causing more serious concern. Economists warn that without significant changes in policy and external factors, Germany may face a prolonged period of economic decline. The impact of this downturn may …
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Analysis of Trades and Recommendations for Trading the European Currency The test of the 1.1527 price level occurred at a moment when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the euro. The second test of 1.1527 led to the implementation of scenario No. 2 for selling the euro; however, losses were recorded on the trade since the pair did not show any downward reversal. Germany's economy posted zero GDP growth in the third quarter of this year. These expected data supported the euro's exchange rate and did not attract new sellers into the market. However, a warning sign is the slo…
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Trade Analysis and Tips for Trading the Japanese Yen The test of the 156.67 price occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly downward from the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the dollar and missed a good downward move. In the second half of the day, close attention will be directed toward the release of U.S. economic data for September, including industrial price dynamics, changes in retail trade, and the business activity index calculated by the Richmond Fed. Retail sales data will provide insight into the level of consumer demand. A decline in retail sales may signal a slowdown in economic exp…
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Silver (XAG/USD) has stalled its gigantic rally higher as a more hawkish Fed pricing and lower economic projections have effectively brought a top to the precious industrial metal. After forming a clear double top at its all-time highs of $54.50, Silver retraced lower to just graze below the psychological $50 mark. Still, the metal's resilience to correct lower suggests that the underlying dovish catalysts haven't entirely disappeared. NY Fed President John Williams recently revived hopes for a 25 basis point cut, pushing the odds for the December meeting back up to around 70%. This pricing was further consolidated by a raft of weak data released this morning: PPI …
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Today, on Tuesday, the euro strengthened against the US dollar as weaker-than-expected US economic data weighed on investor sentiment, causing the dollar to weaken. This contributed to a sharp rebound of the euro to a five-day high. US data, released with a delay, showed that the PPI — the overall Producer Price Index — rose by 0.3% month-over-month in September, in line with expectations after a 0.1% decline in August, while the annual reading remained at 2.7%. However, the core components were weaker. New comments from Federal Reserve officials also boosted expectations of another rate cut in December, putting additional pressure on the US dollar and creating a supporti…
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How do you make the market happy? Take away its favorite toy and then give it back. For the S&P 500, this toy has been the expectation of a Fed rate cut in December. Following the release of the minutes from the October FOMC meeting, these expectations fell to 28%, prompting the broad stock index to undergo a correction. Rumors about Kevin Hassett's imminent appointment as the head of the central bank have spiked the chances of monetary expansion by the end of the year to 85%. It is no surprise that the stock market is up for the third day in a row. Dynamics of Market Expectations Regarding Federal Reserve Monetary Expansion The director of the National Economic Co…
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Dogecoin is trading inside a well-defined falling wedge on the 12-hour chart, with one technical analyst arguing that an upside breakout could trigger an 80–90% rally into the upper $0.20 range. In a fresh DOGE/USDT update shared on November 25, 2025, trader Clifton Fx (@clifton_ideas) posted a Binance 12-hour chart that spans back to late July. Dogecoin Could Rally Nearly 90% The chart is dominated by two descending trendlines that enclose price action. The upper boundary connects successive lower highs from early autumn through late November, forming a downward-sloping resistance line now running just above the latest candle around the mid-$0.15 area. The lower boundar…
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Trade Analysis and Advice on Trading the Japanese Yen A price test of 156.33 occurred at the moment when the MACD indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. For this reason, I did not buy the dollar. During the US trading session, attention will be focused on several important releases. The dynamics of initial jobless claims is a key indicator of labor market health. An increase in such claims may signal slowing economic activity and rising layoffs. Conversely, a decline in claims indicates a stable or expanding labor market, which is a positive sign for the economy. The volume of durable goods orders reflects…
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Canada has launched a national security review of the proposed merger between Anglo American (LON: AAL) and Teck Resources (TSX: TECK.A, TECK.B)(NYSE: TECK), Industry Minister Melanie Joly said on Wednesday. Joly confirmed that Ottawa will assess the deal under the Investment Canada Act and issue a final decision in the coming months, saying from South Korea that the security review is a standard step in evaluating foreign transactions but that the government expects stronger long-term commitments to Canada. The national security review, under the Investment Canada Act, will examine how the transaction could affect critical minerals and related supply chains. Copp…
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On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair first bounced from the 61.8% corrective level at 1.1594, and then consolidated above this level. Thus, the upward movement may continue today toward the resistance level of 1.1645–1.1656. A consolidation of the pair below 1.1594 will work in favor of the US currency and a slight decline toward the 76.4% Fibonacci level at 1.1517. The wave structure on the hourly chart remains simple and clear. The last completed upward wave did not break the previous peak, and the last completed downward wave did not break the previous low. Thus, the trend remains "bearish" for now. The bullish traders have moved into attack mode, but their efforts are st…
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